Stock themes

Best gold stocks

Gold stocks are shares in the companies that mine gold and silver — not the metal itself. Many investors use gold as a hedge against turmoil and inflation, and the miners tend to amplify the move: when the gold price rises, their profit can rise further, because their costs are largely fixed. It works both ways. Below, our model ranks every US-listed gold and silver stock by score and momentum.

18
Stocks
34
Average momentum
3
Rated strong
Stock Momentum Score To target
SSR Mining IncStrong 60 226 +35%
Newmont Goldcorp CorpStrong 63 223 +15%
Barrick Mining CorporationStrong 46 217 +27%
AngloGold Ashanti LimitedAverage 42 205 +25%
Kinross Gold CorporationAverage 25 201 +36%
Aris Mining CorporationAverage 45 201 +112%
Pan American Silver CorpAverage 28 181 +42%
Royal Gold, IncAverage 49 175 +30%
Jaguar Mining IncAverage 31 156 no target
Coeur Mining, IncAverage 22 152 +55%
First Majestic Silver CorpWeak 18 147 +50%
Silvercorp Metals IncWeak 28 129 +55%
Endeavour Silver CorpWeak 22 125 +88%
Cabral Gold IncWeak 77 82 no target
Guanajuato Silver Company LtdWeak 6 82 no target
Hycroft Mining Holding CorporationWeak 6 48 +42%
Maple Gold Mines LtdWeak 34 41 no target
Paramount Gold Nevada CorpWeak 11 33 no target

Three kinds of gold company

The large producers — Newmont, Barrick and AngloGold Ashanti — run mines in several countries and have real accounts to judge. The smaller ones, such as Kinross and SSR Mining, have fewer mines, so a single operational problem counts for more. The developers like Aris Mining are earlier still. Silver miners are in the theme too, and silver swings more than gold because it is also an industrial metal.

What moves gold stocks?

The gold price, amplified. A miner has broadly fixed costs per ounce. When gold rises, almost the whole increase falls to the bottom line — and when it falls, the profit disappears just as fast. That is why gold stocks typically swing more than gold itself.

The real interest rate. Gold pays no interest. When rates after inflation rise, holding something that does not yield becomes more expensive, and gold gets less attractive. When real rates fall, the opposite.

Cost per ounce. Energy, labour and equipment decide what is left. Two companies at the same gold price can earn very different amounts.

Country risk. Mines sit where the gold is, not where it is easiest. Tax changes and permits can hit one company hard without warning.

Questions and answers

Do gold stocks protect against a crash?

Gold has historically held up better than shares in several crises, but there is no guarantee — and gold stocks are still shares, which can fall in a broad sell-off. Many people use them as a smaller part of a portfolio to spread risk, not as the only defence.

What is the difference between gold stocks and physical gold?

Physical gold tracks the gold price. A mining company can swing further in both directions, because fixed costs amplify the change in earnings. In return, a miner can pay a dividend and grow, which a gold bar cannot.

Why do gold stocks fall when interest rates rise?

Gold pays no interest. When you can earn a safe return elsewhere, holding something that yields nothing costs more. That is why the real interest rate — the rate after inflation — has historically mattered most for the gold price.

Do gold stocks pay a dividend?

Some do, but the dividend is typically smaller than in, say, banking, because the companies reinvest in mining. Check the individual stock page for the dividend and payout ratio.

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