Moderna (MRNA.US) Price Target and Rating 2026/2027

54,89
-2,44%
Price history for Moderna (MRNA.US) – stock price at 54.89 $, August 2026
Moderna stock price – price development 2026. Updated Aug 6, 2026.
Share this analysis:

Moderna Price Target 2026: Analysts See 7% Downside

The average price target for Moderna is $50.84. This price target represents the analysts' view of the stock price over the next 12 months. The stock appears overvalued, because the price target is lower than the current price. It is -7,37% above the target, and analysts expect the price to fall over the next 12 months. Even if the stock may be overvalued, price momentum can last longer than expected. That is why it is important to keep an eye on the stock and its momentum on an ongoing basis. WallStreetBuys helps you with the technical analysis and keeps you up to date on the development.

Is Moderna overvalued or undervalued?

Moderna is currently fairly valued with a gap of 7.4% relative to the price target.


The current price is $54.89, which places Moderna in the fairly valued category. The stock is considered undervalued when the price is below $45.76, and overvalued when the price exceeds $55.92.


The fair value range is defined as ±10% of the price target, because price targets are estimates rather than exact values. For Moderna, the fair value range lies between $45.76 and $55.92.


See the full price target analysis for Moderna →

Analyst Ratings for Moderna stock in 2026: Hold

27 analysts cover Moderna. Analysts are mostly neutral — 63% recommend Hold. The average price target is $50.84, which is 7.4% below the current price.

Consensus: Hold (3.22/5)
Strong Buy
5 (18.5%)
Buy
1 (3.7%)
Hold
17 (63%)
Sell
3 (11.1%)
Strong Sell
1 (3.7%)
Strong Sell Sell Hold Buy Strong Buy
3.22 out of 5 based on 27 analysts

About Moderna – Bioteknologi

Moderna, Inc. er et biotekfirma, der udvikler og sælger medicin og vacciner baseret på mRNA-teknologi. De tjener penge på at behandle infektionssygdomme, kræft og sjældne lidelser. Deres mest kendte produkter er COVID-19-vaccinen, men de laver også vacciner mod influenza og cytomegalovirus. Virksomheden driver forretning i USA, Europa og internationalt. De har en bred produktlinje, der også inkluderer kræftvacciner tilpasset den enkelte patient. Moderna har desuden strategiske samarbejder med store spillere som AstraZeneca og Merck. De fokuserer på at udvide deres platform inden for respiratoriske vacciner og behandlinger. Read more about the company

Key Figures for Moderna

$ 22,8B Market cap
$ 2,2B Revenue
Bioteknologi Industry
- P/E
10.21 P/S
3.22 P/B
USA Listed on exchange
Sundhed Sector

What kind of stock is Moderna?

Speculative stock

Moderna is classified as a speculative stock.

Score Overview for Moderna

💰 Value Score 16/100 (Very Low)
⭐ Quality Score 2/100 (Very Low)
🚀 Momentum Score 45/100 (Neutral)
📊 Total Score 21/100

⚠️ 5 red flags identified 3 critical

Our analysis has identified 5 potential risk factors in Moderna that investors should be aware of.

⚠️ Weak financial health: The Piotroski score is only 3/9 – the company shows signs of weakened profitability, liquidity or capital structure.
🚨 Negative profit margin: The profit margin is -141.4% – the company is losing money on its operations.
🚨 Negative return on equity: ROE is -39.0% – the company is generating a negative return for shareholders.
⚠️ High short interest: 16.2% of the shares are sold short – many professional investors are betting on price declines.
🚨 Falling earnings: Quarterly earnings have fallen 85% year over year – the company's profitability is under pressure.

📈 Valuation

The P/S ratio is 10.2 (high — the market pays a premium for the revenue). The P/B ratio is 3.2.

💵 Profitability & Growth

The latest quarterly earnings grew -85.1% year over year — falling earnings.

🏦 Financial Health

The Piotroski score is 3 out of 9 — weak financial health, be careful. Altman Z2 is 3.29 (healthy balance sheet — low risk). The debt-to-equity ratio (D/E) is 29.7% — low debt, a solid balance sheet.

🚀 Momentum & Short Interest

Short interest is 16.15% — very high, the market is skeptical.

Insider Trading in Moderna 2026: The Signal Is negative

In 2026, insiders at Moderna have made 20 transactions, all of which were sales. On a net basis, insiders took 10,037,588 $ out of the stock. Active insiders include Hoge Stephen, Mock James M, Klinger Shannon Thyme and others. In the short term (last 3 months), the insider signal is negative.

Short-Term Signal (3 months): Negative

Insiders have exclusively sold shares over the last 3 months.

Over the last 3 months: 0 purchases and 17 sales. A net 9,018,076 $ out of the stock.

Long-Term Signal (all transactions): Negative

Insiders have exclusively sold shares in the recent period. This can suggest management sees limited opportunity.

Across the last 20 transactions: 0 purchases and 20 sales. A net 10,037,588 $ out of the stock.

Latest sale: Hoge Stephen sold 37,226 shares at 68 $ each on 2026-07-15.

Who is selling: Hoge Stephen, Mock James M, Klinger Shannon Thyme, AFEYAN NOUBAR, Hussain Abbas.

Latest Insider Trades in Moderna (2026)

The table shows the last 20 reported insider transactions in Moderna. Green rows are purchases, red rows are sales. The data is based on official filings.

Transaction date Name Type Number of shares Price per share ($) Total amount ($)
2026-07-15 Hoge Stephen Sell 37,226 68 2,516,478
2026-07-02 Mock James M Sell 1,452 73 105,270
2026-06-15 Hoge Stephen Sell 37,226 51 1,912,300
2026-06-05 Mock James M Sell 11,798 52 608,659
2026-06-05 Klinger Shannon Thyme Sell 11,798 52 608,659
2026-06-04 Klinger Shannon Thyme Sell 3,471 50 173,550
2026-06-01 Mock James M Sell 2,475 47 116,795
2026-06-01 Klinger Shannon Thyme Sell 2,165 47 102,166
2026-06-01 Hoge Stephen Sell 9,282 47 438,018
2026-05-28 Mock James M Sell 328 48 15,616

Who is buying and selling Moderna shares in 2026?

The following insiders have sold shares: Hoge Stephen, Mock James M, Klinger Shannon Thyme, AFEYAN NOUBAR, Hussain Abbas. In total, 10,037,588 $ was sold across 20 transactions. Insider trades are legal transactions in which executives and board members buy or sell shares of their own company. These transactions are reported to the SEC and are publicly available.

Moderna Short Selling 2026: 16.2% Sold Short

Very high short interest: 16.2% of the free float
Short % of free float
16.2%
Assessment
Very high short interest
Short squeeze risk
High
Data source
SEC
Updated daily
The stock has a very high share of short selling. Between 10-20% of the freely traded shares are sold short, which points to considerable bearish sentiment. A positive earnings report or unexpectedly good news can trigger a short squeeze with sharp price gains.

What does this mean for you as an investor?
A short interest of 16.2% means that 16.2% of the freely traded shares in Moderna have been borrowed and sold by investors betting on falling prices. On positive surprises (e.g. a strong earnings report), short sellers can be forced to buy back shares quickly to close their positions, which can cause a short squeeze with sharp price gains in a short time.

Data is updated daily based on official filings with the SEC.
Short Interest Scale
0% 2% 5% 10% 20%+
Low Moderate High Very High Extreme
16.2%

When Does Moderna Report Earnings?

The next earnings date for Moderna is not yet available. Check the company's investor calendar for more information.



Technical Analysis of Moderna 2026 – Signal: Hold

Overall Technical Signal: Hold

Based on trend analysis (SMA50/SMA200) and MACD trend (positive/negative on a daily + weekly basis). Updated August 6, 2026.

Technical analysis of Moderna (MRNA.US) – RSI 44, MACD negative (bearish), daily candlestick chart August 2026
Moderna technical analysis – candlestick chart with RSI and MACD. Updated Aug 6, 2026.

Trend Analysis of Moderna, Inc

Moderna, Inc is in a short-term downtrend. The price of $56.26 is 6.9% below the 20-day average ($60.40). Medium term, the picture is negative: the price is 4.5% below the 50-day average ($58.93). Long term, the stock is 24.2% above the 200-day average ($45.29), which confirms a long-term uptrend.

Golden Cross: The 50-day average (58.93) is above the 200-day average (45.29), which is a classic bullish signal for Moderna, Inc.

Is Moderna, Inc overbought or oversold?

Moderna, Inc has an RSI of 43.8. The stock sits in the lower part of the neutral zone, which points to weak momentum without being oversold.

MACD Analysis for Moderna, Inc

Daily MACD: MACD is negative (-1.987), which means the short-term trend is bearish (the 12-day EMA is below the 26-day EMA). MACD is below the signal line (-1.305) by 0.682, which confirms growing negative momentum in the downtrend.

Weekly MACD: MACD5 is positive (5.315), which indicates a broader bullish long-term trend. MACD5 is below the signal line (5.587) by 0.272, which suggests the long-term momentum is fading – the positive trend could come under pressure.

Overall MACD assessment: The daily and weekly MACD give conflicting signals. The long-term trend is bullish, but the short-term trend is bearish. Short-term momentum is still falling – a deeper pullback is possible.

Risk Profile for Moderna, Inc

Moderna, Inc has an annual standard deviation of 68.7%, which classifies the stock as high risk. Sizeable price swings are normal, and the stock requires a higher risk tolerance.

Overall Technical Conclusion for Moderna, Inc

Trend: Neutral/mixed.

MACD trend (zero line): Daily bearish (-1.987). Weekly bullish (5.315).

MACD momentum (signal): Daily falling. Weekly falling.

RSI: 43.8 – neutral.

Technical signal: Hold

The signals are mixed – trend and MACD point in different directions. Wait until MACD crosses the zero line in the direction of the trend before acting.

Frequently Asked Questions About Moderna stock in 2026

Should you buy Moderna stock now?
The technical signal for Moderna is currently NEUTRAL. Moderna trades at $54.89 as of 8/6/2026. The overall technical signal is: Hold. The technical analysis shows the following: MACD is negative (bearish trend) at -1.987 with falling momentum (signal: -1.305); RSI is at 43.8 (neutral zone); the stock is in a short-term downtrend (price below the 20-day average); the analyst price target of $50.84 is 7.4% below the current price. This is a technical observation based on current data, not investment advice.
What is the price target for Moderna stock?
The average analyst price target for Moderna is $50.84. The current price is $54.89, which gives a downside of 7.4%. Based on this, the stock is considered fairly valued. The fair value range (±10% of the price target) is between $45.76 and $55.92.
Is Moderna a dividend stock?
No, Moderna does not currently pay a dividend to shareholders. The company reinvests its profits in growth instead of paying dividends.
What is the risk of Moderna stock?
Moderna is rated as a stock with high risk. the annual standard deviation is 68.7%, which classifies the stock as high risk.
Is Moderna overvalued?
Moderna is considered fairly valued – the price is close to the analyst price target. Moderna has the following valuation ratios: a P/S ratio of 10.2, a P/B ratio of 3.2. The stock trades close to the analyst price target and is considered fairly valued.
Is Moderna overbought?
No, Moderna is not overbought. RSI is at 43.8 (neutral zone). The technical indicators show: RSI is at 43.8 (neutral zone between 30-70), which signals neither overbought nor oversold. In addition, the price is 9.1% below the 20-day average (short-term downtrend). In addition, MACD is negative with falling momentum (bearish).
When is the next Moderna earnings report?
The date of the next earnings report for Moderna has not been published yet. Check the company's investor calendar for updates.
Is Moderna shorted?
Yes, Moderna is shorted with 16.2% of the free float sold short. This is a very high level of short selling, which points to considerable bearish sentiment. A positive earnings report or unexpectedly good news can trigger a short squeeze with sharp price gains. Data is updated daily based on official filings with the SEC.
Are insiders buying Moderna stock?
No, insiders are not buying Moderna shares – they are net sellers. Over the last 3 months, insiders have made 0 purchases and 17 sales. On a net basis, 9,018,076 $ worth of shares were sold. Across the last 20 reported transactions, the split is 0 purchases and 20 sales, with a net 10,037,588 $ sold. Active sellers include Hoge Stephen, Mock James M, Klinger Shannon Thyme and others. Insider selling can have several explanations (e.g. planned 10b5-1 sales, portfolio diversification or taxes), but sustained selling by several insiders is worth watching closely.
Is Moderna a good stock?
Based on our total score, Moderna is rated as a poor stock with a total score of 21 out of 100. The stock scores below average on value, quality and momentum – it sits at the lower end of the market. The score is made up of Value: 16/100, Quality: 2/100, Momentum: 45/100. In addition: technical signal: Hold. Whether Moderna is a good investment depends on your time horizon, risk profile and portfolio. This is a data-driven observation, not investment advice.
What is the outlook for Moderna stock?
The outlook for Moderna based on current data: the average analyst price target is $50.84 (-7.4%). Keep in mind that stock prices are affected by many factors, including earnings reports, the economy and market sentiment. Past returns are no guarantee of future returns.
Why is Moderna stock falling?
Moderna is falling right now. The technical indicators show: the price is 9.1% below the 20-day average; MACD is negative with falling momentum (bearish signal); short interest is 16.2% (high – many are betting on a decline); insiders have mostly been selling the stock recently. For the latest context, see our technical analysis, insider section and news overview above.
How high can Moderna go?
The average analyst price target for Moderna is $50.84, which is 7.4% below the current price of $54.89. Keep in mind that price targets are estimates, not guarantees. Actual price moves depend on earnings, market conditions and unexpected events.
How low can Moderna fall?
We lack enough history to give a specific floor for Moderna. Remember: past price swings are no guarantee for the future — a stock can fall further than the last 52 weeks suggest, especially on profit warnings, sector crises or a market crash. Use stop-loss orders and spread your portfolio to limit losses in single stocks.
What does Moderna do?
Moderna, Inc. er et biotekfirma, der udvikler og sælger medicin og vacciner baseret på mRNA-teknologi. De tjener penge på at behandle infektionssygdomme, kræft og sjældne lidelser. Deres mest kendte produkter er COVID-19-vaccinen, men de laver også vacciner mod influenza og cy... The company belongs to the Sundhed sector, more specifically the Bioteknologi industry, is headquartered in USA, and is traded on the USA Stocks. See the key figures, earnings history and price development above to evaluate Moderna as an investment.
Did Moderna raise or lower its guidance?
Over the last 60 days we have not registered a guidance raise or cut from Moderna. The company can still adjust its guidance at quarterly reports or between reports — see the earnings history and the news overview above.
Is Moderna making money or losing money?
No, Moderna is currently not making money — the company is losing money with a negative profit margin of -141.4%, a substantial loss. That means the business loses money on every dollar of revenue. For growth stocks investing in expansion this is normal — but it raises the risk if the company does not reach break-even before its capital runs out.
Can Moderna go bankrupt?
The bankruptcy risk of Moderna is rated as low. Altman Z2 (a model for assessing financial distress) is 3.29 — that places the company in the healthy zone. The company has a healthy balance sheet with limited debt relative to earnings and assets. The Piotroski score (financial health 0-9, higher is better) is 3 — which is weak. Debt relative to equity is 30% (low). Remember: models like Altman Z2 are statistical — unexpected shocks (fraud, a sector collapse, lawsuits) can always happen. Spread your portfolio.
Does Moderna have a lot of debt?
No, Moderna has low debt relative to equity. The debt-to-equity ratio (D/E — interest-bearing debt to equity) is 30%. For the sundhed sector, anything below 80% counts as low debt. Note: D/E levels are highly sector-specific — a bank at 300% debt is normal, a tech stock at 300% is extremely leveraged. Always compare with similar companies in the same sector.