Vale (VALE.US) Dividend 2026/2027: 37.6% – Price Target and Rating

14,85
-0,60%
Price history for Vale (VALE.US) – stock price at 14.85 $, August 2026
Vale stock price – price development 2026. Updated Aug 6, 2026.
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Vale Price Target 2026: Analysts See 13% Upside

The average price target for Vale is $16.79. This price target represents the analysts' view of the stock price over the next 12 months. The stock may be undervalued, because the price target is higher than the current price. The stock is 13,06% below the target, which can point to potential returns within the next 12 months if the analysts' view proves right. Also consider the stock's valuation ratios such as P/E, P/S and P/B, plus the technical analysis further down the page, for the full picture.

Is Vale overvalued or undervalued?

Vale is currently undervalued with a gap of 13.1% relative to the price target.


The current price is $14.85, which places Vale in the undervalued category. The stock is considered undervalued when the price is below $15.11, and overvalued when the price exceeds $18.47.


The fair value range is defined as ±10% of the price target, because price targets are estimates rather than exact values. For Vale, the fair value range lies between $15.11 and $18.47.


See the full price target analysis for Vale →

Analyst Ratings for Vale stock in 2026: Buy

26 analysts cover Vale. The ratings are mixed, with 53.9% Buy, 46.2% Hold and 0% Sell. The average price target is $16.79, which gives an upside of 13.1% from the current price.

Consensus: Buy (3.92/5)
Strong Buy
10 (38.5%)
Buy
4 (15.4%)
Hold
12 (46.2%)
Strong Sell Sell Hold Buy Strong Buy
3.92 out of 5 based on 26 analysts

About Vale – Andet industriel metal & minedrift

Vale er en stor spiller, der primært tjener penge på at grave råstoffer op af jorden. De er især kendt for at producere og sælge jernmalm og jernmalm-pellets. Det er deres store forretningsområde, som de kalder Iron Solutions. Derudover driver Vale en anden vigtig forretning, der fokuserer på materialer til energiovergangen. Her udvinder de nikkel og kobber, som bruges til alt fra rør til elektriske ledninger. De får også biprodukter som guld og sølv med. Vale blev grundlagt helt tilbage i 1942 i Brasilien, hvor de stadig har hovedkvarter i Rio de Janeiro. De arbejder internationalt og har efterhånden etableret sig globalt med forretninger i mange lande. Read more about the company

Key Figures for Vale

$ 63,1B Market cap
$ 218B Revenue
Andet industriel metal & minedrift Industry
29.08 P/E
0.29 P/S
1.75 P/B
USA Listed on exchange
vale.com Website

What kind of stock is Vale?

Dividend stock

Vale is classified as a dividend stock with a dividend of 37.6% and a payout ratio of 3%, which points to a sustainable dividend level.

Score Overview for Vale

💰 Value Score 70/100 (High)
⭐ Quality Score 57/100 (Neutral)
🚀 Momentum Score 51/100 (Neutral)
📊 Total Score 59/100

⚠️ 1 red flag identified

Our analysis has identified 1 potential risk factor in Vale that investors should be aware of.

⚠️ Falling earnings: Quarterly earnings have fallen 44% year over year – the company's profitability is under pressure.

📈 Valuation

Vale trades at a P/E ratio of 29.1, which is above the market average. The forward P/E is 8.1 (72% lower), which suggests the market expects rising earnings. The P/S ratio is 0.3 (low — potentially undervalued relative to revenue). The P/B ratio is 1.7. The PEG ratio is 0.35 — below 1.0 suggests the stock is cheap relative to its growth rate.

💵 Profitability & Growth

Vale has a profit margin of 4.8% (moderate) and an operating margin of 21.3%. Return on equity (ROE) is 4.1%. Return on assets (ROA) is 7.9%. The latest quarterly earnings grew -43.6% year over year — falling earnings.

🏦 Financial Health

The Piotroski score is 6 out of 9 — good financial health. Altman Z2 is 2.02 (middle zone — moderate). The debt-to-equity ratio (D/E) is 136.7% — moderate debt.

🚀 Momentum & Short Interest

Short interest is 1.37% — low, the market does not expect a decline.

Vale Dividend 2026: 37.6% Dividend Yield

Dividend Key Figures for Vale in 2026

Dividend yield
37.57%
Dividend per share
0.67 USD
Payout ratio
2.6%
Low
Dividend growth (5 years)
+200.0%
Avg. annual dividend (3 years)
1.21 USD

When does Vale pay a dividend in 2026?

Latest ex-dividend date (traded without the dividend)
December 12, 2025
Next dividend payment
March 11, 2026
Latest payment date
March 11, 2026

How much does Vale pay in dividends?

Vale pays dividends to its shareholders. The most recently paid dividend was 0.67 USD per share, which corresponds to a dividend yield of 37.57%. Over the last 5 years, the annual dividend has grown by 200.0%, which shows positive dividend growth.

The payout ratio is 2.6%, which is low. This suggests the company prioritizes reinvesting in growth over dividend payments. There is good room to raise the dividend in the future.

Historical Dividend Payments for Vale

We have registered dividend payments for Vale since 2020-09-22. In that period the stock has paid a dividend 16 times, most recently on 2025-12-12. However, the stock does not qualify as a stable or sporadic dividend stock, because the dividend payments have been inconsistent in recent years.

Ex-datePayment dateAmountCurrencyPeriod
2025-12-122026-03-110.67USDUnknown period
2025-08-132025-09-100.34USDUnknown period
2025-03-102025-03-210.37USDUnknown period
2024-12-122025-03-210.09USDUnknown period
2024-08-052024-09-110.37USDUnknown period
2024-03-122024-03-260.55USDUnknown period
2023-11-222023-12-080.47USDUnknown period
2023-08-142023-09-110.41USDUnknown period
2023-03-142023-03-290.35USDUnknown period
2022-12-132023-03-290.06USDUnknown period
2022-08-122022-09-090.69USDUnknown period
2022-03-092022-03-230.72USDUnknown period
2021-09-232021-10-081.56USDUnknown period
2021-06-242021-07-080.44USDUnknown period
2021-03-052021-03-220.77USDUnknown period
2020-09-222020-10-070.46USDUnknown period

Insider Trading in Vale 2026: The Signal Is mostly negative

In 2026, insiders at Vale have made 6 transactions – split into 4 purchases and 2 sales. On a net basis, insiders took 1,258,659,825 $ out of the stock. Active insiders include Viana Madeira Andre, Pereira Murat do Pillar Samanta, Sobrinho Sami Arap and others. In the short term (last 3 months), the insider signal is mostly negative.

Short-Term Signal (3 months): Mostly negative

Insiders have sold more than they have bought over the last 3 months.

Over the last 3 months: 1 purchases and 1 sales. A net 5,305 $ out of the stock.

Long-Term Signal (all transactions): Mostly negative

Insiders have sold considerably more than they have bought. At large companies this can be due to planned sales (10b5-1 plans) and is not necessarily a negative signal.

Across the last 6 transactions: 4 purchases and 2 sales. A net 1,258,659,825 $ out of the stock.

Latest purchase: Viana Madeira Andre bought 9 shares at 16 $ each on 2026-06-17. The stock has since fallen 6.6%.

Latest sale: Quintao Lara Anelise sold 338 shares at 16 $ each on 2026-06-16.

Who is buying: Viana Madeira Andre, Pereira Murat do Pillar Samanta, Sobrinho Sami Arap, Parenti Grazielle Tallia.

Who is selling: Quintao Lara Anelise, Vale S.A..

Latest Insider Trades in Vale (2026)

The table shows the last 6 reported insider transactions in Vale. Green rows are purchases, red rows are sales. The data is based on official filings.

Transaction date Name Type Number of shares Price per share ($) Total amount ($)
2026-06-17 Viana Madeira Andre Buy 9 16 144
2026-06-16 Quintao Lara Anelise Sell 338 16 5,449
2026-05-04 Pereira Murat do Pillar Samanta Buy 2,053 16 32,622
2026-04-01 Sobrinho Sami Arap Buy 12,990 16 209,269
2026-04-01 Parenti Grazielle Tallia Buy 10,464 16 168,575
2021-11-09 Vale S.A. Sell 34,176,574 37 1,259,064,986

Who is buying and selling Vale shares in 2026?

The following insiders have bought shares in Vale: Viana Madeira Andre, Pereira Murat do Pillar Samanta, Sobrinho Sami Arap, Parenti Grazielle Tallia. In total, 410,610 $ was bought across 4 transactions. The following insiders have sold shares: Quintao Lara Anelise, Vale S.A.. In total, 1,259,070,435 $ was sold across 2 transactions. Insider trades are legal transactions in which executives and board members buy or sell shares of their own company. These transactions are reported to the SEC and are publicly available.

Vale Short Selling 2026: 1.4% Sold Short

Low short interest: 1.4% of the free float
Short % of free float
1.4%
Assessment
Low short interest
Short squeeze risk
Low
Data source
SEC
Updated daily
The stock has a low share of short selling. Less than 2% of the freely traded shares are sold short, which points to limited bearish sentiment.

Data is updated daily based on official filings with the SEC.
Short Interest Scale
0% 2% 5% 10% 20%+
Low Moderate High Very High Extreme
1.4%

When Does Vale Report Earnings?

The next earnings date for Vale is not yet available. Check the company's investor calendar for more information.



Technical Analysis of Vale 2026 – Signal: Hold

Overall Technical Signal: Hold

Based on trend analysis (SMA50/SMA200) and MACD trend (positive/negative on a daily + weekly basis). Updated August 6, 2026.

Technical analysis of Vale (VALE.US) – RSI 52, MACD negative (bearish), daily candlestick chart August 2026
Vale technical analysis – candlestick chart with RSI and MACD. Updated Aug 6, 2026.

Trend Analysis of Vale S.A

Vale S.A is in a short-term uptrend. The price of $14.94 is 2.4% above the 20-day average ($14.59). Medium term, the picture is negative: the price is 1.3% below the 50-day average ($15.14). Long term, the stock is 1.3% above the 200-day average ($14.75), which confirms a long-term uptrend.

Golden Cross: The 50-day average (15.14) is above the 200-day average (14.75), which is a classic bullish signal for Vale S.A.

Is Vale S.A overbought or oversold?

Vale S.A has an RSI of 52.1, right in the middle of the neutral zone. There is no clear buying or selling pressure.

MACD Analysis for Vale S.A

Daily MACD: MACD is negative (-0.049), which means the short-term trend is bearish (the 12-day EMA is below the 26-day EMA). MACD is above the signal line (-0.130) by 0.081, which suggests the negative momentum is fading – a potential trend reversal could be ahead.

Weekly MACD: MACD5 is positive (0.124), which indicates a broader bullish long-term trend. MACD5 is below the signal line (0.502) by 0.378, which suggests the long-term momentum is fading – the positive trend could come under pressure.

Overall MACD assessment: The daily and weekly MACD give conflicting signals. The long-term trend is bullish, but the short-term trend is bearish. Daily momentum is rising, though, which could suggest the pullback is over.

Risk Profile for Vale S.A

Vale S.A has an annual standard deviation of 31.4%, which classifies the stock as moderately low risk. There is some volatility, but the price is relatively stable.

Overall Technical Conclusion for Vale S.A

Trend: Neutral/mixed.

MACD trend (zero line): Daily bearish (-0.049). Weekly bullish (0.124).

MACD momentum (signal): Daily rising. Weekly falling.

RSI: 52.1 – neutral.

Technical signal: Hold

The signals are mixed – trend and MACD point in different directions. Wait until MACD crosses the zero line in the direction of the trend before acting.

Frequently Asked Questions About Vale stock in 2026

Should you buy Vale stock now?
The technical signal for Vale is currently NEUTRAL. Vale trades at $14.85 as of 8/6/2026. The overall technical signal is: Hold. The technical analysis shows the following: MACD is negative (bearish trend) at -0.049 with rising momentum (signal: -0.130); RSI is at 52.1 (neutral zone); the stock is in a short-term uptrend (price above the 20-day average); the analyst price target of $16.79 points to 13.1% upside. This is a technical observation based on current data, not investment advice.
What is the price target for Vale stock?
The average analyst price target for Vale is $16.79. The current price is $14.85, which gives an upside of 13.1%. Based on this, the stock is considered undervalued. The fair value range (±10% of the price target) is between $15.11 and $18.47.
Is Vale a dividend stock?
Yes, Vale is a dividend stock with a dividend yield of 37.57%. The latest dividend was $0.67 per share. The latest ex-dividend date (traded without the dividend) was 12/12/2025. The payout ratio is 2.6%, which is considered sustainable. The next dividend payment is scheduled for 3/11/2026.
When does Vale pay a dividend in 2026?
Vale pays its next dividend on 3/11/2026. The latest dividend was $0.67 per share with an ex-dividend date of 12/12/2025. The dividend yield is 37.57%. The payout ratio of 2.6% points to a sustainable dividend with room to grow.
What is the risk of Vale stock?
Vale is rated as a stock with moderately low risk. the annual standard deviation is 31.4%, which classifies the stock as moderately low risk.
Is Vale overvalued?
No, Vale is considered undervalued based on the analyst price target (13.1% upside). Vale has the following valuation ratios: a P/E ratio of 29.1 (moderately to highly valued), a P/S ratio of 0.3, a P/B ratio of 1.7. The analyst price target suggests that the stock is undervalued by 13.1%.
Is Vale overbought?
No, Vale is not overbought. RSI is at 52.1 (neutral zone). The technical indicators show: RSI is at 52.1 (neutral zone between 30-70), which signals neither overbought nor oversold. In addition, the price is 1.8% above the 20-day average (short-term uptrend). In addition, MACD is negative, but momentum is rising (possible trend reversal).
When is the next Vale earnings report?
The date of the next earnings report for Vale has not been published yet. Check the company's investor calendar for updates.
Is Vale shorted?
Yes, Vale is shorted with 1.4% of the free float sold short. This is a moderate level of short selling, within the normal range for most stocks. Data is updated daily based on official filings with the SEC.
Are insiders buying Vale stock?
No, insiders are not buying Vale shares – they are net sellers. Over the last 3 months, insiders have made 1 purchases and 1 sales. On a net basis, 5,305 $ worth of shares were sold. Across the last 6 reported transactions, the split is 4 purchases and 2 sales, with a net 1,258,659,825 $ sold. Active sellers include Quintao Lara Anelise, Vale S.A.. Insider selling can have several explanations (e.g. planned 10b5-1 sales, portfolio diversification or taxes), but sustained selling by several insiders is worth watching closely.
Is Vale a good stock?
Based on our total score, Vale is rated as a mediocre stock with a total score of 59 out of 100. The stock scores around average on value, quality and momentum – it sits near the median in our database. The score is made up of Value: 70/100, Quality: 57/100, Momentum: 51/100. In addition: analysts see 13.1% upside to the price target; a dividend of 37.57%; technical signal: Hold. Whether Vale is a good investment depends on your time horizon, risk profile and portfolio. This is a data-driven observation, not investment advice.
What is the outlook for Vale stock?
The outlook for Vale based on current data: the average analyst price target is $16.79 (+13.1%); the P/E ratio is 29.1 (moderate). Keep in mind that stock prices are affected by many factors, including earnings reports, the economy and market sentiment. Past returns are no guarantee of future returns.
Why is Vale stock moving?
Vale is stable right now. The technical indicators show: the price is close to the 20-day average; insiders have mostly been buying the stock recently. For the latest context, see our technical analysis, insider section and news overview above.
How high can Vale go?
The average analyst price target for Vale is $16.79, which corresponds to a potential gain of 13.1% from the current price of $14.85. Keep in mind that price targets are estimates, not guarantees. Actual price moves depend on earnings, market conditions and unexpected events.
How low can Vale fall?
We lack enough history to give a specific floor for Vale. Remember: past price swings are no guarantee for the future — a stock can fall further than the last 52 weeks suggest, especially on profit warnings, sector crises or a market crash. Use stop-loss orders and spread your portfolio to limit losses in single stocks.
What does Vale do?
Vale er en stor spiller, der primært tjener penge på at grave råstoffer op af jorden. De er især kendt for at producere og sælge jernmalm og jernmalm-pellets. Det er deres store forretningsområde, som de kalder Iron Solutions. Derudover driver Vale en anden vigtig forretning,... The company belongs to the Materialer sector, more specifically the Andet industriel metal & minedrift industry, is headquartered in USA, and is traded on the USA Stocks. See the key figures, earnings history and price development above to evaluate Vale as an investment.
Did Vale raise or lower its guidance?
Over the last 60 days we have not registered a guidance raise or cut from Vale. The company can still adjust its guidance at quarterly reports or between reports — see the earnings history and the news overview above.
Is Vale making money or losing money?
Yes, Vale is making money, not losing it. The company has a profit margin (the share of revenue left over as profit) of 4.8% — which is modest. The operating margin (profit before interest and taxes) is 21.3%. At a P/E ratio of 29.1, you currently pay 29.1 dollars for every dollar of the company's annual earnings. A consistently profitable company is usually more resilient than growth stocks that are not yet making money.
Can Vale go bankrupt?
The bankruptcy risk of Vale is rated as moderate. Altman Z2 (a model for assessing financial distress) is 2.02 — that places the company in the middle zone. The Piotroski score (financial health 0-9, higher is better) is 6 — which is average. Debt relative to equity is 137% (moderate). Remember: models like Altman Z2 are statistical — unexpected shocks (fraud, a sector collapse, lawsuits) can always happen. Spread your portfolio.
Does Vale have a lot of debt?
Vale has moderate debt relative to equity. The debt-to-equity ratio (D/E — interest-bearing debt to equity) is 137%. For the materialer sector, 80-150% counts as a typical level. Note: D/E levels are highly sector-specific — a bank at 300% debt is normal, a tech stock at 300% is extremely leveraged. Always compare with similar companies in the same sector. Can Vale service its debt? Can service its debt without problems — the interest coverage ratio (how many times earnings can cover interest payments) is 7.5x, and net debt equals 0.2 years of earnings (EBITDA).