Sibanye Gold Ltd (SBSW.US) Price Target 2026/2027: 30% Upside – Rating and Stock Analysis

9,94
0,20%
Price history for Sibanye Gold Ltd (SBSW.US) – stock price at 9.94 $, August 2026
Sibanye Gold Ltd stock price – price development 2026. Updated Aug 6, 2026.
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Sibanye Gold Ltd Price Target 2026: Analysts See 29% Upside

The average price target for Sibanye Gold Ltd is $12.84. This price target represents the analysts' view of the stock price over the next 12 months. The stock may be undervalued, because the price target is higher than the current price. The stock is 29,18% below the target, which can point to potential returns within the next 12 months if the analysts' view proves right. Also consider the stock's valuation ratios such as P/E, P/S and P/B, plus the technical analysis further down the page, for the full picture.

Is Sibanye Gold Ltd overvalued or undervalued?

Sibanye Gold Ltd is currently undervalued with a gap of 29.2% relative to the price target.


The current price is $9.94, which places Sibanye Gold Ltd in the undervalued category. The stock is considered undervalued when the price is below $11.56, and overvalued when the price exceeds $14.12.


The fair value range is defined as ±10% of the price target, because price targets are estimates rather than exact values. For Sibanye Gold Ltd, the fair value range lies between $11.56 and $14.12.


See the full price target analysis for Sibanye Gold Ltd →

Analyst Ratings for Sibanye Gold Ltd stock in 2026: Hold

3 analysts cover Sibanye Gold Ltd. Analysts are mostly neutral — 66.7% recommend Hold. The average price target is $12.84, which gives an upside of 29.2% from the current price.

Consensus: Hold (3.33/5)
Buy
1 (33.3%)
Hold
2 (66.7%)
Strong Sell Sell Hold Buy Strong Buy
3.33 out of 5 based on 3 analysts

About Sibanye Gold Ltd – Andet metal & minedrift

Sibanye Stillwater driver minedrift og producerer ædelmetaller. De tjener primært penge på at grave guld og PGM'er op – altså platin, palladium og rhodium, som er ret vigtige materialer. Sibanye Stillwater laver også krom, zink og nikkel, men fokus er klart på ædelmetallerne. De startede i 2013 og har hovedkvarter i Sydafrika. Virksomheden har dog miner og aktiviteter i USA, Europa og Australien. Sibanye Stillwater er altså en global spiller, der sælger en bred vifte af metaller. De producerer også kobber, sølv og lithium. De driver en stor forretning, der dækker flere kontinenter. Read more about the company

Key Figures for Sibanye Gold Ltd

$ 6,9B Market cap
$ 130B Revenue
Andet metal & minedrift Industry
- P/E
0.05 P/S
2.64 P/B
USA Listed on exchange

What kind of stock is Sibanye Gold Ltd?

Dividend stock

Sibanye Gold Ltd is classified as a dividend stock with a dividend of 3.5% and a payout ratio of 0%, which points to a sustainable dividend level.

Score Overview for Sibanye Gold Ltd

💰 Value Score 45/100 (Neutral)
⭐ Quality Score 42/100 (Neutral)
🚀 Momentum Score 13/100 (Very Low)
📊 Total Score 33/100

⚠️ 5 red flags identified

Our analysis has identified 5 potential risk factors in Sibanye Gold Ltd that investors should be aware of.

⚠️ High debt: The debt-to-equity ratio is 204% – the company carries considerably more debt than equity, which raises the financial risk.
⚠️ Weak balance sheet (elevated risk): Altman Z2 is 1.01 – the balance sheet is measurably weaker than average. This is a risk signal based on the numbers, not a bankruptcy prediction.
⚠️ Negative profit margin: The profit margin is -4.0% – the company is losing money on its operations.
⚠️ Negative return on equity: ROE is -10.3% – the company is generating a negative return for shareholders.
⚠️ Falling earnings: Quarterly earnings have fallen 38% year over year – the company's profitability is under pressure.

📈 Valuation

The P/S ratio is 0.1 (low — potentially undervalued relative to revenue). The P/B ratio is 2.6.

💵 Profitability & Growth

Sibanye Gold Ltd and an operating margin of 13.5%. Return on assets (ROA) is 4.4%. The latest quarterly earnings grew -38.2% year over year — falling earnings.

🏦 Financial Health

The Piotroski score is 6 out of 9 — good financial health. Altman Z2 is 1.01 (weak balance sheet — elevated risk). The debt-to-equity ratio (D/E) is 204.0% — high debt, which raises the risk.

🚀 Momentum & Short Interest

Short interest is 1.92% — low, the market does not expect a decline.

Sibanye Gold Ltd Dividend 2026: 3.5% Dividend Yield

Dividend Key Figures for Sibanye Gold Ltd in 2026

Dividend yield
3.48%
Dividend per share
0.31 USD
Dividend growth (2 years)
-77.4%
Avg. annual dividend (3 years)
0.96 USD

When does Sibanye Gold Ltd pay a dividend in 2026?

Latest ex-dividend date (traded without the dividend)
March 20, 2026
Next dividend payment
April 2, 2026
Latest payment date
April 2, 2026

How much does Sibanye Gold Ltd pay in dividends?

Sibanye Gold Ltd pays dividends to its shareholders. The most recently paid dividend was 0.31 USD per share, which corresponds to a dividend yield of 3.48%. Over the last 2 years, the annual dividend has fallen by 77.4%.

Historical Dividend Payments for Sibanye Gold Ltd

We have registered dividend payments for Sibanye Gold Ltd since 2021-03-18. In that period the stock has paid a dividend 7 times, most recently on 2026-03-20. However, the stock does not qualify as a stable or sporadic dividend stock, because the dividend payments have been inconsistent in recent years.

Ex-datePayment dateAmountCurrencyPeriod
2026-03-202026-04-020.31USDUnknown period
2023-09-212023-10-060.11USDUnknown period
2023-03-232023-04-100.27USDUnknown period
2022-09-152022-09-290.33USDUnknown period
2022-03-242022-04-070.49USDUnknown period
2021-09-162021-09-300.81USDUnknown period
2021-03-182021-04-010.87USDUnknown period

Insider Trading in Sibanye Gold Ltd 2026: The Signal Is clearly positive

In 2026, insiders at Sibanye Gold Ltd have made 2 transactions, all of which were purchases. On a net basis, insiders put 188,655 $ into the stock, which is a positive signal. Active insiders include Richard Peter Menell, Thabane Vincent Maphai.

Short-Term Signal (3 months): No activity

There has been no insider trading in the last 3 months.

Long-Term Signal (all transactions): Clearly positive

Insiders have exclusively bought shares. This is a strong signal of confidence in the company's future.

Across the last 2 transactions: 2 purchases and 0 sales. A net 188,655 $ into the stock.

Latest purchase: Richard Peter Menell bought 2,500 shares at 11 $ each on 2026-03-24. The stock has since fallen 13.2%.

Who is buying: Richard Peter Menell, Thabane Vincent Maphai.

Latest Insider Trades in Sibanye Gold Ltd (2026)

The table shows the last 2 reported insider transactions in Sibanye Gold Ltd. Green rows are purchases, red rows are sales. The data is based on official filings.

Transaction date Name Type Number of shares Price per share ($) Total amount ($)
2026-03-24 Richard Peter Menell Buy 2,500 11 28,575
2026-03-16 Thabane Vincent Maphai Buy 12,000 13 160,080

Who is buying and selling Sibanye Gold Ltd shares in 2026?

The following insiders have bought shares in Sibanye Gold Ltd: Richard Peter Menell, Thabane Vincent Maphai. In total, 188,655 $ was bought across 2 transactions. Insider trades are legal transactions in which executives and board members buy or sell shares of their own company. These transactions are reported to the SEC and are publicly available.

Sibanye Gold Ltd Short Selling 2026: 1.9% Sold Short

Low short interest: 1.9% of the free float
Short % of free float
1.9%
Assessment
Low short interest
Short squeeze risk
Low
Data source
SEC
Updated daily
The stock has a low share of short selling. Less than 2% of the freely traded shares are sold short, which points to limited bearish sentiment.

Data is updated daily based on official filings with the SEC.
Short Interest Scale
0% 2% 5% 10% 20%+
Low Moderate High Very High Extreme
1.9%

When Does Sibanye Gold Ltd Report Earnings?

The next earnings date for Sibanye Gold Ltd is not yet available. Check the company's investor calendar for more information.



Technical Analysis of Sibanye Gold Ltd 2026 – Signal: Hold

Overall Technical Signal: Hold

Based on trend analysis (SMA50/SMA200) and MACD trend (positive/negative on a daily + weekly basis). Updated August 6, 2026.

Technical analysis of Sibanye Gold Ltd (SBSW.US) – RSI 63, MACD positive (bullish), daily candlestick chart August 2026
Sibanye Gold Ltd technical analysis – candlestick chart with RSI and MACD. Updated Aug 6, 2026.

Trend Analysis of Sibanye Gold Ltd ADR

Sibanye Gold Ltd ADR is in a short-term uptrend. The price of $9.92 is 14.9% above the 20-day average ($8.64). Medium term, the picture is positive: the price is 5.3% above the 50-day average ($9.42). Long term, the stock is 20.3% below the 200-day average ($12.45), which signals a long-term downtrend.

Death Cross: The 50-day average (9.42) is below the 200-day average (12.45), which is a classic bearish signal for Sibanye Gold Ltd ADR.

Is Sibanye Gold Ltd ADR overbought or oversold?

Sibanye Gold Ltd ADR has an RSI of 63.1. The stock shows positive momentum in the upper part of the neutral zone.

MACD Analysis for Sibanye Gold Ltd ADR

Daily MACD: MACD is positive (0.012), which means the short-term trend is bullish (the 12-day EMA is above the 26-day EMA). MACD is above the signal line (-0.216) by 0.228, which confirms rising momentum in the uptrend.

Weekly MACD: MACD5 is negative (-1.108), which indicates a broader bearish long-term trend. MACD5 is below the signal line (-0.716) by 0.392, which confirms continued negative long-term momentum.

Overall MACD assessment: The daily and weekly MACD give conflicting signals. The short-term trend is bullish, but the long-term trend is still bearish. Wait until the weekly MACD also crosses the zero line before acting.

Risk Profile for Sibanye Gold Ltd ADR

Sibanye Gold Ltd ADR has an annual standard deviation of 68.1%, which classifies the stock as high risk. Sizeable price swings are normal, and the stock requires a higher risk tolerance.

Overall Technical Conclusion for Sibanye Gold Ltd ADR

Trend: Neutral/mixed.

MACD trend (zero line): Daily bullish (0.012). Weekly bearish (-1.108).

MACD momentum (signal): Daily rising. Weekly falling.

RSI: 63.1 – neutral.

Technical signal: Hold

The signals are mixed – trend and MACD point in different directions. Wait until MACD crosses the zero line in the direction of the trend before acting.

Frequently Asked Questions About Sibanye Gold Ltd stock in 2026

Should you buy Sibanye Gold Ltd stock now?
The technical signal for Sibanye Gold Ltd is currently NEUTRAL. Sibanye Gold Ltd trades at $9.94 as of 8/6/2026. The overall technical signal is: Hold. The technical analysis shows the following: MACD is positive (bullish trend) at 0.012 with rising momentum (signal: -0.216); RSI is at 63.1 (neutral zone); the stock is in a short-term uptrend (price above the 20-day average); the analyst price target of $12.84 points to 29.2% upside. This is a technical observation based on current data, not investment advice.
What is the price target for Sibanye Gold Ltd stock?
The average analyst price target for Sibanye Gold Ltd is $12.84. The current price is $9.94, which gives an upside of 29.2%. Based on this, the stock is considered undervalued. The fair value range (±10% of the price target) is between $11.56 and $14.12.
Is Sibanye Gold Ltd a dividend stock?
Yes, Sibanye Gold Ltd is a dividend stock with a dividend yield of 3.48%. The latest dividend was $0.31 per share. The latest ex-dividend date (traded without the dividend) was 3/20/2026. The next dividend payment is scheduled for 4/2/2026.
When does Sibanye Gold Ltd pay a dividend in 2026?
Sibanye Gold Ltd pays its next dividend on 4/2/2026. The latest dividend was $0.31 per share with an ex-dividend date of 3/20/2026. The dividend yield is 3.48%.
What is the risk of Sibanye Gold Ltd stock?
Sibanye Gold Ltd is rated as a stock with high risk. the annual standard deviation is 68.1%, which classifies the stock as high risk.
Is Sibanye Gold Ltd overvalued?
No, Sibanye Gold Ltd is considered undervalued based on the analyst price target (29.2% upside). Sibanye Gold Ltd has the following valuation ratios: a P/S ratio of 0.1, a P/B ratio of 2.6. The analyst price target suggests that the stock is undervalued by 29.2%.
Is Sibanye Gold Ltd overbought?
No, Sibanye Gold Ltd is not overbought. RSI is at 63.1 (neutral zone). The technical indicators show: RSI is at 63.1 (upper neutral zone), which shows positive momentum but is not yet overbought. In addition, the price is 15.1% above the 20-day average (short-term uptrend). In addition, MACD is positive with rising momentum (bullish).
When is the next Sibanye Gold Ltd earnings report?
The date of the next earnings report for Sibanye Gold Ltd has not been published yet. Check the company's investor calendar for updates.
Is Sibanye Gold Ltd shorted?
Yes, Sibanye Gold Ltd is shorted with 1.9% of the free float sold short. This is a moderate level of short selling, within the normal range for most stocks. Data is updated daily based on official filings with the SEC.
Are insiders buying Sibanye Gold Ltd stock?
Yes, insiders are net buyers of Sibanye Gold Ltd – they are buying more shares than they are selling. Across the last 2 reported transactions, the split is 2 purchases and 0 sales, with a net 188,655 $ bought. Active buyers include Richard Peter Menell, Thabane Vincent Maphai. Insider buying is generally seen as a positive signal, because management is putting its own money into the company.
Is Sibanye Gold Ltd a good stock?
Based on our total score, Sibanye Gold Ltd is rated as a poor stock with a total score of 33 out of 100. The stock scores below average on value, quality and momentum – it sits at the lower end of the market. The score is made up of Value: 45/100, Quality: 42/100, Momentum: 13/100. In addition: analysts see 29.2% upside to the price target; a dividend of 3.48%; technical signal: Hold. Whether Sibanye Gold Ltd is a good investment depends on your time horizon, risk profile and portfolio. This is a data-driven observation, not investment advice.
What is the outlook for Sibanye Gold Ltd stock?
The outlook for Sibanye Gold Ltd based on current data: the average analyst price target is $12.84 (+29.2%). Keep in mind that stock prices are affected by many factors, including earnings reports, the economy and market sentiment. Past returns are no guarantee of future returns.
Why is Sibanye Gold Ltd stock rising?
Sibanye Gold Ltd is rising right now. The technical indicators show: the price is 15.1% above the 20-day average; MACD is positive with rising momentum (bullish signal); insiders have mostly been buying the stock recently. For the latest context, see our technical analysis, insider section and news overview above.
How high can Sibanye Gold Ltd go?
The average analyst price target for Sibanye Gold Ltd is $12.84, which corresponds to a potential gain of 29.2% from the current price of $9.94. Keep in mind that price targets are estimates, not guarantees. Actual price moves depend on earnings, market conditions and unexpected events.
How low can Sibanye Gold Ltd fall?
We lack enough history to give a specific floor for Sibanye Gold Ltd. Remember: past price swings are no guarantee for the future — a stock can fall further than the last 52 weeks suggest, especially on profit warnings, sector crises or a market crash. Use stop-loss orders and spread your portfolio to limit losses in single stocks.
What does Sibanye Gold Ltd do?
Sibanye Stillwater driver minedrift og producerer ædelmetaller. De tjener primært penge på at grave guld og PGM'er op – altså platin, palladium og rhodium, som er ret vigtige materialer. Sibanye Stillwater laver også krom, zink og nikkel, men fokus er klart på ædelmetallerne.... The company belongs to the Materialer sector, more specifically the Andet metal & minedrift industry, is headquartered in USA, and is traded on the USA Stocks. See the key figures, earnings history and price development above to evaluate Sibanye Gold Ltd as an investment.
Did Sibanye Gold Ltd raise or lower its guidance?
Over the last 60 days we have not registered a guidance raise or cut from Sibanye Gold Ltd. The company can still adjust its guidance at quarterly reports or between reports — see the earnings history and the news overview above.
Is Sibanye Gold Ltd making money or losing money?
No, Sibanye Gold Ltd is currently not making money — the company is losing money with a negative profit margin of -4.0%, a small loss. That means the business loses money on every dollar of revenue. The operating margin, however, is positive at 13.5% — the core business makes money; the loss comes from financing costs, taxes or one-off items. For growth stocks investing in expansion this is normal — but it raises the risk if the company does not reach break-even before its capital runs out.
Can Sibanye Gold Ltd go bankrupt?
The bankruptcy risk of Sibanye Gold Ltd is rated as elevated. Altman Z2 (a model for assessing financial distress) is 1.01 — that places the company in the weak zone. This is a probability based on the numbers, not a verdict — bankruptcy is not imminent. But the balance sheet is measurably weaker than average, so watch the debt, liquidity and possible capital raises. The Piotroski score (financial health 0-9, higher is better) is 6 — which is average. Debt relative to equity is 204% (high). Remember: models like Altman Z2 are statistical — unexpected shocks (fraud, a sector collapse, lawsuits) can always happen. Spread your portfolio.
Does Sibanye Gold Ltd have a lot of debt?
Yes, Sibanye Gold Ltd has elevated debt relative to equity. The debt-to-equity ratio (D/E — interest-bearing debt to equity) is 204%. For the materialer sector, anything above 150% counts as elevated — that raises the financial risk, especially if interest rates rise or earnings fall. Note: D/E levels are highly sector-specific — a bank at 300% debt is normal, a tech stock at 300% is extremely leveraged. Always compare with similar companies in the same sector. Can Sibanye Gold Ltd service its debt? Can service its debt, but it weighs on the company — the interest coverage ratio (how many times earnings can cover interest payments) is 2.5x, and net debt equals 0.8 years of earnings (EBITDA).