Rio Tinto is currently fairly valued with a gap of 8.1% relative to the price target.
The current price is $95.89, which places Rio Tinto in the fairly valued category. The stock is considered undervalued when the price is below $93.29, and overvalued when the price exceeds $114.02.
The fair value range is defined as ±10% of the price target, because price targets are estimates rather than exact values. For Rio Tinto, the fair value range lies between $93.29 and $114.02.
10 analysts cover Rio Tinto. The ratings are mixed, with 50% Buy, 30% Hold and 20% Sell. The average price target is $103.65, which gives an upside of 8.1% from the current price.
Rio Tinto is classified as a dividend stock and growth stock and value stock and quality stock. This means the stock combines several attractive traits, including a dividend of 5.0%, strong financial health (Piotroski 8/9).
Rio Tinto trades at a P/E ratio of 12.6, which is below the market average and can point to an attractive price. The forward P/E is 12.1 (4% lower), which suggests the market expects rising earnings. The P/S ratio is 2.5. The P/B ratio is 2.4. The PEG ratio is 5.69 — above 2.0 suggests the stock is expensive relative to its growth rate.
Rio Tinto has a profit margin of 19.6% (solid) and an operating margin of 28.1%. Return on equity (ROE) is 19.3% — solid return on equity. Return on assets (ROA) is 8.1%. The latest quarterly earnings grew 46.9% year over year — strong growth.
The Piotroski score is 8 out of 9 — excellent financial health. Altman Z2 is 4.12 (healthy balance sheet — low risk). The debt-to-equity ratio (D/E) is 81.1% — low debt, a solid balance sheet.
Short interest is 0.92% — low, the market does not expect a decline.
Rio Tinto pays dividends to its shareholders. The most recently paid dividend was 2.11 USD per share, which corresponds to a dividend yield of 5.01%. Over the last 6 years, the annual dividend has grown by 20.5%, which shows positive dividend growth.
The payout ratio is 54.5%, which is considered healthy and sustainable. The company balances rewarding shareholders with reinvesting in growth.
We have registered dividend payments for Rio Tinto since Mar 6, 2020. In that period the stock has paid a dividend 14 times, most recently on Aug 14, 2026. This stock qualifies as a stable dividend stock, because it has paid a dividend at least once a year for the last 5 years. That makes it attractive to investors looking for steady, regular dividend payments.
| Ex-date | Payment date | Amount | Currency |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 | 2026-09-24 | 2.11 | USD |
| 2026-03-06 | 2026-04-16 | 2.54 | USD |
| 2025-08-15 | 2025-09-25 | 1.48 | USD |
| 2025-03-07 | 2025-04-17 | 2.25 | USD |
| 2024-08-16 | 2024-09-26 | 1.77 | USD |
| 2024-03-07 | 2024-04-18 | 2.58 | USD |
| 2023-08-10 | 2023-09-21 | 1.77 | USD |
| 2023-03-09 | 2023-04-20 | 2.25 | USD |
| 2022-08-11 | 2022-09-22 | 2.67 | USD |
| 2022-03-10 | 2022-04-21 | 4.79 | USD |
| 2021-08-12 | 2021-09-23 | 5.61 | USD |
| 2021-03-04 | 2021-04-15 | 4.02 | USD |
| 2020-08-06 | 2020-09-17 | 1.55 | USD |
| 2020-03-06 | 2020-04-16 | 2.31 | USD |
In 2026, insiders at Rio Tinto have made 1 transactions, all of which were sales. On a net basis, insiders took $573,300,000 out of the stock. Active insiders include RIO TINTO PLC.
There has been no insider trading in the last 3 months.
Insiders have exclusively sold shares in the recent period. This can suggest management sees limited opportunity.
Across the last 1 transactions: 0 purchases and 1 sales. A net $573,300,000 out of the stock.
Latest sale: RIO TINTO PLC sold 29,400,000 shares at $19.50 each on 2010-12-21.
Who is selling: RIO TINTO PLC.
The table shows the last 1 reported insider transactions in Rio Tinto. Green rows are purchases, red rows are sales. The data is based on official filings.
| Transaction date | Name | Type | Number of shares | Price per share ($) | Total amount ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010-12-21 | RIO TINTO PLC | Sell | 29,400,000 | 20 | 573,300,000 |
The following insiders have sold shares: RIO TINTO PLC. In total, $573,300,000 was sold across 1 transactions. Insider trades are legal transactions in which executives and board members buy or sell shares of their own company. These transactions are reported to the SEC and are publicly available.
Based on trend analysis (SMA50/SMA200) and MACD trend (positive/negative on a daily + weekly basis). Updated October 7, 2026.
Rio Tinto Group is in a short-term downtrend. The price of $95.89 is 0.6% below the 20-day average ($96.47). Medium term, the picture is negative: the price is 2.5% below the 50-day average ($98.40). Long term, the stock is 2.6% above the 200-day average ($93.49), which confirms a long-term uptrend.
Golden Cross: The 50-day average (98.40) is above the 200-day average (93.49), which is a classic bullish signal for Rio Tinto Group.
Rio Tinto Group has an RSI of 46.3, right in the middle of the neutral zone. There is no clear buying or selling pressure.
Daily MACD: MACD is negative (-1.316), which means the short-term trend is bearish (the 12-day EMA is below the 26-day EMA). MACD is below the signal line (-1.233) by 0.083, which confirms growing negative momentum in the downtrend.
Weekly MACD: MACD5 is positive (2.274), which indicates a broader bullish long-term trend. MACD5 is below the signal line (3.305) by 1.031, which suggests the long-term momentum is fading – the positive trend could come under pressure.
Overall MACD assessment: The daily and weekly MACD give conflicting signals. The long-term trend is bullish, but the short-term trend is bearish. Short-term momentum is still falling – a deeper pullback is possible.
Rio Tinto Group has an annual standard deviation of 30.4%, which classifies the stock as Balanced. There is some volatility, but the price is relatively stable.
Trend: Neutral/mixed.
MACD trend (zero line): Daily bearish (-1.316). Weekly bullish (2.274).
MACD momentum (signal): Daily falling. Weekly falling.
RSI: 46.3 – neutral.
Technical signal: Hold
The signals are mixed – trend and MACD point in different directions. Wait until MACD crosses the zero line in the direction of the trend before acting.
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