Red Cat (RCAT.US) Stock Rating 2026/2027: Strong Buy – Stock Analysis

4.92
-5.16%
Price history for Red Cat (RCAT.US) – stock price at $4.92, October 2026
Red Cat stock price – price development 2026. Updated Oct 14, 2026.
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No analysts currently cover Red Cat with a public price target. We add the price target automatically as soon as at least one analyst publishes a rating. Until then, use the technical analysis and the key figures below.

Analyst Ratings for Red Cat stock in 2026: Strong Buy

8 analysts cover Red Cat. There is broad agreement on a positive view — 87.5% recommend buying.

Consensus: Strong Buy (4.63/5)
Strong Buy
6 (75%)
Buy
1 (12.5%)
Hold
1 (12.5%)
Strong Sell Sell Hold Buy Strong Buy
4.63 out of 5 based on 8 analysts

About Red Cat – Aerospace & Defense

Red Cat Holdings, Inc. makes equipment and solutions for the drone industry, mainly in the United States. The company earns money by combining hardware (physical equipment) and software (computer programs) into complete systems, which it sells for military, government and business use.

Red Cat Holdings develops advanced systems. These include drones for short- and medium-range reconnaissance, meaning they gather information and take pictures over an area, and unmanned surface vessels, which are boats that operate without a person on board. Among its products is the ARACHNID family, a line of surveillance drones and precision attack systems. The company also makes Black Widow, a portable drone built for electronic warfare, which means it can disrupt or interfere with enemy communications and equipment.

Red Cat Holdings is based in San Juan, Puerto Rico. It supplies its technology to both government and business customers.
Read more about the company

Key Figures for Red Cat

$881M Market cap
$71.5M Revenue
Aerospace & Defense Industry
- P/E
12.32 P/S
2.25 P/B
United States Listed on exchange
redcat.red Website

What kind of stock is Red Cat?

Speculative stock

Red Cat is classified as a speculative stock.

Score Overview for Red Cat

💰 Value Score 19/100 (Very Low)
⭐ Quality Score 2/100 (Very Low)
🚀 Momentum Score 4/100 (Very Low)
📊 Total Score 8/100

⚠️ 4 red flags identified 3 critical

Our analysis has identified 4 potential risk factors in Red Cat that investors should be aware of.

⚠️ Weak financial health: The Piotroski score is only 3/9 – the company shows signs of weakened profitability, liquidity or capital structure.
🚨 Negative profit margin: The profit margin is -136.3% – the company is losing money on its operations.
🚨 Negative return on equity: ROE is -34.4% – the company is generating a negative return for shareholders.
🚨 High short interest: 25.8% of the shares are sold short – many professional investors are betting on price declines.

📈 Valuation

The P/S ratio is 12.3 (high — the market pays a premium for the revenue). The P/B ratio is 2.2.

🏦 Financial Health

The Piotroski score is 3 out of 9 — weak financial health, be careful. Altman Z2 is 10.82 (healthy balance sheet — low risk). The debt-to-equity ratio (D/E) is 10.9% — low debt, a solid balance sheet.

🚀 Momentum & Short Interest

Short interest is 25.75% — very high, the market is skeptical.

Insider Trading in Red Cat 2026: The Signal Is negative

In 2026, insiders at Red Cat have made 20 transactions, all of which were sales. On a net basis, insiders took $13,630,192 out of the stock. Active insiders include Thompson Jeffrey M, Liuzza Nicholas Reyland JR, Moe Christopher R. and others. In the short term (last 3 months), the insider signal is negative.

Short-Term Signal (3 months): Negative

Insiders have exclusively sold shares over the last 3 months.

Over the last 3 months: 0 purchases and 5 sales. A net $8,719,850 out of the stock.

Long-Term Signal (all transactions): Negative

Insiders have exclusively sold shares in the recent period. This can suggest management sees limited opportunity.

Across the last 20 transactions: 0 purchases and 20 sales. A net $13,630,192 out of the stock.

Latest sale: Thompson Jeffrey M sold 750,000 shares at $7.74 each on 2026-09-15.

Who is selling: Thompson Jeffrey M, Liuzza Nicholas Reyland JR, Moe Christopher R., Funk Paul II, Christopher R Moe.

Latest Insider Trades in Red Cat (2026)

The table shows the last 20 reported insider transactions in Red Cat. Green rows are purchases, red rows are sales. The data is based on official filings.

Transaction date Name Type Number of shares Price per share ($) Total amount ($)
2026-09-15 Thompson Jeffrey M Sell 750,000 8 5,805,000
2026-08-28 Liuzza Nicholas Reyland JR Sell 65,000 9 552,500
2026-08-17 Thompson Jeffrey M Sell 150,000 10 1,567,500
2026-08-11 Moe Christopher R. Sell 20,000 11 210,200
2026-08-11 Liuzza Nicholas Reyland JR Sell 55,000 11 584,650
2026-07-15 Thompson Jeffrey M Sell 150,000 9 1,276,500
2026-06-11 Funk Paul II Sell 165,028 12 1,897,822
2025-09-29 Moe Christopher R. Sell 10,000 11 109,100
2025-09-29 Christopher R Moe Sell 10,000 11 109,100
2025-09-12 Moe Christopher R. Sell 10,000 11 109,600

Who is buying and selling Red Cat shares in 2026?

The following insiders have sold shares: Thompson Jeffrey M, Liuzza Nicholas Reyland JR, Moe Christopher R., Funk Paul II, Christopher R Moe. In total, $13,630,192 was sold across 20 transactions. Insider trades are legal transactions in which executives and board members buy or sell shares of their own company. These transactions are reported to the SEC and are publicly available.

Red Cat Short Selling 2026: 25.8% Sold Short

Extremely shorted: 25.8% of the free float
Short % of free float
25.8%
Assessment
Extremely shorted
Short squeeze risk
Very High
Data source
EODHD
Reported about twice a month

Short interest over time: Red Cat

0.0%15.3%30.7%
Peak 26.7% · 9/29
5/308/610/13
25.8% today (extremely high)Peaked at 26.7% on Sep 29, 2026Last 30 days: +2.7 percentage pointsMeasured over 136 days
What does the trend tell you?
Short interest is rising. It is up 2.7 percentage points over the last month and now stands at 25.8%. More investors have borrowed Red Cat and sold it, expecting the price to fall.

It cuts both ways: if they are wrong and the price rises, they have to buy the share back — and those purchases can push the price up further on their own. That is called a short squeeze. That is not in itself a signal about what the price will do — we cannot predict the market, and short interest is only one number among many. But it does say something about what the large players are doing.
The stock has an extremely high share of short selling. More than 20% of the freely traded shares are sold short, which is unusual and can point to great skepticism among institutional investors. The risk of a short squeeze on positive news is considerable.

What does this mean for you as an investor?
A short interest of 25.8% means that 25.8% of the freely traded shares in Red Cat have been borrowed and sold by investors betting on falling prices. On positive surprises (e.g. a strong earnings report), short sellers can be forced to buy back shares quickly to close their positions, which can cause a short squeeze with sharp price gains in a short time.

The next potential catalyst is the earnings report on Nov 12, 2026. With a short interest of 25.8%, the report can trigger considerable volatility.

Short interest comes from our data provider EODHD. The figure is reported about twice a month; we check it every trading day.
Short Interest Scale
0% 2% 5% 10% 20%+
Low Moderate High Very High Extreme
▲
25.8%

When Does Red Cat Report Earnings – Next Date: Nov 12, 2026

The next earnings report from Red Cat is scheduled for November 12, 2026. This report covers the fourth quarter (Q4), which ended on October 31, 2026.



Technical Analysis of Red Cat 2026 – Signal: Strong Sell

Overall Technical Signal: Strong Sell

Based on trend analysis (SMA50/SMA200) and MACD trend (positive/negative on a daily + weekly basis). Updated October 14, 2026.

Technical analysis of Red Cat (RCAT.US) – RSI 20, MACD negative (bearish), daily candlestick chart October 2026
Red Cat technical analysis – candlestick chart with RSI, MACD and volume profile. Updated Oct 14, 2026.

Trend Analysis of Red Cat Holdings, Inc

Red Cat Holdings, Inc is in a short-term downtrend. The price of $5.19 is 19.0% below the 20-day average ($6.41). Medium term, the picture is negative: the price is 35.3% below the 50-day average ($8.02). Long term, the stock is 52.3% below the 200-day average ($10.87), which signals a long-term downtrend.

Death Cross: The 50-day average (8.02) is below the 200-day average (10.87), which is a classic bearish signal for Red Cat Holdings, Inc.

Is Red Cat Holdings, Inc overbought or oversold?

Red Cat Holdings, Inc has an RSI of 20.4, which places the stock in oversold territory (below 30). WARNING: Oversold in a downtrend is NOT a buy signal. When the trend is negative, RSI can stay oversold for a long time while the price keeps falling. Wait for a trend reversal before buying.

MACD Analysis for Red Cat Holdings, Inc

Daily MACD: MACD is negative (-0.670), which means the short-term trend is bearish (the 12-day EMA is below the 26-day EMA). MACD is below the signal line (-0.615) by 0.055, which confirms growing negative momentum in the downtrend.

Weekly MACD: MACD5 is negative (-1.243), which indicates a broader bearish long-term trend. MACD5 is below the signal line (-0.875) by 0.368, which confirms continued negative long-term momentum.

Overall MACD assessment: Both the daily and weekly MACD are negative and below their signal lines. Trend and momentum are negative across time horizons – the strongest bearish signal.

Risk Profile for Red Cat Holdings, Inc

Red Cat Holdings, Inc has an annual standard deviation of 106.6%, which classifies the stock as Extremely speculative. Only risk-tolerant investors should consider this stock, because the price swings can be very large.

Overall Technical Conclusion for Red Cat Holdings, Inc

Trend: Negative. The price trades below SMA50 and SMA200.

MACD trend (zero line): Daily bearish (-0.670). Weekly bearish (-1.243).

MACD momentum (signal): Daily falling. Weekly falling.

RSI: 20.4 – oversold.

Technical signal: Strong Sell

The price is in a downtrend (below SMA50/SMA200) and MACD is negative on both a daily and weekly basis. Avoid buying and consider closing existing positions.

Frequently Asked Questions About Red Cat stock in 2026

Should you buy Red Cat stock now?
No, the technical signal for Red Cat is currently Strong Sell. Red Cat trades at $4.92 as of Oct 14, 2026. The technical analysis shows the following: MACD is negative (bearish trend) at -0.670 with falling momentum (signal: -0.615); RSI is at 20.4 (oversold), which could point to a potential buying opportunity; the stock is in a short-term downtrend (price below the 20-day average). The stock is in a broader downtrend (below SMA50/SMA200). Buying in a downtrend is generally not recommended. This is a technical observation based on current data, not investment advice.
What is the price target for Red Cat stock?
There is currently no active analyst price target for Red Cat.
Is Red Cat a dividend stock?
No, Red Cat does not currently pay a dividend to shareholders. The company reinvests its profits in growth instead of paying dividends.
What is the risk of Red Cat stock?
Red Cat is rated as a stock in the risk category Extremely speculative. the annual standard deviation is 106.6%, which classifies the stock as Extremely speculative. In addition, an RSI of 20.4 signals oversold (potential bottom).
Is Red Cat overvalued?
Red Cat has the following valuation ratios: a P/S ratio of 12.3, a P/B ratio of 2.2.
Is Red Cat overbought?
No, Red Cat is actually oversold with an RSI of 20.4 (below 30). The technical indicators show: RSI is at 20.4 (below the 30 mark), which actually signals the price is oversold – the opposite of overbought. In addition, the price is 23.2% below the 20-day average (short-term downtrend). In addition, MACD is negative with falling momentum (bearish). IMPORTANT: The stock is oversold in a downtrend. A low RSI in a downtrend is NOT a buy signal – the price can keep falling. Wait for a trend reversal before buying.
When is the next Red Cat earnings report?
Red Cat reports its next earnings on November 12, 2026. The stock currently trades at $4.92. The RSI is at 20.4, so the report can reinforce the current technical trend.
Is Red Cat shorted?
Yes, Red Cat is shorted with 25.8% of the free float sold short. This is an extremely high level of short selling, which points to great skepticism among institutional investors. The risk of a short squeeze on positive news or earnings is very high. The figure comes from our data provider EODHD, is reported about twice a month, and we check it every trading day.
Are insiders buying Red Cat stock?
No, insiders are not buying Red Cat shares – they are net sellers. Over the last 3 months, insiders have made 0 purchases and 5 sales. On a net basis, 8,719,850 $ worth of shares were sold. Across the last 20 reported transactions, the split is 0 purchases and 20 sales, with a net 13,630,192 $ sold. Active sellers include Thompson Jeffrey M, Liuzza Nicholas Reyland JR, Moe Christopher R. and others. Insider selling can have several explanations (e.g. planned 10b5-1 sales, portfolio diversification or taxes), but sustained selling by several insiders is worth watching closely.
Is Red Cat a good stock?
Based on our total score, Red Cat is rated as a disastrous stock with a total score of 8 out of 100. The stock scores very low on value, quality and momentum – it is among the worst in our database. The score is made up of Value: 19/100, Quality: 2/100, Momentum: 4/100. Whether now is the time to buy is a separate question: the technical signal is Strong Sell. Whether Red Cat is a good investment depends on your time horizon, risk profile and portfolio. This is a data-driven observation, not investment advice.
What is the outlook for Red Cat stock?
The outlook for Red Cat based on current data: the stock is in a downtrend (below SMA50 and SMA200); the next earnings report is due on Nov 12, 2026, which can move the price. Keep in mind that stock prices are affected by many factors, including earnings reports, the economy and market sentiment. Past returns are no guarantee of future returns.
Why is Red Cat stock falling?
Red Cat is falling right now. The technical indicators show: the price is 23.2% below the 20-day average; MACD is negative with falling momentum (bearish signal); short interest is 25.8% (high – many are betting on a decline); insiders have mostly been selling the stock recently. For the latest context, see our technical analysis and insider section above.
How high can Red Cat go?
There is currently no active analyst price target for Red Cat. The stock has traded between $5.38 and $18.78 over the last 52 weeks. The price is 73.8% below the 52-week high, which can indicate potential if the underlying fundamentals are intact. Keep in mind that price targets are estimates, not guarantees. Actual price moves depend on earnings, market conditions and unexpected events.
How low can Red Cat fall?
The stock has traded as low as $5.38 over the last 52 weeks — that is 9.4% below the current price of $4.92. The biggest decline (drawdown) in the same period was 71.4% from high to low. Within a year, the price typically swings about ±106.6% (standard deviation — a measure of price swings). A difficult year could therefore mean a further decline of that size. Remember: past price swings are no guarantee for the future — a stock can fall further than the last 52 weeks suggest, especially on profit warnings, sector crises or a market crash. Use stop-loss orders and spread your portfolio to limit losses in single stocks.
What does Red Cat do?
Red Cat Holdings, Inc. makes equipment and solutions for the drone industry, mainly in the United States. The company earns money by combining hardware (physical equipment) and software (computer programs) into complete systems, which it sells for military, government and busi... The company belongs to the Industrials sector, more specifically the Aerospace & Defense industry, is headquartered in United States, and is traded on the USA Stocks. See the key figures, earnings history and price development above to evaluate Red Cat as an investment.
Did Red Cat raise or lower its guidance?
Over the last 60 days we have not registered a guidance raise or cut from Red Cat. The company can still adjust its guidance at quarterly reports or between reports — see the earnings history above.
Is Red Cat making money or losing money?
No, Red Cat is currently not making money — the company is losing money with a negative profit margin of -136.3%, a substantial loss. That means the business loses money on every dollar of revenue. For growth stocks investing in expansion this is normal — but it raises the risk if the company does not reach break-even before its capital runs out.
Can Red Cat go bankrupt?
The bankruptcy risk of Red Cat is rated as low. Altman Z2 (a model for assessing financial distress) is 10.82 — that places the company in the healthy zone. The company has a healthy balance sheet with limited debt relative to earnings and assets. The Piotroski score (financial health 0-9, higher is better) is 3 — which is weak. Debt relative to equity is 11% (low). Remember: models like Altman Z2 are statistical — unexpected shocks (fraud, a sector collapse, lawsuits) can always happen. Spread your portfolio.
Does Red Cat have a lot of debt?
No, Red Cat has low debt relative to equity. The debt-to-equity ratio (D/E — interest-bearing debt to equity) is 11%. For the industrials sector, anything below 100% counts as low debt. Industrial companies often sit at 100-200% because of heavy production assets and long order books. Note: D/E levels are highly sector-specific — a bank at 300% debt is normal, a tech stock at 300% is extremely leveraged. Always compare with similar companies in the same sector.

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