TMC the metals (TMC.US) Price Target 2026/2027: 195% Upside – Rating and Stock Analysis

3.70
Price history for TMC the metals (TMC.US) – stock price at $3.70, October 2026
TMC the metals stock price – price development 2026. Updated Oct 7, 2026.
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TMC the metals Price Target 2026: Analysts See 195% Upside

The average price target for TMC the metals is $10.90. This price target represents the analysts' view of the stock price over the next 12 months. The stock may be undervalued, because the price target is higher than the current price. The stock is 194.59% below the target, which can point to potential returns within the next 12 months if the analysts' view proves right. Also consider the stock's valuation ratios such as P/E, P/S and P/B, plus the technical analysis further down the page, for the full picture.

Is TMC the metals overvalued or undervalued?

TMC the metals is currently undervalued with a gap of 194.6% relative to the price target.


The current price is $3.70, which places TMC the metals in the undervalued category. The stock is considered undervalued when the price is below $9.81, and overvalued when the price exceeds $11.99.


The fair value range is defined as ±10% of the price target, because price targets are estimates rather than exact values. For TMC the metals, the fair value range lies between $9.81 and $11.99.


See the full price target analysis for TMC the metals →

Analyst Ratings for TMC the metals stock in 2026: Strong Buy

6 analysts cover TMC the metals. There is broad agreement on a positive view — 100% recommend buying. The average price target is $10.90, which gives an upside of 194.6% from the current price.

Consensus: Strong Buy (4.50/5)
Strong Buy
3 (50%)
Buy
3 (50%)
Strong Sell Sell Hold Buy Strong Buy
4.50 out of 5 based on 6 analysts

About TMC the metals – Other Industrial Metals & Mining

TMC the metals company Inc., a deep-sea minerals exploration company, focuses on the collection, processing, and refining of polymetallic nodules found on the seafloor in California. It primarily explores for nickel, cobalt, copper, and manganese products. The company holds exploration and commercial rights in two polymetallic nodule contract areas in the Clarion Clipperton Zone of the Pacific Ocean. Its products are used in electric vehicles (EV) and energy storage markets; manganese alloy production required for steel production; and EV wiring, energy transmission, and other applications. The company was founded in 2011 and is based in Vancouver, Canada. Read more about the company

Key Figures for TMC the metals

$2.1B Market cap
- Revenue
Other Industrial Metals & Mining Industry
- P/E
- P/S
35.35 P/B
United States Listed on exchange
metals.co Website

What kind of stock is TMC the metals?

Speculative stock

TMC the metals is classified as a speculative stock.

Score Overview for TMC the metals

💰 Value Score 1/100 (Very Low)
⭐ Quality Score 6/100 (Very Low)
🚀 Momentum Score 7/100 (Very Low)
📊 Total Score 4/100

⚠️ 5 red flags identified 3 critical

Our analysis has identified 5 potential risk factors in TMC the metals that investors should be aware of.

🚨 High debt: The debt-to-equity ratio is 1,000% – the company carries considerably more debt than equity, which raises the financial risk.
⚠️ Weak financial health: The Piotroski score is only 3/9 – the company shows signs of weakened profitability, liquidity or capital structure.
🚨 Weak balance sheet (elevated risk): Altman Z2 is -28.31 – the balance sheet is measurably weaker than average. This is a risk signal based on the numbers, not a bankruptcy prediction.
🚨 Negative return on equity: ROE is -1,123.2% – the company is generating a negative return for shareholders.
⚠️ High short interest: 10.3% of the shares are sold short – many professional investors are betting on price declines.

📈 Valuation

The P/B ratio is 35.3.

🏦 Financial Health

The Piotroski score is 3 out of 9 — weak financial health, be careful. Altman Z2 is -28.31 (weak balance sheet — elevated risk). The debt-to-equity ratio (D/E) is 1,000.0% — high debt, which raises the risk.

🚀 Momentum & Short Interest

Short interest is 10.30% — very high, the market is skeptical.

Insider Trading in TMC the metals 2026: The Signal Is mostly negative

In 2026, insiders at TMC the metals have made 17 transactions – split into 2 purchases and 15 sales. On a net basis, insiders took $15,201,657 out of the stock. Active insiders include Treace John T., Brendan May, Anthony O'sullivan and others.

Short-Term Signal (3 months): No activity

There has been no insider trading in the last 3 months.

Long-Term Signal (all transactions): Mostly negative

Insiders have sold considerably more than they have bought. At large companies this can be due to planned sales (10b5-1 plans) and is not necessarily a negative signal.

Across the last 17 transactions: 2 purchases and 15 sales. A net $15,201,657 out of the stock.

Latest purchase: Treace John T. bought 60,000 shares at $8.73 each on 2025-03-04. The stock has since fallen 57.6%.

Latest sale: Anthony O'sullivan sold 50,000 shares at $6.77 each on 2025-12-02.

Who is buying: Treace John T., Brendan May.

Who is selling: Anthony O'sullivan, Erika Ilves, Brendan May, Craig Shesky, Scanlan Sean F. and others.

Latest Insider Trades in TMC the metals (2026)

The table shows the last 17 reported insider transactions in TMC the metals. Green rows are purchases, red rows are sales. The data is based on official filings.

Transaction date Name Type Number of shares Price per share ($) Total amount ($)
2025-12-02 Anthony O'sullivan Sell 50,000 7 338,500
2025-11-28 Anthony O'sullivan Sell 50,000 7 325,500
2025-09-22 Erika Ilves Sell 1,591,485 6 9,182,868
2025-08-26 Anthony O'sullivan Sell 250,000 5 1,312,500
2025-06-26 Brendan May Sell 44,204 7 326,226
2025-06-25 Brendan May Sell 25,000 8 195,000
2025-06-20 Anthony O'sullivan Sell 185,110 7 1,312,430
2025-06-09 Anthony O'sullivan Sell 50,000 4 210,000
2025-05-27 Anthony O'sullivan Sell 100,000 5 478,000
2025-05-21 Anthony O'sullivan Sell 164,317 4 737,783

Who is buying and selling TMC the metals shares in 2026?

The following insiders have bought shares in TMC the metals: Treace John T., Brendan May. In total, $545,550 was bought across 2 transactions. The following insiders have sold shares: Anthony O'sullivan, Erika Ilves, Brendan May, Craig Shesky, Scanlan Sean F. and others. In total, $15,747,207 was sold across 15 transactions. Insider trades are legal transactions in which executives and board members buy or sell shares of their own company. These transactions are reported to the SEC and are publicly available.

TMC the metals Short Selling 2026: 10.3% Sold Short

Very high short interest: 10.3% of the free float
Short % of free float
10.3%
Assessment
Very high short interest
Short squeeze risk
High
Data source
EODHD
Reported about twice a month

Short interest over time: TMC the metals

0.0%6.5%13.0%
Peak 11.3% · 5/30
5/307/309/29
10.3% today (very high)Peaked at 11.3% on May 30, 2026Last 30 days: +0.7 percentage pointsMeasured over 122 days
What does the trend tell you?
Short interest is rising. It is up 0.7 percentage points over the last month and now stands at 10.3%. More investors have borrowed TMC the metals and sold it, expecting the price to fall.

It cuts both ways: if they are wrong and the price rises, they have to buy the share back — and those purchases can push the price up further on their own. That is called a short squeeze. That is not in itself a signal about what the price will do — we cannot predict the market, and short interest is only one number among many. But it does say something about what the large players are doing.
The stock has a very high share of short selling. Between 10-20% of the freely traded shares are sold short, which points to considerable bearish sentiment. A positive earnings report or unexpectedly good news can trigger a short squeeze with sharp price gains.

What does this mean for you as an investor?
A short interest of 10.3% means that 10.3% of the freely traded shares in TMC the metals have been borrowed and sold by investors betting on falling prices. On positive surprises (e.g. a strong earnings report), short sellers can be forced to buy back shares quickly to close their positions, which can cause a short squeeze with sharp price gains in a short time.

The next potential catalyst is the earnings report on Nov 12, 2026. With a short interest of 10.3%, the report can trigger considerable volatility.

Short interest comes from our data provider EODHD. The figure is reported about twice a month; we check it every trading day.
Short Interest Scale
0% 2% 5% 10% 20%+
Low Moderate High Very High Extreme
▲
10.3%

When Does TMC the metals Report Earnings – Next Date: Nov 12, 2026

The next earnings report from TMC the metals is scheduled for November 12, 2026, after the market closes. This report covers the third quarter (Q3), which ended on September 30, 2026.



Technical Analysis of TMC the metals 2026 – Signal: Strong Sell

Overall Technical Signal: Strong Sell

Based on trend analysis (SMA50/SMA200) and MACD trend (positive/negative on a daily + weekly basis). Updated October 7, 2026.

Technical analysis of TMC the metals (TMC.US) – RSI 41, MACD negative (bearish), daily candlestick chart October 2026
TMC the metals technical analysis – candlestick chart with RSI, MACD and volume profile. Updated Oct 7, 2026.

Trend Analysis of TMC the metals company Inc

TMC the metals company Inc is in a short-term downtrend. The price of $3.70 is 5.1% below the 20-day average ($3.90). Medium term, the picture is negative: the price is 10.4% below the 50-day average ($4.13). Long term, the stock is 30.0% below the 200-day average ($5.29), which signals a long-term downtrend.

Death Cross: The 50-day average (4.13) is below the 200-day average (5.29), which is a classic bearish signal for TMC the metals company Inc.

Is TMC the metals company Inc overbought or oversold?

TMC the metals company Inc has an RSI of 40.7. The stock sits in the lower part of the neutral zone, which points to weak momentum without being oversold. In the current downtrend, be careful about reading this as a buying opportunity.

MACD Analysis for TMC the metals company Inc

Daily MACD: MACD is negative (-0.133), which means the short-term trend is bearish (the 12-day EMA is below the 26-day EMA). MACD is below the signal line (-0.116) by 0.017, which confirms growing negative momentum in the downtrend.

Weekly MACD: MACD5 is negative (-0.420), which indicates a broader bearish long-term trend. MACD5 is below the signal line (-0.420) by 0.000, which confirms continued negative long-term momentum.

Overall MACD assessment: Both the daily and weekly MACD are negative and below their signal lines. Trend and momentum are negative across time horizons – the strongest bearish signal.

Risk Profile for TMC the metals company Inc

TMC the metals company Inc has an annual standard deviation of 95.1%, which classifies the stock as Extremely speculative. Only risk-tolerant investors should consider this stock, because the price swings can be very large.

Overall Technical Conclusion for TMC the metals company Inc

Trend: Negative. The price trades below SMA50 and SMA200.

MACD trend (zero line): Daily bearish (-0.133). Weekly bearish (-0.420).

MACD momentum (signal): Daily falling. Weekly falling.

RSI: 40.7 – neutral.

Technical signal: Strong Sell

The price is in a downtrend (below SMA50/SMA200) and MACD is negative on both a daily and weekly basis. Avoid buying and consider closing existing positions.

Frequently Asked Questions About TMC the metals stock in 2026

Should you buy TMC the metals stock now?
No, the technical signal for TMC the metals is currently Strong Sell. TMC the metals trades at $3.70 as of Oct 7, 2026. The technical analysis shows the following: MACD is negative (bearish trend) at -0.133 with falling momentum (signal: -0.116); RSI is at 40.7 (neutral zone); the stock is in a short-term downtrend (price below the 20-day average); the analyst price target of $10.90 points to 194.6% upside. The stock is in a broader downtrend (below SMA50/SMA200). Buying in a downtrend is generally not recommended. This is a technical observation based on current data, not investment advice.
What is the price target for TMC the metals stock?
The average analyst price target for TMC the metals is $10.90. The current price is $3.70, which gives an upside of 194.6%. Based on this, the stock is considered undervalued. The fair value range (±10% of the price target) is between $9.81 and $11.99.
Is TMC the metals a dividend stock?
No, TMC the metals does not currently pay a dividend to shareholders. The company reinvests its profits in growth instead of paying dividends.
What is the risk of TMC the metals stock?
TMC the metals is rated as a stock in the risk category Extremely speculative. the annual standard deviation is 95.1%, which classifies the stock as Extremely speculative.
Is TMC the metals overvalued?
No, TMC the metals is considered undervalued based on the analyst price target (194.6% upside). TMC the metals has the following valuation ratios: a P/B ratio of 35.3. The analyst price target suggests that the stock is undervalued by 194.6%.
Is TMC the metals overbought?
No, TMC the metals is not overbought. RSI is at 40.7 (neutral zone). The technical indicators show: RSI is at 40.7 (neutral zone between 30-70), which signals neither overbought nor oversold. In addition, the price is 5.1% below the 20-day average (short-term downtrend). In addition, MACD is negative with falling momentum (bearish).
When is the next TMC the metals earnings report?
TMC the metals reports its next earnings on November 12, 2026. The stock currently trades at $3.70.
Is TMC the metals shorted?
Yes, TMC the metals is shorted with 10.3% of the free float sold short. This is a very high level of short selling, which points to considerable bearish sentiment. A positive earnings report or unexpectedly good news can trigger a short squeeze with sharp price gains. The figure comes from our data provider EODHD, is reported about twice a month, and we check it every trading day.
Are insiders buying TMC the metals stock?
No, insiders are not buying TMC the metals shares – they are net sellers. Across the last 17 reported transactions, the split is 2 purchases and 15 sales, with a net 15,201,657 $ sold. Active sellers include Anthony O'sullivan, Erika Ilves, Brendan May and others. Insider selling can have several explanations (e.g. planned 10b5-1 sales, portfolio diversification or taxes), but sustained selling by several insiders is worth watching closely.
Is TMC the metals a good stock?
Based on our total score, TMC the metals is rated as a disastrous stock with a total score of 4 out of 100. The stock scores very low on value, quality and momentum – it is among the worst in our database. The score is made up of Value: 1/100, Quality: 6/100, Momentum: 7/100. In addition: analysts see 194.6% upside to the price target; technical signal: Strong Sell. Whether TMC the metals is a good investment depends on your time horizon, risk profile and portfolio. This is a data-driven observation, not investment advice.
What is the outlook for TMC the metals stock?
The outlook for TMC the metals based on current data: the average analyst price target is $10.90 (+194.6%); the stock is in a downtrend (below SMA50 and SMA200); the next earnings report is due on Nov 12, 2026, which can move the price. Keep in mind that stock prices are affected by many factors, including earnings reports, the economy and market sentiment. Past returns are no guarantee of future returns.
Why is TMC the metals stock falling?
TMC the metals is falling right now. The technical indicators show: the price is 5.1% below the 20-day average; MACD is negative with falling momentum (bearish signal); short interest is 10.3% (high – many are betting on a decline); insiders have mostly been selling the stock recently. For the latest context, see our technical analysis and insider section above.
How high can TMC the metals go?
The average analyst price target for TMC the metals is $10.90, which corresponds to a potential gain of 194.6% from the current price of $3.70. The stock has traded between $3.40 and $11.35 over the last 52 weeks. The price is 67.4% below the 52-week high, which can indicate potential if the underlying fundamentals are intact. Keep in mind that price targets are estimates, not guarantees. Actual price moves depend on earnings, market conditions and unexpected events.
How low can TMC the metals fall?
The stock has traded as low as $3.40 over the last 52 weeks — that is 8.1% below the current price of $3.70. The biggest decline (drawdown) in the same period was 70.0% from high to low. Within a year, the price typically swings about ±95.1% (standard deviation — a measure of price swings). A difficult year could therefore mean a further decline of that size. Remember: past price swings are no guarantee for the future — a stock can fall further than the last 52 weeks suggest, especially on profit warnings, sector crises or a market crash. Use stop-loss orders and spread your portfolio to limit losses in single stocks.
What does TMC the metals do?
TMC the metals company Inc., a deep-sea minerals exploration company, focuses on the collection, processing, and refining of polymetallic nodules found on the seafloor in California. It primarily explores for nickel, cobalt, copper, and manganese products. The company holds ex... The company belongs to the Basic Materials sector, more specifically the Other Industrial Metals & Mining industry, is headquartered in United States, and is traded on the USA Stocks. See the key figures, earnings history and price development above to evaluate TMC the metals as an investment.
Did TMC the metals raise or lower its guidance?
Over the last 60 days we have not registered a guidance raise or cut from TMC the metals. The company can still adjust its guidance at quarterly reports or between reports — see the earnings history above.
Is TMC the metals making money or losing money?
We have no current profitability data for TMC the metals. See the latest report in the earnings history above.
Can TMC the metals go bankrupt?
The bankruptcy risk of TMC the metals is rated as elevated. Altman Z2 (a model for assessing financial distress) is -28.31 — that places the company in the weak zone. This is a probability based on the numbers, not a verdict — bankruptcy is not imminent. But the balance sheet is measurably weaker than average, so watch the debt, liquidity and possible capital raises. The Piotroski score (financial health 0-9, higher is better) is 3 — which is weak. Debt relative to equity is 1,000% (high). Remember: models like Altman Z2 are statistical — unexpected shocks (fraud, a sector collapse, lawsuits) can always happen. Spread your portfolio.
Does TMC the metals have a lot of debt?
Yes, TMC the metals has elevated debt relative to equity. The debt-to-equity ratio (D/E — interest-bearing debt to equity) is 1,000%. For the basic materials sector, anything above 150% counts as elevated — that raises the financial risk, especially if interest rates rise or earnings fall. Commodity companies finance mines and plants with moderate debt — 70-150% is typical. Note: D/E levels are highly sector-specific — a bank at 300% debt is normal, a tech stock at 300% is extremely leveraged. Always compare with similar companies in the same sector.

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