Five Point (FPH.US) Price Target 2026/2027: 170% Upside – Rating and Stock Analysis

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Five Point Price Target 2026: Analysts See 170% Upside

The average price target for Five Point is $12.00. This price target represents the analysts' view of the stock price over the next 12 months. The stock may be undervalued, because the price target is higher than the current price. The stock is 170.27% below the target, which can point to potential returns within the next 12 months if the analysts' view proves right. Also consider the stock's valuation ratios such as P/E, P/S and P/B, plus the technical analysis further down the page, for the full picture.
⚠️ Don’t buy a stock just because of its price targetA price target is the analysts’ estimate of where the stock will trade in 12 months. That estimate is often wrong. A large study of US stocks from 2000 to 2009 found that only 38% of price targets had been met after 12 months. On average, the targets promised 15 percentage points more return than the stocks delivered. Use the price target together with the financials and the trend, not on its own.Source: Bradshaw, Brown and Huang (2013)

Is Five Point overvalued or undervalued?

Five Point is currently undervalued with a gap of 170.3% relative to the price target.


The current price is $4.44, which places Five Point in the undervalued category. The stock is considered undervalued when the price is below $10.80, and overvalued when the price exceeds $13.20.


The fair value range is defined as ±10% of the price target, because price targets are estimates rather than exact values. For Five Point, the fair value range lies between $10.80 and $13.20.


See the full price target analysis for Five Point →

About Five Point – Real Estate - Development

Five Point Holdings, LLC designs, develops, and owns mixed-use planned communities in California, the United States. It operates through Valencia, San Francisco, Great Park, and Hearthstone segments. The company sells residential and commercial land sites to homebuilders, commercial developers, and commercial buyers. It also provides development management services; and asset management services to land banking funds that are primarily focused on acquiring, developing, and managing residential lot option programs. The company was formerly known as Newhall Holding Company, LLC and changed its name to Five Point Holdings, LLC in May 2016. Five Point Holdings, LLC was incorporated in 2009 and is headquartered in Irvine, California. Read more about the company

Key Figures for Five Point

$631M Market cap
$118M Revenue
Real Estate - Development Industry
10.92 P/E
5.34 P/S
0.36 P/B
United States Listed on exchange

What kind of stock is Five Point?

Growth stock Value stock

Five Point is classified as a growth stock and value stock. This means the stock combines several attractive traits.

Score Overview for Five Point

💰 Value Score 96/100 (Very High)
⭐ Quality Score 23/100 (Low)
🚀 Momentum Score 34/100 (Low)
📊 Total Score 51/100

📈 Valuation

Five Point trades at a P/E ratio of 10.9, which is below the market average and can point to an attractive price. The forward P/E is 11.3. The P/S ratio is 5.3 (high — the market pays a premium for the revenue). The P/B ratio is 0.4, below book value, which can point to a value opportunity.

💵 Profitability & Growth

Five Point has a profit margin of 24.9% (excellent). Return on equity (ROE) is 3.3%. The latest quarterly earnings grew 228.2% year over year — strong growth.

🏦 Financial Health

The Piotroski score is 4 out of 9 — average financial health. Altman Z2 is 7.23 (healthy balance sheet — low risk). The debt-to-equity ratio (D/E) is 119.6% — moderate debt.

🚀 Momentum & Short Interest

Short interest is 1.26% — low, the market does not expect a decline.

Insider Trading in Five Point 2026: Buys and sells

In 2026, insiders at Five Point have made 20 transactions – split into 1 purchases and 19 sales. On a net basis, insiders took $6,168,020 out of the stock. Active insiders include Levinson Sam, McWilliams Greg, Tobler Kim and others.

Last 3 Months: No trades

There has been no insider trading in the last 3 months.

All Transactions: Buys and sells

There are both insider purchases and sales, with no clear direction. This is normal for large companies, where management adjusts positions on an ongoing basis.

Across the last 20 transactions: 1 purchases and 19 sales. A net $6,168,020 out of the stock.

Latest purchase: Levinson Sam bought 3,283,024 shares at $3.15 each on 2024-10-22. The stock has since risen 41%.

Latest sale: McWilliams Greg sold 67,265 shares at $5.23 each on 2026-03-09.

Who is buying: Levinson Sam.

Who is selling: McWilliams Greg, Tobler Kim, Browning William, Luxor Capital Group, LP.

Latest Insider Trades in Five Point (2026)

The table shows the last 20 reported insider transactions in Five Point. Green rows are purchases, red rows are sales. The data is based on official filings.

Transaction date Name Type Number of shares Price per share (USD) Total amount (USD)
2026-03-09 McWilliams Greg Sell 67,265 5.23 351,796
2025-12-04 Tobler Kim Sell 18,714 6.01 112,471
2025-03-08 Tobler Kim Sell 36,423 5.78 210,525
2024-10-24 Browning William Sell 11,644 3.84 44,713
2024-10-22 Levinson Sam Buy 3,283,024 3.15 10,341,526
2024-09-24 Luxor Capital Group, LP Sell 4,589,471 3.32 15,237,044
2024-09-20 Luxor Capital Group, LP Sell 1,097 3.40 3,730
2024-09-19 Luxor Capital Group, LP Sell 29,132 3.41 99,340
2024-09-18 Luxor Capital Group, LP Sell 6,058 3.36 20,355
2024-09-17 Luxor Capital Group, LP Sell 6,037 3.42 20,647

Who is buying and selling Five Point shares in 2026?

The following insiders have bought shares in Five Point: Levinson Sam. In total, $10,341,526 was bought across 1 transactions. The following insiders have sold shares: McWilliams Greg, Tobler Kim, Browning William, Luxor Capital Group, LP. In total, $16,509,545 was sold across 19 transactions. Insider trades are legal transactions in which executives and board members buy or sell shares of their own company. These transactions are reported to the SEC and are publicly available.

Five Point Short Selling 2026: 1.3% Sold Short

Low short interest: 1.3% of the free float
Short % of free float
1.3%
Assessment
Low short interest
Short squeeze risk
Low
Data source
EODHD
Reported about twice a month
The stock has a low share of short selling. Less than 2% of the freely traded shares are sold short, which points to limited bearish sentiment.

Short interest comes from our data provider EODHD. The figure is reported about twice a month; we check it every trading day.
Short Interest Scale
0% 2% 5% 10% 20%+
Low Moderate High Very High Extreme
▲
1.3%

When Does Five Point Report Earnings?

The next earnings date for Five Point is not yet available. Check the company's investor calendar for more information.



Technical Analysis of Five Point 2026 – Signal: Strong Sell

Overall Technical Signal: Strong Sell

Based on trend analysis (SMA50/SMA200) and MACD trend (positive/negative on a daily + weekly basis). Updated November 10, 2026.

Trend Analysis of Five Point Holdings, LLC

Five Point Holdings, LLC is in a short-term uptrend. The price of $4.44 is 3.0% above the 20-day average ($4.31). Medium term, the picture is negative: the price is 3.9% below the 50-day average ($4.62). Long term, the stock is 11.3% below the 200-day average ($5.01), which signals a long-term downtrend.

Death Cross: The 50-day average (4.62) is below the 200-day average (5.01), which is a classic bearish signal for Five Point Holdings, LLC.

Is Five Point Holdings, LLC overbought or oversold?

Five Point Holdings, LLC has an RSI of 50.9, right in the middle of the neutral zone. There is no clear buying or selling pressure.

MACD Analysis for Five Point Holdings, LLC

Daily MACD: MACD is negative (-0.065), which means the short-term trend is bearish (the 12-day EMA is below the 26-day EMA). MACD is above the signal line (-0.105) by 0.040, which suggests the negative momentum is fading – a potential trend reversal could be ahead.

Weekly MACD: MACD5 is negative (-0.234), which indicates a broader bearish long-term trend. MACD5 is below the signal line (-0.155) by 0.079, which confirms continued negative long-term momentum.

Overall MACD assessment: Both the daily and weekly trend are bearish (MACD negative). However, momentum shows signs of improving on a daily basis – a potential trend reversal could be ahead, but it is not confirmed yet.

Risk Profile for Five Point Holdings, LLC

Five Point Holdings, LLC has an annual standard deviation of 29.1%, which classifies the stock as Balanced. There is some volatility, but the price is relatively stable.

Overall Technical Conclusion for Five Point Holdings, LLC

Trend: Negative. The price trades below SMA50 and SMA200.

MACD trend (zero line): Daily bearish (-0.065). Weekly bearish (-0.234).

MACD momentum (signal): Daily rising. Weekly falling.

RSI: 50.9 – neutral.

Technical signal: Strong Sell

The price is in a downtrend (below SMA50/SMA200) and MACD is negative on both a daily and weekly basis. Avoid buying and consider closing existing positions.

Who Owns Five Point?

The three largest owners of Five Point are Robotti Robert (9.7%), Private Management Group Inc (7.3%) and Third Avenue Management LLC (5.1%). The percentage is their share of the stock, as of Sep 30, 2026. Source: our data provider EODHD.

The 10 Largest Institutions

InstitutionStakeChange
Robotti Robert9.68%0.0%
Private Management Group Inc7.31%−0.2%
Third Avenue Management LLC5.14%−4.3%
O'Keefe Stevens Advisory, Inc.4.15%+7.6%
Manufacturers Life Insurance Co3.98%−4.9%
Bank of America Corp3.95%0.0%
Immersion Corp3.88%0.0%
Alpine Investment Management LLC1.96%+9.5%
Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc.1.92%0.0%
Glendon Capital Management LP1.61%0.0%

As of Sep 30, 2026. "Change" is the change in shares held since the holder's previous report.

The 5 Largest Funds

FundStakeChange
Third Avenue Real Estate Value Instl3.55%−5.6%
JHVIT Fundamental All Cap Core I2.31%0.0%
Third Avenue Small Cap Value Instl1.34%0.0%
Manulife US All Cap Equity F0.83%−2.6%
DFA U.S. Small Cap Value I0.54%+83.0%

As of Sep 30, 2026. A fund may be managed by one of the institutions above, so the two lists cannot be added together.

Frequently Asked Questions About Five Point stock in 2026

Should you buy Five Point stock now?
No, the technical signal for Five Point is currently Strong Sell. Five Point trades at $4.44 as of Nov 10, 2026. The technical analysis shows the following: MACD is negative (bearish trend) at -0.065 with rising momentum (signal: -0.105); RSI is at 50.9 (neutral zone); the stock is in a short-term uptrend (price above the 20-day average); the analyst price target of $12.00 points to 170.3% upside. The stock is in a broader downtrend (below SMA50/SMA200). Buying in a downtrend is generally not recommended. This is a technical observation based on current data, not investment advice.
What is the price target for Five Point stock?
The average analyst price target for Five Point is $12.00. The current price is $4.44, which gives an upside of 170.3%. Based on this, the stock is considered undervalued. The fair value range (±10% of the price target) is between $10.80 and $13.20.
Is Five Point a dividend stock?
No, Five Point does not currently pay a dividend to shareholders. The company reinvests its profits in growth instead of paying dividends.
What is the risk of Five Point stock?
Five Point is rated as a stock in the risk category Balanced. the annual standard deviation is 29.1%, which classifies the stock as Balanced.
Is Five Point overvalued?
No, Five Point is considered undervalued based on the analyst price target (170.3% upside). Five Point has the following valuation ratios: a P/E ratio of 10.9 (moderately valued), a P/S ratio of 5.3, a P/B ratio of 0.4. The analyst price target suggests that the stock is undervalued by 170.3%.
Is Five Point overbought?
No, Five Point is not overbought. RSI is at 50.9 (neutral zone). The technical indicators show: RSI is at 50.9 (neutral zone between 30-70), which signals neither overbought nor oversold. In addition, the price is 3.0% above the 20-day average (short-term uptrend). In addition, MACD is negative, but momentum is rising (possible trend reversal).
When is the next Five Point earnings report?
The date of the next earnings report for Five Point has not been published yet. Check the company's investor calendar for updates.
Is Five Point shorted?
Yes, Five Point is shorted with 1.3% of the free float sold short. This is a moderate level of short selling, within the normal range for most stocks. The figure comes from our data provider EODHD, is reported about twice a month, and we check it every trading day.
Are insiders buying Five Point stock?
No, insiders are not buying Five Point shares – they are net sellers. Across the last 20 reported transactions, the split is 1 purchases and 19 sales, with a net 6,168,020 USD sold. Active sellers include McWilliams Greg, Tobler Kim, Browning William and others. Insider selling can have several explanations (e.g. planned 10b5-1 sales, portfolio diversification or taxes), but sustained selling by several insiders is worth watching closely.
Is Five Point a good stock?
Based on our total score, Five Point is rated as a mediocre stock with a total score of 51 out of 100. The stock scores around average on value, quality and momentum – it sits near the median in our database. The score is made up of Value: 96/100, Quality: 23/100, Momentum: 34/100. In addition: analysts see 170.3% upside to the price target. Whether now is the time to buy is a separate question: the technical signal is Strong Sell. Whether Five Point is a good investment depends on your time horizon, risk profile and portfolio. This is a data-driven observation, not investment advice.
What is the outlook for Five Point stock?
The outlook for Five Point based on current data: the average analyst price target is $12.00 (+170.3%); the stock is in a downtrend (below SMA50 and SMA200); the P/E ratio is 10.9 (low – a possible value stock). Keep in mind that stock prices are affected by many factors, including earnings reports, the economy and market sentiment. Past returns are no guarantee of future returns.
Why is Five Point stock rising?
Five Point is rising right now. The technical indicators show: the price is 3.0% above the 20-day average; insiders have mostly been selling the stock recently. For the latest context, see our technical analysis and insider section above.
How high can Five Point go?
The average analyst price target for Five Point is $12.00, which corresponds to a potential gain of 170.3% from the current price of $4.44. The stock has traded between $4.02 and $6.47 over the last 52 weeks. The price is 31.4% below the 52-week high, which can indicate potential if the underlying fundamentals are intact. Keep in mind that price targets are estimates, not guarantees. Actual price moves depend on earnings, market conditions and unexpected events.
How low can Five Point fall?
The stock has traded as low as $4.02 over the last 52 weeks — that is 9.5% below the current price of $4.44. The biggest decline (drawdown) in the same period was 37.9% from high to low. Within a year, the price typically swings about ±29.1% (standard deviation — a measure of price swings). A difficult year could therefore mean a further decline of that size. Remember: past price swings are no guarantee for the future — a stock can fall further than the last 52 weeks suggest, especially on profit warnings, sector crises or a market crash. Use stop-loss orders and spread your portfolio to limit losses in single stocks.
What does Five Point do?
Five Point Holdings, LLC designs, develops, and owns mixed-use planned communities in California, the United States. It operates through Valencia, San Francisco, Great Park, and Hearthstone segments. The company sells residential and commercial land sites to homebuilders, comm... The company belongs to the Real Estate sector, more specifically the Real Estate - Development industry, is headquartered in United States, and is traded on the USA Stocks. See the key figures, earnings history and price development above to evaluate Five Point as an investment.
Did Five Point raise or lower its guidance?
Over the last 60 days we have not registered a guidance raise or cut from Five Point. The company can still adjust its guidance at quarterly reports or between reports — see the earnings history above.
Is Five Point making money or losing money?
Yes, Five Point is making money, not losing it. The company has a profit margin (the share of revenue left over as profit) of 24.9% — which is excellent. At a P/E ratio of 10.9, you currently pay 10.9 dollars for every dollar of the company's annual earnings. A consistently profitable company is usually more resilient than growth stocks that are not yet making money.
Can Five Point go bankrupt?
The bankruptcy risk of Five Point is rated as low. Altman Z2 (a model for assessing financial distress) is 7.23 — that places the company in the healthy zone. The company has a healthy balance sheet with limited debt relative to earnings and assets. The Piotroski score (financial health 0-9, higher is better) is 4 — which is average. Debt relative to equity is 120% (moderate). Remember: models like Altman Z2 are statistical — unexpected shocks (fraud, a sector collapse, lawsuits) can always happen. Spread your portfolio.
Does Five Point have a lot of debt?
No, Five Point has low debt relative to equity. The debt-to-equity ratio (D/E — interest-bearing debt to equity) is 120%. For the real estate sector, anything below 150% counts as low debt. Real estate companies are built on leverage — 150-300% debt is part of the business model. Note: D/E levels are highly sector-specific — a bank at 300% debt is normal, a tech stock at 300% is extremely leveraged. Always compare with similar companies in the same sector.

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