Stock themes

Best gold stocks

Gold stocks are shares in the companies that mine gold and silver — not the metal itself. Many investors use gold as a hedge against turmoil and inflation, and the miners tend to amplify the move: when the gold price rises, their profit can rise further, because their costs are largely fixed. It works both ways. Below, our model ranks every US-listed gold and silver stock by score and momentum.

18
Stocks
26
Average momentum
2
Rated strong
Stock Momentum Score To target
Newmont Goldcorp CorpStrong 53 216 +25%
SSR Mining IncStrong 41 211 +44%
Barrick Mining CorporationAverage 39 209 +32%
AngloGold Ashanti LimitedAverage 33 197 +37%
Kinross Gold CorporationAverage 22 197 +38%
Aris Mining CorporationAverage 32 188 +139%
Pan American Silver CorpAverage 25 180 +51%
Royal Gold, IncAverage 46 173 +35%
First Majestic Silver CorpWeak 16 149 +62%
Coeur Mining, IncWeak 16 148 +72%
Jaguar Mining IncWeak 22 146 no target
Endeavour Silver CorpWeak 18 122 +107%
Silvercorp Metals IncWeak 20 122 +75%
Guanajuato Silver Company LtdWeak 5 81 no target
Cabral Gold IncWeak 44 51 no target
Hycroft Mining Holding CorporationWeak 5 47 +58%
Maple Gold Mines LtdWeak 27 36 no target
Paramount Gold Nevada CorpWeak 9 33 no target

Three kinds of gold company

The large producers — Newmont, Barrick and AngloGold Ashanti — run mines in several countries and have real accounts to judge. The smaller ones, such as Kinross and SSR Mining, have fewer mines, so a single operational problem counts for more. The developers like Aris Mining are earlier still. Silver miners are in the theme too, and silver swings more than gold because it is also an industrial metal.

What moves gold stocks?

The gold price, amplified. A miner has broadly fixed costs per ounce. When gold rises, almost the whole increase falls to the bottom line — and when it falls, the profit disappears just as fast. That is why gold stocks typically swing more than gold itself.

The real interest rate. Gold pays no interest. When rates after inflation rise, holding something that does not yield becomes more expensive, and gold gets less attractive. When real rates fall, the opposite.

Cost per ounce. Energy, labour and equipment decide what is left. Two companies at the same gold price can earn very different amounts.

Country risk. Mines sit where the gold is, not where it is easiest. Tax changes and permits can hit one company hard without warning.

Questions and answers

Do gold stocks protect against a crash?

Gold has historically held up better than shares in several crises, but there is no guarantee — and gold stocks are still shares, which can fall in a broad sell-off. Many people use them as a smaller part of a portfolio to spread risk, not as the only defence.

What is the difference between gold stocks and physical gold?

Physical gold tracks the gold price. A mining company can swing further in both directions, because fixed costs amplify the change in earnings. In return, a miner can pay a dividend and grow, which a gold bar cannot.

Why do gold stocks fall when interest rates rise?

Gold pays no interest. When you can earn a safe return elsewhere, holding something that yields nothing costs more. That is why the real interest rate — the rate after inflation — has historically mattered most for the gold price.

Do gold stocks pay a dividend?

Some do, but the dividend is typically smaller than in, say, banking, because the companies reinvest in mining. Check the individual stock page for the dividend and payout ratio.

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