Stock themes

Best defence stocks

Defence stocks are shares in companies that build weapons, ammunition, military vehicles, aircraft, drones and defence electronics. After years of cuts, Europe is rearming and NATO spending targets have filled order books years ahead. It is one of the few sectors where politics matters more than the economic cycle. Below, our model ranks every defence stock on the US market by score and momentum, updated after each close.

36
Stocks
36
Average momentum
0
Rated strong
Stock Momentum Score To target
Embraer S.AAverage 78 209 +23%
General Dynamics CorporationAverage 58 199 +17%
RTX CorporationAverage 61 181 +17%
Lockheed Martin CorporationAverage 44 173 +18%
Airbus SEAverage 67 172 +6%
BAE Systems plcAverage 55 171 +30%
Northrop Grumman CorporationAverage 27 170 +24%
Rolls-Royce Holdings plcAverage 81 170 +14%
L3Harris Technologies, IncAverage 23 155 +34%
TransDigm Group IncorporatedWeak 35 143 +32%
HEICO CorporationWeak 48 141 +24%
Astronics CorporationWeak 69 137 +18%
GE AerospaceWeak 55 135 +20%
Leonardo DRS Inc. Common StockWeak 28 135 +46%
Elbit Systems LtdWeak 29 131 +14%
Howmet Aerospace IncWeak 35 130 +44%
VSE CorporationWeak 56 128 +28%
Loar Holdings Inc.Weak 47 124 +32%
Norsk Titanium ASWeak 93 106 no target
BWX Technologies, IncWeak 22 96 +42%
The Boeing CompanyWeak 45 95 +29%
FTAI AviationWeak 20 90 +85%
MDA Space Ltd.Weak 22 84 +56%
Axon Enterprise, IncWeak 30 77 +37%
Voyager Technologies, Inc.Weak 48 63 +31%
AeroVironment, IncWeak 7 61 +51%
Space Exploration Technologies Corp. Class A Common StockWeak 41 61 +44%
Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, IncWeak 7 59 +118%
Satellogic Inc. Class A Ordinary SharesWeak 17 47 +91%
Virgin Galactic Holdings, IncWeak 9 44 +14%
Archer Aviation IncWeak 11 40 +81%
DroneShield LimitedWeak 4 37 no target
Rocket Lab USA IncWeak 11 31 +69%
Intuitive Machines Inc. Weak 7 31 +87%
Red Cat Holdings, IncWeak 12 29 +91%
Planet Labs PBCWeak 6 15 +97%

What counts as a defence stock?

The theme covers companies that earn their money from governments rather than consumers. The large US primes — Lockheed Martin, RTX and General Dynamics — are the steadiest, growing slower but from a far larger base. European names reach the US market as depositary receipts: BAE Systems, Airbus and Rolls-Royce. Several are only partly defence — Embraer and Airbus sell mostly civil aircraft, so they do not behave like pure defence names.

What moves defence stocks?

Government budgets, not customer demand. A defence budget is voted on by politicians and can be delayed, cut or brought forward without warning. That is the fundamental difference between this sector and almost every other.

The order book, not the quarter. Contracts run over many years, so a single quarter says little. What the market reacts to is new orders and the size of the total backlog.

The ability to deliver. Several companies have held orders they could not produce fast enough — ammunition and propellant have been bottlenecks. Capacity costs money before it earns any.

Peace talks hit sentiment first. Prices react to negotiation headlines long before an order book actually changes.

Questions and answers

Which defence stocks are the largest?

Lockheed Martin, RTX and General Dynamics are the largest US-listed pure defence names, with BAE Systems, Airbus and Rolls-Royce reaching the market as depositary receipts. The list above ranks them by our model — quality, value and momentum — not by size.

Are defence stocks a good investment?

We cannot predict the market. The model shows which companies stand strongest right now and when a trend turns. But the sector is driven by political decisions rather than consumer demand, so it can change direction faster than most industries.

What happens to defence stocks in a ceasefire?

Prices usually react immediately, even though order books run years ahead and are not changed by a single headline. That difference is worth knowing: a price reaction to news is not the same as a change in earnings.

Why is Embraer on the list?

Embraer builds both commercial and military aircraft, so it belongs to the theme. But civil aviation carries most of the revenue, so the stock does not behave like a pure defence name. The same is true of several companies here — check the individual stock page for what each one actually lives on.

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