Herc (HRI.US) Price Target 2026/2027: 30% Upside – Rating and Stock Analysis

145.17
Price history for Herc (HRI.US) – stock price at 145.17 $, September 2026
Herc stock price – price development 2026. Updated Sep 23, 2026.
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Herc Price Target 2026: Analysts See 29% Upside

The average price target for Herc is $187.42. This price target represents the analysts' view of the stock price over the next 12 months. The stock may be undervalued, because the price target is higher than the current price. The stock is 29.10% below the target, which can point to potential returns within the next 12 months if the analysts' view proves right. Also consider the stock's valuation ratios such as P/E, P/S and P/B, plus the technical analysis further down the page, for the full picture.

Is Herc overvalued or undervalued?

Herc is currently undervalued with a gap of 29.1% relative to the price target.


The current price is $145.17, which places Herc in the undervalued category. The stock is considered undervalued when the price is below $168.68, and overvalued when the price exceeds $206.16.


The fair value range is defined as ±10% of the price target, because price targets are estimates rather than exact values. For Herc, the fair value range lies between $168.68 and $206.16.


See the full price target analysis for Herc →

Analyst Ratings for Herc stock in 2026: Buy

10 analysts cover Herc. The majority is positive, with 60% recommending Buy, while 30% recommend Hold. The average price target is $187.42, which gives an upside of 29.1% from the current price.

Consensus: Buy (3.90/5)
Strong Buy
4 (40%)
Buy
2 (20%)
Hold
3 (30%)
Sell
1 (10%)
Strong Sell Sell Hold Buy Strong Buy
3.90 out of 5 based on 10 analysts

About Herc – Rental & Leasing Services

Herc Holdings Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as an equipment rental supplier in the United States and internationally. It rents aerial, earthmoving, material handling, trucks and trailers, air compressors, compaction, and lighting equipment. The company offers ProSolutions, an industry specific solution-based services, which include power generation, climate control, remediation and restoration, pump, trench shoring, and studio and production equipment; and ProContractor professional grade tools. In addition, it provides various services, including repair, maintenance, equipment management, and safety training; and equipment re-rental and on-site support services, as well as ancillary services, such as equipment transport, rental protection, cleaning, refueling, and labor. Further, the company sells used equipment and contractor supplies, such as construction consumables, tools, small equipment, and safety supplies. It serves non-residential and residential construction, specialty trade, restoration, remediation and environment, and facility maintenance contractors; industrial manufacturing industries, including refineries and petrochemical, automotive and aerospace, power, metals and mining, agriculture, pulp, paper and wood, and food and beverage industries; infrastructure and government sectors; and commercial facilities, commercial warehousing, education, healthcare, data centers, hospitality, retail, special event management and non-account customers. The company sells its products through its sales team and industry catalogs, as well as through participation and sponsorship of industry events, trade shows, and Internet. Herc Holdings Inc. was incorporated in 1965 and is based in Bonita Springs, Florida. Read more about the company

Key Figures for Herc

$ 4.5B Market cap
$ 4.9B Revenue
Rental & Leasing Services Industry
79.56 P/E
0.93 P/S
2.39 P/B
United States Listed on exchange

What kind of stock is Herc?

Speculative stock

Herc is classified as a speculative stock.

Score Overview for Herc

💰 Value Score 42/100 (Neutral)
⭐ Quality Score 34/100 (Low)
🚀 Momentum Score 44/100 (Neutral)
📊 Total Score 40/100

⚠️ 3 red flags identified 2 critical

Our analysis has identified 3 potential risk factors in Herc that investors should be aware of.

🚨 High debt: The debt-to-equity ratio is 464% – the company carries considerably more debt than equity, which raises the financial risk.
⚠️ Weak balance sheet (elevated risk): Altman Z2 is 0.61 – the balance sheet is measurably weaker than average. This is a risk signal based on the numbers, not a bankruptcy prediction.
🚨 Falling earnings: Quarterly earnings have fallen 79% year over year – the company's profitability is under pressure.

📈 Valuation

Herc trades at a P/E ratio of 79.6, which is above the market average. The forward P/E is 12.0 (85% lower), which suggests the market expects rising earnings. The P/S ratio is 0.9 (low — potentially undervalued relative to revenue). The P/B ratio is 2.4. The PEG ratio is 0.04 — below 1.0 suggests the stock is cheap relative to its growth rate.

💵 Profitability & Growth

Herc has a profit margin of 1.0% (moderate) and an operating margin of 12.2%. Return on equity (ROE) is 2.6%. Return on assets (ROA) is 2.9%. The latest quarterly earnings grew -79.0% year over year — falling earnings.

🏦 Financial Health

The Piotroski score is 5 out of 9 — average financial health. Altman Z2 is 0.61 (weak balance sheet — elevated risk). The debt-to-equity ratio (D/E) is 464.3% — high debt, which raises the risk.

🚀 Momentum & Short Interest

Short interest is 8.73% — elevated, some investors are betting on a decline.

Herc Dividend

How much does Herc pay in dividends?

Herc does not currently pay a dividend. This may be because the company reinvests its profits in growth, or because there is not enough profit for dividend payments. You can find more information about the dividend policy on the company's website.

Historical Dividend Payments for Herc

No historical dividend payments are registered for this stock.

Ex-datePayment dateAmountCurrency
No historical dividend payments available.

Insider Trading in Herc 2026: The Signal Is mixed

In 2026, insiders at Herc have made 20 transactions – split into 2 purchases and 18 sales. On a net basis, insiders took 3,585,872 $ out of the stock. Active insiders include Olsson Erik, Olin John A, Peres Tamir and others. In the short term (last 3 months), the insider signal is mixed.

Short-Term Signal (3 months): Mixed

There are both insider purchases and sales over the last 3 months, with no clear direction.

Over the last 3 months: 1 purchases and 1 sales. A net 125,675 $ into the stock.

Long-Term Signal (all transactions): Mostly negative

Insiders have sold considerably more than they have bought. At large companies this can be due to planned sales (10b5-1 plans) and is not necessarily a negative signal.

Across the last 20 transactions: 2 purchases and 18 sales. A net 3,585,872 $ out of the stock.

Latest purchase: Olsson Erik bought 3,085 shares at 163 $ each on 2026-08-21. The stock has since fallen 11.6%.

Latest sale: Peres Tamir sold 2,261 shares at 167 $ each on 2026-08-18.

Who is buying: Olsson Erik, Olin John A.

Who is selling: Peres Tamir, Schumacher Mark Alan, Humphrey Mark, Silber Lawrence Harris, Sheek Samuel Wade and others.

Latest Insider Trades in Herc (2026)

The table shows the last 20 reported insider transactions in Herc. Green rows are purchases, red rows are sales. The data is based on official filings.

Transaction date Name Type Number of shares Price per share ($) Total amount ($)
2026-08-21 Olsson Erik Buy 3,085 163 502,855
2026-08-18 Peres Tamir Sell 2,261 167 377,180
2026-03-13 Schumacher Mark Alan Sell 30 109 3,267
2026-03-13 Humphrey Mark Sell 114 109 12,416
2026-02-27 Olin John A Buy 3,000 142 427,410
2026-02-07 Silber Lawrence Harris Sell 1,035 180 186,621
2026-02-07 Sheek Samuel Wade Sell 169 180 30,472
2026-02-07 Schumacher Mark Alan Sell 38 180 6,852
2026-02-07 Peres Tamir Sell 215 180 38,767
2026-02-07 Humphrey Mark Sell 107 180 19,293

Who is buying and selling Herc shares in 2026?

The following insiders have bought shares in Herc: Olsson Erik, Olin John A. In total, 930,265 $ was bought across 2 transactions. The following insiders have sold shares: Peres Tamir, Schumacher Mark Alan, Humphrey Mark, Silber Lawrence Harris, Sheek Samuel Wade and others. In total, 4,516,137 $ was sold across 18 transactions. Insider trades are legal transactions in which executives and board members buy or sell shares of their own company. These transactions are reported to the SEC and are publicly available.

Herc Short Selling 2026: 8.7% Sold Short

High short interest: 8.7% of the free float
Short % of free float
8.7%
Assessment
High short interest
Short squeeze risk
Moderate
Data source
SEC
Updated daily
The stock has a high share of short selling. Between 5-10% of the freely traded shares are sold short, which suggests some investors are betting on falling prices. Positive surprises can lead to a moderate short squeeze.

What does this mean for you as an investor?
A short interest of 8.7% means that 8.7% of the freely traded shares in Herc have been borrowed and sold by investors betting on falling prices.

The next potential catalyst is the earnings report on 10/27/2026. With a short interest of 8.7%, the report can trigger considerable volatility.

Data is updated daily based on official filings with the SEC.
Short Interest Scale
0% 2% 5% 10% 20%+
Low Moderate High Very High Extreme
8.7%

When Does Herc Report Earnings – Next Date: 10/27/2026

The next earnings report from Herc is scheduled for October 27, 2026, before the market opens. This report covers the third quarter (Q3), which ended on September 30, 2026.



Technical Analysis of Herc 2026 – Signal: Hold

Overall Technical Signal: Hold

Based on trend analysis (SMA50/SMA200) and MACD trend (positive/negative on a daily + weekly basis). Updated September 23, 2026.

Technical analysis of Herc (HRI.US) – RSI 47, MACD negative (bearish), daily candlestick chart September 2026
Herc technical analysis – candlestick chart with RSI, MACD and volume profile. Updated Sep 23, 2026.

Trend Analysis of Herc Holdings Inc

Herc Holdings Inc is in a short-term uptrend. The price of $144.07 is 0.1% above the 20-day average ($143.99). Medium term, the picture is negative: the price is 5.9% below the 50-day average ($153.10). Long term, the stock is 2.4% above the 200-day average ($140.66), which confirms a long-term uptrend.

Golden Cross: The 50-day average (153.10) is above the 200-day average (140.66), which is a classic bullish signal for Herc Holdings Inc.

Is Herc Holdings Inc overbought or oversold?

Herc Holdings Inc has an RSI of 47.1, right in the middle of the neutral zone. There is no clear buying or selling pressure.

MACD Analysis for Herc Holdings Inc

Daily MACD: MACD is negative (-4.154), which means the short-term trend is bearish (the 12-day EMA is below the 26-day EMA). MACD is above the signal line (-4.288) by 0.134, which suggests the negative momentum is fading – a potential trend reversal could be ahead.

Weekly MACD: MACD5 is positive (4.117), which indicates a broader bullish long-term trend. MACD5 is below the signal line (5.351) by 1.234, which suggests the long-term momentum is fading – the positive trend could come under pressure.

Overall MACD assessment: The daily and weekly MACD give conflicting signals. The long-term trend is bullish, but the short-term trend is bearish. Daily momentum is rising, though, which could suggest the pullback is over.

Risk Profile for Herc Holdings Inc

Herc Holdings Inc has an annual standard deviation of 55.9%, which classifies the stock as Speculative. Sizeable price swings are normal, and the stock requires a higher risk tolerance.

Overall Technical Conclusion for Herc Holdings Inc

Trend: Neutral/mixed.

MACD trend (zero line): Daily bearish (-4.154). Weekly bullish (4.117).

MACD momentum (signal): Daily rising. Weekly falling.

RSI: 47.1 – neutral.

Technical signal: Hold

The signals are mixed – trend and MACD point in different directions. Wait until MACD crosses the zero line in the direction of the trend before acting.

Frequently Asked Questions About Herc stock in 2026

Should you buy Herc stock now?
The technical signal for Herc is currently NEUTRAL. Herc trades at $145.17 as of 9/23/2026. The overall technical signal is: Hold. The technical analysis shows the following: MACD is negative (bearish trend) at -4.154 with rising momentum (signal: -4.288); RSI is at 47.1 (neutral zone); the stock is in a short-term uptrend (price above the 20-day average); the analyst price target of $187.42 points to 29.1% upside. This is a technical observation based on current data, not investment advice.
What is the price target for Herc stock?
The average analyst price target for Herc is $187.42. The current price is $145.17, which gives an upside of 29.1%. Based on this, the stock is considered undervalued. The fair value range (±10% of the price target) is between $168.68 and $206.16.
Is Herc a dividend stock?
Yes, Herc is a dividend stock with a dividend yield of 2.02%. The payout ratio is 47.2%, which is considered sustainable.
What is the risk of Herc stock?
Herc is rated as a stock in the risk category Speculative. the annual standard deviation is 55.9%, which classifies the stock as Speculative.
Is Herc overvalued?
No, Herc is considered undervalued based on the analyst price target (29.1% upside). Herc has the following valuation ratios: a P/E ratio of 79.6 (highly valued), a P/S ratio of 0.9, a P/B ratio of 2.4. The analyst price target suggests that the stock is undervalued by 29.1%.
Is Herc overbought?
No, Herc is not overbought. RSI is at 47.1 (neutral zone). The technical indicators show: RSI is at 47.1 (neutral zone between 30-70), which signals neither overbought nor oversold. In addition, the price is 0.8% above the 20-day average (short-term uptrend). In addition, MACD is negative, but momentum is rising (possible trend reversal).
When is the next Herc earnings report?
Herc reports its next earnings on October 27, 2026. The stock currently trades at $145.17. With a P/E ratio of 79.6, the market will be watching closely whether earnings meet expectations.
Is Herc shorted?
Yes, Herc is shorted with 8.7% of the free float sold short. This is a high level of short selling, which suggests some investors are betting on falling prices. Positive surprises can lead to a moderate short squeeze. Data is updated daily based on official filings with the SEC.
Are insiders buying Herc stock?
Yes, insiders are net buyers of Herc – they are buying more shares than they are selling. Over the last 3 months, insiders have made 1 purchases and 1 sales. On a net basis, 125,675 $ worth of shares were bought. Across the last 20 reported transactions, the split is 2 purchases and 18 sales, with a net 3,585,872 $ sold. Active buyers include Olsson Erik, Olin John A. Insider buying is generally seen as a positive signal, because management is putting its own money into the company.
Is Herc a good stock?
Based on our total score, Herc is rated as a mediocre stock with a total score of 40 out of 100. The stock scores around average on value, quality and momentum – it sits near the median in our database. The score is made up of Value: 42/100, Quality: 34/100, Momentum: 44/100. In addition: analysts see 29.1% upside to the price target; a dividend of 2.02%; technical signal: Hold. Whether Herc is a good investment depends on your time horizon, risk profile and portfolio. This is a data-driven observation, not investment advice.
What is the outlook for Herc stock?
The outlook for Herc based on current data: the average analyst price target is $187.42 (+29.1%); the next earnings report is due on 10/27/2026, which can move the price; the P/E ratio is 79.6 (high – the market expects growth). Keep in mind that stock prices are affected by many factors, including earnings reports, the economy and market sentiment. Past returns are no guarantee of future returns.
Why is Herc stock moving?
Herc is stable right now. The technical indicators show: the price is close to the 20-day average; short interest is 8.7% (high – many are betting on a decline); insiders have mostly been selling the stock recently. For the latest context, see our technical analysis, insider section and news overview above.
How high can Herc go?
The average analyst price target for Herc is $187.42, which corresponds to a potential gain of 29.1% from the current price of $145.17. Keep in mind that price targets are estimates, not guarantees. Actual price moves depend on earnings, market conditions and unexpected events.
How low can Herc fall?
We lack enough history to give a specific floor for Herc. Remember: past price swings are no guarantee for the future — a stock can fall further than the last 52 weeks suggest, especially on profit warnings, sector crises or a market crash. Use stop-loss orders and spread your portfolio to limit losses in single stocks.
What does Herc do?
Herc Holdings Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as an equipment rental supplier in the United States and internationally. It rents aerial, earthmoving, material handling, trucks and trailers, air compressors, compaction, and lighting equipment. The company offers ... The company belongs to the Industrials sector, more specifically the Rental & Leasing Services industry, is headquartered in United States, and is traded on the USA Stocks. See the key figures, earnings history and price development above to evaluate Herc as an investment.
Did Herc raise or lower its guidance?
Over the last 60 days we have not registered a guidance raise or cut from Herc. The company can still adjust its guidance at quarterly reports or between reports — see the earnings history and the news overview above.
Is Herc making money or losing money?
Yes, Herc is making money, not losing it. The company has a profit margin (the share of revenue left over as profit) of 1.0% — which is modest. The operating margin (profit before interest and taxes) is 12.2%. At a P/E ratio of 79.6, you currently pay 79.6 dollars for every dollar of the company's annual earnings. A consistently profitable company is usually more resilient than growth stocks that are not yet making money.
Can Herc go bankrupt?
The bankruptcy risk of Herc is rated as elevated. Altman Z2 (a model for assessing financial distress) is 0.61 — that places the company in the weak zone. This is a probability based on the numbers, not a verdict — bankruptcy is not imminent. But the balance sheet is measurably weaker than average, so watch the debt, liquidity and possible capital raises. The Piotroski score (financial health 0-9, higher is better) is 5 — which is average. Debt relative to equity is 464% (high). Remember: models like Altman Z2 are statistical — unexpected shocks (fraud, a sector collapse, lawsuits) can always happen. Spread your portfolio.
Does Herc have a lot of debt?
Yes, Herc has elevated debt relative to equity. The debt-to-equity ratio (D/E — interest-bearing debt to equity) is 464%. For the industrials sector, anything above 200% counts as elevated — that raises the financial risk, especially if interest rates rise or earnings fall. Industrial companies often sit at 100-200% because of heavy production assets and long order books. Note: D/E levels are highly sector-specific — a bank at 300% debt is normal, a tech stock at 300% is extremely leveraged. Always compare with similar companies in the same sector. Can Herc service its debt? Could struggle to service its debt — the interest coverage ratio (how many times earnings can cover interest payments) is 1.2x, and net debt equals 10.1 years of earnings (EBITDA).

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