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Pony AI Inc. (PONY.US) Price Target 2026/2027: 145% Upside – Rating and Stock Analysis

8.51
Analysis framework by , founder of TradeDesk · Data: EODHD, official filings (SEC) · Updated
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Pony AI Inc. Price Target 2026: Analysts See 146% Upside

The average price target for Pony AI Inc. is $20.91. This price target represents the analysts' view of the stock price over the next 12 months. The stock may be undervalued, because the price target is higher than the current price. The stock is 145.86% below the target, which can point to potential returns within the next 12 months if the analysts' view proves right. Also consider the stock's valuation ratios such as P/E, P/S and P/B, plus the technical analysis further down the page, for the full picture.

Is Pony AI Inc. overvalued or undervalued?

Pony AI Inc. is currently undervalued with a gap of 145.9% relative to the price target.


The current price is $8.51, which places Pony AI Inc. in the undervalued category. The stock is considered undervalued when the price is below $18.82, and overvalued when the price exceeds $23.00.


The fair value range is defined as ±10% of the price target, because price targets are estimates rather than exact values. For Pony AI Inc., the fair value range lies between $18.82 and $23.00.


See the full price target analysis for Pony AI Inc. →

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Analyst Ratings for Pony AI Inc. stock in 2026: Strong Buy

4 analysts cover Pony AI Inc.. There is broad agreement on a positive view — 100% recommend buying. The average price target is $20.91, which gives an upside of 145.9% from the current price.

Consensus: Strong Buy (4.75/5)
Strong Buy
3 (75%)
Buy
1 (25%)
Strong Sell Sell Hold Buy Strong Buy
4.75 out of 5 based on 4 analysts
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About Pony AI Inc. – IT

Pony AI Inc., through its subsidiaries, engages in the autonomous mobility business in the People's Republic of China and internationally. The company provides robotaxi services that include autonomous vehicle (AV) engineering solutions, such as AV software deployment and maintenance; vehicle integration and engineering; and road-testing services to original equipment manufacturers and transportation network companies. It also offers robotruck services that provide transportation services to logistics platforms. In addition, the company engages in the licensing and applications business that comprises personally-owned vehicle intelligent solutions, including intelligent driving software solutions, proprietary vehicle domain controller products, and data analytics tools; vehicle integration services, software development, and licensing services; and vehicle-to-everything (V2X) products and services to enhance road safety. The company's customers include OEMs and TNCs; OEMs and logistics platforms; and sensor and hardware component suppliers. Pony AI Inc. was incorporated in 2016 and is based in Guangzhou, the People's Republic of China. Read more about the company

Key Figures for Pony AI Inc.

$ 3.5B Market cap
$ 110M Revenue
IT Industry
- P/E
32.11 P/S
2.19 P/B
USA Listed on exchange
pony.ai Website
Technology Sector

What kind of stock is Pony AI Inc.?

Speculative stock

Pony AI Inc. is classified as a speculative stock.

Score Overview for Pony AI Inc.

💰 Value Score 18/100 (Very Low)
⭐ Quality Score 2/100 (Very Low)
🚀 Momentum Score 6/100 (Very Low)
📊 Total Score 8/100

⚠️ 3 red flags identified 1 critical

Our analysis has identified 3 potential risk factors in Pony AI Inc. that investors should be aware of.

⚠️ Weak financial health: The Piotroski score is only 2/9 – the company shows signs of weakened profitability, liquidity or capital structure.
🚨 Negative profit margin: The profit margin is -128.2% – the company is losing money on its operations.
⚠️ Negative return on equity: ROE is -7.2% – the company is generating a negative return for shareholders.

📈 Valuation

The P/S ratio is 32.1 (high — the market pays a premium for the revenue). The P/B ratio is 2.2.

🏦 Financial Health

The Piotroski score is 2 out of 9 — weak financial health, be careful. Altman Z2 is 20.96 (healthy balance sheet — low risk). The debt-to-equity ratio (D/E) is 8.6% — low debt, a solid balance sheet.

🚀 Momentum & Short Interest

Short interest is 7.68% — elevated, some investors are betting on a decline.

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Pony AI Inc. Short Selling 2026: 7.7% Sold Short

High short interest: 7.7% of the free float
Short % of free float
7.7%
Assessment
High short interest
Short squeeze risk
Moderate
Data source
SEC
Updated daily
The stock has a high share of short selling. Between 5-10% of the freely traded shares are sold short, which suggests some investors are betting on falling prices. Positive surprises can lead to a moderate short squeeze.

What does this mean for you as an investor?
A short interest of 7.7% means that 7.7% of the freely traded shares in Pony AI Inc. have been borrowed and sold by investors betting on falling prices.

The next potential catalyst is the earnings report on 8/18/2026. With a short interest of 7.7%, the report can trigger considerable volatility.

Data is updated daily based on official filings with the SEC.
Short Interest Scale
0% 2% 5% 10% 20%+
Low Moderate High Very High Extreme
▲
7.7%

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When Does Pony AI Inc. Report Earnings – Next Date: 8/18/2026

The next earnings report from Pony AI Inc. is scheduled for August 18, 2026, before the market opens. This report covers the second quarter (Q2), which ended on June 30, 2026.



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Technical Analysis of Pony AI Inc. 2026 – Signal: Hold

Overall Technical Signal: Hold

Based on trend analysis (SMA50/SMA200) and MACD trend (positive/negative on a daily + weekly basis). Updated August 11, 2026.

Trend Analysis of Pony AI Inc. American Depositary Shares

Pony AI Inc. American Depositary Shares is in a short-term uptrend. The price of $8.46 is 13.3% above the 20-day average ($7.47). Medium term, the picture is positive: the price is 8.8% above the 50-day average ($7.78). Long term, the stock is 28.3% below the 200-day average ($11.79), which signals a long-term downtrend.

Death Cross: The 50-day average (7.78) is below the 200-day average (11.79), which is a classic bearish signal for Pony AI Inc. American Depositary Shares.

Is Pony AI Inc. American Depositary Shares overbought or oversold?

Pony AI Inc. American Depositary Shares has an RSI of 64.9. The stock shows positive momentum in the upper part of the neutral zone.

MACD Analysis for Pony AI Inc. American Depositary Shares

Daily MACD: MACD is positive (0.189), which means the short-term trend is bullish (the 12-day EMA is above the 26-day EMA). MACD is above the signal line (0.047) by 0.142, which confirms rising momentum in the uptrend.

Weekly MACD: MACD5 is negative (-1.568), which indicates a broader bearish long-term trend. MACD5 is above the signal line (-1.659) by 0.091, which suggests the negative long-term momentum is fading – a bigger trend reversal could be ahead.

Overall MACD assessment: The daily and weekly MACD give conflicting signals. The short-term trend is bullish, but the long-term trend is still bearish. Weekly momentum is rising, though, which could signal an upcoming trend reversal.

Risk Profile for Pony AI Inc. American Depositary Shares

Pony AI Inc. American Depositary Shares has an annual standard deviation of 72.4%, which classifies the stock as extreme risk. Only risk-tolerant investors should consider this stock, because the price swings can be very large.

Overall Technical Conclusion for Pony AI Inc. American Depositary Shares

Trend: Neutral/mixed.

MACD trend (zero line): Daily bullish (0.189). Weekly bearish (-1.568).

MACD momentum (signal): Daily rising. Weekly rising.

RSI: 64.9 – neutral.

Technical signal: Hold

The signals are mixed – trend and MACD point in different directions. Wait until MACD crosses the zero line in the direction of the trend before acting.

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Frequently Asked Questions About Pony AI Inc. stock in 2026

Should you buy Pony AI Inc. stock now?
The technical signal for Pony AI Inc. is currently NEUTRAL. Pony AI Inc. trades at $8.51 as of 8/11/2026. The overall technical signal is: Hold. The technical analysis shows the following: MACD is positive (bullish trend) at 0.189 with rising momentum (signal: 0.047); RSI is at 64.9 (neutral zone); the stock is in a short-term uptrend (price above the 20-day average); the analyst price target of $20.91 points to 145.9% upside. This is a technical observation based on current data, not investment advice.
What is the price target for Pony AI Inc. stock?
The average analyst price target for Pony AI Inc. is $20.91. The current price is $8.51, which gives an upside of 145.9%. Based on this, the stock is considered undervalued. The fair value range (±10% of the price target) is between $18.82 and $23.00.
Is Pony AI Inc. a dividend stock?
No, Pony AI Inc. does not currently pay a dividend to shareholders. The company reinvests its profits in growth instead of paying dividends.
What is the risk of Pony AI Inc. stock?
Pony AI Inc. is rated as a stock with extreme risk. the annual standard deviation is 72.4%, which classifies the stock as extreme risk.
Is Pony AI Inc. overvalued?
No, Pony AI Inc. is considered undervalued based on the analyst price target (145.9% upside). Pony AI Inc. has the following valuation ratios: a P/S ratio of 32.1, a P/B ratio of 2.2. The analyst price target suggests that the stock is undervalued by 145.9%.
Is Pony AI Inc. overbought?
No, Pony AI Inc. is not overbought. RSI is at 64.9 (neutral zone). The technical indicators show: RSI is at 64.9 (upper neutral zone), which shows positive momentum but is not yet overbought. In addition, the price is 13.9% above the 20-day average (short-term uptrend). In addition, MACD is positive with rising momentum (bullish).
When is the next Pony AI Inc. earnings report?
Pony AI Inc. reports its next earnings on August 18, 2026. The stock currently trades at $8.51.
Is Pony AI Inc. shorted?
Yes, Pony AI Inc. is shorted with 7.7% of the free float sold short. This is a high level of short selling, which suggests some investors are betting on falling prices. Positive surprises can lead to a moderate short squeeze. Data is updated daily based on official filings with the SEC.
Are insiders buying Pony AI Inc. stock?
There is currently no registered insider trading for Pony AI Inc..
Is Pony AI Inc. a good stock?
Based on our total score, Pony AI Inc. is rated as a disastrous stock with a total score of 9 out of 100. The stock scores very low on value, quality and momentum – it is among the worst in our database. The score is made up of Value: 18/100, Quality: 2/100, Momentum: 6/100. In addition: analysts see 145.9% upside to the price target; technical signal: Hold. Whether Pony AI Inc. is a good investment depends on your time horizon, risk profile and portfolio. This is a data-driven observation, not investment advice.
What is the outlook for Pony AI Inc. stock?
The outlook for Pony AI Inc. based on current data: the average analyst price target is $20.91 (+145.9%); the next earnings report is due on 8/18/2026, which can move the price. Keep in mind that stock prices are affected by many factors, including earnings reports, the economy and market sentiment. Past returns are no guarantee of future returns.
Why is Pony AI Inc. stock rising?
Pony AI Inc. is rising right now. The technical indicators show: the price is 13.9% above the 20-day average; MACD is positive with rising momentum (bullish signal); short interest is 7.7% (high – many are betting on a decline). For the latest context, see our technical analysis, insider section and news overview above.
How high can Pony AI Inc. go?
The average analyst price target for Pony AI Inc. is $20.91, which corresponds to a potential gain of 145.9% from the current price of $8.51. Keep in mind that price targets are estimates, not guarantees. Actual price moves depend on earnings, market conditions and unexpected events.
How low can Pony AI Inc. fall?
We lack enough history to give a specific floor for Pony AI Inc.. Remember: past price swings are no guarantee for the future — a stock can fall further than the last 52 weeks suggest, especially on profit warnings, sector crises or a market crash. Use stop-loss orders and spread your portfolio to limit losses in single stocks.
What does Pony AI Inc. do?
Pony AI Inc., through its subsidiaries, engages in the autonomous mobility business in the People's Republic of China and internationally. The company provides robotaxi services that include autonomous vehicle (AV) engineering solutions, such as AV software deployment and main... The company belongs to the Technology sector, more specifically the IT industry, is headquartered in USA, and is traded on the USA Stocks. See the key figures, earnings history and price development above to evaluate Pony AI Inc. as an investment.
Did Pony AI Inc. raise or lower its guidance?
Over the last 60 days we have not registered a guidance raise or cut from Pony AI Inc.. The company can still adjust its guidance at quarterly reports or between reports — see the earnings history and the news overview above.
Is Pony AI Inc. making money or losing money?
No, Pony AI Inc. is currently not making money — the company is losing money with a negative profit margin of -128.2%, a substantial loss. That means the business loses money on every dollar of revenue. For growth stocks investing in expansion this is normal — but it raises the risk if the company does not reach break-even before its capital runs out.
Can Pony AI Inc. go bankrupt?
The bankruptcy risk of Pony AI Inc. is rated as low. Altman Z2 (a model for assessing financial distress) is 20.96 — that places the company in the healthy zone. The company has a healthy balance sheet with limited debt relative to earnings and assets. The Piotroski score (financial health 0-9, higher is better) is 2 — which is weak. Debt relative to equity is 9% (low). Remember: models like Altman Z2 are statistical — unexpected shocks (fraud, a sector collapse, lawsuits) can always happen. Spread your portfolio.
Does Pony AI Inc. have a lot of debt?
No, Pony AI Inc. has low debt relative to equity. The debt-to-equity ratio (D/E — interest-bearing debt to equity) is 9%. For the technology sector, anything below 60% counts as low debt. Tech companies are usually asset-light and need little borrowed capital — anything below 60% counts as low in this sector. Note: D/E levels are highly sector-specific — a bank at 300% debt is normal, a tech stock at 300% is extremely leveraged. Always compare with similar companies in the same sector.
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