Rocket Lab USA (RKLB.US) Price Target 2026/2027: 45% Upside – Rating and Stock Analysis

75.06
Price history for Rocket Lab USA (RKLB.US) – stock price at $75.06, October 2026
Rocket Lab USA stock price – price development 2026. Updated Oct 7, 2026.
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Rocket Lab USA Price Target 2026: Analysts See 46% Upside

The average price target for Rocket Lab USA is $109.37. This price target represents the analysts' view of the stock price over the next 12 months. The stock may be undervalued, because the price target is higher than the current price. The stock is 45.71% below the target, which can point to potential returns within the next 12 months if the analysts' view proves right. Also consider the stock's valuation ratios such as P/E, P/S and P/B, plus the technical analysis further down the page, for the full picture.

Is Rocket Lab USA overvalued or undervalued?

Rocket Lab USA is currently undervalued with a gap of 45.7% relative to the price target.


The current price is $75.06, which places Rocket Lab USA in the undervalued category. The stock is considered undervalued when the price is below $98.43, and overvalued when the price exceeds $120.31.


The fair value range is defined as ±10% of the price target, because price targets are estimates rather than exact values. For Rocket Lab USA, the fair value range lies between $98.43 and $120.31.


See the full price target analysis for Rocket Lab USA →

Analyst Ratings for Rocket Lab USA stock in 2026: Buy

15 analysts cover Rocket Lab USA. The majority is positive, with 66.7% recommending Buy, while 33.3% recommend Hold. The average price target is $109.37, which gives an upside of 45.7% from the current price.

Consensus: Buy (4.13/5)
Strong Buy
7 (46.7%)
Buy
3 (20%)
Hold
5 (33.3%)
Strong Sell Sell Hold Buy Strong Buy
4.13 out of 5 based on 15 analysts

About Rocket Lab USA – Aerospace & Defense

**What the company does and how it makes money**

Rocket Lab Corporation (RKLB.us) builds space equipment and launches satellites into orbit for customers. It earns money in two main ways: by launching satellites for governments and businesses, and by designing and building satellites and satellite parts.

**Main products**

The company's best-known product is a small rocket called Electron, which is used to send small satellites into space. Rocket Lab is also building a bigger rocket called Neutron. This rocket is meant to handle larger missions, and possibly even flights with people on board in the future.

**Markets and customers**

Rocket Lab operates in the United States, Canada and Japan. Its customers include government agencies and commercial companies that need satellites launched or built.

**Other details**

Besides launching rockets, Rocket Lab makes satellite components and complete satellite systems. It also offers satellite management services, meaning it helps control and operate satellites once they are already in space. The company was founded in 2006.
Read more about the company

Key Figures for Rocket Lab USA

$44.6B Market cap
$769M Revenue
Aerospace & Defense Industry
- P/E
57.93 P/S
12.87 P/B
United States Listed on exchange

What kind of stock is Rocket Lab USA?

Speculative stock

Rocket Lab USA is classified as a speculative stock.

Score Overview for Rocket Lab USA

💰 Value Score 5/100 (Very Low)
⭐ Quality Score 15/100 (Very Low)
🚀 Momentum Score 18/100 (Very Low)
📊 Total Score 12/100

⚠️ 4 red flags identified 1 critical

Our analysis has identified 4 potential risk factors in Rocket Lab USA that investors should be aware of.

⚠️ High debt: The debt-to-equity ratio is 210% – the company carries considerably more debt than equity, which raises the financial risk.
⚠️ Weak financial health: The Piotroski score is only 3/9 – the company shows signs of weakened profitability, liquidity or capital structure.
🚨 Negative profit margin: The profit margin is -21.5% – the company is losing money on its operations.
⚠️ Negative return on equity: ROE is -7.9% – the company is generating a negative return for shareholders.

📈 Valuation

The P/S ratio is 57.9 (high — the market pays a premium for the revenue). The P/B ratio is 12.9.

🏦 Financial Health

The Piotroski score is 3 out of 9 — weak financial health, be careful. Altman Z2 is 7.83 (healthy balance sheet — low risk). The debt-to-equity ratio (D/E) is 209.7% — high debt, which raises the risk.

🚀 Momentum & Short Interest

Short interest is 7.31% — elevated, some investors are betting on a decline.

Insider Trading in Rocket Lab USA 2026: The Signal Is negative

In 2026, insiders at Rocket Lab USA have made 20 transactions, all of which were sales. On a net basis, insiders took $131,369,933 out of the stock. Active insiders include Spice Adam C., Klein Frank, Kampani Arjun and others. In the short term (last 3 months), the insider signal is negative.

Short-Term Signal (3 months): Negative

Insiders have exclusively sold shares over the last 3 months.

Over the last 3 months: 0 purchases and 9 sales. A net $25,420,853 out of the stock.

Long-Term Signal (all transactions): Negative

Insiders have exclusively sold shares in the recent period. This can suggest management sees limited opportunity.

Across the last 20 transactions: 0 purchases and 20 sales. A net $131,369,933 out of the stock.

Latest sale: Spice Adam C. sold 140,157 shares at $71.79 each on 2026-10-01.

Who is selling: Spice Adam C., Klein Frank, Kampani Arjun, Ricupati Agostino, Clevenger Marvin Bradford and others.

Latest Insider Trades in Rocket Lab USA (2026)

The table shows the last 20 reported insider transactions in Rocket Lab USA. Green rows are purchases, red rows are sales. The data is based on official filings.

Transaction date Name Type Number of shares Price per share ($) Total amount ($)
2026-10-01 Spice Adam C. Sell 140,157 72 10,061,871
2026-09-02 Spice Adam C. Sell 140,157 63 8,825,686
2026-08-27 Klein Frank Sell 15,300 68 1,033,362
2026-08-27 Kampani Arjun Sell 4,600 67 308,936
2026-08-24 Spice Adam C. Sell 8,952 71 637,114
2026-08-24 Ricupati Agostino Sell 619 71 44,054
2026-08-24 Klein Frank Sell 42,270 71 3,008,356
2026-08-24 Kampani Arjun Sell 7,173 71 510,502
2026-08-24 Clevenger Marvin Bradford Sell 13,924 71 990,971
2026-07-08 Beck Peter Sell 265,958 86 22,904,303

Who is buying and selling Rocket Lab USA shares in 2026?

The following insiders have sold shares: Spice Adam C., Klein Frank, Kampani Arjun, Ricupati Agostino, Clevenger Marvin Bradford and others. In total, $131,369,933 was sold across 20 transactions. Insider trades are legal transactions in which executives and board members buy or sell shares of their own company. These transactions are reported to the SEC and are publicly available.

Rocket Lab USA Short Selling 2026: 7.3% Sold Short

High short interest: 7.3% of the free float
Short % of free float
7.3%
Assessment
High short interest
Short squeeze risk
Moderate
Data source
EODHD
Reported about twice a month

Short interest over time: Rocket Lab USA

0.0%4.6%9.2%
Peak 8.0% · 7/26
5/307/3110/2
7.3% today (high)Peaked at 8.0% on Jul 26, 2026Last 30 days: −0.2 percentage pointsMeasured over 125 days
What does the trend tell you?
Short interest in Rocket Lab USA has been fairly stable at 7.3% over the period. Neither many new short sellers have arrived nor many positions been closed.

What matters is when the curve starts to move. This is how shorting works: whoever shorts has borrowed the share and sold it, and to close the position again they must buy the share back. When short interest falls, shares are being bought back. So it is worth watching the trend, not just today's number.
The stock has a high share of short selling. Between 5-10% of the freely traded shares are sold short, which suggests some investors are betting on falling prices. Positive surprises can lead to a moderate short squeeze.

What does this mean for you as an investor?
A short interest of 7.3% means that 7.3% of the freely traded shares in Rocket Lab USA have been borrowed and sold by investors betting on falling prices.

The next potential catalyst is the earnings report on Nov 9, 2026. With a short interest of 7.3%, the report can trigger considerable volatility.

Short interest comes from our data provider EODHD. The figure is reported about twice a month; we check it every trading day.
Short Interest Scale
0% 2% 5% 10% 20%+
Low Moderate High Very High Extreme
▲
7.3%

When Does Rocket Lab USA Report Earnings – Next Date: Nov 9, 2026

The next earnings report from Rocket Lab USA is scheduled for November 9, 2026, after the market closes. This report covers the third quarter (Q3), which ended on September 30, 2026.



Technical Analysis of Rocket Lab USA 2026 – Signal: Hold

Overall Technical Signal: Hold

Based on trend analysis (SMA50/SMA200) and MACD trend (positive/negative on a daily + weekly basis). Updated October 7, 2026.

Technical analysis of Rocket Lab USA (RKLB.US) – RSI 60, MACD positive (bullish), daily candlestick chart October 2026
Rocket Lab USA technical analysis – candlestick chart with RSI, MACD and volume profile. Updated Oct 7, 2026.

Trend Analysis of Rocket Lab USA Inc

Rocket Lab USA Inc is in a short-term uptrend. The price of $75.06 is 9.3% above the 20-day average ($68.70). Medium term, the picture is positive: the price is 7.1% above the 50-day average ($70.11). Long term, the stock is 8.0% below the 200-day average ($81.61), which signals a long-term downtrend.

Death Cross: The 50-day average (70.11) is below the 200-day average (81.61), which is a classic bearish signal for Rocket Lab USA Inc.

Is Rocket Lab USA Inc overbought or oversold?

Rocket Lab USA Inc has an RSI of 59.8. The stock shows positive momentum in the upper part of the neutral zone.

MACD Analysis for Rocket Lab USA Inc

Daily MACD: MACD is positive (1.173), which means the short-term trend is bullish (the 12-day EMA is above the 26-day EMA). MACD is above the signal line (0.303) by 0.870, which confirms rising momentum in the uptrend.

Weekly MACD: MACD5 is negative (-3.554), which indicates a broader bearish long-term trend. MACD5 is below the signal line (-1.175) by 2.379, which confirms continued negative long-term momentum.

Overall MACD assessment: The daily and weekly MACD give conflicting signals. The short-term trend is bullish, but the long-term trend is still bearish. Wait until the weekly MACD also crosses the zero line before acting.

Risk Profile for Rocket Lab USA Inc

Rocket Lab USA Inc has an annual standard deviation of 93.4%, which classifies the stock as Extremely speculative. Only risk-tolerant investors should consider this stock, because the price swings can be very large.

Overall Technical Conclusion for Rocket Lab USA Inc

Trend: Neutral/mixed.

MACD trend (zero line): Daily bullish (1.173). Weekly bearish (-3.554).

MACD momentum (signal): Daily rising. Weekly falling.

RSI: 59.8 – neutral.

Technical signal: Hold

The signals are mixed – trend and MACD point in different directions. Wait until MACD crosses the zero line in the direction of the trend before acting.

Frequently Asked Questions About Rocket Lab USA stock in 2026

Should you buy Rocket Lab USA stock now?
The technical signal for Rocket Lab USA is currently Hold. Rocket Lab USA trades at $75.06 as of Oct 7, 2026. The technical analysis shows the following: MACD is positive (bullish trend) at 1.173 with rising momentum (signal: 0.303); RSI is at 59.8 (neutral zone); the stock is in a short-term uptrend (price above the 20-day average); the analyst price target of $109.37 points to 45.7% upside. This is a technical observation based on current data, not investment advice.
What is the price target for Rocket Lab USA stock?
The average analyst price target for Rocket Lab USA is $109.37. The current price is $75.06, which gives an upside of 45.7%. Based on this, the stock is considered undervalued. The fair value range (±10% of the price target) is between $98.43 and $120.31.
Is Rocket Lab USA a dividend stock?
No, Rocket Lab USA does not currently pay a dividend to shareholders. The company reinvests its profits in growth instead of paying dividends.
What is the risk of Rocket Lab USA stock?
Rocket Lab USA is rated as a stock in the risk category Extremely speculative. the annual standard deviation is 93.4%, which classifies the stock as Extremely speculative.
Is Rocket Lab USA overvalued?
No, Rocket Lab USA is considered undervalued based on the analyst price target (45.7% upside). Rocket Lab USA has the following valuation ratios: a P/S ratio of 57.9, a P/B ratio of 12.9. The analyst price target suggests that the stock is undervalued by 45.7%.
Is Rocket Lab USA overbought?
No, Rocket Lab USA is not overbought. RSI is at 59.8 (neutral zone). The technical indicators show: RSI is at 59.8 (neutral zone between 30-70), which signals neither overbought nor oversold. In addition, the price is 9.3% above the 20-day average (short-term uptrend). In addition, MACD is positive with rising momentum (bullish).
When is the next Rocket Lab USA earnings report?
Rocket Lab USA reports its next earnings on November 9, 2026. The stock currently trades at $75.06.
Is Rocket Lab USA shorted?
Yes, Rocket Lab USA is shorted with 7.3% of the free float sold short. This is a high level of short selling, which suggests some investors are betting on falling prices. Positive surprises can lead to a moderate short squeeze. The figure comes from our data provider EODHD, is reported about twice a month, and we check it every trading day.
Are insiders buying Rocket Lab USA stock?
No, insiders are not buying Rocket Lab USA shares – they are net sellers. Over the last 3 months, insiders have made 0 purchases and 9 sales. On a net basis, 25,420,853 $ worth of shares were sold. Across the last 20 reported transactions, the split is 0 purchases and 20 sales, with a net 131,369,933 $ sold. Active sellers include Spice Adam C., Klein Frank, Kampani Arjun and others. Insider selling can have several explanations (e.g. planned 10b5-1 sales, portfolio diversification or taxes), but sustained selling by several insiders is worth watching closely.
Is Rocket Lab USA a good stock?
Based on our total score, Rocket Lab USA is rated as a disastrous stock with a total score of 12 out of 100. The stock scores very low on value, quality and momentum – it is among the worst in our database. The score is made up of Value: 5/100, Quality: 15/100, Momentum: 18/100. In addition: analysts see 45.7% upside to the price target; technical signal: Hold. Whether Rocket Lab USA is a good investment depends on your time horizon, risk profile and portfolio. This is a data-driven observation, not investment advice.
What is the outlook for Rocket Lab USA stock?
The outlook for Rocket Lab USA based on current data: the average analyst price target is $109.37 (+45.7%); the next earnings report is due on Nov 9, 2026, which can move the price. Keep in mind that stock prices are affected by many factors, including earnings reports, the economy and market sentiment. Past returns are no guarantee of future returns.
Why is Rocket Lab USA stock rising?
Rocket Lab USA is rising right now. The technical indicators show: the price is 9.3% above the 20-day average; MACD is positive with rising momentum (bullish signal); short interest is 7.3% (high – many are betting on a decline); insiders have mostly been selling the stock recently. For the latest context, see our technical analysis and insider section above.
How high can Rocket Lab USA go?
The average analyst price target for Rocket Lab USA is $109.37, which corresponds to a potential gain of 45.7% from the current price of $75.06. The stock has traded between $37.57 and $151.00 over the last 52 weeks. The price is 50.3% below the 52-week high, which can indicate potential if the underlying fundamentals are intact. Keep in mind that price targets are estimates, not guarantees. Actual price moves depend on earnings, market conditions and unexpected events.
How low can Rocket Lab USA fall?
The stock has traded as low as $37.57 over the last 52 weeks — that is 49.9% below the current price of $75.06. The biggest decline (drawdown) in the same period was 75.1% from high to low. Within a year, the price typically swings about ±93.4% (standard deviation — a measure of price swings). A difficult year could therefore mean a further decline of that size. Remember: past price swings are no guarantee for the future — a stock can fall further than the last 52 weeks suggest, especially on profit warnings, sector crises or a market crash. Use stop-loss orders and spread your portfolio to limit losses in single stocks.
What does Rocket Lab USA do?
**What the company does and how it makes money** Rocket Lab Corporation (RKLB.us) builds space equipment and launches satellites into orbit for customers. It earns money in two main ways: by launching satellites for governments and businesses, and by designing and building sa... The company belongs to the Industrials sector, more specifically the Aerospace & Defense industry, is headquartered in United States, and is traded on the USA Stocks. See the key figures, earnings history and price development above to evaluate Rocket Lab USA as an investment.
Did Rocket Lab USA raise or lower its guidance?
Over the last 60 days we have not registered a guidance raise or cut from Rocket Lab USA. The company can still adjust its guidance at quarterly reports or between reports — see the earnings history above.
Is Rocket Lab USA making money or losing money?
No, Rocket Lab USA is currently not making money — the company is losing money with a negative profit margin of -21.5%, a substantial loss. That means the business loses money on every dollar of revenue. For growth stocks investing in expansion this is normal — but it raises the risk if the company does not reach break-even before its capital runs out.
Can Rocket Lab USA go bankrupt?
The bankruptcy risk of Rocket Lab USA is rated as low. Altman Z2 (a model for assessing financial distress) is 7.83 — that places the company in the healthy zone. The company has a healthy balance sheet with limited debt relative to earnings and assets. The Piotroski score (financial health 0-9, higher is better) is 3 — which is weak. Debt relative to equity is 210% (high). Remember: models like Altman Z2 are statistical — unexpected shocks (fraud, a sector collapse, lawsuits) can always happen. Spread your portfolio.
Does Rocket Lab USA have a lot of debt?
Yes, Rocket Lab USA has elevated debt relative to equity. The debt-to-equity ratio (D/E — interest-bearing debt to equity) is 210%. For the industrials sector, anything above 200% counts as elevated — that raises the financial risk, especially if interest rates rise or earnings fall. Industrial companies often sit at 100-200% because of heavy production assets and long order books. Note: D/E levels are highly sector-specific — a bank at 300% debt is normal, a tech stock at 300% is extremely leveraged. Always compare with similar companies in the same sector.

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