NIO (NIO.US) Price Target 2026/2027: 60% Upside – Rating and Stock Analysis

4,57
-1,72%
Price history for NIO (NIO.US) – stock price at 4.57 $, August 2026
NIO stock price – price development 2026. Updated Aug 6, 2026.
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NIO Price Target 2026: Analysts See 61% Upside

The average price target for NIO is $7.35. This price target represents the analysts' view of the stock price over the next 12 months. The stock may be undervalued, because the price target is higher than the current price. The stock is 60,83% below the target, which can point to potential returns within the next 12 months if the analysts' view proves right. Also consider the stock's valuation ratios such as P/E, P/S and P/B, plus the technical analysis further down the page, for the full picture.

Is NIO overvalued or undervalued?

NIO is currently undervalued with a gap of 60.8% relative to the price target.


The current price is $4.57, which places NIO in the undervalued category. The stock is considered undervalued when the price is below $6.62, and overvalued when the price exceeds $8.09.


The fair value range is defined as ±10% of the price target, because price targets are estimates rather than exact values. For NIO, the fair value range lies between $6.62 and $8.09.


See the full price target analysis for NIO →

Analyst Ratings for NIO stock in 2026: Buy

27 analysts cover NIO. The ratings are mixed, with 51.8% Buy, 40.7% Hold and 7.4% Sell. The average price target is $7.35, which gives an upside of 60.8% from the current price.

Consensus: Buy (3.78/5)
Strong Buy
9 (33.3%)
Buy
5 (18.5%)
Hold
11 (40.7%)
Sell
2 (7.4%)
Strong Sell Sell Hold Buy Strong Buy
3.78 out of 5 based on 27 analysts

About NIO – Auto Manufacturers

NIO designer og sælger smarte elbiler, primært i Kina. De tjener penge på både SUV’er og sedaner, men deres forretning handler om meget mere end bare biler. NIO har nemlig bygget et helt økosystem op omkring energi og service. De er især kendt for Power Swap, hvor man hurtigt kan bytte batteri i stedet for at lade. Derudover tilbyder de Power Charger til hurtig opladning og Power Mobile, som er en mobil ladetjeneste. De laver også selv e-powertrains og batteripakker. NIO blev grundlagt i 2014 og driver et omfattende servicenetværk med værksteder og servicecentre for at holde bilerne kørende. Read more about the company

Key Figures for NIO

$ 11,9B Market cap
$ 101B Revenue
Auto Manufacturers Industry
- P/E
0.77 P/S
19.06 P/B
USA Listed on exchange
nio.com Website

What kind of stock is NIO?

Speculative stock

NIO is classified as a speculative stock.

Score Overview for NIO

💰 Value Score 25/100 (Low)
⭐ Quality Score 29/100 (Low)
🚀 Momentum Score 19/100 (Very Low)
📊 Total Score 24/100

⚠️ 4 red flags identified 3 critical

Our analysis has identified 4 potential risk factors in NIO that investors should be aware of.

🚨 High debt: The debt-to-equity ratio is 1,577% – the company carries considerably more debt than equity, which raises the financial risk.
🚨 Weak balance sheet (elevated risk): Altman Z2 is -1.08 – the balance sheet is measurably weaker than average. This is a risk signal based on the numbers, not a bankruptcy prediction.
⚠️ Negative profit margin: The profit margin is -9.1% – the company is losing money on its operations.
🚨 Negative return on equity: ROE is -84.0% – the company is generating a negative return for shareholders.

📈 Valuation

The P/S ratio is 0.8 (low — potentially undervalued relative to revenue). The P/B ratio is 19.1.

🏦 Financial Health

The Piotroski score is 6 out of 9 — good financial health. Altman Z2 is -1.08 (weak balance sheet — elevated risk). The debt-to-equity ratio (D/E) is 1,577.0% — high debt, which raises the risk.

🚀 Momentum & Short Interest

Short interest is 6.72% — elevated, some investors are betting on a decline.

Insider Trading in NIO 2026: The Signal Is negative

In 2026, insiders at NIO have made 3 transactions, all of which were sales. On a net basis, insiders took 3,920,000 $ out of the stock. Active insiders include Zhou Xin, Qu Yu, Qin Lihong. In the short term (last 3 months), the insider signal is negative.

Short-Term Signal (3 months): Negative

Insiders have exclusively sold shares over the last 3 months.

Over the last 3 months: 0 purchases and 3 sales. A net 3,920,000 $ out of the stock.

Long-Term Signal (all transactions): Negative

Insiders have exclusively sold shares in the recent period. This can suggest management sees limited opportunity.

Across the last 3 transactions: 0 purchases and 3 sales. A net 3,920,000 $ out of the stock.

Latest sale: Zhou Xin sold 200,000 shares at 6 $ each on 2026-06-01.

Who is selling: Zhou Xin, Qu Yu, Qin Lihong.

Latest Insider Trades in NIO (2026)

The table shows the last 3 reported insider transactions in NIO. Green rows are purchases, red rows are sales. The data is based on official filings.

Transaction date Name Type Number of shares Price per share ($) Total amount ($)
2026-06-01 Zhou Xin Sell 200,000 6 1,120,000
2026-06-01 Qu Yu Sell 200,000 6 1,120,000
2026-06-01 Qin Lihong Sell 300,000 6 1,680,000

Who is buying and selling NIO shares in 2026?

The following insiders have sold shares: Zhou Xin, Qu Yu, Qin Lihong. In total, 3,920,000 $ was sold across 3 transactions. Insider trades are legal transactions in which executives and board members buy or sell shares of their own company. These transactions are reported to the SEC and are publicly available.

NIO Short Selling 2026: 6.7% Sold Short

High short interest: 6.7% of the free float
Short % of free float
6.7%
Assessment
High short interest
Short squeeze risk
Moderate
Data source
SEC
Updated daily
The stock has a high share of short selling. Between 5-10% of the freely traded shares are sold short, which suggests some investors are betting on falling prices. Positive surprises can lead to a moderate short squeeze.

What does this mean for you as an investor?
A short interest of 6.7% means that 6.7% of the freely traded shares in NIO have been borrowed and sold by investors betting on falling prices.

The next potential catalyst is the earnings report on 9/1/2026. With a short interest of 6.7%, the report can trigger considerable volatility.

Data is updated daily based on official filings with the SEC.
Short Interest Scale
0% 2% 5% 10% 20%+
Low Moderate High Very High Extreme
6.7%

When Does NIO Report Earnings – Next Date: 9/1/2026

The next earnings report from NIO is scheduled for September 1, 2026, before the market opens. This report covers the second quarter (Q2), which ended on June 30, 2026.



Technical Analysis of NIO 2026 – Signal: Strong Sell

Overall Technical Signal: Strong Sell

Based on trend analysis (SMA50/SMA200) and MACD trend (positive/negative on a daily + weekly basis). Updated August 6, 2026.

Technical analysis of NIO (NIO.US) – RSI 41, MACD negative (bearish), daily candlestick chart August 2026
NIO technical analysis – candlestick chart with RSI and MACD. Updated Aug 6, 2026.

Trend Analysis of NIO Limited

NIO Limited is in a short-term downtrend. The price of $4.65 is 2.9% below the 20-day average ($4.79). Medium term, the picture is negative: the price is 8.0% below the 50-day average ($5.05). Long term, the stock is 15.2% below the 200-day average ($5.48), which signals a long-term downtrend.

Death Cross: The 50-day average (5.05) is below the 200-day average (5.48), which is a classic bearish signal for NIO Limited.

Is NIO Limited overbought or oversold?

NIO Limited has an RSI of 40.9. The stock sits in the lower part of the neutral zone, which points to weak momentum without being oversold. In the current downtrend, be careful about reading this as a buying opportunity.

MACD Analysis for NIO Limited

Daily MACD: MACD is negative (-0.089), which means the short-term trend is bearish (the 12-day EMA is below the 26-day EMA). MACD is above the signal line (-0.110) by 0.021, which suggests the negative momentum is fading – a potential trend reversal could be ahead.

Weekly MACD: MACD5 is negative (-0.207), which indicates a broader bearish long-term trend. MACD5 is below the signal line (-0.074) by 0.133, which confirms continued negative long-term momentum.

Overall MACD assessment: Both the daily and weekly trend are bearish (MACD negative). However, momentum shows signs of improving on a daily basis – a potential trend reversal could be ahead, but it is not confirmed yet.

Risk Profile for NIO Limited

NIO Limited has an annual standard deviation of 59.8%, which classifies the stock as high risk. Sizeable price swings are normal, and the stock requires a higher risk tolerance.

Overall Technical Conclusion for NIO Limited

Trend: Negative. The price trades below SMA50 and SMA200.

MACD trend (zero line): Daily bearish (-0.089). Weekly bearish (-0.207).

MACD momentum (signal): Daily rising. Weekly falling.

RSI: 40.9 – neutral.

Technical signal: Strong Sell

The price is in a downtrend (below SMA50/SMA200) and MACD is negative on both a daily and weekly basis. Avoid buying and consider closing existing positions.

Frequently Asked Questions About NIO stock in 2026

Should you buy NIO stock now?
No, the technical signal for NIO is currently SELL. NIO trades at $4.57 as of 8/6/2026. The overall technical signal is: Strong Sell. The technical analysis shows the following: MACD is negative (bearish trend) at -0.089 with rising momentum (signal: -0.110); RSI is at 40.9 (neutral zone); the stock is in a short-term downtrend (price below the 20-day average); the analyst price target of $7.35 points to 60.8% upside. The stock is in a broader downtrend (below SMA50/SMA200). Buying in a downtrend is generally not recommended. This is a technical observation based on current data, not investment advice.
What is the price target for NIO stock?
The average analyst price target for NIO is $7.35. The current price is $4.57, which gives an upside of 60.8%. Based on this, the stock is considered undervalued. The fair value range (±10% of the price target) is between $6.62 and $8.09.
Is NIO a dividend stock?
No, NIO does not currently pay a dividend to shareholders. The company reinvests its profits in growth instead of paying dividends.
What is the risk of NIO stock?
NIO is rated as a stock with high risk. the annual standard deviation is 59.8%, which classifies the stock as high risk.
Is NIO overvalued?
No, NIO is considered undervalued based on the analyst price target (60.8% upside). NIO has the following valuation ratios: a P/S ratio of 0.8, a P/B ratio of 19.1. The analyst price target suggests that the stock is undervalued by 60.8%.
Is NIO overbought?
No, NIO is not overbought. RSI is at 40.9 (neutral zone). The technical indicators show: RSI is at 40.9 (neutral zone between 30-70), which signals neither overbought nor oversold. In addition, the price is 4.6% below the 20-day average (short-term downtrend). In addition, MACD is negative, but momentum is rising (possible trend reversal).
When is the next NIO earnings report?
NIO reports its next earnings on September 1, 2026. The stock currently trades at $4.57.
Is NIO shorted?
Yes, NIO is shorted with 6.7% of the free float sold short. This is a high level of short selling, which suggests some investors are betting on falling prices. Positive surprises can lead to a moderate short squeeze. Data is updated daily based on official filings with the SEC.
Are insiders buying NIO stock?
No, insiders are not buying NIO shares – they are net sellers. Over the last 3 months, insiders have made 0 purchases and 3 sales. On a net basis, 3,920,000 $ worth of shares were sold. Across the last 3 reported transactions, the split is 0 purchases and 3 sales, with a net 3,920,000 $ sold. Active sellers include Zhou Xin, Qu Yu, Qin Lihong. Insider selling can have several explanations (e.g. planned 10b5-1 sales, portfolio diversification or taxes), but sustained selling by several insiders is worth watching closely.
Is NIO a good stock?
Based on our total score, NIO is rated as a poor stock with a total score of 24 out of 100. The stock scores below average on value, quality and momentum – it sits at the lower end of the market. The score is made up of Value: 25/100, Quality: 29/100, Momentum: 19/100. In addition: analysts see 60.8% upside to the price target; technical signal: Strong Sell. Whether NIO is a good investment depends on your time horizon, risk profile and portfolio. This is a data-driven observation, not investment advice.
What is the outlook for NIO stock?
The outlook for NIO based on current data: the average analyst price target is $7.35 (+60.8%); the stock is in a downtrend (below SMA50 and SMA200); the next earnings report is due on 9/1/2026, which can move the price. Keep in mind that stock prices are affected by many factors, including earnings reports, the economy and market sentiment. Past returns are no guarantee of future returns.
Why is NIO stock falling?
NIO is falling right now. The technical indicators show: the price is 4.6% below the 20-day average; short interest is 6.7% (high – many are betting on a decline); insiders have mostly been selling the stock recently. For the latest context, see our technical analysis, insider section and news overview above.
How high can NIO go?
The average analyst price target for NIO is $7.35, which corresponds to a potential gain of 60.8% from the current price of $4.57. Keep in mind that price targets are estimates, not guarantees. Actual price moves depend on earnings, market conditions and unexpected events.
How low can NIO fall?
We lack enough history to give a specific floor for NIO. Remember: past price swings are no guarantee for the future — a stock can fall further than the last 52 weeks suggest, especially on profit warnings, sector crises or a market crash. Use stop-loss orders and spread your portfolio to limit losses in single stocks.
What does NIO do?
NIO designer og sælger smarte elbiler, primært i Kina. De tjener penge på både SUV’er og sedaner, men deres forretning handler om meget mere end bare biler. NIO har nemlig bygget et helt økosystem op omkring energi og service. De er især kendt for Power Swap, hvor man hurtigt... The company belongs to the Cyklisk forbrug sector, more specifically the Auto Manufacturers industry, is headquartered in USA, and is traded on the USA Stocks. See the key figures, earnings history and price development above to evaluate NIO as an investment.
Did NIO raise or lower its guidance?
Over the last 60 days we have not registered a guidance raise or cut from NIO. The company can still adjust its guidance at quarterly reports or between reports — see the earnings history and the news overview above.
Is NIO making money or losing money?
No, NIO is currently not making money — the company is losing money with a negative profit margin of -9.1%, a noticeable loss. That means the business loses money on every dollar of revenue. For growth stocks investing in expansion this is normal — but it raises the risk if the company does not reach break-even before its capital runs out.
Can NIO go bankrupt?
The bankruptcy risk of NIO is rated as elevated. Altman Z2 (a model for assessing financial distress) is -1.08 — that places the company in the weak zone. This is a probability based on the numbers, not a verdict — bankruptcy is not imminent. But the balance sheet is measurably weaker than average, so watch the debt, liquidity and possible capital raises. The Piotroski score (financial health 0-9, higher is better) is 6 — which is average. Debt relative to equity is 1,577% (high). Remember: models like Altman Z2 are statistical — unexpected shocks (fraud, a sector collapse, lawsuits) can always happen. Spread your portfolio.
Does NIO have a lot of debt?
Yes, NIO has elevated debt relative to equity. The debt-to-equity ratio (D/E — interest-bearing debt to equity) is 1,577%. For the cyklisk forbrug sector, anything above 150% counts as elevated — that raises the financial risk, especially if interest rates rise or earnings fall. Note: D/E levels are highly sector-specific — a bank at 300% debt is normal, a tech stock at 300% is extremely leveraged. Always compare with similar companies in the same sector.