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BAE Systems (BAESY.US) Price Target and Rating 2026/2027

118,66
2,03%
Analysis framework by , founder of TradeDesk · Data: EODHD, official filings (SEC) · Updated
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BAE Systems Price Target 2026: Analysts See 15% Upside

The average price target for BAE Systems is $136.40. This price target represents the analysts' view of the stock price over the next 12 months. The stock may be undervalued, because the price target is higher than the current price. The stock is 14,95% below the target, which can point to potential returns within the next 12 months if the analysts' view proves right. Also consider the stock's valuation ratios such as P/E, P/S and P/B, plus the technical analysis further down the page, for the full picture.

Is BAE Systems overvalued or undervalued?

BAE Systems is currently undervalued with a gap of 15% relative to the price target.


The current price is $118.66, which places BAE Systems in the undervalued category. The stock is considered undervalued when the price is below $122.76, and overvalued when the price exceeds $150.04.


The fair value range is defined as ±10% of the price target, because price targets are estimates rather than exact values. For BAE Systems, the fair value range lies between $122.76 and $150.04.


See the full price target analysis for BAE Systems →

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About BAE Systems – Forsvar

BAE Systems laver forsvars- og sikkerhedsløsninger globalt. De tjener primært penge på at udvikle og sælge avanceret elektronik og systemer til militæret. BAE Systems er delt op i fem områder, hvoraf Electronic Systems er et af de største. Her producerer de for eksempel elektronisk krigsførelse, navigationssystemer og sensorer. Desuden driver BAE Systems en stor Cyber & Intelligence-afdeling, som hjælper med at sikre fly, radarsystemer og kritisk infrastruktur mod trusler. De leverer også komplette platforms- og serviceløsninger, primært i USA. Virksomheden blev grundlagt i 1999 og opererer i over 40 lande. Read more about the company

Key Figures for BAE Systems

$ 86,8B Market cap
$ 29,4B Revenue
Forsvar Industry
30.75 P/E
2.95 P/S
5.03 P/B
USA Listed on exchange
baesystems.com Website
Industri Sector

What kind of stock is BAE Systems?

Quality stock Momentum stock

BAE Systems is classified as a quality stock and momentum stock. This means the stock combines several attractive traits, strong financial health (Piotroski 8/9), and strong price momentum.

Score Overview for BAE Systems

💰 Value Score 42/100 (Neutral)
⭐ Quality Score 71/100 (High)
🚀 Momentum Score 78/100 (High)
📊 Total Score 63/100

⚠️ 1 red flag identified

Our analysis has identified 1 potential risk factor in BAE Systems that investors should be aware of.

⚠️ High debt: The debt-to-equity ratio is 227% – the company carries considerably more debt than equity, which raises the financial risk.

📈 Valuation

BAE Systems trades at a P/E ratio of 30.8, which is above the market average. The forward P/E is 25.0 (19% lower), which suggests the market expects rising earnings. The P/S ratio is 3.0. The P/B ratio is 5.0. The PEG ratio is 3.49 — above 2.0 suggests the stock is expensive relative to its growth rate.

💵 Profitability & Growth

BAE Systems has a profit margin of 7.2% (moderate) and an operating margin of 9.7%. Return on equity (ROE) is 18.6% — solid return on equity. Return on assets (ROA) is 4.8%. The latest quarterly earnings grew 5.6% year over year.

🏦 Financial Health

The Piotroski score is 8 out of 9 — excellent financial health. Altman Z2 is 1.87 (middle zone — moderate). The debt-to-equity ratio (D/E) is 227.0% — high debt, which raises the risk.

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BAE Systems Dividend 2026: 1.7% Dividend Yield

Dividend Key Figures for BAE Systems in 2026

Dividend yield
1.67%
Dividend per share
1.22 USD
Payout ratio
52.0%
Healthy
Dividend growth (5 years)
-8.8%
Avg. annual dividend (3 years)
1.58 USD

When does BAE Systems pay a dividend in 2026?

Latest ex-dividend date (traded without the dividend)
April 24, 2026
Next dividend payment
June 11, 2026
Latest payment date
June 11, 2026

How much does BAE Systems pay in dividends?

BAE Systems pays dividends to its shareholders. The most recently paid dividend was 1.22 USD per share, which corresponds to a dividend yield of 1.67%. Over the last 5 years, the annual dividend has fallen by 8.8%.

The payout ratio is 52.0%, which is considered healthy and sustainable. The company balances rewarding shareholders with reinvesting in growth.

Historical Dividend Payments for BAE Systems

We have registered dividend payments for BAE Systems since 2020-04-16. In that period the stock has paid a dividend 14 times, most recently on 2026-04-24. This stock qualifies as a stable dividend stock, because it has paid a dividend at least once a year for the last 5 years. That makes it attractive to investors looking for steady, regular dividend payments.

Ex-datePayment dateAmountCurrencyPeriod
2026-04-242026-06-111.22USDUnknown period
2025-10-242025-12-100.72USDUnknown period
2025-04-222025-06-091.04USDUnknown period
2024-10-252024-12-090.66USDUnknown period
2024-04-182024-06-100.93USDUnknown period
2023-10-192023-12-070.58USDUnknown period
2023-04-202023-06-080.80USDUnknown period
2022-10-202022-12-070.50USDUnknown period
2022-04-212022-06-080.80USDUnknown period
2021-10-212021-12-070.53USDUnknown period
2021-04-222021-06-080.79USDUnknown period
2020-10-222020-12-070.49USDUnknown period
2020-08-072020-09-210.72USDUnknown period
2020-04-16N/A0.72USDUnknown period
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When Does BAE Systems Report Earnings?

The next earnings date for BAE Systems is not yet available. Check the company's investor calendar for more information.



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Technical Analysis of BAE Systems 2026 – Signal: Strong Buy

Overall Technical Signal: Strong Buy

Based on trend analysis (SMA50/SMA200) and MACD trend (positive/negative on a daily + weekly basis). Updated August 6, 2026.

Trend Analysis of BAE Systems plc

BAE Systems plc is in a short-term uptrend. The price of $116.30 is 10.3% above the 20-day average ($105.47). Medium term, the picture is positive: the price is 12.6% above the 50-day average ($103.29). Long term, the stock is 11.5% above the 200-day average ($104.34), which confirms a long-term uptrend.

Death Cross: The 50-day average (103.29) is below the 200-day average (104.34), which is a classic bearish signal for BAE Systems plc.

Is BAE Systems plc overbought or oversold?

BAE Systems plc has an RSI of 71.3, which places the stock in overbought territory (above 70). Even though the stock is overbought, the broader trend is positive. A short-term pullback is possible, but the trend still supports the price.

MACD Analysis for BAE Systems plc

Daily MACD: MACD is positive (3.843), which means the short-term trend is bullish (the 12-day EMA is above the 26-day EMA). MACD is above the signal line (2.270) by 1.573, which confirms rising momentum in the uptrend.

Weekly MACD: MACD5 is positive (0.121), which indicates a broader bullish long-term trend. MACD5 is below the signal line (0.135) by 0.014, which suggests the long-term momentum is fading – the positive trend could come under pressure.

Overall MACD assessment: Both the daily and weekly trend are bullish (MACD positive). However, momentum shows signs of weakening on a weekly basis. Watch whether the trend holds.

Risk Profile for BAE Systems plc

BAE Systems plc has an annual standard deviation of 32.1%, which classifies the stock as moderately low risk. There is some volatility, but the price is relatively stable.

Overall Technical Conclusion for BAE Systems plc

Trend: Positive. The price trades above SMA50 and SMA200.

MACD trend (zero line): Daily bullish (3.843). Weekly bullish (0.121).

MACD momentum (signal): Daily rising. Weekly falling.

RSI: 71.3 – overbought.

Technical signal: Strong Buy

The price is in an uptrend (above SMA50/SMA200) and MACD is positive on both a daily and weekly basis. Trend and MACD trend confirm each other – the strongest technical buy signal.

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Frequently Asked Questions About BAE Systems stock in 2026

Should you buy BAE Systems stock now?
Yes, the technical signal for BAE Systems is currently BUY. BAE Systems trades at $118.66 as of 8/6/2026. The overall technical signal is: Strong Buy. The technical analysis shows the following: MACD is positive (bullish trend) at 3.843 with rising momentum (signal: 2.270); RSI is at 71.3 (overbought), suggesting the price may have risen too quickly; the stock is in a short-term uptrend (price above the 20-day average); the analyst price target of $136.40 points to 15.0% upside. The stock is in a broader uptrend (above SMA50/SMA200). This is a technical observation based on current data, not investment advice.
What is the price target for BAE Systems stock?
The average analyst price target for BAE Systems is $136.40. The current price is $118.66, which gives an upside of 15.0%. Based on this, the stock is considered undervalued. The fair value range (±10% of the price target) is between $122.76 and $150.04.
Is BAE Systems a dividend stock?
Yes, BAE Systems is a dividend stock with a dividend yield of 1.67%. The latest dividend was $1.22 per share. The latest ex-dividend date (traded without the dividend) was 4/24/2026. The payout ratio is 52.0%, which is considered moderate. The next dividend payment is scheduled for 6/11/2026.
When does BAE Systems pay a dividend in 2026?
BAE Systems pays its next dividend on 6/11/2026. The latest dividend was $1.22 per share with an ex-dividend date of 4/24/2026. The dividend yield is 1.67%. The payout ratio of 52.0% points to moderate dividend coverage.
What is the risk of BAE Systems stock?
BAE Systems is rated as a stock with moderately low risk. the annual standard deviation is 32.1%, which classifies the stock as moderately low risk. In addition, an RSI of 71.3 signals overbought (elevated risk of a pullback).
Is BAE Systems overvalued?
No, BAE Systems is considered undervalued based on the analyst price target (15.0% upside). BAE Systems has the following valuation ratios: a P/E ratio of 30.8 (highly valued), a P/S ratio of 3.0, a P/B ratio of 5.0. The analyst price target suggests that the stock is undervalued by 15.0%.
Is BAE Systems overbought?
Yes, BAE Systems is overbought with an RSI of 71.3 (above 70). The technical indicators show: RSI is at 71.3 (above the 70 mark), which signals the price is overbought and may have risen too quickly. In addition, the price is 12.5% above the 20-day average (short-term uptrend). In addition, MACD is positive with rising momentum (bullish).
When is the next BAE Systems earnings report?
The date of the next earnings report for BAE Systems has not been published yet. Check the company's investor calendar for updates.
Is BAE Systems shorted?
There is currently no registered short interest for BAE Systems, or the data is not available.
Are insiders buying BAE Systems stock?
There is currently no registered insider trading for BAE Systems.
Is BAE Systems a good stock?
Based on our total score, BAE Systems is rated as a good stock with a total score of 64 out of 100. The stock scores above average on value, quality and momentum – it is among the top 36% in our database. The score is made up of Value: 42/100, Quality: 71/100, Momentum: 78/100. In addition: analysts see 15.0% upside to the price target; a dividend of 1.67%; technical signal: Strong Buy. Whether BAE Systems is a good investment depends on your time horizon, risk profile and portfolio. This is a data-driven observation, not investment advice.
What is the outlook for BAE Systems stock?
The outlook for BAE Systems based on current data: the average analyst price target is $136.40 (+15.0%); the stock is in an uptrend (above SMA50 and SMA200); the P/E ratio is 30.8 (high – the market expects growth). Keep in mind that stock prices are affected by many factors, including earnings reports, the economy and market sentiment. Past returns are no guarantee of future returns.
Why is BAE Systems stock rising?
BAE Systems is rising right now. The technical indicators show: the price is 12.5% above the 20-day average; MACD is positive with rising momentum (bullish signal). For the latest context, see our technical analysis, insider section and news overview above.
How high can BAE Systems go?
The average analyst price target for BAE Systems is $136.40, which corresponds to a potential gain of 15.0% from the current price of $118.66. Keep in mind that price targets are estimates, not guarantees. Actual price moves depend on earnings, market conditions and unexpected events.
How low can BAE Systems fall?
We lack enough history to give a specific floor for BAE Systems. Remember: past price swings are no guarantee for the future — a stock can fall further than the last 52 weeks suggest, especially on profit warnings, sector crises or a market crash. Use stop-loss orders and spread your portfolio to limit losses in single stocks.
What does BAE Systems do?
BAE Systems laver forsvars- og sikkerhedsløsninger globalt. De tjener primært penge på at udvikle og sælge avanceret elektronik og systemer til militæret. BAE Systems er delt op i fem områder, hvoraf Electronic Systems er et af de største. Her producerer de for eksempel elekt... The company belongs to the Industri sector, more specifically the Forsvar industry, is headquartered in USA, and is traded on the USA Stocks. See the key figures, earnings history and price development above to evaluate BAE Systems as an investment.
Did BAE Systems raise or lower its guidance?
Over the last 60 days we have not registered a guidance raise or cut from BAE Systems. The company can still adjust its guidance at quarterly reports or between reports — see the earnings history and the news overview above.
Is BAE Systems making money or losing money?
Yes, BAE Systems is making money, not losing it. The company has a profit margin (the share of revenue left over as profit) of 7.2% — which is moderate. The operating margin (profit before interest and taxes) is 9.7%. At a P/E ratio of 30.8, you currently pay 30.8 dollars for every dollar of the company's annual earnings. A consistently profitable company is usually more resilient than growth stocks that are not yet making money.
Can BAE Systems go bankrupt?
The bankruptcy risk of BAE Systems is rated as moderate. Altman Z2 (a model for assessing financial distress) is 1.87 — that places the company in the middle zone. The Piotroski score (financial health 0-9, higher is better) is 8 — which is strong. Debt relative to equity is 227% (high). Remember: models like Altman Z2 are statistical — unexpected shocks (fraud, a sector collapse, lawsuits) can always happen. Spread your portfolio.
Does BAE Systems have a lot of debt?
Yes, BAE Systems has elevated debt relative to equity. The debt-to-equity ratio (D/E — interest-bearing debt to equity) is 227%. For the industri sector, anything above 150% counts as elevated — that raises the financial risk, especially if interest rates rise or earnings fall. Note: D/E levels are highly sector-specific — a bank at 300% debt is normal, a tech stock at 300% is extremely leveraged. Always compare with similar companies in the same sector. Can BAE Systems service its debt? Can service its debt without problems — the interest coverage ratio (how many times earnings can cover interest payments) is 5.3x, and net debt equals 1.3 years of earnings (EBITDA).
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