Recursion Pharmaceuticals (RXRX.US) Price Target 2026/2027: 55% Upside – Rating and Stock Analysis

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Price history for Recursion Pharmaceuticals (RXRX.US) – stock price at $4.63, October 2026
Recursion Pharmaceuticals stock price – price development 2026. Updated Oct 7, 2026.
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Recursion Pharmaceuticals Price Target 2026: Analysts See 56% Upside

The average price target for Recursion Pharmaceuticals is $7.22. This price target represents the analysts' view of the stock price over the next 12 months. The stock may be undervalued, because the price target is higher than the current price. The stock is 55.94% below the target, which can point to potential returns within the next 12 months if the analysts' view proves right. Also consider the stock's valuation ratios such as P/E, P/S and P/B, plus the technical analysis further down the page, for the full picture.

Is Recursion Pharmaceuticals overvalued or undervalued?

Recursion Pharmaceuticals is currently undervalued with a gap of 55.9% relative to the price target.


The current price is $4.63, which places Recursion Pharmaceuticals in the undervalued category. The stock is considered undervalued when the price is below $6.50, and overvalued when the price exceeds $7.94.


The fair value range is defined as ±10% of the price target, because price targets are estimates rather than exact values. For Recursion Pharmaceuticals, the fair value range lies between $6.50 and $7.94.


See the full price target analysis for Recursion Pharmaceuticals →

Analyst Ratings for Recursion Pharmaceuticals stock in 2026: Hold

8 analysts cover Recursion Pharmaceuticals. Analysts are mostly neutral — 75% recommend Hold. The average price target is $7.22, which gives an upside of 55.9% from the current price.

Consensus: Hold (3.38/5)
Strong Buy
1 (12.5%)
Buy
1 (12.5%)
Hold
6 (75%)
Strong Sell Sell Hold Buy Strong Buy
3.38 out of 5 based on 8 analysts

About Recursion Pharmaceuticals – Biotechnology

**What the company does:** Recursion Pharmaceuticals (rxrx.us) is a biotech company that develops new medicines. It combines technology, chemistry and large amounts of data to make drug development faster and more efficient. The company is still in the clinical testing stage, meaning its drugs are being tried out in patients but are not yet approved or sold. It does not yet earn money from product sales. Instead, it earns income through partnerships and research agreements with larger pharmaceutical companies.

**Main partners:** Recursion works with Bayer AG and with Roche together with its subsidiary Genentech. It also has an agreement with Takeda Pharmaceutical Company. These partnerships likely provide funding and research support.

**What they are working on:** The company is testing several potential drugs, including:

- REC-994, currently in Phase 2 testing, aimed at treating a brain condition called cerebral cavernous malformation (a cluster of abnormal blood vessels in the brain).
- REC-2282, in combined Phase 2/3 testing, for a disease called neurofibromatose type 2 (a genetic disorder that causes tumors to grow on nerves).
- REC-4881, being tested against certain cancer types that have specific genetic changes, known as AXIN1 or APC mutations.

"Phase 2" and "Phase 2/3" refer to stages in the testing process a drug must go through before it can be approved for general use. Phase 2 checks whether a drug works and is safe in a larger group of patients. Phase 3 is a later, larger study needed before approval.

**Markets and customers:** Recursion's "customers" are mainly its pharmaceutical industry partners, such as Bayer, Roche, Genentech and Takeda, rather than everyday consumers. The company's main base and operations are in the United States.
Read more about the company

Key Figures for Recursion Pharmaceuticals

$2.2B Market cap
$54.9M Revenue
Biotechnology Industry
- P/E
39.40 P/S
2.17 P/B
United States Listed on exchange

What kind of stock is Recursion Pharmaceuticals?

Speculative stock

Recursion Pharmaceuticals is classified as a speculative stock.

Score Overview for Recursion Pharmaceuticals

💰 Value Score 17/100 (Very Low)
⭐ Quality Score 14/100 (Very Low)
🚀 Momentum Score 54/100 (Neutral)
📊 Total Score 28/100

⚠️ 4 red flags identified 3 critical

Our analysis has identified 4 potential risk factors in Recursion Pharmaceuticals that investors should be aware of.

⚠️ Weak financial health: The Piotroski score is only 3/9 – the company shows signs of weakened profitability, liquidity or capital structure.
🚨 Weak balance sheet (elevated risk): Altman Z2 is -3.30 – the balance sheet is measurably weaker than average. This is a risk signal based on the numbers, not a bankruptcy prediction.
🚨 Negative return on equity: ROE is -56.6% – the company is generating a negative return for shareholders.
🚨 High short interest: 35.0% of the shares are sold short – many professional investors are betting on price declines.

📈 Valuation

The P/S ratio is 39.4 (high — the market pays a premium for the revenue). The P/B ratio is 2.2.

🏦 Financial Health

The Piotroski score is 3 out of 9 — weak financial health, be careful. Altman Z2 is -3.30 (weak balance sheet — elevated risk). The debt-to-equity ratio (D/E) is 40.0% — low debt, a solid balance sheet.

🚀 Momentum & Short Interest

Short interest is 34.95% — very high, the market is skeptical.

Insider Trading in Recursion Pharmaceuticals 2026: The Signal Is negative

In 2026, insiders at Recursion Pharmaceuticals have made 20 transactions, all of which were sales. On a net basis, insiders took $1,859,488 out of the stock. Active insiders include Khan Najat, Borgeson Blake, Bumpus Namandje and others. In the short term (last 3 months), the insider signal is negative.

Short-Term Signal (3 months): Negative

Insiders have exclusively sold shares over the last 3 months.

Over the last 3 months: 0 purchases and 3 sales. A net $276,576 out of the stock.

Long-Term Signal (all transactions): Negative

Insiders have exclusively sold shares in the recent period. This can suggest management sees limited opportunity.

Across the last 20 transactions: 0 purchases and 20 sales. A net $1,859,488 out of the stock.

Latest sale: Khan Najat sold 22,408 shares at $3.52 each on 2026-09-08.

Who is selling: Khan Najat, Borgeson Blake, Bumpus Namandje, Gibson Christopher, Blake Borgeson and others.

Latest Insider Trades in Recursion Pharmaceuticals (2026)

The table shows the last 20 reported insider transactions in Recursion Pharmaceuticals. Green rows are purchases, red rows are sales. The data is based on official filings.

Transaction date Name Type Number of shares Price per share ($) Total amount ($)
2026-09-08 Khan Najat Sell 22,408 4 78,876
2026-09-01 Borgeson Blake Sell 30,000 3 100,200
2026-08-04 Borgeson Blake Sell 30,000 3 97,500
2026-07-07 Borgeson Blake Sell 40,000 4 158,400
2026-06-18 Bumpus Namandje Sell 3,963 3 12,602
2026-06-05 Khan Najat Sell 23,588 4 84,445
2026-06-05 Gibson Christopher Sell 40,000 4 144,800
2026-06-03 Bumpus Namandje Sell 4,386 4 15,526
2026-06-02 Borgeson Blake Sell 30,000 4 110,400
2026-05-22 Gibson Christopher Sell 40,000 3 123,200

Who is buying and selling Recursion Pharmaceuticals shares in 2026?

The following insiders have sold shares: Khan Najat, Borgeson Blake, Bumpus Namandje, Gibson Christopher, Blake Borgeson and others. In total, $1,859,488 was sold across 20 transactions. Insider trades are legal transactions in which executives and board members buy or sell shares of their own company. These transactions are reported to the SEC and are publicly available.

Recursion Pharmaceuticals Short Selling 2026: 35.0% Sold Short

Extremely shorted: 35.0% of the free float
Short % of free float
35.0%
Assessment
Extremely shorted
Short squeeze risk
Very High
Data source
EODHD
Reported about twice a month

Short interest over time: Recursion Pharmaceuticals

0.0%21.2%42.4%
Peak 36.8% · 5/30
5/307/3110/1
35.0% today (extremely high)Peaked at 36.8% on May 30, 2026Last 30 days: +0.2 percentage pointsMeasured over 124 days
What does the trend tell you?
Short interest in Recursion Pharmaceuticals has been fairly stable at 35.0% over the period. Neither many new short sellers have arrived nor many positions been closed.

What matters is when the curve starts to move. This is how shorting works: whoever shorts has borrowed the share and sold it, and to close the position again they must buy the share back. When short interest falls, shares are being bought back. So it is worth watching the trend, not just today's number.
The stock has an extremely high share of short selling. More than 20% of the freely traded shares are sold short, which is unusual and can point to great skepticism among institutional investors. The risk of a short squeeze on positive news is considerable.

What does this mean for you as an investor?
A short interest of 35.0% means that 35.0% of the freely traded shares in Recursion Pharmaceuticals have been borrowed and sold by investors betting on falling prices. On positive surprises (e.g. a strong earnings report), short sellers can be forced to buy back shares quickly to close their positions, which can cause a short squeeze with sharp price gains in a short time.

The next potential catalyst is the earnings report on Nov 4, 2026. With a short interest of 35.0%, the report can trigger considerable volatility.

Short interest comes from our data provider EODHD. The figure is reported about twice a month; we check it every trading day.
Short Interest Scale
0% 2% 5% 10% 20%+
Low Moderate High Very High Extreme
▲
35.0%

When Does Recursion Pharmaceuticals Report Earnings – Next Date: Nov 4, 2026

The next earnings report from Recursion Pharmaceuticals is scheduled for November 4, 2026, before the market opens. This report covers the third quarter (Q3), which ended on September 30, 2026.



Technical Analysis of Recursion Pharmaceuticals 2026 – Signal: Strong Buy

Overall Technical Signal: Strong Buy

Based on trend analysis (SMA50/SMA200) and MACD trend (positive/negative on a daily + weekly basis). Updated October 7, 2026.

Technical analysis of Recursion Pharmaceuticals (RXRX.US) – RSI 68, MACD positive (bullish), daily candlestick chart October 2026
Recursion Pharmaceuticals technical analysis – candlestick chart with RSI, MACD and volume profile. Updated Oct 7, 2026.

Trend Analysis of Recursion Pharmaceuticals, Inc

Recursion Pharmaceuticals, Inc is in a short-term uptrend. The price of $4.63 is 22.5% above the 20-day average ($3.78). Medium term, the picture is positive: the price is 32.8% above the 50-day average ($3.49). Long term, the stock is 29.5% above the 200-day average ($3.58), which confirms a long-term uptrend.

Death Cross: The 50-day average (3.49) is below the 200-day average (3.58), which is a classic bearish signal for Recursion Pharmaceuticals, Inc.

Is Recursion Pharmaceuticals, Inc overbought or oversold?

Recursion Pharmaceuticals, Inc has an RSI of 67.5. The stock shows positive momentum in the upper part of the neutral zone. Combined with the positive trend, this supports the bullish picture.

MACD Analysis for Recursion Pharmaceuticals, Inc

Daily MACD: MACD is positive (0.280), which means the short-term trend is bullish (the 12-day EMA is above the 26-day EMA). MACD is above the signal line (0.189) by 0.091, which confirms rising momentum in the uptrend.

Weekly MACD: MACD5 is positive (0.015), which indicates a broader bullish long-term trend. MACD5 is above the signal line (-0.143) by 0.158, which confirms rising long-term momentum.

Overall MACD assessment: Both the daily and weekly MACD are positive and above their signal lines. Trend and momentum confirm each other across time horizons – the strongest bullish signal.

Risk Profile for Recursion Pharmaceuticals, Inc

Recursion Pharmaceuticals, Inc has an annual standard deviation of 74.3%, which classifies the stock as Extremely speculative. Only risk-tolerant investors should consider this stock, because the price swings can be very large.

Overall Technical Conclusion for Recursion Pharmaceuticals, Inc

Trend: Positive. The price trades above SMA50 and SMA200.

MACD trend (zero line): Daily bullish (0.280). Weekly bullish (0.015).

MACD momentum (signal): Daily rising. Weekly rising.

RSI: 67.5 – neutral.

Technical signal: Strong Buy

The price is in an uptrend (above SMA50/SMA200) and MACD is positive on both a daily and weekly basis. Trend and MACD trend confirm each other – the strongest technical buy signal.

Frequently Asked Questions About Recursion Pharmaceuticals stock in 2026

Should you buy Recursion Pharmaceuticals stock now?
Yes, the technical signal for Recursion Pharmaceuticals is currently Strong Buy. Recursion Pharmaceuticals trades at $4.63 as of Oct 7, 2026. The technical analysis shows the following: MACD is positive (bullish trend) at 0.280 with rising momentum (signal: 0.189); RSI is at 67.5 (neutral zone); the stock is in a short-term uptrend (price above the 20-day average); the analyst price target of $7.22 points to 55.9% upside. The stock is in a broader uptrend (above SMA50/SMA200). This is a technical observation based on current data, not investment advice.
What is the price target for Recursion Pharmaceuticals stock?
The average analyst price target for Recursion Pharmaceuticals is $7.22. The current price is $4.63, which gives an upside of 55.9%. Based on this, the stock is considered undervalued. The fair value range (±10% of the price target) is between $6.50 and $7.94.
Is Recursion Pharmaceuticals a dividend stock?
No, Recursion Pharmaceuticals does not currently pay a dividend to shareholders. The company reinvests its profits in growth instead of paying dividends.
What is the risk of Recursion Pharmaceuticals stock?
Recursion Pharmaceuticals is rated as a stock in the risk category Extremely speculative. the annual standard deviation is 74.3%, which classifies the stock as Extremely speculative.
Is Recursion Pharmaceuticals overvalued?
No, Recursion Pharmaceuticals is considered undervalued based on the analyst price target (55.9% upside). Recursion Pharmaceuticals has the following valuation ratios: a P/S ratio of 39.4, a P/B ratio of 2.2. The analyst price target suggests that the stock is undervalued by 55.9%.
Is Recursion Pharmaceuticals overbought?
No, Recursion Pharmaceuticals is not overbought. RSI is at 67.5 (neutral zone). The technical indicators show: RSI is at 67.5 (upper neutral zone), which shows positive momentum but is not yet overbought. In addition, the price is 22.5% above the 20-day average (short-term uptrend). In addition, MACD is positive with rising momentum (bullish).
When is the next Recursion Pharmaceuticals earnings report?
Recursion Pharmaceuticals reports its next earnings on November 4, 2026. The stock currently trades at $4.63. The RSI is at 67.5, so the report can reinforce the current technical trend.
Is Recursion Pharmaceuticals shorted?
Yes, Recursion Pharmaceuticals is shorted with 35.0% of the free float sold short. This is an extremely high level of short selling, which points to great skepticism among institutional investors. The risk of a short squeeze on positive news or earnings is very high. The figure comes from our data provider EODHD, is reported about twice a month, and we check it every trading day.
Are insiders buying Recursion Pharmaceuticals stock?
No, insiders are not buying Recursion Pharmaceuticals shares – they are net sellers. Over the last 3 months, insiders have made 0 purchases and 3 sales. On a net basis, 276,576 $ worth of shares were sold. Across the last 20 reported transactions, the split is 0 purchases and 20 sales, with a net 1,859,488 $ sold. Active sellers include Khan Najat, Borgeson Blake, Bumpus Namandje and others. Insider selling can have several explanations (e.g. planned 10b5-1 sales, portfolio diversification or taxes), but sustained selling by several insiders is worth watching closely.
Is Recursion Pharmaceuticals a good stock?
Based on our total score, Recursion Pharmaceuticals is rated as a poor stock with a total score of 28 out of 100. The stock scores below average on value, quality and momentum – it sits at the lower end of the market. The score is made up of Value: 17/100, Quality: 14/100, Momentum: 54/100. In addition: analysts see 55.9% upside to the price target; technical signal: Strong Buy. Whether Recursion Pharmaceuticals is a good investment depends on your time horizon, risk profile and portfolio. This is a data-driven observation, not investment advice.
What is the outlook for Recursion Pharmaceuticals stock?
The outlook for Recursion Pharmaceuticals based on current data: the average analyst price target is $7.22 (+55.9%); the stock is in an uptrend (above SMA50 and SMA200); the next earnings report is due on Nov 4, 2026, which can move the price. Keep in mind that stock prices are affected by many factors, including earnings reports, the economy and market sentiment. Past returns are no guarantee of future returns.
Why is Recursion Pharmaceuticals stock rising?
Recursion Pharmaceuticals is rising right now. The technical indicators show: the price is 22.5% above the 20-day average; MACD is positive with rising momentum (bullish signal); short interest is 35.0% (high – many are betting on a decline); insiders have mostly been selling the stock recently. For the latest context, see our technical analysis and insider section above.
How high can Recursion Pharmaceuticals go?
The average analyst price target for Recursion Pharmaceuticals is $7.22, which corresponds to a potential gain of 55.9% from the current price of $4.63. The stock has traded between $2.77 and $7.18 over the last 52 weeks. The price is 35.5% below the 52-week high, which can indicate potential if the underlying fundamentals are intact. Keep in mind that price targets are estimates, not guarantees. Actual price moves depend on earnings, market conditions and unexpected events.
How low can Recursion Pharmaceuticals fall?
The stock has traded as low as $2.77 over the last 52 weeks — that is 40.2% below the current price of $4.63. The biggest decline (drawdown) in the same period was 61.4% from high to low. Within a year, the price typically swings about ±74.3% (standard deviation — a measure of price swings). A difficult year could therefore mean a further decline of that size. Remember: past price swings are no guarantee for the future — a stock can fall further than the last 52 weeks suggest, especially on profit warnings, sector crises or a market crash. Use stop-loss orders and spread your portfolio to limit losses in single stocks.
What does Recursion Pharmaceuticals do?
**What the company does:** Recursion Pharmaceuticals (rxrx.us) is a biotech company that develops new medicines. It combines technology, chemistry and large amounts of data to make drug development faster and more efficient. The company is still in the clinical testing stage, ... The company belongs to the Healthcare sector, more specifically the Biotechnology industry, is headquartered in United States, and is traded on the USA Stocks. See the key figures, earnings history and price development above to evaluate Recursion Pharmaceuticals as an investment.
Did Recursion Pharmaceuticals raise or lower its guidance?
Over the last 60 days we have not registered a guidance raise or cut from Recursion Pharmaceuticals. The company can still adjust its guidance at quarterly reports or between reports — see the earnings history above.
Is Recursion Pharmaceuticals making money or losing money?
We have no current profitability data for Recursion Pharmaceuticals. See the latest report in the earnings history above.
Can Recursion Pharmaceuticals go bankrupt?
The bankruptcy risk of Recursion Pharmaceuticals is rated as elevated. Altman Z2 (a model for assessing financial distress) is -3.30 — that places the company in the weak zone. This is a probability based on the numbers, not a verdict — bankruptcy is not imminent. But the balance sheet is measurably weaker than average, so watch the debt, liquidity and possible capital raises. The Piotroski score (financial health 0-9, higher is better) is 3 — which is weak. Debt relative to equity is 40% (low). Remember: models like Altman Z2 are statistical — unexpected shocks (fraud, a sector collapse, lawsuits) can always happen. Spread your portfolio.
Does Recursion Pharmaceuticals have a lot of debt?
No, Recursion Pharmaceuticals has low debt relative to equity. The debt-to-equity ratio (D/E — interest-bearing debt to equity) is 40%. For the healthcare sector, anything below 80% counts as low debt. In healthcare, 80-150% is typical — large pharma companies carry debt for research and acquisitions. Note: D/E levels are highly sector-specific — a bank at 300% debt is normal, a tech stock at 300% is extremely leveraged. Always compare with similar companies in the same sector.

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