Vistra (VST.US) Price Target 2026/2027: 55% Upside – Rating and Stock Analysis

142,17
1,13%
Price history for Vistra (VST.US) – stock price at 142.17 $, August 2026
Vistra stock price – price development 2026. Updated Aug 6, 2026.
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Vistra Price Target 2026: Analysts See 56% Upside

The average price target for Vistra is $221.61. This price target represents the analysts' view of the stock price over the next 12 months. The stock may be undervalued, because the price target is higher than the current price. The stock is 55,88% below the target, which can point to potential returns within the next 12 months if the analysts' view proves right. Also consider the stock's valuation ratios such as P/E, P/S and P/B, plus the technical analysis further down the page, for the full picture.

Is Vistra overvalued or undervalued?

Vistra is currently undervalued with a gap of 55.9% relative to the price target.


The current price is $142.17, which places Vistra in the undervalued category. The stock is considered undervalued when the price is below $199.45, and overvalued when the price exceeds $243.77.


The fair value range is defined as ±10% of the price target, because price targets are estimates rather than exact values. For Vistra, the fair value range lies between $199.45 and $243.77.


See the full price target analysis for Vistra →

Analyst Ratings for Vistra stock in 2026: Buy

18 analysts cover Vistra. There is broad agreement on a positive view — 83.4% recommend buying. The average price target is $221.61, which gives an upside of 55.9% from the current price.

Consensus: Buy (4.28/5)
Strong Buy
10 (55.6%)
Buy
5 (27.8%)
Hold
2 (11.1%)
Strong Sell
1 (5.6%)
Strong Sell Sell Hold Buy Strong Buy
4.28 out of 5 based on 18 analysts

About Vistra – Utilities - Independent Power Producers

Vistra Corp. driver en integreret forretning, hvor de både producerer og sælger strøm. De tjener penge på at levere elektricitet og naturgas til private, erhverv og industri i store dele af USA. Vistra Corp. driver selv kraftværker, der producerer strøm fra gas, kernekraft, kul og sol, og de har også batterilagre. Samlet set har de en produktionskapacitet på cirka 37.000 megawatt. De handler også med energi på engrosmarkedet. Virksomheden betjener omkring fire millioner kunder og blev grundlagt helt tilbage i 1882. Vistra Corp. er en af de store spillere i den amerikanske energisektor. Read more about the company

Key Figures for Vistra

$ 48,3B Market cap
$ 19,4B Revenue
Utilities - Independent Power Producers Industry
26.09 P/E
2.48 P/S
16.01 P/B
USA Listed on exchange

What kind of stock is Vistra?

Stable stock

Vistra is classified as a stable stock.

Score Overview for Vistra

💰 Value Score 41/100 (Neutral)
⭐ Quality Score 65/100 (High)
🚀 Momentum Score 26/100 (Low)
📊 Total Score 44/100

⚠️ 3 red flags identified 2 critical

Our analysis has identified 3 potential risk factors in Vistra that investors should be aware of.

🚨 High debt: The debt-to-equity ratio is 578% – the company carries considerably more debt than equity, which raises the financial risk.
⚠️ Weak balance sheet (elevated risk): Altman Z2 is 0.65 – the balance sheet is measurably weaker than average. This is a risk signal based on the numbers, not a bankruptcy prediction.
🚨 Falling earnings: Quarterly earnings have fallen 52% year over year – the company's profitability is under pressure.

📈 Valuation

Vistra trades at a P/E ratio of 26.1, which is above the market average. The forward P/E is 16.7 (36% lower), which suggests the market expects rising earnings. The P/S ratio is 2.5. The P/B ratio is 16.0. The PEG ratio is 0.44 — below 1.0 suggests the stock is cheap relative to its growth rate.

💵 Profitability & Growth

Vistra has a profit margin of 11.5% (solid) and an operating margin of 26.6%. Return on equity (ROE) is 42.9% — excellent return on equity. Return on assets (ROA) is 6.0%. The latest quarterly earnings grew -52.3% year over year — falling earnings.

🏦 Financial Health

The Piotroski score is 6 out of 9 — good financial health. Altman Z2 is 0.65 (weak balance sheet — elevated risk). The debt-to-equity ratio (D/E) is 577.9% — high debt, which raises the risk.

🚀 Momentum & Short Interest

Short interest is 4.32%.

Vistra Dividend 2026: 0.6% Dividend Yield

Dividend Key Figures for Vistra in 2026

Dividend yield
0.58%
Dividend per share
0.23 USD
Payout ratio
14.2%
Low
Dividend growth (6 years)
+246.2%
Avg. annual dividend (3 years)
0.64 USD

When does Vistra pay a dividend in 2026?

Latest ex-dividend date (traded without the dividend)
June 22, 2026
Next dividend payment
September 30, 2026
Latest payment date
June 30, 2026

How much does Vistra pay in dividends?

Vistra pays dividends to its shareholders. The most recently paid dividend was 0.23 USD per share, which corresponds to a dividend yield of 0.58%. Over the last 6 years, the annual dividend has grown by 246.2%, which shows positive dividend growth.

The payout ratio is 14.2%, which is low. This suggests the company prioritizes reinvesting in growth over dividend payments. There is good room to raise the dividend in the future.

Historical Dividend Payments for Vistra

We have registered dividend payments for Vistra since 2019-12-13. In that period the stock has paid a dividend 24 times, most recently on 2026-06-22. This stock qualifies as a stable dividend stock, because it has paid a dividend at least once a year for the last 5 years. That makes it attractive to investors looking for steady, regular dividend payments.

Ex-datePayment dateAmountCurrencyPeriod
2026-06-222026-06-300.23USDUnknown period
2026-03-202026-03-310.23USDUnknown period
2025-12-222025-12-310.23USDUnknown period
2025-03-202025-03-310.22USDUnknown period
2024-09-202024-09-300.22USDUnknown period
2024-06-182024-06-280.22USDUnknown period
2024-03-192024-03-290.22USDUnknown period
2023-12-192023-12-290.21USDUnknown period
2023-09-192023-09-290.21USDUnknown period
2023-06-202023-06-300.20USDUnknown period
2023-03-212023-03-310.20USDUnknown period
2022-12-192022-12-290.19USDUnknown period
2022-09-202022-09-300.18USDUnknown period
2022-06-212022-06-300.18USDUnknown period
2022-03-212022-03-310.17USDUnknown period
2021-12-152021-12-300.15USDUnknown period
2021-09-152021-09-300.15USDUnknown period
2021-06-152021-06-300.15USDUnknown period
2021-03-162021-03-310.15USDUnknown period
2020-12-152020-12-300.14USDUnknown period
2020-09-152020-09-300.14USDUnknown period
2020-06-152020-06-300.14USDUnknown period
2020-03-162020-03-310.14USDUnknown period
2019-12-132019-12-300.13USDUnknown period

Insider Trading in Vistra 2026: The Signal Is negative

In 2026, insiders at Vistra have made 20 transactions, all of which were sales. On a net basis, insiders took 116,122,354 $ out of the stock. Active insiders include SULT JOHN R, Acosta Arcilia, HELM SCOTT B and others. In the short term (last 3 months), the insider signal is negative.

Short-Term Signal (3 months): Negative

Insiders have exclusively sold shares over the last 3 months.

Over the last 3 months: 0 purchases and 7 sales. A net 8,014,227 $ out of the stock.

Long-Term Signal (all transactions): Negative

Insiders have exclusively sold shares in the recent period. This can suggest management sees limited opportunity.

Across the last 20 transactions: 0 purchases and 20 sales. A net 116,122,354 $ out of the stock.

Latest sale: SULT JOHN R sold 6,500 shares at 170 $ each on 2026-06-18.

Who is selling: SULT JOHN R, Acosta Arcilia, HELM SCOTT B, BARBAS PAUL M, Montemayor Margaret and others.

Latest Insider Trades in Vistra (2026)

The table shows the last 20 reported insider transactions in Vistra. Green rows are purchases, red rows are sales. The data is based on official filings.

Transaction date Name Type Number of shares Price per share ($) Total amount ($)
2026-06-18 SULT JOHN R Sell 6,500 170 1,105,000
2026-06-18 Acosta Arcilia Sell 7,500 170 1,275,000
2026-06-16 HELM SCOTT B Sell 25,000 160 4,000,000
2026-06-15 BARBAS PAUL M Sell 244 153 37,332
2026-06-12 BARBAS PAUL M Sell 244 148 36,095
2026-06-02 Montemayor Margaret Sell 4,600 160 736,000
2026-05-27 Montemayor Margaret Sell 5,000 165 824,800
2026-03-09 Stephanie Zapata Moore Sell 10,000 160 1,603,100
2026-03-09 Moore Stephanie Zapata Sell 10,000 160 1,603,100
2026-03-05 Moore Stephanie Zapata Sell 5,356 167 896,594

Who is buying and selling Vistra shares in 2026?

The following insiders have sold shares: SULT JOHN R, Acosta Arcilia, HELM SCOTT B, BARBAS PAUL M, Montemayor Margaret and others. In total, 116,122,354 $ was sold across 20 transactions. Insider trades are legal transactions in which executives and board members buy or sell shares of their own company. These transactions are reported to the SEC and are publicly available.

Vistra Short Selling 2026: 4.3% Sold Short

Moderate short interest: 4.3% of the free float
Short % of free float
4.3%
Assessment
Moderate short interest
Short squeeze risk
Low
Data source
SEC
Updated daily
The stock has a moderate share of short selling. Between 2-5% of the freely traded shares are sold short, which is within the normal range for most stocks.

Data is updated daily based on official filings with the SEC.
Short Interest Scale
0% 2% 5% 10% 20%+
Low Moderate High Very High Extreme
4.3%

When Does Vistra Report Earnings – Next Date: 8/7/2026

The next earnings report from Vistra is scheduled for August 7, 2026, before the market opens. This report covers the second quarter (Q2), which ended on June 30, 2026.



Technical Analysis of Vistra 2026 – Signal: Strong Sell

Overall Technical Signal: Strong Sell

Based on trend analysis (SMA50/SMA200) and MACD trend (positive/negative on a daily + weekly basis). Updated August 6, 2026.

Technical analysis of Vistra (VST.US) – RSI 39, MACD negative (bearish), daily candlestick chart August 2026
Vistra technical analysis – candlestick chart with RSI and MACD. Updated Aug 6, 2026.

Trend Analysis of Vistra Corp

Vistra Corp is in a short-term downtrend. The price of $140.58 is 9.5% below the 20-day average ($155.31). Medium term, the picture is negative: the price is 9.9% below the 50-day average ($155.96). Long term, the stock is 13.7% below the 200-day average ($162.81), which signals a long-term downtrend.

Death Cross: The 50-day average (155.96) is below the 200-day average (162.81), which is a classic bearish signal for Vistra Corp.

Is Vistra Corp overbought or oversold?

Vistra Corp has an RSI of 38.9. The stock sits in the lower part of the neutral zone, which points to weak momentum without being oversold. In the current downtrend, be careful about reading this as a buying opportunity.

MACD Analysis for Vistra Corp

Daily MACD: MACD is negative (-3.061), which means the short-term trend is bearish (the 12-day EMA is below the 26-day EMA). MACD is below the signal line (-1.203) by 1.858, which confirms growing negative momentum in the downtrend.

Weekly MACD: MACD5 is negative (-3.130), which indicates a broader bearish long-term trend. MACD5 is above the signal line (-3.588) by 0.458, which suggests the negative long-term momentum is fading – a bigger trend reversal could be ahead.

Overall MACD assessment: Both the daily and weekly trend are bearish (MACD negative). However, momentum shows signs of improving on a weekly basis – a potential trend reversal could be ahead, but it is not confirmed yet.

Risk Profile for Vistra Corp

Vistra Corp has an annual standard deviation of 49.7%, which classifies the stock as high risk. Sizeable price swings are normal, and the stock requires a higher risk tolerance.

Overall Technical Conclusion for Vistra Corp

Trend: Negative. The price trades below SMA50 and SMA200.

MACD trend (zero line): Daily bearish (-3.061). Weekly bearish (-3.130).

MACD momentum (signal): Daily falling. Weekly rising.

RSI: 38.9 – neutral.

Technical signal: Strong Sell

The price is in a downtrend (below SMA50/SMA200) and MACD is negative on both a daily and weekly basis. Avoid buying and consider closing existing positions.

Frequently Asked Questions About Vistra stock in 2026

Should you buy Vistra stock now?
No, the technical signal for Vistra is currently SELL. Vistra trades at $142.17 as of 8/6/2026. The overall technical signal is: Strong Sell. The technical analysis shows the following: MACD is negative (bearish trend) at -3.061 with falling momentum (signal: -1.203); RSI is at 38.9 (neutral zone); the stock is in a short-term downtrend (price below the 20-day average); the analyst price target of $221.61 points to 55.9% upside. The stock is in a broader downtrend (below SMA50/SMA200). Buying in a downtrend is generally not recommended. This is a technical observation based on current data, not investment advice.
What is the price target for Vistra stock?
The average analyst price target for Vistra is $221.61. The current price is $142.17, which gives an upside of 55.9%. Based on this, the stock is considered undervalued. The fair value range (±10% of the price target) is between $199.45 and $243.77.
Is Vistra a dividend stock?
Yes, Vistra is a dividend stock with a dividend yield of 0.58%. The latest dividend was $0.23 per share. The latest ex-dividend date (traded without the dividend) was 6/22/2026. The payout ratio is 14.2%, which is considered sustainable. The next dividend payment is scheduled for 9/30/2026.
When does Vistra pay a dividend in 2026?
Vistra pays its next dividend on 9/30/2026. The latest dividend was $0.23 per share with an ex-dividend date of 6/22/2026. The dividend yield is 0.58%. The payout ratio of 14.2% points to a sustainable dividend with room to grow.
What is the risk of Vistra stock?
Vistra is rated as a stock with high risk. the annual standard deviation is 49.7%, which classifies the stock as high risk.
Is Vistra overvalued?
No, Vistra is considered undervalued based on the analyst price target (55.9% upside). Vistra has the following valuation ratios: a P/E ratio of 26.1 (moderately to highly valued), a P/S ratio of 2.5, a P/B ratio of 16.0. The analyst price target suggests that the stock is undervalued by 55.9%.
Is Vistra overbought?
No, Vistra is not overbought. RSI is at 38.9 (neutral zone). The technical indicators show: RSI is at 38.9 (neutral zone between 30-70), which signals neither overbought nor oversold. In addition, the price is 8.5% below the 20-day average (short-term downtrend). In addition, MACD is negative with falling momentum (bearish).
When is the next Vistra earnings report?
Vistra reports its next earnings on August 7, 2026. The stock currently trades at $142.17. With a P/E ratio of 26.1, the market will be watching closely whether earnings meet expectations.
Is Vistra shorted?
Yes, Vistra is shorted with 4.3% of the free float sold short. This is a moderate level of short selling, within the normal range for most stocks. Data is updated daily based on official filings with the SEC.
Are insiders buying Vistra stock?
No, insiders are not buying Vistra shares – they are net sellers. Over the last 3 months, insiders have made 0 purchases and 7 sales. On a net basis, 8,014,227 $ worth of shares were sold. Across the last 20 reported transactions, the split is 0 purchases and 20 sales, with a net 116,122,354 $ sold. Active sellers include SULT JOHN R, Acosta Arcilia, HELM SCOTT B and others. Insider selling can have several explanations (e.g. planned 10b5-1 sales, portfolio diversification or taxes), but sustained selling by several insiders is worth watching closely.
Is Vistra a good stock?
Based on our total score, Vistra is rated as a mediocre stock with a total score of 44 out of 100. The stock scores around average on value, quality and momentum – it sits near the median in our database. The score is made up of Value: 41/100, Quality: 65/100, Momentum: 26/100. In addition: analysts see 55.9% upside to the price target; a dividend of 0.58%; technical signal: Strong Sell. Whether Vistra is a good investment depends on your time horizon, risk profile and portfolio. This is a data-driven observation, not investment advice.
What is the outlook for Vistra stock?
The outlook for Vistra based on current data: the average analyst price target is $221.61 (+55.9%); the stock is in a downtrend (below SMA50 and SMA200); the next earnings report is due on 8/7/2026, which can move the price; the P/E ratio is 26.1 (moderate). Keep in mind that stock prices are affected by many factors, including earnings reports, the economy and market sentiment. Past returns are no guarantee of future returns.
Why is Vistra stock falling?
Vistra is falling right now. The technical indicators show: the price is 8.5% below the 20-day average; MACD is negative with falling momentum (bearish signal); insiders have mostly been selling the stock recently. For the latest context, see our technical analysis, insider section and news overview above.
How high can Vistra go?
The average analyst price target for Vistra is $221.61, which corresponds to a potential gain of 55.9% from the current price of $142.17. Keep in mind that price targets are estimates, not guarantees. Actual price moves depend on earnings, market conditions and unexpected events.
How low can Vistra fall?
We lack enough history to give a specific floor for Vistra. Remember: past price swings are no guarantee for the future — a stock can fall further than the last 52 weeks suggest, especially on profit warnings, sector crises or a market crash. Use stop-loss orders and spread your portfolio to limit losses in single stocks.
What does Vistra do?
Vistra Corp. driver en integreret forretning, hvor de både producerer og sælger strøm. De tjener penge på at levere elektricitet og naturgas til private, erhverv og industri i store dele af USA. Vistra Corp. driver selv kraftværker, der producerer strøm fra gas, kernekraft, ku... The company belongs to the Forsyning sector, more specifically the Utilities - Independent Power Producers industry, is headquartered in USA, and is traded on the USA Stocks. See the key figures, earnings history and price development above to evaluate Vistra as an investment.
Did Vistra raise or lower its guidance?
Over the last 60 days we have not registered a guidance raise or cut from Vistra. The company can still adjust its guidance at quarterly reports or between reports — see the earnings history and the news overview above.
Is Vistra making money or losing money?
Yes, Vistra is making money, not losing it. The company has a profit margin (the share of revenue left over as profit) of 11.5% — which is solid. The operating margin (profit before interest and taxes) is 26.6%. At a P/E ratio of 26.1, you currently pay 26.1 dollars for every dollar of the company's annual earnings. A consistently profitable company is usually more resilient than growth stocks that are not yet making money.
Can Vistra go bankrupt?
The bankruptcy risk of Vistra is rated as elevated. Altman Z2 (a model for assessing financial distress) is 0.65 — that places the company in the weak zone. This is a probability based on the numbers, not a verdict — bankruptcy is not imminent. But the balance sheet is measurably weaker than average, so watch the debt, liquidity and possible capital raises. The Piotroski score (financial health 0-9, higher is better) is 6 — which is average. Debt relative to equity is 578% (high). Remember: models like Altman Z2 are statistical — unexpected shocks (fraud, a sector collapse, lawsuits) can always happen. Spread your portfolio.
Does Vistra have a lot of debt?
Yes, Vistra has elevated debt relative to equity. The debt-to-equity ratio (D/E — interest-bearing debt to equity) is 578%. For the forsyning sector, anything above 150% counts as elevated — that raises the financial risk, especially if interest rates rise or earnings fall. Note: D/E levels are highly sector-specific — a bank at 300% debt is normal, a tech stock at 300% is extremely leveraged. Always compare with similar companies in the same sector. Can Vistra service its debt? Can service its debt without problems — the interest coverage ratio (how many times earnings can cover interest payments) is 5.3x, and net debt equals 2.8 years of earnings (EBITDA).