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Applied Aerospace & Defense (AADX.US) Price Target 2026/2027: 140% Upside – Rating and Stock Analysis

9.29
Analysis framework by , founder of TradeDesk · Data: EODHD, insider trades from SEC Form 4 filings · Updated
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Applied Aerospace & Defense Price Target 2026: Analysts See 142% Upside

The average price target for Applied Aerospace & Defense is $22.50. This price target represents the analysts' view of the stock price over the next 12 months. The stock may be undervalued, because the price target is higher than the current price. The stock is 142.20% below the target, which can point to potential returns within the next 12 months if the analysts' view proves right. Also consider the stock's valuation ratios such as P/E, P/S and P/B, plus the technical analysis further down the page, for the full picture.
⚠️ Don’t buy a stock just because of its price targetA price target is the analysts’ estimate of where the stock will trade in 12 months. That estimate is often wrong. A large study of US stocks from 2000 to 2009 found that only 38% of price targets had been met after 12 months. On average, the targets promised 15 percentage points more return than the stocks delivered. Use the price target together with the financials and the trend, not on its own.Source: Bradshaw, Brown and Huang (2013)

Is Applied Aerospace & Defense overvalued or undervalued?

Applied Aerospace & Defense is currently undervalued with a gap of 142.2% relative to the price target.


The current price is $9.29, which places Applied Aerospace & Defense in the undervalued category. The stock is considered undervalued when the price is below $20.25, and overvalued when the price exceeds $24.75.


The fair value range is defined as ±10% of the price target, because price targets are estimates rather than exact values. For Applied Aerospace & Defense, the fair value range lies between $20.25 and $24.75.


See the full price target analysis for Applied Aerospace & Defense →

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Analyst Ratings for Applied Aerospace & Defense stock in 2026: Strong Buy

8 analysts cover Applied Aerospace & Defense. There is broad agreement on a positive view — 87.5% recommend buying. The average price target is $22.50, which gives an upside of 142.2% from the current price.

Consensus: Strong Buy (4.63/5)
Strong Buy
6 (75%)
Buy
1 (12.5%)
Hold
1 (12.5%)
Strong Sell Sell Hold Buy Strong Buy
4.63 out of 5 based on 8 analysts
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About Applied Aerospace & Defense – Aerospace & Defense

Applied Aerospace & Defense, Inc. designs, engineers, and manufactures integrated aerospace and defense subsystems for space and defense applications. The company provides Space and launch Systems, which include propellant tanks and engine nozzles; nose cones, fairings, and payload adapters; solar arrays and deployable systems; satellite bus and payload assemblies; Spinnaker® de-orbit systems; antennas and precision platforms; and landing legs, tubes, and booms; Defense Aviation and Airborne Systems, which support airborne mission platforms for air dominance, ground attack, electronic warfare, air-to-air refueling, transport, and autonomous collaborative combat, and include wings and control surfaces, landing gear and arresters, engine shafts, gears, and transmissions; fuel tanks and refueling booms; and fuselage structures; C5ISR and Precision Strike Systems, which support land and maritime based integrated defense systems for intelligence, surveillance, reconnaissance, forward presence, and stand-off missions, and include radar and communications antennas; missile bodies and launchers; directed energy systems; and electronic enclosures; detection and tracking platforms; and maritime sensors and propulsion. It also provides design, prototyping and manufacturing of hardware and assemblies using composite, metallic, and polymer manufacturing. The company uses IP-enabled processes and production supported by specialized equipment and experience. It offers in-house testing and inspection along with materials and testing services to support performance and verification requirements. The company was formerly known as GB Eagle Topco, Inc. and changed its name to Applied Aerospace & Defense, Inc. in November 2025. Applied Aerospace & Defense, Inc. was incorporated in 2022 and is headquartered in Huntsville, Alabama. Applied Aerospace & Defense, Inc. is a subsidiary of AA&D Holdings, LP. Read more about the company

Key Figures for Applied Aerospace & Defense

$1.8B Market cap
$576M Revenue
Aerospace & Defense Industry
- P/E
3.21 P/S
2.27 P/B
United States Listed on exchange
applied-ad.com Website
Industrials Sector

What kind of stock is Applied Aerospace & Defense?

Speculative stock

Applied Aerospace & Defense is classified as a speculative stock.

Score Overview for Applied Aerospace & Defense

💰 Value Score 27/100 (Low)
⭐ Quality Score 11/100 (Very Low)
🚀 Momentum Score 13/100 (Very Low)
📊 Total Score 17/100

⚠️ 3 red flags identified 2 critical

Our analysis has identified 3 potential risk factors in Applied Aerospace & Defense that investors should be aware of.

🚨 High debt: The debt-to-equity ratio is 473% – the company carries considerably more debt than equity, which raises the financial risk.
⚠️ Weak financial health: The Piotroski score is only 3/9 – the company shows signs of weakened profitability, liquidity or capital structure.
🚨 Negative profit margin: The profit margin is -30.2% – the company is losing money on its operations.

📈 Valuation

The P/S ratio is 3.2. The P/B ratio is 2.3.

🏦 Financial Health

The Piotroski score is 3 out of 9 — weak financial health, be careful. Altman Z2 is 1.18 (middle zone — moderate). The debt-to-equity ratio (D/E) is 472.7% — high debt, which raises the risk.

🚀 Momentum & Short Interest

Short interest is 9.57% — elevated, some investors are betting on a decline.

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Applied Aerospace & Defense Short Selling 2026: 9.6% Sold Short

High short interest: 9.6% of the free float
Short % of free float
9.6%
Assessment
High short interest
Short squeeze risk
Moderate
Data source
EODHD
Reported about twice a month
The stock has a high share of short selling. Between 5-10% of the freely traded shares are sold short, which suggests some investors are betting on falling prices. Positive surprises can lead to a moderate short squeeze.

What does this mean for you as an investor?
A short interest of 9.6% means that 9.6% of the freely traded shares in Applied Aerospace & Defense have been borrowed and sold by investors betting on falling prices.

Short interest comes from our data provider EODHD. The figure is reported about twice a month; we check it every trading day.
Short Interest Scale
0% 2% 5% 10% 20%+
Low Moderate High Very High Extreme
▲
9.6%

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When Does Applied Aerospace & Defense Report Earnings?

The next earnings date for Applied Aerospace & Defense is not yet available. Check the company's investor calendar for more information.



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Technical Analysis of Applied Aerospace & Defense 2026 – Signal: Strong Sell

Overall Technical Signal: Strong Sell

Based on trend analysis (SMA50/SMA200) and MACD trend (positive/negative on a daily + weekly basis). Updated November 12, 2026.

Trend Analysis of Applied Aerospace & Defense, Inc.

Applied Aerospace & Defense, Inc. is in a short-term downtrend. The price of $9.30 is 11.7% below the 20-day average ($10.54). Medium term, the picture is negative: the price is 18.7% below the 50-day average ($11.44).

Is Applied Aerospace & Defense, Inc. overbought or oversold?

Applied Aerospace & Defense, Inc. has an RSI of 40.6. The stock sits in the lower part of the neutral zone, which points to weak momentum without being oversold. In the current downtrend, be careful about reading this as a buying opportunity.

MACD Analysis for Applied Aerospace & Defense, Inc.

Daily MACD: MACD is negative (-0.505), which means the short-term trend is bearish (the 12-day EMA is below the 26-day EMA). MACD is above the signal line (-0.511) by 0.006, which suggests the negative momentum is fading – a potential trend reversal could be ahead.

Weekly MACD: MACD5 is negative (0.000), which indicates a broader bearish long-term trend. MACD5 is below the signal line (0.000) by 0.000, which confirms continued negative long-term momentum.

Overall MACD assessment: Both the daily and weekly trend are bearish (MACD negative). However, momentum shows signs of improving on a daily basis – a potential trend reversal could be ahead, but it is not confirmed yet.

Risk Profile for Applied Aerospace & Defense, Inc.

Applied Aerospace & Defense, Inc. has an annual standard deviation of 89.8%, which classifies the stock as Extremely speculative. Only risk-tolerant investors should consider this stock, because the price swings can be very large.

Overall Technical Conclusion for Applied Aerospace & Defense, Inc.

Trend: Negative. The price trades below SMA50.

MACD trend (zero line): Daily bearish (-0.505). Weekly bearish (0.000).

MACD momentum (signal): Daily rising. Weekly falling.

RSI: 40.6 – neutral.

Technical signal: Strong Sell

The price is in a downtrend (below SMA50/SMA200) and MACD is negative on both a daily and weekly basis. Avoid buying and consider closing existing positions.

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Who Owns Applied Aerospace & Defense?

The three largest owners of Applied Aerospace & Defense are AllianceBernstein L.P. (1.9%), Temasek Holdings Ltd. (1.9%) and Massachusetts Financial Services Company (1.4%). The percentage is their share of the stock, as of Jun 30, 2026. Source: our data provider EODHD.

The 10 Largest Institutions

InstitutionStakeChange
AllianceBernstein L.P.1.93%0.0%
Temasek Holdings Ltd.1.89%0.0%
Massachusetts Financial Services Company1.36%0.0%
BAMCO Inc1.26%0.0%
T. Rowe Price Investment Management,Inc.1.19%0.0%
BlackRock Inc1.12%0.0%
American Century Companies Inc1.01%0.0%
Jupiter Topco LLC0.77%0.0%
Vanguard Portfolio Management, LLC0.74%0.0%
NORGES BANK0.73%0.0%

As of Jun 30, 2026. "Change" is the change in shares held since the holder's previous report.

The 5 Largest Funds

FundStakeChange
First Trust RBA Amer Indl RenaisTM ETF2.80%−0.1%
Baron Small Cap Retail1.02%+25.0%
American Century Small Cap Growth Inv0.91%+23.8%
Federated Hermes Kaufmann Small Cap A0.65%+11.1%
Janus Henderson Venture D0.64%0.0%

As of Oct 29, 2026. A fund may be managed by one of the institutions above, so the two lists cannot be added together.

Frequently Asked Questions About Applied Aerospace & Defense stock in 2026

Should you buy Applied Aerospace & Defense stock now?
No, the technical signal for Applied Aerospace & Defense is currently Strong Sell. Applied Aerospace & Defense trades at $9.29 as of Nov 12, 2026. The technical analysis shows the following: MACD is negative (bearish trend) at -0.505 with rising momentum (signal: -0.511); RSI is at 40.6 (neutral zone); the stock is in a short-term downtrend (price below the 20-day average); the analyst price target of $22.50 points to 142.2% upside. The stock is in a broader downtrend (below SMA50/SMA200). Buying in a downtrend is generally not recommended. This is a technical observation based on current data, not investment advice.
What is the price target for Applied Aerospace & Defense stock?
The average analyst price target for Applied Aerospace & Defense is $22.50. The current price is $9.29, which gives an upside of 142.2%. Based on this, the stock is considered undervalued. The fair value range (±10% of the price target) is between $20.25 and $24.75.
Is Applied Aerospace & Defense a dividend stock?
No, Applied Aerospace & Defense does not currently pay a dividend to shareholders. The company reinvests its profits in growth instead of paying dividends.
What is the risk of Applied Aerospace & Defense stock?
Applied Aerospace & Defense is rated as a stock in the risk category Extremely speculative. the annual standard deviation is 89.8%, which classifies the stock as Extremely speculative.
Is Applied Aerospace & Defense overvalued?
No, Applied Aerospace & Defense is considered undervalued based on the analyst price target (142.2% upside). Applied Aerospace & Defense has the following valuation ratios: a P/S ratio of 3.2, a P/B ratio of 2.3. The analyst price target suggests that the stock is undervalued by 142.2%.
Is Applied Aerospace & Defense overbought?
No, Applied Aerospace & Defense is not overbought. RSI is at 40.6 (neutral zone). The technical indicators show: RSI is at 40.6 (neutral zone between 30-70), which signals neither overbought nor oversold. In addition, the price is 11.8% below the 20-day average (short-term downtrend). In addition, MACD is negative, but momentum is rising (possible trend reversal).
When is the next Applied Aerospace & Defense earnings report?
The date of the next earnings report for Applied Aerospace & Defense has not been published yet. Check the company's investor calendar for updates.
Is Applied Aerospace & Defense shorted?
Yes, Applied Aerospace & Defense is shorted with 9.6% of the free float sold short. This is a high level of short selling, which suggests some investors are betting on falling prices. Positive surprises can lead to a moderate short squeeze. The figure comes from our data provider EODHD, is reported about twice a month, and we check it every trading day.
Are insiders buying Applied Aerospace & Defense stock?
There is currently no registered insider trading for Applied Aerospace & Defense.
Is Applied Aerospace & Defense a good stock?
Based on our total score, Applied Aerospace & Defense is rated as a disastrous stock with a total score of 17 out of 100. The stock scores very low on value, quality and momentum – it is among the worst in our database. The score is made up of Value: 27/100, Quality: 11/100, Momentum: 13/100. In addition: analysts see 142.2% upside to the price target. Whether now is the time to buy is a separate question: the technical signal is Strong Sell. Whether Applied Aerospace & Defense is a good investment depends on your time horizon, risk profile and portfolio. This is a data-driven observation, not investment advice.
What is the outlook for Applied Aerospace & Defense stock?
The outlook for Applied Aerospace & Defense based on current data: the average analyst price target is $22.50 (+142.2%); the stock is in a downtrend (below SMA50 and SMA200). Keep in mind that stock prices are affected by many factors, including earnings reports, the economy and market sentiment. Past returns are no guarantee of future returns.
Why is Applied Aerospace & Defense stock falling?
Applied Aerospace & Defense is falling right now. The technical indicators show: the price is 11.8% below the 20-day average; short interest is 9.6% (high – many are betting on a decline). For the latest context, see our technical analysis and insider section above.
How high can Applied Aerospace & Defense go?
The average analyst price target for Applied Aerospace & Defense is $22.50, which corresponds to a potential gain of 142.2% from the current price of $9.29. The stock has traded between $8.40 and $24.24 over the last 52 weeks. The price is 61.7% below the 52-week high, which can indicate potential if the underlying fundamentals are intact. Keep in mind that price targets are estimates, not guarantees. Actual price moves depend on earnings, market conditions and unexpected events.
How low can Applied Aerospace & Defense fall?
The stock has traded as low as $8.40 over the last 52 weeks — that is 9.6% below the current price of $9.29. The biggest decline (drawdown) in the same period was 65.3% from high to low. Within a year, the price typically swings about ±89.8% (standard deviation — a measure of price swings). A difficult year could therefore mean a further decline of that size. Remember: past price swings are no guarantee for the future — a stock can fall further than the last 52 weeks suggest, especially on profit warnings, sector crises or a market crash. Use stop-loss orders and spread your portfolio to limit losses in single stocks.
What does Applied Aerospace & Defense do?
Applied Aerospace & Defense, Inc. designs, engineers, and manufactures integrated aerospace and defense subsystems for space and defense applications. The company provides Space and launch Systems, which include propellant tanks and engine nozzles; nose cones, fairings, and pa... The company belongs to the Industrials sector, more specifically the Aerospace & Defense industry, is headquartered in United States, and is traded on the USA Stocks. See the key figures, earnings history and price development above to evaluate Applied Aerospace & Defense as an investment.
Did Applied Aerospace & Defense raise or lower its guidance?
Over the last 60 days we have not registered a guidance raise or cut from Applied Aerospace & Defense. The company can still adjust its guidance at quarterly reports or between reports — see the earnings history above.
Is Applied Aerospace & Defense making money or losing money?
No, Applied Aerospace & Defense is currently not making money — the company is losing money with a negative profit margin of -30.2%, a substantial loss. That means the business loses money on every dollar of revenue. The operating margin (profit before interest and taxes) is also negative at -57.5% — so it is not just financing costs weighing on the result. For growth stocks investing in expansion this is normal — but it raises the risk if the company does not reach break-even before its capital runs out.
Can Applied Aerospace & Defense go bankrupt?
The bankruptcy risk of Applied Aerospace & Defense is rated as moderate. Altman Z2 (a model for assessing financial distress) is 1.18 — that places the company in the middle zone. The Piotroski score (financial health 0-9, higher is better) is 3 — which is weak. Debt relative to equity is 473% (high). Remember: models like Altman Z2 are statistical — unexpected shocks (fraud, a sector collapse, lawsuits) can always happen. Spread your portfolio.
Does Applied Aerospace & Defense have a lot of debt?
Yes, Applied Aerospace & Defense has elevated debt relative to equity. The debt-to-equity ratio (D/E — interest-bearing debt to equity) is 473%. For the industrials sector, anything above 200% counts as elevated — that raises the financial risk, especially if interest rates rise or earnings fall. Industrial companies often sit at 100-200% because of heavy production assets and long order books. Note: D/E levels are highly sector-specific — a bank at 300% debt is normal, a tech stock at 300% is extremely leveraged. Always compare with similar companies in the same sector.
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