Semtech (SMTC.US) Price Target 2026/2027: 55% Upside – Rating and Stock Analysis

131,18
8,19%
Price history for Semtech (SMTC.US) – stock price at 131.18 $, August 2026
Semtech stock price – price development 2026. Updated Aug 6, 2026.
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Semtech Price Target 2026: Analysts See 56% Upside

The average price target for Semtech is $205.25. This price target represents the analysts' view of the stock price over the next 12 months. The stock may be undervalued, because the price target is higher than the current price. The stock is 56,46% below the target, which can point to potential returns within the next 12 months if the analysts' view proves right. Also consider the stock's valuation ratios such as P/E, P/S and P/B, plus the technical analysis further down the page, for the full picture.

Is Semtech overvalued or undervalued?

Semtech is currently undervalued with a gap of 56.5% relative to the price target.


The current price is $131.18, which places Semtech in the undervalued category. The stock is considered undervalued when the price is below $184.73, and overvalued when the price exceeds $225.78.


The fair value range is defined as ±10% of the price target, because price targets are estimates rather than exact values. For Semtech, the fair value range lies between $184.73 and $225.78.


See the full price target analysis for Semtech →

Analyst Ratings for Semtech stock in 2026: Strong Buy

14 analysts cover Semtech. There is broad agreement on a positive view — 92.8% recommend buying. The average price target is $205.25, which gives an upside of 56.5% from the current price.

Consensus: Strong Buy (4.79/5)
Strong Buy
12 (85.7%)
Buy
1 (7.1%)
Hold
1 (7.1%)
Strong Sell Sell Hold Buy Strong Buy
4.79 out of 5 based on 14 analysts

About Semtech – Semiconductors

Semtech Corporation laver halvledere, IoT-systemer og cloud-forbindelsestjenester. De driver forretning i tre hovedområder: Signal Integrity, Analog Mixed Signal og Wireless, samt IoT Systems og Connectivity. Semtech tjener primært penge på at sælge produkter til datacentre og industrielle applikationer. For eksempel udvikler Semtech integrerede kredsløb til enterprise-netværk og optiske transcievere til trådløse basestationer. De sælger også beskyttelsesenheder, der sikrer elektroniske systemer mod spændingsstød. Virksomheden blev grundlagt i 1960 og opererer bredt i Asien-Stillehavsområdet, Nordamerika og Europa. De har over 1.300 ansatte globalt. Read more about the company

Key Figures for Semtech

$ 11,3B Market cap
$ 1,1B Revenue
Semiconductors Industry
- P/E
10.36 P/S
19.14 P/B
USA Listed on exchange

What kind of stock is Semtech?

Growth stock

Semtech is classified as a growth stock with quarterly earnings growth of 22.7% and strong long-term momentum of 0.0%.

Score Overview for Semtech

💰 Value Score 6/100 (Very Low)
⭐ Quality Score 39/100 (Low)
🚀 Momentum Score 37/100 (Low)
📊 Total Score 27/100

⚠️ 3 red flags identified

Our analysis has identified 3 potential risk factors in Semtech that investors should be aware of.

⚠️ High debt: The debt-to-equity ratio is 162% – the company carries considerably more debt than equity, which raises the financial risk.
⚠️ Negative profit margin: The profit margin is -3.0% – the company is losing money on its operations.
⚠️ Negative return on equity: ROE is -5.8% – the company is generating a negative return for shareholders.

📈 Valuation

The P/S ratio is 10.4 (high — the market pays a premium for the revenue). The P/B ratio is 19.1. The PEG ratio is 3.39 — above 2.0 suggests the stock is expensive relative to its growth rate.

💵 Profitability & Growth

Semtech and an operating margin of 9.3%. Return on assets (ROA) is 4.9%. The latest quarterly earnings grew 22.7% year over year.

🏦 Financial Health

The Piotroski score is 6 out of 9 — good financial health. Altman Z2 is 1.54 (middle zone — moderate). The debt-to-equity ratio (D/E) is 161.7% — moderate debt.

🚀 Momentum & Short Interest

Short interest is 8.14% — elevated, some investors are betting on a decline.

Insider Trading in Semtech 2026: The Signal Is negative

In 2026, insiders at Semtech have made 20 transactions, all of which were sales. On a net basis, insiders took 9,212,591 $ out of the stock. Active insiders include Walsh Paul V Jr, Silberstein Asaf, HOU HONG Q and others. In the short term (last 3 months), the insider signal is negative.

Short-Term Signal (3 months): Negative

Insiders have exclusively sold shares over the last 3 months.

Over the last 3 months: 0 purchases and 20 sales. A net 9,212,591 $ out of the stock.

Long-Term Signal (all transactions): Negative

Insiders have exclusively sold shares in the recent period. This can suggest management sees limited opportunity.

Across the last 20 transactions: 0 purchases and 20 sales. A net 9,212,591 $ out of the stock.

Latest sale: Walsh Paul V Jr sold 500 shares at 133 $ each on 2026-07-22.

Who is selling: Walsh Paul V Jr, Silberstein Asaf, HOU HONG Q, Green Jason Elliot, Lin Mark and others.

Latest Insider Trades in Semtech (2026)

The table shows the last 20 reported insider transactions in Semtech. Green rows are purchases, red rows are sales. The data is based on official filings.

Transaction date Name Type Number of shares Price per share ($) Total amount ($)
2026-07-22 Walsh Paul V Jr Sell 500 133 66,535
2026-07-14 Silberstein Asaf Sell 3,000 145 435,120
2026-07-10 HOU HONG Q Sell 2,000 133 266,000
2026-07-08 Silberstein Asaf Sell 437 130 56,784
2026-07-07 Green Jason Elliot Sell 1,132 130 147,703
2026-07-01 Lin Mark Sell 3,164 150 475,897
2026-07-01 HOU HONG Q Sell 6,484 162 1,049,435
2026-06-30 Fischer Gregory Michael Sell 1,500 156 234,360
2026-06-29 HOU HONG Q Sell 7,319 153 1,119,734
2026-06-24 Walsh Paul V Jr Sell 500 165 82,495

Who is buying and selling Semtech shares in 2026?

The following insiders have sold shares: Walsh Paul V Jr, Silberstein Asaf, HOU HONG Q, Green Jason Elliot, Lin Mark and others. In total, 9,212,591 $ was sold across 20 transactions. Insider trades are legal transactions in which executives and board members buy or sell shares of their own company. These transactions are reported to the SEC and are publicly available.

Semtech Short Selling 2026: 8.1% Sold Short

High short interest: 8.1% of the free float
Short % of free float
8.1%
Assessment
High short interest
Short squeeze risk
Moderate
Data source
SEC
Updated daily
The stock has a high share of short selling. Between 5-10% of the freely traded shares are sold short, which suggests some investors are betting on falling prices. Positive surprises can lead to a moderate short squeeze.

What does this mean for you as an investor?
A short interest of 8.1% means that 8.1% of the freely traded shares in Semtech have been borrowed and sold by investors betting on falling prices.

The next potential catalyst is the earnings report on 8/24/2026. With a short interest of 8.1%, the report can trigger considerable volatility.

Data is updated daily based on official filings with the SEC.
Short Interest Scale
0% 2% 5% 10% 20%+
Low Moderate High Very High Extreme
8.1%

When Does Semtech Report Earnings – Next Date: 8/24/2026

The next earnings report from Semtech is scheduled for August 24, 2026, after the market closes. This report covers the third quarter (Q3), which ended on July 31, 2026.



Technical Analysis of Semtech 2026 – Signal: Hold

Overall Technical Signal: Hold

Based on trend analysis (SMA50/SMA200) and MACD trend (positive/negative on a daily + weekly basis). Updated August 6, 2026.

Technical analysis of Semtech (SMTC.US) – RSI 45, MACD negative (bearish), daily candlestick chart August 2026
Semtech technical analysis – candlestick chart with RSI and MACD. Updated Aug 6, 2026.

Trend Analysis of Semtech Corporation

Semtech Corporation is in a short-term downtrend. The price of $121.25 is 4.5% below the 20-day average ($126.93). Medium term, the picture is negative: the price is 16.1% below the 50-day average ($144.55). Long term, the stock is 21.0% above the 200-day average ($100.19), which confirms a long-term uptrend.

Golden Cross: The 50-day average (144.55) is above the 200-day average (100.19), which is a classic bullish signal for Semtech Corporation.

Is Semtech Corporation overbought or oversold?

Semtech Corporation has an RSI of 45.2, right in the middle of the neutral zone. There is no clear buying or selling pressure.

MACD Analysis for Semtech Corporation

Daily MACD: MACD is negative (-6.494), which means the short-term trend is bearish (the 12-day EMA is below the 26-day EMA). MACD is above the signal line (-6.840) by 0.346, which suggests the negative momentum is fading – a potential trend reversal could be ahead.

Weekly MACD: MACD5 is positive (13.133), which indicates a broader bullish long-term trend. MACD5 is below the signal line (17.422) by 4.289, which suggests the long-term momentum is fading – the positive trend could come under pressure.

Overall MACD assessment: The daily and weekly MACD give conflicting signals. The long-term trend is bullish, but the short-term trend is bearish. Daily momentum is rising, though, which could suggest the pullback is over.

Risk Profile for Semtech Corporation

Semtech Corporation has an annual standard deviation of 71.7%, which classifies the stock as extreme risk. Only risk-tolerant investors should consider this stock, because the price swings can be very large.

Overall Technical Conclusion for Semtech Corporation

Trend: Neutral/mixed.

MACD trend (zero line): Daily bearish (-6.494). Weekly bullish (13.133).

MACD momentum (signal): Daily rising. Weekly falling.

RSI: 45.2 – neutral.

Technical signal: Hold

The signals are mixed – trend and MACD point in different directions. Wait until MACD crosses the zero line in the direction of the trend before acting.

Frequently Asked Questions About Semtech stock in 2026

Should you buy Semtech stock now?
The technical signal for Semtech is currently NEUTRAL. Semtech trades at $131.18 as of 8/6/2026. The overall technical signal is: Hold. The technical analysis shows the following: MACD is negative (bearish trend) at -6.494 with rising momentum (signal: -6.840); RSI is at 45.2 (neutral zone); the stock is in a short-term uptrend (price above the 20-day average); the analyst price target of $205.25 points to 56.5% upside. This is a technical observation based on current data, not investment advice.
What is the price target for Semtech stock?
The average analyst price target for Semtech is $205.25. The current price is $131.18, which gives an upside of 56.5%. Based on this, the stock is considered undervalued. The fair value range (±10% of the price target) is between $184.73 and $225.78.
Is Semtech a dividend stock?
No, Semtech does not currently pay a dividend to shareholders. The company reinvests its profits in growth instead of paying dividends.
What is the risk of Semtech stock?
Semtech is rated as a stock with extreme risk. the annual standard deviation is 71.7%, which classifies the stock as extreme risk.
Is Semtech overvalued?
No, Semtech is considered undervalued based on the analyst price target (56.5% upside). Semtech has the following valuation ratios: a P/S ratio of 10.4, a P/B ratio of 19.1. The analyst price target suggests that the stock is undervalued by 56.5%.
Is Semtech overbought?
No, Semtech is not overbought. RSI is at 45.2 (neutral zone). The technical indicators show: RSI is at 45.2 (neutral zone between 30-70), which signals neither overbought nor oversold. In addition, the price is 3.4% above the 20-day average (short-term uptrend). In addition, MACD is negative, but momentum is rising (possible trend reversal).
When is the next Semtech earnings report?
Semtech reports its next earnings on August 24, 2026. The stock currently trades at $131.18.
Is Semtech shorted?
Yes, Semtech is shorted with 8.1% of the free float sold short. This is a high level of short selling, which suggests some investors are betting on falling prices. Positive surprises can lead to a moderate short squeeze. Data is updated daily based on official filings with the SEC.
Are insiders buying Semtech stock?
No, insiders are not buying Semtech shares – they are net sellers. Over the last 3 months, insiders have made 0 purchases and 20 sales. On a net basis, 9,212,591 $ worth of shares were sold. Across the last 20 reported transactions, the split is 0 purchases and 20 sales, with a net 9,212,591 $ sold. Active sellers include Walsh Paul V Jr, Silberstein Asaf, HOU HONG Q and others. Insider selling can have several explanations (e.g. planned 10b5-1 sales, portfolio diversification or taxes), but sustained selling by several insiders is worth watching closely.
Is Semtech a good stock?
Based on our total score, Semtech is rated as a poor stock with a total score of 27 out of 100. The stock scores below average on value, quality and momentum – it sits at the lower end of the market. The score is made up of Value: 6/100, Quality: 39/100, Momentum: 37/100. In addition: analysts see 56.5% upside to the price target; technical signal: Hold. Whether Semtech is a good investment depends on your time horizon, risk profile and portfolio. This is a data-driven observation, not investment advice.
What is the outlook for Semtech stock?
The outlook for Semtech based on current data: the average analyst price target is $205.25 (+56.5%); the next earnings report is due on 8/24/2026, which can move the price. Keep in mind that stock prices are affected by many factors, including earnings reports, the economy and market sentiment. Past returns are no guarantee of future returns.
Why is Semtech stock rising?
Semtech is rising right now. The technical indicators show: the price is 3.4% above the 20-day average; short interest is 8.1% (high – many are betting on a decline); insiders have mostly been selling the stock recently. For the latest context, see our technical analysis, insider section and news overview above.
How high can Semtech go?
The average analyst price target for Semtech is $205.25, which corresponds to a potential gain of 56.5% from the current price of $131.18. Keep in mind that price targets are estimates, not guarantees. Actual price moves depend on earnings, market conditions and unexpected events.
How low can Semtech fall?
We lack enough history to give a specific floor for Semtech. Remember: past price swings are no guarantee for the future — a stock can fall further than the last 52 weeks suggest, especially on profit warnings, sector crises or a market crash. Use stop-loss orders and spread your portfolio to limit losses in single stocks.
What does Semtech do?
Semtech Corporation laver halvledere, IoT-systemer og cloud-forbindelsestjenester. De driver forretning i tre hovedområder: Signal Integrity, Analog Mixed Signal og Wireless, samt IoT Systems og Connectivity. Semtech tjener primært penge på at sælge produkter til datacentre og... The company belongs to the Teknologi sector, more specifically the Semiconductors industry, is headquartered in USA, and is traded on the USA Stocks. See the key figures, earnings history and price development above to evaluate Semtech as an investment.
Did Semtech raise or lower its guidance?
Over the last 60 days we have not registered a guidance raise or cut from Semtech. The company can still adjust its guidance at quarterly reports or between reports — see the earnings history and the news overview above.
Is Semtech making money or losing money?
No, Semtech is currently not making money — the company is losing money with a negative profit margin of -3.0%, a small loss. That means the business loses money on every dollar of revenue. The operating margin, however, is positive at 9.3% — the core business makes money; the loss comes from financing costs, taxes or one-off items. For growth stocks investing in expansion this is normal — but it raises the risk if the company does not reach break-even before its capital runs out.
Can Semtech go bankrupt?
The bankruptcy risk of Semtech is rated as moderate. Altman Z2 (a model for assessing financial distress) is 1.54 — that places the company in the middle zone. The Piotroski score (financial health 0-9, higher is better) is 6 — which is average. Debt relative to equity is 162% (high). Remember: models like Altman Z2 are statistical — unexpected shocks (fraud, a sector collapse, lawsuits) can always happen. Spread your portfolio.
Does Semtech have a lot of debt?
Yes, Semtech has elevated debt relative to equity. The debt-to-equity ratio (D/E — interest-bearing debt to equity) is 162%. For the teknologi sector, anything above 150% counts as elevated — that raises the financial risk, especially if interest rates rise or earnings fall. Note: D/E levels are highly sector-specific — a bank at 300% debt is normal, a tech stock at 300% is extremely leveraged. Always compare with similar companies in the same sector. Can Semtech service its debt? Can service its debt without problems — the interest coverage ratio (how many times earnings can cover interest payments) is 15.1x, and net debt equals 2.2 years of earnings (EBITDA).