Tilray (TLRY.US) Price Target 2026/2027: 75% Upside – Rating and Stock Analysis

4,46
0,68%
Price history for Tilray (TLRY.US) – stock price at 4.46 $, August 2026
Tilray stock price – price development 2026. Updated Aug 6, 2026.
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Tilray Price Target 2026: Analysts See 76% Upside

The average price target for Tilray is $7.84. This price target represents the analysts' view of the stock price over the next 12 months. The stock may be undervalued, because the price target is higher than the current price. The stock is 75,98% below the target, which can point to potential returns within the next 12 months if the analysts' view proves right. Also consider the stock's valuation ratios such as P/E, P/S and P/B, plus the technical analysis further down the page, for the full picture.

Is Tilray overvalued or undervalued?

Tilray is currently undervalued with a gap of 76% relative to the price target.


The current price is $4.46, which places Tilray in the undervalued category. The stock is considered undervalued when the price is below $7.06, and overvalued when the price exceeds $8.62.


The fair value range is defined as ±10% of the price target, because price targets are estimates rather than exact values. For Tilray, the fair value range lies between $7.06 and $8.62.


See the full price target analysis for Tilray →

Analyst Ratings for Tilray stock in 2026: Buy

12 analysts cover Tilray. Analysts are mostly neutral — 66.7% recommend Hold. The average price target is $7.84, which gives an upside of 76% from the current price.

Consensus: Buy (3.67/5)
Strong Buy
4 (33.3%)
Hold
8 (66.7%)
Strong Sell Sell Hold Buy Strong Buy
3.67 out of 5 based on 12 analysts

About Tilray – Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic

Tilray Brands Inc. driver en bred forretning, der handler om cannabis, men de laver også meget andet. De tjener primært penge på at dyrke, forske i og distribuere medicinske cannabisprodukter. Tilray sælger både til medicinsk brug og til rekreativt brug, hvor det er lovligt. Virksomheden er delt op i fem segmenter, som inkluderer salg af drikkevarer med alkohol og wellness-produkter. De driver for eksempel Tilray Medical, som leverer GMP-certificerede olier, vapes og spiselige produkter. Tilray Brands Inc. har aktiviteter i Canada, USA og Europa, men de dækker mange lande internationalt. Selskabet blev stiftet i 2018 og har hovedkontor i New York. Read more about the company

Key Figures for Tilray

$ 573M Market cap
$ 915M Revenue
Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic Industry
- P/E
0.63 P/S
0.38 P/B
USA Listed on exchange
tilray.com Website
Sundhed Sector

What kind of stock is Tilray?

Speculative stock

Tilray is classified as a speculative stock.

Score Overview for Tilray

💰 Value Score 57/100 (Neutral)
⭐ Quality Score 18/100 (Very Low)
🚀 Momentum Score 3/100 (Very Low)
📊 Total Score 26/100

⚠️ 5 red flags identified 1 critical

Our analysis has identified 5 potential risk factors in Tilray that investors should be aware of.

⚠️ Weak financial health: The Piotroski score is only 3/9 – the company shows signs of weakened profitability, liquidity or capital structure.
🚨 Weak balance sheet (elevated risk): Altman Z2 is -3.62 – the balance sheet is measurably weaker than average. This is a risk signal based on the numbers, not a bankruptcy prediction.
⚠️ Negative profit margin: The profit margin is -13.3% – the company is losing money on its operations.
⚠️ Negative return on equity: ROE is -6.8% – the company is generating a negative return for shareholders.
⚠️ High short interest: 13.2% of the shares are sold short – many professional investors are betting on price declines.

📈 Valuation

The P/S ratio is 0.6 (low — potentially undervalued relative to revenue). The P/B ratio is 0.4, below book value, which can point to a value opportunity.

🏦 Financial Health

The Piotroski score is 3 out of 9 — weak financial health, be careful. Altman Z2 is -3.62 (weak balance sheet — elevated risk). The debt-to-equity ratio (D/E) is 41.5% — low debt, a solid balance sheet.

🚀 Momentum & Short Interest

Short interest is 13.24% — very high, the market is skeptical.

Insider Trading in Tilray 2026: The Signal Is mostly negative

In 2026, insiders at Tilray have made 20 transactions – split into 4 purchases and 16 sales. On a net basis, insiders took 4,725,257 $ out of the stock. Active insiders include Merton Carl A, FALTISCHEK DENISE M, Cohen Steven Michael and others. In the short term (last 3 months), the insider signal is mostly negative.

Short-Term Signal (3 months): Mostly negative

Insiders have sold more than they have bought over the last 3 months.

Over the last 3 months: 2 purchases and 11 sales. A net 3,907,233 $ out of the stock.

Long-Term Signal (all transactions): Mostly negative

Insiders have sold considerably more than they have bought. At large companies this can be due to planned sales (10b5-1 plans) and is not necessarily a negative signal.

Across the last 20 transactions: 4 purchases and 16 sales. A net 4,725,257 $ out of the stock.

Latest purchase: Merton Carl A bought 10,000 shares at 5 $ each on 2026-08-04. The stock has since fallen 4.2%.

Latest sale: SIMON IRWIN D sold 117,647 shares at 4 $ each on 2026-07-30.

Who is buying: Merton Carl A, FALTISCHEK DENISE M, Cohen Steven Michael, Gendel Mitchell.

Who is selling: SIMON IRWIN D, Merton Carl A, Gendel Mitchell, FALTISCHEK DENISE M, Persofsky Renah and others.

Latest Insider Trades in Tilray (2026)

The table shows the last 20 reported insider transactions in Tilray. Green rows are purchases, red rows are sales. The data is based on official filings.

Transaction date Name Type Number of shares Price per share ($) Total amount ($)
2026-08-04 Merton Carl A Buy 10,000 5 46,200
2026-08-03 FALTISCHEK DENISE M Buy 2,500 5 11,950
2026-07-30 SIMON IRWIN D Sell 117,647 4 494,117
2026-07-30 Merton Carl A Sell 16,656 4 69,955
2026-07-30 Gendel Mitchell Sell 24,379 4 102,392
2026-07-30 FALTISCHEK DENISE M Sell 26,120 4 109,704
2026-07-29 SIMON IRWIN D Sell 428,448 4 1,709,508
2026-07-29 Persofsky Renah Sell 43,104 4 171,985
2026-07-29 Merton Carl A Sell 60,417 4 241,064
2026-07-29 Herhalt Johann Michael Sell 43,104 4 171,985

Who is buying and selling Tilray shares in 2026?

The following insiders have bought shares in Tilray: Merton Carl A, FALTISCHEK DENISE M, Cohen Steven Michael, Gendel Mitchell. In total, 224,446 $ was bought across 4 transactions. The following insiders have sold shares: SIMON IRWIN D, Merton Carl A, Gendel Mitchell, FALTISCHEK DENISE M, Persofsky Renah and others. In total, 4,949,702 $ was sold across 16 transactions. Insider trades are legal transactions in which executives and board members buy or sell shares of their own company. These transactions are reported to the SEC and are publicly available.

Tilray Short Selling 2026: 13.2% Sold Short

Very high short interest: 13.2% of the free float
Short % of free float
13.2%
Assessment
Very high short interest
Short squeeze risk
High
Data source
SEC
Updated daily
The stock has a very high share of short selling. Between 10-20% of the freely traded shares are sold short, which points to considerable bearish sentiment. A positive earnings report or unexpectedly good news can trigger a short squeeze with sharp price gains.

What does this mean for you as an investor?
A short interest of 13.2% means that 13.2% of the freely traded shares in Tilray have been borrowed and sold by investors betting on falling prices. On positive surprises (e.g. a strong earnings report), short sellers can be forced to buy back shares quickly to close their positions, which can cause a short squeeze with sharp price gains in a short time.

Data is updated daily based on official filings with the SEC.
Short Interest Scale
0% 2% 5% 10% 20%+
Low Moderate High Very High Extreme
13.2%

When Does Tilray Report Earnings?

The next earnings date for Tilray is not yet available. Check the company's investor calendar for more information.



Technical Analysis of Tilray 2026 – Signal: Strong Sell

Overall Technical Signal: Strong Sell

Based on trend analysis (SMA50/SMA200) and MACD trend (positive/negative on a daily + weekly basis). Updated August 6, 2026.

Technical analysis of Tilray (TLRY.US) – RSI 50, MACD negative (bearish), daily candlestick chart August 2026
Tilray technical analysis – candlestick chart with RSI and MACD. Updated Aug 6, 2026.

Trend Analysis of Tilray, Inc

Tilray, Inc is in a short-term uptrend. The price of $4.43 is 3.3% above the 20-day average ($4.28). Medium term, the picture is negative: the price is 4.9% below the 50-day average ($4.66). Long term, the stock is 41.7% below the 200-day average ($7.59), which signals a long-term downtrend.

Death Cross: The 50-day average (4.66) is below the 200-day average (7.59), which is a classic bearish signal for Tilray, Inc.

Is Tilray, Inc overbought or oversold?

Tilray, Inc has an RSI of 50.4, right in the middle of the neutral zone. There is no clear buying or selling pressure.

MACD Analysis for Tilray, Inc

Daily MACD: MACD is negative (-0.058), which means the short-term trend is bearish (the 12-day EMA is below the 26-day EMA). MACD is above the signal line (-0.141) by 0.083, which suggests the negative momentum is fading – a potential trend reversal could be ahead.

Weekly MACD: MACD5 is negative (-1.108), which indicates a broader bearish long-term trend. MACD5 is above the signal line (-1.120) by 0.012, which suggests the negative long-term momentum is fading – a bigger trend reversal could be ahead.

Overall MACD assessment: Both the daily and weekly trend are bearish (MACD negative). However, momentum shows signs of improving on a daily basis – a potential trend reversal could be ahead, but it is not confirmed yet.

Risk Profile for Tilray, Inc

Tilray, Inc has an annual standard deviation of 123.3%, which classifies the stock as extreme risk. Only risk-tolerant investors should consider this stock, because the price swings can be very large.

Overall Technical Conclusion for Tilray, Inc

Trend: Negative. The price trades below SMA50 and SMA200.

MACD trend (zero line): Daily bearish (-0.058). Weekly bearish (-1.108).

MACD momentum (signal): Daily rising. Weekly rising.

RSI: 50.4 – neutral.

Technical signal: Strong Sell

The price is in a downtrend (below SMA50/SMA200) and MACD is negative on both a daily and weekly basis. Avoid buying and consider closing existing positions.

Frequently Asked Questions About Tilray stock in 2026

Should you buy Tilray stock now?
No, the technical signal for Tilray is currently SELL. Tilray trades at $4.46 as of 8/6/2026. The overall technical signal is: Strong Sell. The technical analysis shows the following: MACD is negative (bearish trend) at -0.058 with rising momentum (signal: -0.141); RSI is at 50.4 (neutral zone); the stock is in a short-term uptrend (price above the 20-day average); the analyst price target of $7.84 points to 76.0% upside. The stock is in a broader downtrend (below SMA50/SMA200). Buying in a downtrend is generally not recommended. This is a technical observation based on current data, not investment advice.
What is the price target for Tilray stock?
The average analyst price target for Tilray is $7.84. The current price is $4.46, which gives an upside of 76.0%. Based on this, the stock is considered undervalued. The fair value range (±10% of the price target) is between $7.06 and $8.62.
Is Tilray a dividend stock?
No, Tilray does not currently pay a dividend to shareholders. The company reinvests its profits in growth instead of paying dividends.
What is the risk of Tilray stock?
Tilray is rated as a stock with extreme risk. the annual standard deviation is 123.3%, which classifies the stock as extreme risk.
Is Tilray overvalued?
No, Tilray is considered undervalued based on the analyst price target (76.0% upside). Tilray has the following valuation ratios: a P/S ratio of 0.6, a P/B ratio of 0.4. The analyst price target suggests that the stock is undervalued by 76.0%.
Is Tilray overbought?
No, Tilray is not overbought. RSI is at 50.4 (neutral zone). The technical indicators show: RSI is at 50.4 (neutral zone between 30-70), which signals neither overbought nor oversold. In addition, the price is 4.0% above the 20-day average (short-term uptrend). In addition, MACD is negative, but momentum is rising (possible trend reversal).
When is the next Tilray earnings report?
The date of the next earnings report for Tilray has not been published yet. Check the company's investor calendar for updates.
Is Tilray shorted?
Yes, Tilray is shorted with 13.2% of the free float sold short. This is a very high level of short selling, which points to considerable bearish sentiment. A positive earnings report or unexpectedly good news can trigger a short squeeze with sharp price gains. Data is updated daily based on official filings with the SEC.
Are insiders buying Tilray stock?
No, insiders are not buying Tilray shares – they are net sellers. Over the last 3 months, insiders have made 2 purchases and 11 sales. On a net basis, 3,907,233 $ worth of shares were sold. Across the last 20 reported transactions, the split is 4 purchases and 16 sales, with a net 4,725,257 $ sold. Active sellers include SIMON IRWIN D, Merton Carl A, Gendel Mitchell and others. Insider selling can have several explanations (e.g. planned 10b5-1 sales, portfolio diversification or taxes), but sustained selling by several insiders is worth watching closely.
Is Tilray a good stock?
Based on our total score, Tilray is rated as a poor stock with a total score of 26 out of 100. The stock scores below average on value, quality and momentum – it sits at the lower end of the market. The score is made up of Value: 57/100, Quality: 18/100, Momentum: 3/100. In addition: analysts see 76.0% upside to the price target; technical signal: Strong Sell. Whether Tilray is a good investment depends on your time horizon, risk profile and portfolio. This is a data-driven observation, not investment advice.
What is the outlook for Tilray stock?
The outlook for Tilray based on current data: the average analyst price target is $7.84 (+76.0%); the stock is in a downtrend (below SMA50 and SMA200). Keep in mind that stock prices are affected by many factors, including earnings reports, the economy and market sentiment. Past returns are no guarantee of future returns.
Why is Tilray stock rising?
Tilray is rising right now. The technical indicators show: the price is 4.0% above the 20-day average; short interest is 13.2% (high – many are betting on a decline); insiders have mostly been selling the stock recently. For the latest context, see our technical analysis, insider section and news overview above.
How high can Tilray go?
The average analyst price target for Tilray is $7.84, which corresponds to a potential gain of 76.0% from the current price of $4.46. Keep in mind that price targets are estimates, not guarantees. Actual price moves depend on earnings, market conditions and unexpected events.
How low can Tilray fall?
We lack enough history to give a specific floor for Tilray. Remember: past price swings are no guarantee for the future — a stock can fall further than the last 52 weeks suggest, especially on profit warnings, sector crises or a market crash. Use stop-loss orders and spread your portfolio to limit losses in single stocks.
What does Tilray do?
Tilray Brands Inc. driver en bred forretning, der handler om cannabis, men de laver også meget andet. De tjener primært penge på at dyrke, forske i og distribuere medicinske cannabisprodukter. Tilray sælger både til medicinsk brug og til rekreativt brug, hvor det er lovligt. ... The company belongs to the Sundhed sector, more specifically the Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic industry, is headquartered in USA, and is traded on the USA Stocks. See the key figures, earnings history and price development above to evaluate Tilray as an investment.
Did Tilray raise or lower its guidance?
Over the last 60 days we have not registered a guidance raise or cut from Tilray. The company can still adjust its guidance at quarterly reports or between reports — see the earnings history and the news overview above.
Is Tilray making money or losing money?
No, Tilray is currently not making money — the company is losing money with a negative profit margin of -13.3%, a noticeable loss. That means the business loses money on every dollar of revenue. For growth stocks investing in expansion this is normal — but it raises the risk if the company does not reach break-even before its capital runs out.
Can Tilray go bankrupt?
The bankruptcy risk of Tilray is rated as elevated. Altman Z2 (a model for assessing financial distress) is -3.62 — that places the company in the weak zone. This is a probability based on the numbers, not a verdict — bankruptcy is not imminent. But the balance sheet is measurably weaker than average, so watch the debt, liquidity and possible capital raises. The Piotroski score (financial health 0-9, higher is better) is 3 — which is weak. Debt relative to equity is 41% (low). Remember: models like Altman Z2 are statistical — unexpected shocks (fraud, a sector collapse, lawsuits) can always happen. Spread your portfolio.
Does Tilray have a lot of debt?
No, Tilray has low debt relative to equity. The debt-to-equity ratio (D/E — interest-bearing debt to equity) is 41%. For the sundhed sector, anything below 80% counts as low debt. Note: D/E levels are highly sector-specific — a bank at 300% debt is normal, a tech stock at 300% is extremely leveraged. Always compare with similar companies in the same sector. Can Tilray service its debt? Could struggle to service its debt — the interest coverage ratio (how many times earnings can cover interest payments) is -0.7x, and net debt equals 11.5 years of earnings (EBITDA).