NRG Energy (NRG.US) Price Target 2026/2027: 65% Upside – Rating and Stock Analysis

120,78
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Price history for NRG Energy (NRG.US) – stock price at 120.78 $, August 2026
NRG Energy stock price – price development 2026. Updated Aug 6, 2026.
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NRG Energy Price Target 2026: Analysts See 63% Upside

The average price target for NRG Energy is $197.00. This price target represents the analysts' view of the stock price over the next 12 months. The stock may be undervalued, because the price target is higher than the current price. The stock is 63,11% below the target, which can point to potential returns within the next 12 months if the analysts' view proves right. Also consider the stock's valuation ratios such as P/E, P/S and P/B, plus the technical analysis further down the page, for the full picture.

Is NRG Energy overvalued or undervalued?

NRG Energy is currently undervalued with a gap of 63.1% relative to the price target.


The current price is $120.78, which places NRG Energy in the undervalued category. The stock is considered undervalued when the price is below $177.30, and overvalued when the price exceeds $216.70.


The fair value range is defined as ±10% of the price target, because price targets are estimates rather than exact values. For NRG Energy, the fair value range lies between $177.30 and $216.70.


See the full price target analysis for NRG Energy →

Analyst Ratings for NRG Energy stock in 2026: Buy

17 analysts cover NRG Energy. There is broad agreement on a positive view — 82.3% recommend buying. The average price target is $197.00, which gives an upside of 63.1% from the current price.

Consensus: Buy (4.41/5)
Strong Buy
11 (64.7%)
Buy
3 (17.6%)
Hold
2 (11.8%)
Sell
1 (5.9%)
Strong Sell Sell Hold Buy Strong Buy
4.41 out of 5 based on 17 analysts

About NRG Energy – Utilities - Independent Power Producers

NRG Energy, Inc. er et energiselskab, der driver forretning i USA og Canada. De tjener penge på at producere og sælge strøm, både fra kul, naturgas og vedvarende kilder som solenergi og batterilagring. NRG er også kendt for deres hjemmetjenester. De sælger detailstrøm og energistyring, men har også Vivint Smart Home, som er en cloud-baseret platform, der tilbyder hardware, installation og overvågningsløsninger til private. Derudover sælger de mere nicheprægede ting som CO2-kompensation, backup-strømsystemer og produkter til beskyttelse mod overspænding. Virksomheden har cirka 15.000 ansatte og er især stærke i Texas og på den amerikanske østkyst. Read more about the company

Key Figures for NRG Energy

$ 28,3B Market cap
$ 33,1B Revenue
Utilities - Independent Power Producers Industry
30.49 P/E
0.72 P/S
5.87 P/B
USA Listed on exchange
nrg.com Website

What kind of stock is NRG Energy?

Speculative stock

NRG Energy is classified as a speculative stock.

Score Overview for NRG Energy

💰 Value Score 52/100 (Neutral)
⭐ Quality Score 36/100 (Low)
🚀 Momentum Score 23/100 (Low)
📊 Total Score 37/100

⚠️ 3 red flags identified 2 critical

Our analysis has identified 3 potential risk factors in NRG Energy that investors should be aware of.

🚨 High debt: The debt-to-equity ratio is 869% – the company carries considerably more debt than equity, which raises the financial risk.
⚠️ Weak balance sheet (elevated risk): Altman Z2 is 0.63 – the balance sheet is measurably weaker than average. This is a risk signal based on the numbers, not a bankruptcy prediction.
🚨 Falling earnings: Quarterly earnings have fallen 86% year over year – the company's profitability is under pressure.

📈 Valuation

NRG Energy trades at a P/E ratio of 30.5, which is above the market average. The forward P/E is 12.5 (59% lower), which suggests the market expects rising earnings. The P/S ratio is 0.7 (low — potentially undervalued relative to revenue). The P/B ratio is 5.9. The PEG ratio is 0.53 — below 1.0 suggests the stock is cheap relative to its growth rate.

💵 Profitability & Growth

NRG Energy has a profit margin of 2.6% (moderate) and an operating margin of 12.8%. Return on equity (ROE) is 23.8% — excellent return on equity. Return on assets (ROA) is 4.1%. The latest quarterly earnings grew -85.6% year over year — falling earnings.

🏦 Financial Health

The Piotroski score is 5 out of 9 — average financial health. Altman Z2 is 0.63 (weak balance sheet — elevated risk). The debt-to-equity ratio (D/E) is 869.4% — high debt, which raises the risk.

🚀 Momentum & Short Interest

Short interest is 4.85%.

NRG Energy Dividend 2026: 0.8% Dividend Yield

Dividend Key Figures for NRG Energy in 2026

Dividend yield
0.78%
Dividend per share
0.48 USD
Payout ratio
27.4%
Low
Dividend growth (5 years)
-26.7%
Avg. annual dividend (3 years)
1.35 USD

When does NRG Energy pay a dividend in 2026?

Latest ex-dividend date (traded without the dividend)
August 3, 2026
Next dividend payment
August 17, 2026
Latest payment date
August 17, 2026

How much does NRG Energy pay in dividends?

NRG Energy pays dividends to its shareholders. The most recently paid dividend was 0.48 USD per share, which corresponds to a dividend yield of 0.78%. Over the last 5 years, the annual dividend has fallen by 26.7%.

The payout ratio is 27.4%, which is low. This suggests the company prioritizes reinvesting in growth over dividend payments. There is good room to raise the dividend in the future.

Historical Dividend Payments for NRG Energy

We have registered dividend payments for NRG Energy since 2020-01-31. In that period the stock has paid a dividend 29 times, most recently on 2026-08-03. This stock qualifies as a stable dividend stock, because it has paid a dividend at least once a year for the last 5 years. That makes it attractive to investors looking for steady, regular dividend payments.

Ex-datePayment dateAmountCurrencyPeriod
2026-08-032026-08-170.48USDUnknown period
2026-05-012026-05-150.48USDUnknown period
2026-05-012026-05-150.48USDUnknown period
2026-05-012026-05-150.48USDUnknown period
2026-05-012026-05-150.48USDUnknown period
2026-02-022026-02-170.48USDUnknown period
2026-02-022026-02-170.48USDUnknown period
2025-11-032025-11-170.44USDUnknown period
2025-05-012025-05-150.44USDUnknown period
2024-11-012024-11-150.41USDUnknown period
2024-08-012024-08-150.41USDUnknown period
2024-04-302024-05-150.41USDUnknown period
2024-01-312024-02-150.41USDUnknown period
2023-10-312023-11-150.38USDUnknown period
2023-07-312023-08-150.38USDUnknown period
2023-04-282023-05-150.38USDUnknown period
2023-01-312023-02-150.38USDUnknown period
2022-10-312022-11-150.35USDUnknown period
2022-07-292022-08-150.35USDUnknown period
2022-04-292022-05-160.35USDUnknown period
2022-01-312022-02-150.35USDUnknown period
2021-10-292021-11-150.33USDUnknown period
2021-07-302021-08-160.33USDUnknown period
2021-04-302021-05-170.33USDUnknown period
2021-01-292021-02-160.33USDUnknown period
2020-10-302020-11-160.30USDUnknown period
2020-07-312020-08-170.30USDUnknown period
2020-04-302020-05-150.30USDUnknown period
2020-01-312020-02-180.30USDUnknown period

Insider Trading in NRG Energy 2026: The Signal Is negative

In 2026, insiders at NRG Energy have made 20 transactions, all of which were sales. On a net basis, insiders took 4,759,749,226 $ out of the stock. Active insiders include Kinney Virginia, Chung Bruce, Virginia Kinney and others. In the short term (last 3 months), the insider signal is negative.

Short-Term Signal (3 months): Negative

Insiders have exclusively sold shares over the last 3 months.

Over the last 3 months: 0 purchases and 4 sales. A net 9,063,092 $ out of the stock.

Long-Term Signal (all transactions): Negative

Insiders have exclusively sold shares in the recent period. This can suggest management sees limited opportunity.

Across the last 20 transactions: 0 purchases and 20 sales. A net 4,759,749,226 $ out of the stock.

Latest sale: Kinney Virginia sold 11,145 shares at 141 $ each on 2026-07-15.

Who is selling: Kinney Virginia, Chung Bruce, Virginia Kinney, Nanus David, LS Power Equity Advisors, LLC and others.

Latest Insider Trades in NRG Energy (2026)

The table shows the last 20 reported insider transactions in NRG Energy. Green rows are purchases, red rows are sales. The data is based on official filings.

Transaction date Name Type Number of shares Price per share ($) Total amount ($)
2026-07-15 Kinney Virginia Sell 11,145 141 1,567,433
2026-06-15 Kinney Virginia Sell 20,000 128 2,550,400
2026-06-05 Kinney Virginia Sell 15,948 129 2,060,482
2026-06-05 Chung Bruce Sell 22,328 129 2,884,778
2026-03-16 Virginia Kinney Sell 5,000 157 783,250
2026-03-16 Kinney Virginia Sell 5,000 157 783,250
2026-03-04 Nanus David Sell 14,300,000 164 2,345,200,000
2026-03-04 LS Power Equity Advisors, LLC Sell 14,300,000 164 2,345,200,000
2026-01-07 Chung Bruce Sell 5,000 159 793,950
2026-01-07 Bruce Chung Sell 12,383 157 1,938,682

Who is buying and selling NRG Energy shares in 2026?

The following insiders have sold shares: Kinney Virginia, Chung Bruce, Virginia Kinney, Nanus David, LS Power Equity Advisors, LLC and others. In total, 4,759,749,226 $ was sold across 20 transactions. Insider trades are legal transactions in which executives and board members buy or sell shares of their own company. These transactions are reported to the SEC and are publicly available.

NRG Energy Short Selling 2026: 4.9% Sold Short

Moderate short interest: 4.9% of the free float
Short % of free float
4.9%
Assessment
Moderate short interest
Short squeeze risk
Low
Data source
SEC
Updated daily
The stock has a moderate share of short selling. Between 2-5% of the freely traded shares are sold short, which is within the normal range for most stocks.

Data is updated daily based on official filings with the SEC.
Short Interest Scale
0% 2% 5% 10% 20%+
Low Moderate High Very High Extreme
4.9%

When Does NRG Energy Report Earnings?

The next earnings date for NRG Energy is not yet available. Check the company's investor calendar for more information.



Technical Analysis of NRG Energy 2026 – Signal: Strong Sell

Overall Technical Signal: Strong Sell

Based on trend analysis (SMA50/SMA200) and MACD trend (positive/negative on a daily + weekly basis). Updated August 6, 2026.

Technical analysis of NRG Energy (NRG.US) – RSI 40, MACD negative (bearish), daily candlestick chart August 2026
NRG Energy technical analysis – candlestick chart with RSI and MACD. Updated Aug 6, 2026.

Trend Analysis of NRG Energy, Inc

NRG Energy, Inc is in a short-term downtrend. The price of $120.73 is 9.5% below the 20-day average ($133.47). Medium term, the picture is negative: the price is 10.2% below the 50-day average ($134.52). Long term, the stock is 20.3% below the 200-day average ($151.40), which signals a long-term downtrend.

Death Cross: The 50-day average (134.52) is below the 200-day average (151.40), which is a classic bearish signal for NRG Energy, Inc.

Is NRG Energy, Inc overbought or oversold?

NRG Energy, Inc has an RSI of 40.1. The stock sits in the lower part of the neutral zone, which points to weak momentum without being oversold. In the current downtrend, be careful about reading this as a buying opportunity.

MACD Analysis for NRG Energy, Inc

Daily MACD: MACD is negative (-2.996), which means the short-term trend is bearish (the 12-day EMA is below the 26-day EMA). MACD is below the signal line (-1.567) by 1.429, which confirms growing negative momentum in the downtrend.

Weekly MACD: MACD5 is negative (-5.755), which indicates a broader bearish long-term trend. MACD5 is below the signal line (-4.747) by 1.008, which confirms continued negative long-term momentum.

Overall MACD assessment: Both the daily and weekly MACD are negative and below their signal lines. Trend and momentum are negative across time horizons – the strongest bearish signal.

Risk Profile for NRG Energy, Inc

NRG Energy, Inc has an annual standard deviation of 47.4%, which classifies the stock as high risk. Sizeable price swings are normal, and the stock requires a higher risk tolerance.

Overall Technical Conclusion for NRG Energy, Inc

Trend: Negative. The price trades below SMA50 and SMA200.

MACD trend (zero line): Daily bearish (-2.996). Weekly bearish (-5.755).

MACD momentum (signal): Daily falling. Weekly falling.

RSI: 40.1 – neutral.

Technical signal: Strong Sell

The price is in a downtrend (below SMA50/SMA200) and MACD is negative on both a daily and weekly basis. Avoid buying and consider closing existing positions.

Frequently Asked Questions About NRG Energy stock in 2026

Should you buy NRG Energy stock now?
No, the technical signal for NRG Energy is currently SELL. NRG Energy trades at $120.78 as of 8/6/2026. The overall technical signal is: Strong Sell. The technical analysis shows the following: MACD is negative (bearish trend) at -2.996 with falling momentum (signal: -1.567); RSI is at 40.1 (neutral zone); the stock is in a short-term downtrend (price below the 20-day average); the analyst price target of $197.00 points to 63.1% upside. The stock is in a broader downtrend (below SMA50/SMA200). Buying in a downtrend is generally not recommended. This is a technical observation based on current data, not investment advice.
What is the price target for NRG Energy stock?
The average analyst price target for NRG Energy is $197.00. The current price is $120.78, which gives an upside of 63.1%. Based on this, the stock is considered undervalued. The fair value range (±10% of the price target) is between $177.30 and $216.70.
Is NRG Energy a dividend stock?
Yes, NRG Energy is a dividend stock with a dividend yield of 0.78%. The latest dividend was $0.48 per share. The latest ex-dividend date (traded without the dividend) was 8/3/2026. The payout ratio is 27.4%, which is considered sustainable. The next dividend payment is scheduled for 8/17/2026.
When does NRG Energy pay a dividend in 2026?
NRG Energy pays its next dividend on 8/17/2026. The latest dividend was $0.48 per share with an ex-dividend date of 8/3/2026. The dividend yield is 0.78%. The payout ratio of 27.4% points to a sustainable dividend with room to grow.
What is the risk of NRG Energy stock?
NRG Energy is rated as a stock with high risk. the annual standard deviation is 47.4%, which classifies the stock as high risk.
Is NRG Energy overvalued?
No, NRG Energy is considered undervalued based on the analyst price target (63.1% upside). NRG Energy has the following valuation ratios: a P/E ratio of 30.5 (highly valued), a P/S ratio of 0.7, a P/B ratio of 5.9. The analyst price target suggests that the stock is undervalued by 63.1%.
Is NRG Energy overbought?
No, NRG Energy is not overbought. RSI is at 40.1 (neutral zone). The technical indicators show: RSI is at 40.1 (neutral zone between 30-70), which signals neither overbought nor oversold. In addition, the price is 9.5% below the 20-day average (short-term downtrend). In addition, MACD is negative with falling momentum (bearish).
When is the next NRG Energy earnings report?
The date of the next earnings report for NRG Energy has not been published yet. Check the company's investor calendar for updates.
Is NRG Energy shorted?
Yes, NRG Energy is shorted with 4.9% of the free float sold short. This is a moderate level of short selling, within the normal range for most stocks. Data is updated daily based on official filings with the SEC.
Are insiders buying NRG Energy stock?
No, insiders are not buying NRG Energy shares – they are net sellers. Over the last 3 months, insiders have made 0 purchases and 4 sales. On a net basis, 9,063,092 $ worth of shares were sold. Across the last 20 reported transactions, the split is 0 purchases and 20 sales, with a net 4,759,749,226 $ sold. Active sellers include Kinney Virginia, Chung Bruce, Virginia Kinney and others. Insider selling can have several explanations (e.g. planned 10b5-1 sales, portfolio diversification or taxes), but sustained selling by several insiders is worth watching closely.
Is NRG Energy a good stock?
Based on our total score, NRG Energy is rated as a poor stock with a total score of 37 out of 100. The stock scores below average on value, quality and momentum – it sits at the lower end of the market. The score is made up of Value: 52/100, Quality: 36/100, Momentum: 23/100. In addition: analysts see 63.1% upside to the price target; a dividend of 0.78%; technical signal: Strong Sell. Whether NRG Energy is a good investment depends on your time horizon, risk profile and portfolio. This is a data-driven observation, not investment advice.
What is the outlook for NRG Energy stock?
The outlook for NRG Energy based on current data: the average analyst price target is $197.00 (+63.1%); the stock is in a downtrend (below SMA50 and SMA200); the P/E ratio is 30.5 (high – the market expects growth). Keep in mind that stock prices are affected by many factors, including earnings reports, the economy and market sentiment. Past returns are no guarantee of future returns.
Why is NRG Energy stock falling?
NRG Energy is falling right now. The technical indicators show: the price is 9.5% below the 20-day average; MACD is negative with falling momentum (bearish signal); insiders have mostly been selling the stock recently. For the latest context, see our technical analysis, insider section and news overview above.
How high can NRG Energy go?
The average analyst price target for NRG Energy is $197.00, which corresponds to a potential gain of 63.1% from the current price of $120.78. Keep in mind that price targets are estimates, not guarantees. Actual price moves depend on earnings, market conditions and unexpected events.
How low can NRG Energy fall?
We lack enough history to give a specific floor for NRG Energy. Remember: past price swings are no guarantee for the future — a stock can fall further than the last 52 weeks suggest, especially on profit warnings, sector crises or a market crash. Use stop-loss orders and spread your portfolio to limit losses in single stocks.
What does NRG Energy do?
NRG Energy, Inc. er et energiselskab, der driver forretning i USA og Canada. De tjener penge på at producere og sælge strøm, både fra kul, naturgas og vedvarende kilder som solenergi og batterilagring. NRG er også kendt for deres hjemmetjenester. De sælger detailstrøm og ener... The company belongs to the Forsyning sector, more specifically the Utilities - Independent Power Producers industry, is headquartered in USA, and is traded on the USA Stocks. See the key figures, earnings history and price development above to evaluate NRG Energy as an investment.
Did NRG Energy raise or lower its guidance?
Over the last 60 days we have not registered a guidance raise or cut from NRG Energy. The company can still adjust its guidance at quarterly reports or between reports — see the earnings history and the news overview above.
Is NRG Energy making money or losing money?
Yes, NRG Energy is making money, not losing it. The company has a profit margin (the share of revenue left over as profit) of 2.6% — which is modest. The operating margin (profit before interest and taxes) is 12.8%. At a P/E ratio of 30.5, you currently pay 30.5 dollars for every dollar of the company's annual earnings. A consistently profitable company is usually more resilient than growth stocks that are not yet making money.
Can NRG Energy go bankrupt?
The bankruptcy risk of NRG Energy is rated as elevated. Altman Z2 (a model for assessing financial distress) is 0.63 — that places the company in the weak zone. This is a probability based on the numbers, not a verdict — bankruptcy is not imminent. But the balance sheet is measurably weaker than average, so watch the debt, liquidity and possible capital raises. The Piotroski score (financial health 0-9, higher is better) is 5 — which is average. Debt relative to equity is 869% (high). Remember: models like Altman Z2 are statistical — unexpected shocks (fraud, a sector collapse, lawsuits) can always happen. Spread your portfolio.
Does NRG Energy have a lot of debt?
Yes, NRG Energy has elevated debt relative to equity. The debt-to-equity ratio (D/E — interest-bearing debt to equity) is 869%. For the forsyning sector, anything above 150% counts as elevated — that raises the financial risk, especially if interest rates rise or earnings fall. Note: D/E levels are highly sector-specific — a bank at 300% debt is normal, a tech stock at 300% is extremely leveraged. Always compare with similar companies in the same sector. Can NRG Energy service its debt? Could struggle to service its debt — the interest coverage ratio (how many times earnings can cover interest payments) is 4.9x, and net debt equals 7.2 years of earnings (EBITDA).