Vistra (VST.US) Price Target 2026/2027: 35% Upside – Rating and Stock Analysis

160.50
Price history for Vistra (VST.US) – stock price at $160.50, October 2026
Vistra stock price – price development 2026. Updated Oct 7, 2026.
Share this analysis:

Vistra Price Target 2026: Analysts See 33% Upside

The average price target for Vistra is $212.79. This price target represents the analysts' view of the stock price over the next 12 months. The stock may be undervalued, because the price target is higher than the current price. The stock is 32.58% below the target, which can point to potential returns within the next 12 months if the analysts' view proves right. Also consider the stock's valuation ratios such as P/E, P/S and P/B, plus the technical analysis further down the page, for the full picture.

Is Vistra overvalued or undervalued?

Vistra is currently undervalued with a gap of 32.6% relative to the price target.


The current price is $160.50, which places Vistra in the undervalued category. The stock is considered undervalued when the price is below $191.51, and overvalued when the price exceeds $234.07.


The fair value range is defined as ±10% of the price target, because price targets are estimates rather than exact values. For Vistra, the fair value range lies between $191.51 and $234.07.


See the full price target analysis for Vistra →

Analyst Ratings for Vistra stock in 2026: Buy

18 analysts cover Vistra. There is broad agreement on a positive view — 83.4% recommend buying. The average price target is $212.79, which gives an upside of 32.6% from the current price.

Consensus: Buy (4.28/5)
Strong Buy
10 (55.6%)
Buy
5 (27.8%)
Hold
2 (11.1%)
Strong Sell
1 (5.6%)
Strong Sell Sell Hold Buy Strong Buy
4.28 out of 5 based on 18 analysts

About Vistra – Utilities - Independent Power Producers

**What Vistra Corp. does and how it makes money**
Vistra Corp. makes electricity and sells it. The company earns money by supplying electricity and natural gas to homes, businesses and industrial customers across large parts of the United States.

**How it produces electricity**
Vistra runs its own power plants. These plants make electricity from gas, nuclear power, coal and solar energy. The company also has battery storage systems, which store electricity so it can be used later. In total, Vistra can produce about 37,000 megawatts of power. A megawatt is a unit used to measure how much electricity a power plant can produce at one time.

**Markets and customers**
Vistra operates mainly in the United States. It serves around four million customers, including private households, businesses and industrial companies. The company also trades energy on the wholesale market, meaning it buys and sells large amounts of electricity to other energy companies, rather than directly to end users.

**Other facts**
Vistra Corp. was founded in 1882. It is one of the major companies in the U.S. energy sector.
Read more about the company

Key Figures for Vistra

$46.4B Market cap
$19.2B Revenue
Utilities - Independent Power Producers Industry
23.33 P/E
2.42 P/S
15.41 P/B
United States Listed on exchange

What kind of stock is Vistra?

Stable stock

Vistra is classified as a stable stock.

Score Overview for Vistra

💰 Value Score 43/100 (Neutral)
⭐ Quality Score 54/100 (Neutral)
🚀 Momentum Score 50/100 (Neutral)
📊 Total Score 49/100

⚠️ 2 red flags identified 1 critical

Our analysis has identified 2 potential risk factors in Vistra that investors should be aware of.

🚨 High debt: The debt-to-equity ratio is 578% – the company carries considerably more debt than equity, which raises the financial risk.
⚠️ Weak balance sheet (elevated risk): Altman Z2 is 0.79 – the balance sheet is measurably weaker than average. This is a risk signal based on the numbers, not a bankruptcy prediction.

📈 Valuation

Vistra trades at a P/E ratio of 23.3, which is close to the market average. The forward P/E is 13.3 (43% lower), which suggests the market expects rising earnings. The P/S ratio is 2.4. The P/B ratio is 15.4. The PEG ratio is 0.34 — below 1.0 suggests the stock is cheap relative to its growth rate.

💵 Profitability & Growth

Vistra has a profit margin of 11.6% (solid) and an operating margin of 13.8%. Return on equity (ROE) is 43.0% — excellent return on equity. Return on assets (ROA) is 5.9%. The latest quarterly earnings grew -6.2% year over year — falling earnings.

🏦 Financial Health

The Piotroski score is 6 out of 9 — good financial health. Altman Z2 is 0.79 (weak balance sheet — elevated risk). The debt-to-equity ratio (D/E) is 577.9% — high debt, which raises the risk.

🚀 Momentum & Short Interest

Short interest is 3.35%.

Vistra Dividend 2026: 0.7% Dividend Yield

Dividend Key Figures for Vistra

Dividend yield
0.65%
Latest dividend per share
0.23 USD
Payout ratio
11.1%
Low
Dividend growth (7 years)
+430.8%
Avg. annual dividend (3 years)
0.60 USD

When does Vistra pay a dividend in 2026?

Latest ex-dividend date (traded without the dividend)
September 21, 2026
Latest payment date
September 30, 2026

How much does Vistra pay in dividends?

Vistra pays dividends to its shareholders. The most recently paid dividend was 0.23 USD per share, which corresponds to a dividend yield of 0.65%. Over the last 7 years, the annual dividend has grown by 430.8%, which shows positive dividend growth.

The payout ratio is 11.1%, which is low. This suggests the company prioritizes reinvesting in growth over dividend payments. There is good room to raise the dividend in the future.

Historical Dividend Payments for Vistra

We have registered dividend payments for Vistra since Dec 13, 2019. In that period the stock has paid a dividend 25 times, most recently on Sep 21, 2026. This stock qualifies as a stable dividend stock, because it has paid a dividend at least once a year for the last 5 years. That makes it attractive to investors looking for steady, regular dividend payments.

Ex-datePayment dateAmountCurrency
2026-09-212026-09-300.23USD
2026-06-222026-06-300.23USD
2026-03-202026-03-310.23USD
2025-12-222025-12-310.23USD
2025-03-202025-03-310.22USD
2024-09-202024-09-300.22USD
2024-06-182024-06-280.22USD
2024-03-192024-03-290.22USD
2023-12-192023-12-290.21USD
2023-09-192023-09-290.21USD
2023-06-202023-06-300.20USD
2023-03-212023-03-310.20USD
2022-12-192022-12-290.19USD
2022-09-202022-09-300.18USD
2022-06-212022-06-300.18USD
2022-03-212022-03-310.17USD
2021-12-152021-12-300.15USD
2021-09-152021-09-300.15USD
2021-06-152021-06-300.15USD
2021-03-162021-03-310.15USD
2020-12-152020-12-300.14USD
2020-09-152020-09-300.14USD
2020-06-152020-06-300.14USD
2020-03-162020-03-310.14USD
2019-12-132019-12-300.13USD

Insider Trading in Vistra 2026: The Signal Is mostly negative

In 2026, insiders at Vistra have made 20 transactions – split into 3 purchases and 17 sales. On a net basis, insiders took $49,805,595 out of the stock. Active insiders include BURKE JAMES A, Moldovan Kristopher E., HUDSON SCOTT A and others. In the short term (last 3 months), the insider signal is mostly negative.

Short-Term Signal (3 months): Mostly negative

Insiders have sold more than they have bought over the last 3 months.

Over the last 3 months: 3 purchases and 2 sales. A net $3,033,990 out of the stock.

Long-Term Signal (all transactions): Mostly negative

Insiders have sold considerably more than they have bought. At large companies this can be due to planned sales (10b5-1 plans) and is not necessarily a negative signal.

Across the last 20 transactions: 3 purchases and 17 sales. A net $49,805,595 out of the stock.

Latest purchase: BURKE JAMES A bought 4,465 shares at $135.25 each on 2026-09-01. The stock has since risen 18.7%.

Latest sale: Moldovan Kristopher E. sold 20,000 shares at $151.03 each on 2026-09-08.

Who is buying: BURKE JAMES A.

Who is selling: Moldovan Kristopher E., HUDSON SCOTT A, SULT JOHN R, Acosta Arcilia, HELM SCOTT B and others.

Latest Insider Trades in Vistra (2026)

The table shows the last 20 reported insider transactions in Vistra. Green rows are purchases, red rows are sales. The data is based on official filings.

Transaction date Name Type Number of shares Price per share ($) Total amount ($)
2026-09-08 Moldovan Kristopher E. Sell 20,000 151 3,020,600
2026-09-08 HUDSON SCOTT A Sell 7,777 153 1,186,459
2026-09-01 BURKE JAMES A Buy 4,465 135 603,891
2026-08-31 BURKE JAMES A Buy 2,200 136 299,178
2026-08-24 BURKE JAMES A Buy 2,000 135 270,000
2026-06-18 SULT JOHN R Sell 6,500 170 1,105,000
2026-06-18 Acosta Arcilia Sell 7,500 170 1,275,000
2026-06-16 HELM SCOTT B Sell 25,000 160 4,000,000
2026-06-15 BARBAS PAUL M Sell 244 153 37,332
2026-06-12 BARBAS PAUL M Sell 244 148 36,095

Who is buying and selling Vistra shares in 2026?

The following insiders have bought shares in Vistra: BURKE JAMES A. In total, $1,173,069 was bought across 3 transactions. The following insiders have sold shares: Moldovan Kristopher E., HUDSON SCOTT A, SULT JOHN R, Acosta Arcilia, HELM SCOTT B and others. In total, $50,978,664 was sold across 17 transactions. Insider trades are legal transactions in which executives and board members buy or sell shares of their own company. These transactions are reported to the SEC and are publicly available.

Vistra Short Selling 2026: 3.4% Sold Short

Moderate short interest: 3.4% of the free float
Short % of free float
3.4%
Assessment
Moderate short interest
Short squeeze risk
Low
Data source
EODHD
Reported about twice a month

Short interest over time: Vistra

0.0%3.1%6.3%
Peak 5.5% · 7/13
5/307/3110/2
3.4% today (moderate)Peaked at 5.5% on Jul 13, 2026Essentially unchanged over the last 30 daysMeasured over 125 days
What does the trend tell you?
Short interest has been markedly higher. It peaked at 5.5% on Jul 13, 2026 and now stands at 3.4% — a fall of 2.1 percentage points. Over the last month it has been fairly stable.

This is how shorting works: whoever shorts has borrowed the share and sold it, and to close the position again they must buy the share back. The fall from the peak therefore means that those who bet on a falling price in Vistra have bought shares back and closed their positions. It is worth watching whether the curve stays there or turns again. That is not in itself a signal about what the price will do — we cannot predict the market, and short interest is only one number among many. But it does say something about what the large players are doing.
The stock has a moderate share of short selling. Between 2-5% of the freely traded shares are sold short, which is within the normal range for most stocks.

Short interest comes from our data provider EODHD. The figure is reported about twice a month; we check it every trading day.
Short Interest Scale
0% 2% 5% 10% 20%+
Low Moderate High Very High Extreme
▲
3.4%

When Does Vistra Report Earnings – Next Date: Nov 6, 2026

The next earnings report from Vistra is scheduled for November 6, 2026, before the market opens. This report covers the third quarter (Q3), which ended on September 30, 2026.



Technical Analysis of Vistra 2026 – Signal: Buy

Overall Technical Signal: Buy

Based on trend analysis (SMA50/SMA200) and MACD trend (positive/negative on a daily + weekly basis). Updated October 7, 2026.

Technical analysis of Vistra (VST.US) – RSI 72, MACD positive (bullish), daily candlestick chart October 2026
Vistra technical analysis – candlestick chart with RSI, MACD and volume profile. Updated Oct 7, 2026.

Trend Analysis of Vistra Corp

Vistra Corp is in a short-term uptrend. The price of $160.50 is 12.6% above the 20-day average ($142.57). Medium term, the picture is positive: the price is 12.2% above the 50-day average ($143.01). Long term, the stock is 3.7% above the 200-day average ($154.77), which confirms a long-term uptrend.

Death Cross: The 50-day average (143.01) is below the 200-day average (154.77), which is a classic bearish signal for Vistra Corp.

Is Vistra Corp overbought or oversold?

Vistra Corp has an RSI of 71.7, which places the stock in overbought territory (above 70). Even though the stock is overbought, the broader trend is positive. A short-term pullback is possible, but the trend still supports the price.

MACD Analysis for Vistra Corp

Daily MACD: MACD is positive (0.694), which means the short-term trend is bullish (the 12-day EMA is above the 26-day EMA). MACD is above the signal line (-0.944) by 1.638, which confirms rising momentum in the uptrend.

Weekly MACD: MACD5 is negative (-5.161), which indicates a broader bearish long-term trend. MACD5 is below the signal line (-4.946) by 0.215, which confirms continued negative long-term momentum.

Overall MACD assessment: The daily and weekly MACD give conflicting signals. The short-term trend is bullish, but the long-term trend is still bearish. Wait until the weekly MACD also crosses the zero line before acting.

Risk Profile for Vistra Corp

Vistra Corp has an annual standard deviation of 48.4%, which classifies the stock as medium risk. The price can swing noticeably when the market moves.

Overall Technical Conclusion for Vistra Corp

Trend: Positive. The price trades above SMA50 and SMA200.

MACD trend (zero line): Daily bullish (0.694). Weekly bearish (-5.161).

MACD momentum (signal): Daily rising. Weekly falling.

RSI: 71.7 – overbought.

Technical signal: Buy

The broader trend is positive and MACD supports the picture. Consider buying with a stop-loss below the nearest support level.

Frequently Asked Questions About Vistra stock in 2026

Should you buy Vistra stock now?
Yes, the technical signal for Vistra is currently Buy. Vistra trades at $160.50 as of Oct 7, 2026. The technical analysis shows the following: MACD is positive (bullish trend) at 0.694 with rising momentum (signal: -0.944); RSI is at 71.7 (overbought), suggesting the price may have risen too quickly; the stock is in a short-term uptrend (price above the 20-day average); the analyst price target of $212.79 points to 32.6% upside. The stock is in a broader uptrend (above SMA50/SMA200). This is a technical observation based on current data, not investment advice.
What is the price target for Vistra stock?
The average analyst price target for Vistra is $212.79. The current price is $160.50, which gives an upside of 32.6%. Based on this, the stock is considered undervalued. The fair value range (±10% of the price target) is between $191.51 and $234.07.
Is Vistra a dividend stock?
Yes, Vistra is a dividend stock with a dividend yield of 0.65%. The latest dividend was $0.23 per share. The latest ex-dividend date (traded without the dividend) was Sep 21, 2026. The payout ratio is 11.1%, which is considered sustainable.
When does Vistra pay a dividend in 2026?
The next dividend date for Vistra has not been set yet. The latest ex-dividend date (last trading day with dividend rights) was Sep 21, 2026. The latest dividend was $0.23 per share with an ex-dividend date of Sep 21, 2026. The dividend yield is 0.65%. The payout ratio of 11.1% points to a sustainable dividend with room to grow.
What is the risk of Vistra stock?
Vistra is rated as a stock in the risk category Moderate. the annual standard deviation is 48.4%, which classifies the stock as Moderate. In addition, an RSI of 71.7 signals overbought (elevated risk of a pullback).
Is Vistra overvalued?
No, Vistra is considered undervalued based on the analyst price target (32.6% upside). Vistra has the following valuation ratios: a P/E ratio of 23.3 (moderately to highly valued), a P/S ratio of 2.4, a P/B ratio of 15.4. The analyst price target suggests that the stock is undervalued by 32.6%.
Is Vistra overbought?
Yes, Vistra is overbought with an RSI of 71.7 (above 70). The technical indicators show: RSI is at 71.7 (above the 70 mark), which signals the price is overbought and may have risen too quickly. In addition, the price is 12.6% above the 20-day average (short-term uptrend). In addition, MACD is positive with rising momentum (bullish).
When is the next Vistra earnings report?
Vistra reports its next earnings on November 6, 2026. The stock currently trades at $160.50. With a P/E ratio of 23.3, the market will be watching closely whether earnings meet expectations. The RSI is at 71.7, so the report can reinforce the current technical trend.
Is Vistra shorted?
Yes, Vistra is shorted with 3.4% of the free float sold short. This is a moderate level of short selling, within the normal range for most stocks. The figure comes from our data provider EODHD, is reported about twice a month, and we check it every trading day.
Are insiders buying Vistra stock?
No, insiders are not buying Vistra shares – they are net sellers. Over the last 3 months, insiders have made 3 purchases and 2 sales. On a net basis, 3,033,990 $ worth of shares were sold. Across the last 20 reported transactions, the split is 3 purchases and 17 sales, with a net 49,805,595 $ sold. Active sellers include Moldovan Kristopher E., HUDSON SCOTT A, SULT JOHN R and others. Insider selling can have several explanations (e.g. planned 10b5-1 sales, portfolio diversification or taxes), but sustained selling by several insiders is worth watching closely.
Is Vistra a good stock?
Based on our total score, Vistra is rated as a mediocre stock with a total score of 49 out of 100. The stock scores around average on value, quality and momentum – it sits near the median in our database. The score is made up of Value: 43/100, Quality: 54/100, Momentum: 50/100. In addition: analysts see 32.6% upside to the price target; a dividend of 0.65%; technical signal: Buy. Whether Vistra is a good investment depends on your time horizon, risk profile and portfolio. This is a data-driven observation, not investment advice.
What is the outlook for Vistra stock?
The outlook for Vistra based on current data: the average analyst price target is $212.79 (+32.6%); the stock is in an uptrend (above SMA50 and SMA200); the next earnings report is due on Nov 6, 2026, which can move the price; the P/E ratio is 23.3 (moderate). Keep in mind that stock prices are affected by many factors, including earnings reports, the economy and market sentiment. Past returns are no guarantee of future returns.
Why is Vistra stock rising?
Vistra is rising right now. The technical indicators show: the price is 12.6% above the 20-day average; MACD is positive with rising momentum (bullish signal); insiders have mostly been buying the stock recently. For the latest context, see our technical analysis and insider section above.
How high can Vistra go?
The average analyst price target for Vistra is $212.79, which corresponds to a potential gain of 32.6% from the current price of $160.50. The stock has traded between $132.26 and $215.85 over the last 52 weeks. The price is 25.6% below the 52-week high, which can indicate potential if the underlying fundamentals are intact. Keep in mind that price targets are estimates, not guarantees. Actual price moves depend on earnings, market conditions and unexpected events.
How low can Vistra fall?
The stock has traded as low as $132.26 over the last 52 weeks — that is 17.6% below the current price of $160.50. The biggest decline (drawdown) in the same period was 38.7% from high to low. Within a year, the price typically swings about ±48.4% (standard deviation — a measure of price swings). A difficult year could therefore mean a further decline of that size. Remember: past price swings are no guarantee for the future — a stock can fall further than the last 52 weeks suggest, especially on profit warnings, sector crises or a market crash. Use stop-loss orders and spread your portfolio to limit losses in single stocks.
What does Vistra do?
**What Vistra Corp. does and how it makes money** Vistra Corp. makes electricity and sells it. The company earns money by supplying electricity and natural gas to homes, businesses and industrial customers across large parts of the United States. **How it produces electricity... The company belongs to the Utilities sector, more specifically the Utilities - Independent Power Producers industry, is headquartered in United States, and is traded on the USA Stocks. See the key figures, earnings history and price development above to evaluate Vistra as an investment.
Did Vistra raise or lower its guidance?
Over the last 60 days we have not registered a guidance raise or cut from Vistra. The company can still adjust its guidance at quarterly reports or between reports — see the earnings history above.
Is Vistra making money or losing money?
Yes, Vistra is making money, not losing it. The company has a profit margin (the share of revenue left over as profit) of 11.6% — which is solid. The operating margin (profit before interest and taxes) is 13.8%. At a P/E ratio of 23.3, you currently pay 23.3 dollars for every dollar of the company's annual earnings. A consistently profitable company is usually more resilient than growth stocks that are not yet making money.
Can Vistra go bankrupt?
The bankruptcy risk of Vistra is rated as elevated. Altman Z2 (a model for assessing financial distress) is 0.79 — that places the company in the weak zone. This is a probability based on the numbers, not a verdict — bankruptcy is not imminent. But the balance sheet is measurably weaker than average, so watch the debt, liquidity and possible capital raises. The Piotroski score (financial health 0-9, higher is better) is 6 — which is average. Debt relative to equity is 578% (high). Remember: models like Altman Z2 are statistical — unexpected shocks (fraud, a sector collapse, lawsuits) can always happen. Spread your portfolio.
Does Vistra have a lot of debt?
Yes, Vistra has elevated debt relative to equity. The debt-to-equity ratio (D/E — interest-bearing debt to equity) is 578%. For the utilities sector, anything above 250% counts as elevated — that raises the financial risk, especially if interest rates rise or earnings fall. Utilities naturally carry high debt because of long-term infrastructure investments and stable revenue — 150-250% is typical. Note: D/E levels are highly sector-specific — a bank at 300% debt is normal, a tech stock at 300% is extremely leveraged. Always compare with similar companies in the same sector. Can Vistra service its debt? Can service its debt, but it weighs on the company — the interest coverage ratio (how many times earnings can cover interest payments) is 1.8x, and net debt equals 2.9 years of earnings (EBITDA).

Other Stocks in Utilities

Compare Vistra with other stocks in the utilities sector. Click a stock to see its technical analysis, insider trading and key figures.

See all 18 stocks in the Utilities sector