Upstart (UPST.US) Price Target 2026/2027: 30% Upside – Rating and Stock Analysis

30,76
1,85%
Price history for Upstart (UPST.US) – stock price at 30.76 $, August 2026
Upstart stock price – price development 2026. Updated Aug 6, 2026.
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Upstart Price Target 2026: Analysts See 29% Upside

The average price target for Upstart is $39.80. This price target represents the analysts' view of the stock price over the next 12 months. The stock may be undervalued, because the price target is higher than the current price. The stock is 29,39% below the target, which can point to potential returns within the next 12 months if the analysts' view proves right. Also consider the stock's valuation ratios such as P/E, P/S and P/B, plus the technical analysis further down the page, for the full picture.

Is Upstart overvalued or undervalued?

Upstart is currently undervalued with a gap of 29.4% relative to the price target.


The current price is $30.76, which places Upstart in the undervalued category. The stock is considered undervalued when the price is below $35.82, and overvalued when the price exceeds $43.78.


The fair value range is defined as ±10% of the price target, because price targets are estimates rather than exact values. For Upstart, the fair value range lies between $35.82 and $43.78.


See the full price target analysis for Upstart →

Analyst Ratings for Upstart stock in 2026: Hold

15 analysts cover Upstart. The ratings are mixed, with 40% Buy, 46.7% Hold and 13.4% Sell. The average price target is $39.80, which gives an upside of 29.4% from the current price.

Consensus: Hold (3.47/5)
Strong Buy
4 (26.7%)
Buy
2 (13.3%)
Hold
7 (46.7%)
Sell
1 (6.7%)
Strong Sell
1 (6.7%)
Strong Sell Sell Hold Buy Strong Buy
3.47 out of 5 based on 15 analysts

About Upstart – Credit Services

Upstart Holdings, eller bare upst.us, driver en AI-baseret låneplatform i USA. De tjener penge ved at samle folks låneansøgninger og matche dem med banker og kreditforeninger, som bruger deres kunstige intelligens til at vurdere risikoen. Upstart Holdings laver altså en slags digital mellemmand, hvor de kobler efterspørgsel efter lån med udbydere. Deres system hjælper långivere med at træffe smartere beslutninger. Virksomheden blev grundlagt i 2012 og har hovedkvarter i Californien. upst.us fokuserer udelukkende på det amerikanske marked. De har efterhånden fået et stort netværk af partnere, der bruger deres AI-teknologi. Read more about the company

Key Figures for Upstart

$ 2,9B Market cap
$ 1,2B Revenue
Credit Services Industry
72.19 P/E
2.47 P/S
3.58 P/B
USA Listed on exchange

What kind of stock is Upstart?

Growth stock

Upstart is classified as a growth stock with quarterly earnings growth of 209.1% and strong long-term momentum of 0.0%.

Score Overview for Upstart

💰 Value Score 29/100 (Low)
⭐ Quality Score 31/100 (Low)
🚀 Momentum Score 10/100 (Very Low)
📊 Total Score 23/100

⚠️ 2 red flags identified 1 critical

Our analysis has identified 2 potential risk factors in Upstart that investors should be aware of.

⚠️ High debt: The debt-to-equity ratio is 274% – the company carries considerably more debt than equity, which raises the financial risk.
🚨 High short interest: 31.4% of the shares are sold short – many professional investors are betting on price declines.

📈 Valuation

Upstart trades at a P/E ratio of 72.2, which is above the market average. The forward P/E is 34.7 (52% lower), which suggests the market expects rising earnings. The P/S ratio is 2.5. The P/B ratio is 3.6.

💵 Profitability & Growth

Upstart has a profit margin of 4.2% (moderate) and an operating margin of 0.9%. Return on equity (ROE) is 7.0%. Return on assets (ROA) is 1.8%. The latest quarterly earnings grew 209.1% year over year — strong growth.

🏦 Financial Health

The Piotroski score is 5 out of 9 — average financial health. The debt-to-equity ratio (D/E) is 273.8% — high debt, which raises the risk.

🚀 Momentum & Short Interest

Short interest is 31.36% — very high, the market is skeptical.

Insider Trading in Upstart 2026: The Signal Is mixed

In 2026, insiders at Upstart have made 20 transactions – split into 4 purchases and 16 sales. On a net basis, insiders took 185,469 $ out of the stock. Active insiders include Mirgorodskaya Natalia, Gu Paul, Girouard Dave and others. In the short term (last 3 months), the insider signal is mixed.

Short-Term Signal (3 months): Mixed

There are both insider purchases and sales over the last 3 months, with no clear direction.

Over the last 3 months: 2 purchases and 8 sales. A net 343,995 $ into the stock.

Long-Term Signal (all transactions): Mixed

There are both insider purchases and sales, with no clear direction. This is normal for large companies, where management adjusts positions on an ongoing basis.

Across the last 20 transactions: 4 purchases and 16 sales. A net 185,469 $ out of the stock.

Latest purchase: Mirgorodskaya Natalia bought 4,600 shares at 1 $ each on 2026-05-15. The stock has since risen 2137%.

Latest sale: Datta Sanjay sold 15,000 shares at 30 $ each on 2026-06-09.

Who is buying: Mirgorodskaya Natalia, Gu Paul, Girouard Dave, Darling Scott.

Who is selling: Datta Sanjay, Mirgorodskaya Natalia, Darling Scott, Blankmeyer Andrea, Natalia Mirgorodskaya and others.

Latest Insider Trades in Upstart (2026)

The table shows the last 20 reported insider transactions in Upstart. Green rows are purchases, red rows are sales. The data is based on official filings.

Transaction date Name Type Number of shares Price per share ($) Total amount ($)
2026-06-09 Datta Sanjay Sell 15,000 30 456,150
2026-05-26 Mirgorodskaya Natalia Sell 974 29 28,236
2026-05-20 Mirgorodskaya Natalia Sell 526 29 15,133
2026-05-20 Datta Sanjay Sell 7,985 29 229,728
2026-05-20 Darling Scott Sell 6,634 29 190,927
2026-05-15 Mirgorodskaya Natalia Buy 4,600 1 6,210
2026-05-15 Datta Sanjay Sell 806 30 24,204
2026-05-15 Darling Scott Sell 286 30 8,577
2026-05-15 Blankmeyer Andrea Sell 2,759 31 84,260
2026-05-13 Gu Paul Buy 50,000 28 1,375,000

Who is buying and selling Upstart shares in 2026?

The following insiders have bought shares in Upstart: Mirgorodskaya Natalia, Gu Paul, Girouard Dave, Darling Scott. In total, 1,622,256 $ was bought across 4 transactions. The following insiders have sold shares: Datta Sanjay, Mirgorodskaya Natalia, Darling Scott, Blankmeyer Andrea, Natalia Mirgorodskaya and others. In total, 1,807,725 $ was sold across 16 transactions. Insider trades are legal transactions in which executives and board members buy or sell shares of their own company. These transactions are reported to the SEC and are publicly available.

Upstart Short Selling 2026: 31.4% Sold Short

Extremely shorted: 31.4% of the free float
Short % of free float
31.4%
Assessment
Extremely shorted
Short squeeze risk
Very High
Data source
SEC
Updated daily
The stock has an extremely high share of short selling. More than 20% of the freely traded shares are sold short, which is unusual and can point to great skepticism among institutional investors. The risk of a short squeeze on positive news is considerable.

What does this mean for you as an investor?
A short interest of 31.4% means that 31.4% of the freely traded shares in Upstart have been borrowed and sold by investors betting on falling prices. On positive surprises (e.g. a strong earnings report), short sellers can be forced to buy back shares quickly to close their positions, which can cause a short squeeze with sharp price gains in a short time.

Data is updated daily based on official filings with the SEC.
Short Interest Scale
0% 2% 5% 10% 20%+
Low Moderate High Very High Extreme
31.4%

When Does Upstart Report Earnings?

The next earnings date for Upstart is not yet available. Check the company's investor calendar for more information.



Technical Analysis of Upstart 2026 – Signal: Strong Sell

Overall Technical Signal: Strong Sell

Based on trend analysis (SMA50/SMA200) and MACD trend (positive/negative on a daily + weekly basis). Updated August 6, 2026.

Technical analysis of Upstart (UPST.US) – RSI 52, MACD negative (bearish), daily candlestick chart August 2026
Upstart technical analysis – candlestick chart with RSI and MACD. Updated Aug 6, 2026.

Trend Analysis of Upstart Holdings, Inc

Upstart Holdings, Inc is in a short-term uptrend. The price of $30.20 is 2.6% above the 20-day average ($29.44). Medium term, the picture is negative: the price is 3.2% below the 50-day average ($31.18). Long term, the stock is 15.5% below the 200-day average ($35.75), which signals a long-term downtrend.

Death Cross: The 50-day average (31.18) is below the 200-day average (35.75), which is a classic bearish signal for Upstart Holdings, Inc.

Is Upstart Holdings, Inc overbought or oversold?

Upstart Holdings, Inc has an RSI of 51.9, right in the middle of the neutral zone. There is no clear buying or selling pressure.

MACD Analysis for Upstart Holdings, Inc

Daily MACD: MACD is negative (-0.770), which means the short-term trend is bearish (the 12-day EMA is below the 26-day EMA). MACD is above the signal line (-0.999) by 0.229, which suggests the negative momentum is fading – a potential trend reversal could be ahead.

Weekly MACD: MACD5 is negative (-2.620), which indicates a broader bearish long-term trend. MACD5 is above the signal line (-3.248) by 0.628, which suggests the negative long-term momentum is fading – a bigger trend reversal could be ahead.

Overall MACD assessment: Both the daily and weekly trend are bearish (MACD negative). However, momentum shows signs of improving on a daily basis – a potential trend reversal could be ahead, but it is not confirmed yet.

Risk Profile for Upstart Holdings, Inc

Upstart Holdings, Inc has an annual standard deviation of 67.1%, which classifies the stock as high risk. Sizeable price swings are normal, and the stock requires a higher risk tolerance.

Overall Technical Conclusion for Upstart Holdings, Inc

Trend: Negative. The price trades below SMA50 and SMA200.

MACD trend (zero line): Daily bearish (-0.770). Weekly bearish (-2.620).

MACD momentum (signal): Daily rising. Weekly rising.

RSI: 51.9 – neutral.

Technical signal: Strong Sell

The price is in a downtrend (below SMA50/SMA200) and MACD is negative on both a daily and weekly basis. Avoid buying and consider closing existing positions.

Frequently Asked Questions About Upstart stock in 2026

Should you buy Upstart stock now?
No, the technical signal for Upstart is currently SELL. Upstart trades at $30.76 as of 8/6/2026. The overall technical signal is: Strong Sell. The technical analysis shows the following: MACD is negative (bearish trend) at -0.770 with rising momentum (signal: -0.999); RSI is at 51.9 (neutral zone); the stock is in a short-term uptrend (price above the 20-day average); the analyst price target of $39.80 points to 29.4% upside. The stock is in a broader downtrend (below SMA50/SMA200). Buying in a downtrend is generally not recommended. This is a technical observation based on current data, not investment advice.
What is the price target for Upstart stock?
The average analyst price target for Upstart is $39.80. The current price is $30.76, which gives an upside of 29.4%. Based on this, the stock is considered undervalued. The fair value range (±10% of the price target) is between $35.82 and $43.78.
Is Upstart a dividend stock?
No, Upstart does not currently pay a dividend to shareholders. The company reinvests its profits in growth instead of paying dividends.
What is the risk of Upstart stock?
Upstart is rated as a stock with high risk. the annual standard deviation is 67.1%, which classifies the stock as high risk.
Is Upstart overvalued?
No, Upstart is considered undervalued based on the analyst price target (29.4% upside). Upstart has the following valuation ratios: a P/E ratio of 72.2 (highly valued), a P/S ratio of 2.5, a P/B ratio of 3.6. The analyst price target suggests that the stock is undervalued by 29.4%.
Is Upstart overbought?
No, Upstart is not overbought. RSI is at 51.9 (neutral zone). The technical indicators show: RSI is at 51.9 (neutral zone between 30-70), which signals neither overbought nor oversold. In addition, the price is 4.5% above the 20-day average (short-term uptrend). In addition, MACD is negative, but momentum is rising (possible trend reversal).
When is the next Upstart earnings report?
The date of the next earnings report for Upstart has not been published yet. Check the company's investor calendar for updates.
Is Upstart shorted?
Yes, Upstart is shorted with 31.4% of the free float sold short. This is an extremely high level of short selling, which points to great skepticism among institutional investors. The risk of a short squeeze on positive news or earnings is very high. Data is updated daily based on official filings with the SEC.
Are insiders buying Upstart stock?
Yes, insiders are net buyers of Upstart – they are buying more shares than they are selling. Over the last 3 months, insiders have made 2 purchases and 8 sales. On a net basis, 343,995 $ worth of shares were bought. Across the last 20 reported transactions, the split is 4 purchases and 16 sales, with a net 185,469 $ sold. Active buyers include Mirgorodskaya Natalia, Gu Paul, Girouard Dave and others. Insider buying is generally seen as a positive signal, because management is putting its own money into the company.
Is Upstart a good stock?
Based on our total score, Upstart is rated as a poor stock with a total score of 23 out of 100. The stock scores below average on value, quality and momentum – it sits at the lower end of the market. The score is made up of Value: 29/100, Quality: 31/100, Momentum: 10/100. In addition: analysts see 29.4% upside to the price target; technical signal: Strong Sell. Whether Upstart is a good investment depends on your time horizon, risk profile and portfolio. This is a data-driven observation, not investment advice.
What is the outlook for Upstart stock?
The outlook for Upstart based on current data: the average analyst price target is $39.80 (+29.4%); the stock is in a downtrend (below SMA50 and SMA200); the P/E ratio is 72.2 (high – the market expects growth). Keep in mind that stock prices are affected by many factors, including earnings reports, the economy and market sentiment. Past returns are no guarantee of future returns.
Why is Upstart stock rising?
Upstart is rising right now. The technical indicators show: the price is 4.5% above the 20-day average; short interest is 31.4% (high – many are betting on a decline); insiders have mostly been selling the stock recently. For the latest context, see our technical analysis, insider section and news overview above.
How high can Upstart go?
The average analyst price target for Upstart is $39.80, which corresponds to a potential gain of 29.4% from the current price of $30.76. Keep in mind that price targets are estimates, not guarantees. Actual price moves depend on earnings, market conditions and unexpected events.
How low can Upstart fall?
We lack enough history to give a specific floor for Upstart. Remember: past price swings are no guarantee for the future — a stock can fall further than the last 52 weeks suggest, especially on profit warnings, sector crises or a market crash. Use stop-loss orders and spread your portfolio to limit losses in single stocks.
What does Upstart do?
Upstart Holdings, eller bare upst.us, driver en AI-baseret låneplatform i USA. De tjener penge ved at samle folks låneansøgninger og matche dem med banker og kreditforeninger, som bruger deres kunstige intelligens til at vurdere risikoen. Upstart Holdings laver altså en slags... The company belongs to the Financiel service sector, more specifically the Credit Services industry, is headquartered in USA, and is traded on the USA Stocks. See the key figures, earnings history and price development above to evaluate Upstart as an investment.
Did Upstart raise or lower its guidance?
Over the last 60 days we have not registered a guidance raise or cut from Upstart. The company can still adjust its guidance at quarterly reports or between reports — see the earnings history and the news overview above.
Is Upstart making money or losing money?
Yes, Upstart is making money, not losing it. The company has a profit margin (the share of revenue left over as profit) of 4.2% — which is modest. The operating margin (profit before interest and taxes) is 0.9%. At a P/E ratio of 72.2, you currently pay 72.2 dollars for every dollar of the company's annual earnings. A consistently profitable company is usually more resilient than growth stocks that are not yet making money.
Can Upstart go bankrupt?
Altman Z2 is not used for banks and financial companies — their balance sheet is built on debt (that is the business model), so the model would wrongly classify a healthy bank as distressed. For Upstart, look instead at the capital base (e.g. the core capital ratio), loan losses and earnings power.
Does Upstart have a lot of debt?
Yes, Upstart has elevated debt relative to equity. The debt-to-equity ratio (D/E — interest-bearing debt to equity) is 274%. For the financiel service sector, anything above 150% counts as elevated — that raises the financial risk, especially if interest rates rise or earnings fall. Note: D/E levels are highly sector-specific — a bank at 300% debt is normal, a tech stock at 300% is extremely leveraged. Always compare with similar companies in the same sector. Can Upstart service its debt? Could struggle to service its debt — the interest coverage ratio (how many times earnings can cover interest payments) is -0.7x, and net debt equals 10.6 years of earnings (EBITDA).