NIKE (NKE.US) Price Target 2026/2027: 30% Upside – Rating and Stock Analysis

34.60
Price history for NIKE (NKE.US) – stock price at $34.60, October 2026
NIKE stock price – price development 2026. Updated Oct 7, 2026.
Share this analysis:

NIKE Price Target 2026: Analysts See 32% Upside

The average price target for NIKE is $45.63. This price target represents the analysts' view of the stock price over the next 12 months. The stock may be undervalued, because the price target is higher than the current price. The stock is 31.88% below the target, which can point to potential returns within the next 12 months if the analysts' view proves right. Also consider the stock's valuation ratios such as P/E, P/S and P/B, plus the technical analysis further down the page, for the full picture.

Is NIKE overvalued or undervalued?

NIKE is currently undervalued with a gap of 31.9% relative to the price target.


The current price is $34.60, which places NIKE in the undervalued category. The stock is considered undervalued when the price is below $41.07, and overvalued when the price exceeds $50.19.


The fair value range is defined as ±10% of the price target, because price targets are estimates rather than exact values. For NIKE, the fair value range lies between $41.07 and $50.19.


See the full price target analysis for NIKE →

Analyst Ratings for NIKE stock in 2026: Buy

38 analysts cover NIKE. Analysts are mostly neutral — 52.6% recommend Hold. The average price target is $45.63, which gives an upside of 31.9% from the current price.

Consensus: Buy (3.71/5)
Strong Buy
14 (36.8%)
Buy
2 (5.3%)
Hold
20 (52.6%)
Sell
1 (2.6%)
Strong Sell
1 (2.6%)
Strong Sell Sell Hold Buy Strong Buy
3.71 out of 5 based on 38 analysts

About NIKE – Footwear & Accessories

Nike, Inc. designs, develops and sells sports equipment around the world. The company makes money by making and selling athletic shoes, clothing and accessories.

Nike is especially known for its products for running, basketball — including the Jordan brand — and training. The company also sells gear for many other sports, such as golf, baseball and skateboarding. Besides clothing and shoes, Nike sells many accessories, for example sports bags, balls and digital devices.

Nike sells its products in more than 170 countries around the world. The company was founded in 1964 and today has more than 79,000 employees.
Read more about the company

Key Figures for NIKE

$52.1B Market cap
$46.4B Revenue
Footwear & Accessories Industry
16.50 P/E
1.12 P/S
3.60 P/B
United States Listed on exchange
nike.com Website

What kind of stock is NIKE?

Dividend stock Growth stock Value stock

NIKE is classified as a dividend stock and growth stock and value stock. This means the stock combines several attractive traits, including a dividend of 4.6%.

Score Overview for NIKE

💰 Value Score 71/100 (High)
⭐ Quality Score 62/100 (High)
🚀 Momentum Score 13/100 (Very Low)
📊 Total Score 48/100

⚠️ 2 red flags identified

Our analysis has identified 2 potential risk factors in NIKE that investors should be aware of.

⚠️ High debt: The debt-to-equity ratio is 177% – the company carries considerably more debt than equity, which raises the financial risk.
⚠️ Unsustainable dividend: The payout ratio is 105% – the company pays out more in dividends than it earns, which is not sustainable.

📈 Valuation

NIKE trades at a P/E ratio of 16.5, which is close to the market average. The forward P/E is 21.0. The P/S ratio is 1.1. The P/B ratio is 3.6. The PEG ratio is 1.40.

💵 Profitability & Growth

NIKE has a profit margin of 6.7% (moderate) and an operating margin of 12.7%. Return on equity (ROE) is 22.1% — excellent return on equity. Return on assets (ROA) is 7.0%. The latest quarterly earnings grew 428.0% year over year — strong growth.

🏦 Financial Health

The Piotroski score is 7 out of 9 — good financial health. Altman Z2 is 3.39 (healthy balance sheet — low risk). The debt-to-equity ratio (D/E) is 176.8% — moderate debt.

🚀 Momentum & Short Interest

Short interest is 8.98% — elevated, some investors are betting on a decline.

NIKE Dividend 2026: 4.6% Dividend Yield

Dividend Key Figures for NIKE

Dividend yield
4.60%
Latest dividend per share
0.41 USD
Payout ratio
105.1%
Very high
Dividend growth (6 years)
+19.4%
Avg. annual dividend (3 years)
1.32 USD

When does NIKE pay a dividend in 2026?

Latest ex-dividend date (traded without the dividend)
September 1, 2026
Latest payment date
October 1, 2026

How much does NIKE pay in dividends?

NIKE pays dividends to its shareholders. The most recently paid dividend was 0.41 USD per share, which corresponds to a dividend yield of 4.60%. Over the last 6 years, the annual dividend has grown by 19.4%, which shows positive dividend growth.

The payout ratio is 105.1%, which is very high. The company pays out almost all of its profits as dividends, which can limit future growth and dividend stability.

Historical Dividend Payments for NIKE

We have registered dividend payments for NIKE since Feb 28, 2020. In that period the stock has paid a dividend 26 times, most recently on Sep 1, 2026. This stock qualifies as a stable dividend stock, because it has paid a dividend at least once a year for the last 5 years. That makes it attractive to investors looking for steady, regular dividend payments.

Ex-datePayment dateAmountCurrency
2026-09-012026-10-010.41USD
2026-06-012026-07-010.41USD
2026-03-022026-04-010.41USD
2025-12-012026-01-020.41USD
2025-09-022025-10-010.40USD
2025-03-032025-04-010.40USD
2024-12-022025-01-020.40USD
2024-09-032024-10-010.37USD
2024-06-032024-07-010.37USD
2024-03-012024-04-010.37USD
2023-12-012024-01-020.37USD
2023-09-012023-10-020.34USD
2023-06-022023-07-050.34USD
2023-03-032023-04-030.34USD
2022-12-022022-12-280.34USD
2022-09-022022-10-030.31USD
2022-06-032022-07-010.31USD
2022-03-042022-04-010.31USD
2021-12-032021-12-280.31USD
2021-08-272021-10-010.28USD
2021-05-282021-07-010.28USD
2021-02-262021-04-010.28USD
2020-12-042020-12-290.28USD
2020-08-282020-10-010.25USD
2020-05-292020-07-010.25USD
2020-02-282020-04-010.25USD

Insider Trading in NIKE 2026: The Signal Is negative

In 2026, insiders at NIKE have made 20 transactions – split into 10 purchases and 10 sales. On a net basis, insiders put $5,331,227 into the stock, which is a positive signal. Active insiders include Hill Elliott, Elliott Hill, Timothy D Cook and others. In the short term (last 3 months), the insider signal is negative.

Short-Term Signal (3 months): Negative

Insiders have exclusively sold shares over the last 3 months.

Over the last 3 months: 0 purchases and 8 sales. A net $771,333 out of the stock.

Long-Term Signal (all transactions): Mostly positive

Insiders have bought considerably more than they have sold. This suggests several key people see value in the stock.

Across the last 20 transactions: 10 purchases and 10 sales. A net $5,331,227 into the stock.

Latest purchase: Hill Elliott bought 23,660 shares at $42.27 each on 2026-04-13. The stock has since fallen 18.1%.

Latest sale: McCartney Philip sold 2,559 shares at $37.59 each on 2026-09-09.

Who is buying: Hill Elliott, Elliott Hill, Timothy D Cook, COOK TIMOTHY D, ROGERS JOHN W JR and others.

Who is selling: McCartney Philip, Leinwand Robert, Alagirisamy Venkatesh, Montagne Amy, Friend Matthew.

Latest Insider Trades in NIKE (2026)

The table shows the last 20 reported insider transactions in NIKE. Green rows are purchases, red rows are sales. The data is based on official filings.

Transaction date Name Type Number of shares Price per share ($) Total amount ($)
2026-09-09 McCartney Philip Sell 2,559 38 96,193
2026-09-09 Leinwand Robert Sell 3,646 38 137,053
2026-09-09 Alagirisamy Venkatesh Sell 3,671 38 137,993
2026-08-07 Montagne Amy Sell 4,867 42 204,657
2026-08-05 McCartney Philip Sell 524 42 21,798
2026-08-05 Leinwand Robert Sell 821 42 34,154
2026-08-05 Friend Matthew Sell 2,463 42 102,461
2026-08-05 Alagirisamy Venkatesh Sell 890 42 37,024
2026-06-12 McCartney Philip Sell 17,398 46 803,440
2026-04-13 Hill Elliott Buy 23,660 42 1,000,108

Who is buying and selling NIKE shares in 2026?

The following insiders have bought shares in NIKE: Hill Elliott, Elliott Hill, Timothy D Cook, COOK TIMOTHY D, ROGERS JOHN W JR and others. In total, $7,471,021 was bought across 10 transactions. The following insiders have sold shares: McCartney Philip, Leinwand Robert, Alagirisamy Venkatesh, Montagne Amy, Friend Matthew. In total, $2,139,794 was sold across 10 transactions. Insider trades are legal transactions in which executives and board members buy or sell shares of their own company. These transactions are reported to the SEC and are publicly available.

NIKE Short Selling 2026: 9.0% Sold Short

High short interest: 9.0% of the free float
Short % of free float
9.0%
Assessment
High short interest
Short squeeze risk
Moderate
Data source
EODHD
Reported about twice a month

Short interest over time: NIKE

0.0%5.2%10.3%
5/307/3110/2
9.0% today (high)Last 30 days: +1.8 percentage pointsMeasured over 125 days
What does the trend tell you?
Short interest is rising. It is up 1.8 percentage points over the last month and now stands at 9.0%. More investors have borrowed NIKE and sold it, expecting the price to fall.

It cuts both ways: if they are wrong and the price rises, they have to buy the share back — and those purchases can push the price up further on their own. That is called a short squeeze. That is not in itself a signal about what the price will do — we cannot predict the market, and short interest is only one number among many. But it does say something about what the large players are doing.
The stock has a high share of short selling. Between 5-10% of the freely traded shares are sold short, which suggests some investors are betting on falling prices. Positive surprises can lead to a moderate short squeeze.

What does this mean for you as an investor?
A short interest of 9.0% means that 9.0% of the freely traded shares in NIKE have been borrowed and sold by investors betting on falling prices.

Short interest comes from our data provider EODHD. The figure is reported about twice a month; we check it every trading day.
Short Interest Scale
0% 2% 5% 10% 20%+
Low Moderate High Very High Extreme
▲
9.0%

When Does NIKE Report Earnings?

The next earnings date for NIKE is not yet available. Check the company's investor calendar for more information.



Technical Analysis of NIKE 2026 – Signal: Strong Sell

Overall Technical Signal: Strong Sell

Based on trend analysis (SMA50/SMA200) and MACD trend (positive/negative on a daily + weekly basis). Updated October 7, 2026.

Technical analysis of NIKE (NKE.US) – RSI 36, MACD negative (bearish), daily candlestick chart October 2026
NIKE technical analysis – candlestick chart with RSI, MACD and volume profile. Updated Oct 7, 2026.

Trend Analysis of NIKE, Inc

NIKE, Inc is in a short-term downtrend. The price of $34.61 is 3.4% below the 20-day average ($35.85). Medium term, the picture is negative: the price is 10.0% below the 50-day average ($38.45). Long term, the stock is 27.3% below the 200-day average ($47.58), which signals a long-term downtrend.

Death Cross: The 50-day average (38.45) is below the 200-day average (47.58), which is a classic bearish signal for NIKE, Inc.

Is NIKE, Inc overbought or oversold?

NIKE, Inc has an RSI of 36.0. The stock sits in the lower part of the neutral zone, which points to weak momentum without being oversold. In the current downtrend, be careful about reading this as a buying opportunity.

MACD Analysis for NIKE, Inc

Daily MACD: MACD is negative (-1.116), which means the short-term trend is bearish (the 12-day EMA is below the 26-day EMA). MACD is below the signal line (-1.070) by 0.046, which confirms growing negative momentum in the downtrend.

Weekly MACD: MACD5 is negative (-4.102), which indicates a broader bearish long-term trend. MACD5 is below the signal line (-4.078) by 0.024, which confirms continued negative long-term momentum.

Overall MACD assessment: Both the daily and weekly MACD are negative and below their signal lines. Trend and momentum are negative across time horizons – the strongest bearish signal.

Risk Profile for NIKE, Inc

NIKE, Inc has an annual standard deviation of 35.8%, which classifies the stock as medium risk. The price can swing noticeably when the market moves.

Overall Technical Conclusion for NIKE, Inc

Trend: Negative. The price trades below SMA50 and SMA200.

MACD trend (zero line): Daily bearish (-1.116). Weekly bearish (-4.102).

MACD momentum (signal): Daily falling. Weekly falling.

RSI: 36.0 – neutral.

Technical signal: Strong Sell

The price is in a downtrend (below SMA50/SMA200) and MACD is negative on both a daily and weekly basis. Avoid buying and consider closing existing positions.

Frequently Asked Questions About NIKE stock in 2026

Should you buy NIKE stock now?
No, the technical signal for NIKE is currently Strong Sell. NIKE trades at $34.60 as of Oct 7, 2026. The technical analysis shows the following: MACD is negative (bearish trend) at -1.116 with falling momentum (signal: -1.070); RSI is at 36.0 (neutral zone); the stock is in a short-term downtrend (price below the 20-day average); the analyst price target of $45.63 points to 31.9% upside. The stock is in a broader downtrend (below SMA50/SMA200). Buying in a downtrend is generally not recommended. This is a technical observation based on current data, not investment advice.
What is the price target for NIKE stock?
The average analyst price target for NIKE is $45.63. The current price is $34.60, which gives an upside of 31.9%. Based on this, the stock is considered undervalued. The fair value range (±10% of the price target) is between $41.07 and $50.19.
Is NIKE a dividend stock?
Yes, NIKE is a dividend stock with a dividend yield of 4.60%. The latest dividend was $0.41 per share. The latest ex-dividend date (traded without the dividend) was Sep 1, 2026. The payout ratio is 105.1%, which is considered high.
When does NIKE pay a dividend in 2026?
The next dividend date for NIKE has not been set yet. The latest ex-dividend date (last trading day with dividend rights) was Sep 1, 2026. The latest dividend was $0.41 per share with an ex-dividend date of Sep 1, 2026. The dividend yield is 4.60%. The payout ratio of 105.1% points to a high dividend relative to earnings.
What is the risk of NIKE stock?
NIKE is rated as a stock in the risk category Moderate. the annual standard deviation is 35.8%, which classifies the stock as Moderate.
Is NIKE overvalued?
No, NIKE is considered undervalued based on the analyst price target (31.9% upside). NIKE has the following valuation ratios: a P/E ratio of 16.5 (moderately valued), a P/S ratio of 1.1, a P/B ratio of 3.6. The analyst price target suggests that the stock is undervalued by 31.9%.
Is NIKE overbought?
No, NIKE is not overbought. RSI is at 36.0 (neutral zone). The technical indicators show: RSI is at 36.0 (neutral zone between 30-70), which signals neither overbought nor oversold. In addition, the price is 3.5% below the 20-day average (short-term downtrend). In addition, MACD is negative with falling momentum (bearish).
When is the next NIKE earnings report?
The date of the next earnings report for NIKE has not been published yet. Check the company's investor calendar for updates.
Is NIKE shorted?
Yes, NIKE is shorted with 9.0% of the free float sold short. This is a high level of short selling, which suggests some investors are betting on falling prices. Positive surprises can lead to a moderate short squeeze. The figure comes from our data provider EODHD, is reported about twice a month, and we check it every trading day.
Are insiders buying NIKE stock?
No, insiders are not buying NIKE shares – they are net sellers. Over the last 3 months, insiders have made 0 purchases and 8 sales. On a net basis, 771,333 $ worth of shares were sold. Across the last 20 reported transactions, the split is 10 purchases and 10 sales, with a net 5,331,227 $ bought. Active sellers include McCartney Philip, Leinwand Robert, Alagirisamy Venkatesh and others. Insider selling can have several explanations (e.g. planned 10b5-1 sales, portfolio diversification or taxes), but sustained selling by several insiders is worth watching closely.
Is NIKE a good stock?
Based on our total score, NIKE is rated as a mediocre stock with a total score of 48 out of 100. The stock scores around average on value, quality and momentum – it sits near the median in our database. The score is made up of Value: 71/100, Quality: 62/100, Momentum: 13/100. In addition: analysts see 31.9% upside to the price target; a dividend of 4.60%; technical signal: Strong Sell. Whether NIKE is a good investment depends on your time horizon, risk profile and portfolio. This is a data-driven observation, not investment advice.
What is the outlook for NIKE stock?
The outlook for NIKE based on current data: the average analyst price target is $45.63 (+31.9%); the stock is in a downtrend (below SMA50 and SMA200); the P/E ratio is 16.5 (moderate). Keep in mind that stock prices are affected by many factors, including earnings reports, the economy and market sentiment. Past returns are no guarantee of future returns.
Why is NIKE stock falling?
NIKE is falling right now. The technical indicators show: the price is 3.5% below the 20-day average; MACD is negative with falling momentum (bearish signal); short interest is 9.0% (high – many are betting on a decline); insiders have mostly been selling the stock recently. For the latest context, see our technical analysis and insider section above.
How high can NIKE go?
The average analyst price target for NIKE is $45.63, which corresponds to a potential gain of 31.9% from the current price of $34.60. The stock has traded between $35.02 and $72.39 over the last 52 weeks. The price is 52.2% below the 52-week high, which can indicate potential if the underlying fundamentals are intact. Keep in mind that price targets are estimates, not guarantees. Actual price moves depend on earnings, market conditions and unexpected events.
How low can NIKE fall?
The stock has traded as low as $35.02 over the last 52 weeks — that is 1.2% below the current price of $34.60. The biggest decline (drawdown) in the same period was 51.6% from high to low. Within a year, the price typically swings about ±35.8% (standard deviation — a measure of price swings). A difficult year could therefore mean a further decline of that size. Remember: past price swings are no guarantee for the future — a stock can fall further than the last 52 weeks suggest, especially on profit warnings, sector crises or a market crash. Use stop-loss orders and spread your portfolio to limit losses in single stocks.
What does NIKE do?
Nike, Inc. designs, develops and sells sports equipment around the world. The company makes money by making and selling athletic shoes, clothing and accessories. Nike is especially known for its products for running, basketball — including the Jordan brand — and training. The... The company belongs to the Consumer Cyclical sector, more specifically the Footwear & Accessories industry, is headquartered in United States, and is traded on the USA Stocks. See the key figures, earnings history and price development above to evaluate NIKE as an investment.
Did NIKE raise or lower its guidance?
Over the last 60 days we have not registered a guidance raise or cut from NIKE. The company can still adjust its guidance at quarterly reports or between reports — see the earnings history above.
Is NIKE making money or losing money?
Yes, NIKE is making money, not losing it. The company has a profit margin (the share of revenue left over as profit) of 6.7% — which is moderate. The operating margin (profit before interest and taxes) is 12.7%. At a P/E ratio of 16.5, you currently pay 16.5 dollars for every dollar of the company's annual earnings. A consistently profitable company is usually more resilient than growth stocks that are not yet making money.
Can NIKE go bankrupt?
The bankruptcy risk of NIKE is rated as low. Altman Z2 (a model for assessing financial distress) is 3.39 — that places the company in the healthy zone. The company has a healthy balance sheet with limited debt relative to earnings and assets. The Piotroski score (financial health 0-9, higher is better) is 7 — which is strong. Debt relative to equity is 177% (high). Remember: models like Altman Z2 are statistical — unexpected shocks (fraud, a sector collapse, lawsuits) can always happen. Spread your portfolio.
Does NIKE have a lot of debt?
NIKE has moderate debt relative to equity. The debt-to-equity ratio (D/E — interest-bearing debt to equity) is 177%. For the consumer cyclical sector, 100-200% counts as a typical level. Cyclical consumer companies can carry moderate debt in good times — high debt is risky in downturns. Note: D/E levels are highly sector-specific — a bank at 300% debt is normal, a tech stock at 300% is extremely leveraged. Always compare with similar companies in the same sector. Can NIKE service its debt? Can service its debt without problems — the interest coverage ratio (how many times earnings can cover interest payments) is 11.6x, and net debt equals 0.7 years of earnings (EBITDA).

Other Stocks in Consumer Cyclical

Compare NIKE with other stocks in the consumer cyclical sector. Click a stock to see its technical analysis, insider trading and key figures.

See all 74 stocks in the Consumer Cyclical sector