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Virgin Galactic (SPCE.US) Price Target 2026/2027: 15% Upside – Rating and Stock Analysis

3.07
Analysis framework by , founder of TradeDesk · Data: EODHD, insider trades from SEC Form 4 filings · Updated
Price history for Virgin Galactic (SPCE.US) – stock price at $3.07, October 2026
Virgin Galactic stock price – price development 2026. Updated Oct 7, 2026.
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Virgin Galactic Price Target 2026: Analysts See 16% Upside

The average price target for Virgin Galactic is $3.56. This price target represents the analysts' view of the stock price over the next 12 months. The stock may be undervalued, because the price target is higher than the current price. The stock is 15.96% below the target, which can point to potential returns within the next 12 months if the analysts' view proves right. Also consider the stock's valuation ratios such as P/E, P/S and P/B, plus the technical analysis further down the page, for the full picture.

Is Virgin Galactic overvalued or undervalued?

Virgin Galactic is currently undervalued with a gap of 16% relative to the price target.


The current price is $3.07, which places Virgin Galactic in the undervalued category. The stock is considered undervalued when the price is below $3.20, and overvalued when the price exceeds $3.92.


The fair value range is defined as ±10% of the price target, because price targets are estimates rather than exact values. For Virgin Galactic, the fair value range lies between $3.20 and $3.92.


See the full price target analysis for Virgin Galactic →

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Analyst Ratings for Virgin Galactic stock in 2026: Hold

7 analysts cover Virgin Galactic. Analysts are mostly neutral — 57.1% recommend Hold. The average price target is $3.56, which gives an upside of 16% from the current price.

Consensus: Hold (3.29/5)
Strong Buy
2 (28.6%)
Hold
4 (57.1%)
Strong Sell
1 (14.3%)
Strong Sell Sell Hold Buy Strong Buy
3.29 out of 5 based on 7 analysts
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About Virgin Galactic – Aerospace & Defense

**What the company does:** Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc. builds and operates spaceships that carry people and research equipment into space. The company earns money by selling seats on commercial space flights. Its customers include private individuals, researchers and government agencies.

**Markets and customers:** Virgin Galactic offers paid space travel to private citizens who want to experience space, as well as to scientists and public authorities who need to send equipment or conduct research in space.

**Other details:** The company also carries out test flights and takes care of maintaining its own spacecraft systems after each flight. Virgin Galactic was founded in 2017 and is headquartered in Las Cruces, New Mexico, in the United States. It used to be part of Virgin Orbit but now operates independently, focusing only on providing paid space travel. Its main goal is to make space travel available to paying customers. Read more about the company

Key Figures for Virgin Galactic

$459M Market cap
$1.0M Revenue
Aerospace & Defense Industry
- P/E
442.52 P/S
1.19 P/B
United States Listed on exchange
virgingalactic.com Website
Industrials Sector

What kind of stock is Virgin Galactic?

Speculative stock

Virgin Galactic is classified as a speculative stock.

Score Overview for Virgin Galactic

💰 Value Score 23/100 (Low)
⭐ Quality Score 12/100 (Very Low)
🚀 Momentum Score 10/100 (Very Low)
📊 Total Score 15/100

⚠️ 5 red flags identified 3 critical

Our analysis has identified 5 potential risk factors in Virgin Galactic that investors should be aware of.

⚠️ High debt: The debt-to-equity ratio is 198% – the company carries considerably more debt than equity, which raises the financial risk.
⚠️ Weak financial health: The Piotroski score is only 2/9 – the company shows signs of weakened profitability, liquidity or capital structure.
🚨 Weak balance sheet (elevated risk): Altman Z2 is -11.47 – the balance sheet is measurably weaker than average. This is a risk signal based on the numbers, not a bankruptcy prediction.
🚨 Negative return on equity: ROE is -75.1% – the company is generating a negative return for shareholders.
🚨 High short interest: 22.4% of the shares are sold short – many professional investors are betting on price declines.

📈 Valuation

The P/S ratio is 442.5 (high — the market pays a premium for the revenue). The P/B ratio is 1.2.

🏦 Financial Health

The Piotroski score is 2 out of 9 — weak financial health, be careful. Altman Z2 is -11.47 (weak balance sheet — elevated risk). The debt-to-equity ratio (D/E) is 198.3% — moderate debt.

🚀 Momentum & Short Interest

Short interest is 22.35% — very high, the market is skeptical.

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Insider Trading in Virgin Galactic 2026: The Signal Is clearly positive

In 2026, insiders at Virgin Galactic have made 1 transactions, all of which were purchases. On a net basis, insiders put $49,800 into the stock, which is a positive signal. Active insiders include Strandberg Diana S..

Short-Term Signal (3 months): No activity

There has been no insider trading in the last 3 months.

Long-Term Signal (all transactions): Clearly positive

Insiders have exclusively bought shares. This is a strong signal of confidence in the company's future.

Across the last 1 transactions: 1 purchases and 0 sales. A net $49,800 into the stock.

Latest purchase: Strandberg Diana S. bought 20,000 shares at $2.49 each on 2026-05-19. The stock has since risen 23.3%.

Who is buying: Strandberg Diana S..

Latest Insider Trades in Virgin Galactic (2026)

The table shows the last 1 reported insider transactions in Virgin Galactic. Green rows are purchases, red rows are sales. The data is based on official filings.

Transaction date Name Type Number of shares Price per share ($) Total amount ($)
2026-05-19 Strandberg Diana S. Buy 20,000 2 49,800

Who is buying and selling Virgin Galactic shares in 2026?

The following insiders have bought shares in Virgin Galactic: Strandberg Diana S.. In total, $49,800 was bought across 1 transactions. Insider trades are legal transactions in which executives and board members buy or sell shares of their own company. These transactions are reported to the SEC and are publicly available.

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Virgin Galactic Short Selling 2026: 22.4% Sold Short

Extremely shorted: 22.4% of the free float
Short % of free float
22.4%
Assessment
Extremely shorted
Short squeeze risk
Very High
Data source
EODHD
Reported about twice a month

Short interest over time: Virgin Galactic

0.0%18.9%37.7%
Peak 32.8% · 7/12
5/307/309/29
22.4% today (extremely high)Peaked at 32.8% on Jul 12, 2026Last 30 days: −3.4 percentage pointsMeasured over 122 days
What does the trend tell you?
Short interest is falling. It is down 3.4 percentage points over the last month and now stands at 22.4%. The peak was 32.8% on Jul 12, 2026, so it is now 10.5 percentage points lower. This is how shorting works: whoever shorts has borrowed the share and sold it, and to close the position again they must buy the share back. Falling short interest therefore means shares are being bought back in Virgin Galactic right now.

Many investors watch for exactly this: short interest that has been high and starts falling back. The professionals who bet on a falling price are closing down. That is not in itself a signal about what the price will do — we cannot predict the market, and short interest is only one number among many. But it does say something about what the large players are doing.
The stock has an extremely high share of short selling. More than 20% of the freely traded shares are sold short, which is unusual and can point to great skepticism among institutional investors. The risk of a short squeeze on positive news is considerable.

What does this mean for you as an investor?
A short interest of 22.4% means that 22.4% of the freely traded shares in Virgin Galactic have been borrowed and sold by investors betting on falling prices. On positive surprises (e.g. a strong earnings report), short sellers can be forced to buy back shares quickly to close their positions, which can cause a short squeeze with sharp price gains in a short time.

The next potential catalyst is the earnings report on Nov 12, 2026. With a short interest of 22.4%, the report can trigger considerable volatility.

Short interest comes from our data provider EODHD. The figure is reported about twice a month; we check it every trading day.
Short Interest Scale
0% 2% 5% 10% 20%+
Low Moderate High Very High Extreme
▲
22.4%

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When Does Virgin Galactic Report Earnings – Next Date: Nov 12, 2026

The next earnings report from Virgin Galactic is scheduled for November 12, 2026. This report covers the third quarter (Q3), which ended on September 30, 2026.



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Technical Analysis of Virgin Galactic 2026 – Signal: Buy

Overall Technical Signal: Buy

Based on trend analysis (SMA50/SMA200) and MACD trend (positive/negative on a daily + weekly basis). Updated October 7, 2026.

Technical analysis of Virgin Galactic (SPCE.US) – RSI 51, MACD positive (bullish), daily candlestick chart October 2026
Virgin Galactic technical analysis – candlestick chart with RSI, MACD and volume profile. Updated Oct 7, 2026.

Trend Analysis of Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc

Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc is in a short-term uptrend. The price of $3.07 is 0.0% above the 20-day average ($3.07). Medium term, the picture is positive: the price is 1.8% above the 50-day average ($3.02). Long term, the stock is 3.0% above the 200-day average ($2.98), which confirms a long-term uptrend.

Golden Cross: The 50-day average (3.02) is above the 200-day average (2.98), which is a classic bullish signal for Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc.

Is Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc overbought or oversold?

Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc has an RSI of 50.7, right in the middle of the neutral zone. There is no clear buying or selling pressure.

MACD Analysis for Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc

Daily MACD: MACD is positive (0.011), which means the short-term trend is bullish (the 12-day EMA is above the 26-day EMA). MACD is below the signal line (0.024) by 0.013, which suggests the positive momentum is fading – the trend could be turning.

Weekly MACD: MACD5 is negative (-0.020), which indicates a broader bearish long-term trend. MACD5 is above the signal line (-0.038) by 0.018, which suggests the negative long-term momentum is fading – a bigger trend reversal could be ahead.

Overall MACD assessment: The daily and weekly MACD give conflicting signals. The short-term trend is bullish, but the long-term trend is still bearish. Weekly momentum is rising, though, which could signal an upcoming trend reversal.

Risk Profile for Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc

Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc has an annual standard deviation of 108.8%, which classifies the stock as Extremely speculative. Only risk-tolerant investors should consider this stock, because the price swings can be very large.

Overall Technical Conclusion for Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc

Trend: Positive. The price trades above SMA50 and SMA200.

MACD trend (zero line): Daily bullish (0.011). Weekly bearish (-0.020).

MACD momentum (signal): Daily falling. Weekly rising.

RSI: 50.7 – neutral.

Technical signal: Buy

The broader trend is positive and MACD supports the picture. Consider buying with a stop-loss below the nearest support level.

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Frequently Asked Questions About Virgin Galactic stock in 2026

Should you buy Virgin Galactic stock now?
Yes, the technical signal for Virgin Galactic is currently Buy. Virgin Galactic trades at $3.07 as of Oct 7, 2026. The technical analysis shows the following: MACD is positive (bullish trend) at 0.011 with falling momentum (signal: 0.024); RSI is at 50.7 (neutral zone); the stock is in a short-term downtrend (price below the 20-day average); the analyst price target of $3.56 points to 16.0% upside. The stock is in a broader uptrend (above SMA50/SMA200). This is a technical observation based on current data, not investment advice.
What is the price target for Virgin Galactic stock?
The average analyst price target for Virgin Galactic is $3.56. The current price is $3.07, which gives an upside of 16.0%. Based on this, the stock is considered undervalued. The fair value range (±10% of the price target) is between $3.20 and $3.92.
Is Virgin Galactic a dividend stock?
No, Virgin Galactic does not currently pay a dividend to shareholders. The company reinvests its profits in growth instead of paying dividends.
What is the risk of Virgin Galactic stock?
Virgin Galactic is rated as a stock in the risk category Extremely speculative. the annual standard deviation is 108.8%, which classifies the stock as Extremely speculative.
Is Virgin Galactic overvalued?
No, Virgin Galactic is considered undervalued based on the analyst price target (16.0% upside). Virgin Galactic has the following valuation ratios: a P/S ratio of 442.5, a P/B ratio of 1.2. The analyst price target suggests that the stock is undervalued by 16.0%.
Is Virgin Galactic overbought?
No, Virgin Galactic is not overbought. RSI is at 50.7 (neutral zone). The technical indicators show: RSI is at 50.7 (neutral zone between 30-70), which signals neither overbought nor oversold. In addition, the price is 0.0% below the 20-day average (short-term downtrend). In addition, MACD is positive, but momentum is falling.
When is the next Virgin Galactic earnings report?
Virgin Galactic reports its next earnings on November 12, 2026. The stock currently trades at $3.07.
Is Virgin Galactic shorted?
Yes, Virgin Galactic is shorted with 22.4% of the free float sold short. This is an extremely high level of short selling, which points to great skepticism among institutional investors. The risk of a short squeeze on positive news or earnings is very high. The figure comes from our data provider EODHD, is reported about twice a month, and we check it every trading day.
Are insiders buying Virgin Galactic stock?
Yes, insiders are net buyers of Virgin Galactic – they are buying more shares than they are selling. Across the last 1 reported transactions, the split is 1 purchases and 0 sales, with a net 49,800 $ bought. Active buyers include Strandberg Diana S.. Insider buying is generally seen as a positive signal, because management is putting its own money into the company.
Is Virgin Galactic a good stock?
Based on our total score, Virgin Galactic is rated as a disastrous stock with a total score of 15 out of 100. The stock scores very low on value, quality and momentum – it is among the worst in our database. The score is made up of Value: 23/100, Quality: 12/100, Momentum: 10/100. In addition: analysts see 16.0% upside to the price target; technical signal: Buy. Whether Virgin Galactic is a good investment depends on your time horizon, risk profile and portfolio. This is a data-driven observation, not investment advice.
What is the outlook for Virgin Galactic stock?
The outlook for Virgin Galactic based on current data: the average analyst price target is $3.56 (+16.0%); the stock is in an uptrend (above SMA50 and SMA200); the next earnings report is due on Nov 12, 2026, which can move the price. Keep in mind that stock prices are affected by many factors, including earnings reports, the economy and market sentiment. Past returns are no guarantee of future returns.
Why is Virgin Galactic stock moving?
Virgin Galactic is stable right now. The technical indicators show: the price is close to the 20-day average; short interest is 22.4% (high – many are betting on a decline); insiders have mostly been buying the stock recently. For the latest context, see our technical analysis and insider section above.
How high can Virgin Galactic go?
The average analyst price target for Virgin Galactic is $3.56, which corresponds to a potential gain of 16.0% from the current price of $3.07. The stock has traded between $2.13 and $8.90 over the last 52 weeks. The price is 65.5% below the 52-week high, which can indicate potential if the underlying fundamentals are intact. Keep in mind that price targets are estimates, not guarantees. Actual price moves depend on earnings, market conditions and unexpected events.
How low can Virgin Galactic fall?
The stock has traded as low as $2.13 over the last 52 weeks — that is 30.6% below the current price of $3.07. The biggest decline (drawdown) in the same period was 76.1% from high to low. Within a year, the price typically swings about ±108.8% (standard deviation — a measure of price swings). A difficult year could therefore mean a further decline of that size. Remember: past price swings are no guarantee for the future — a stock can fall further than the last 52 weeks suggest, especially on profit warnings, sector crises or a market crash. Use stop-loss orders and spread your portfolio to limit losses in single stocks.
What does Virgin Galactic do?
**What the company does:** Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc. builds and operates spaceships that carry people and research equipment into space. The company earns money by selling seats on commercial space flights. Its customers include private individuals, researchers and govern... The company belongs to the Industrials sector, more specifically the Aerospace & Defense industry, is headquartered in United States, and is traded on the USA Stocks. See the key figures, earnings history and price development above to evaluate Virgin Galactic as an investment.
Did Virgin Galactic raise or lower its guidance?
Over the last 60 days we have not registered a guidance raise or cut from Virgin Galactic. The company can still adjust its guidance at quarterly reports or between reports — see the earnings history above.
Is Virgin Galactic making money or losing money?
We have no current profitability data for Virgin Galactic. See the latest report in the earnings history above.
Can Virgin Galactic go bankrupt?
The bankruptcy risk of Virgin Galactic is rated as elevated. Altman Z2 (a model for assessing financial distress) is -11.47 — that places the company in the weak zone. This is a probability based on the numbers, not a verdict — bankruptcy is not imminent. But the balance sheet is measurably weaker than average, so watch the debt, liquidity and possible capital raises. The Piotroski score (financial health 0-9, higher is better) is 2 — which is weak. Debt relative to equity is 198% (high). Remember: models like Altman Z2 are statistical — unexpected shocks (fraud, a sector collapse, lawsuits) can always happen. Spread your portfolio.
Does Virgin Galactic have a lot of debt?
Virgin Galactic has moderate debt relative to equity. The debt-to-equity ratio (D/E — interest-bearing debt to equity) is 198%. For the industrials sector, 100-200% counts as a typical level. Industrial companies often sit at 100-200% because of heavy production assets and long order books. Note: D/E levels are highly sector-specific — a bank at 300% debt is normal, a tech stock at 300% is extremely leveraged. Always compare with similar companies in the same sector.
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