Merck (MRK.US) Price Target 2026/2027: 10% Upside + 2.3% Dividend

145.97
Price history for Merck (MRK.US) – stock price at $145.97, October 2026
Merck stock price – price development 2026. Updated Oct 17, 2026.
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Merck Price Target 2026: Analysts See 8% Upside

The average price target for Merck is $158.28. This price target represents the analysts' view of the stock price over the next 12 months. The stock may be undervalued, because the price target is higher than the current price. The stock is 8.43% below the target, which can point to potential returns within the next 12 months if the analysts' view proves right. Also consider the stock's valuation ratios such as P/E, P/S and P/B, plus the technical analysis further down the page, for the full picture.

Is Merck overvalued or undervalued?

Merck is currently fairly valued with a gap of 8.4% relative to the price target.


The current price is $145.97, which places Merck in the fairly valued category. The stock is considered undervalued when the price is below $142.45, and overvalued when the price exceeds $174.11.


The fair value range is defined as ±10% of the price target, because price targets are estimates rather than exact values. For Merck, the fair value range lies between $142.45 and $174.11.


See the full price target analysis for Merck →

Analyst Ratings for Merck stock in 2026: Buy

27 analysts cover Merck. The majority is positive, with 70.4% recommending Buy, while 29.6% recommend Hold. The average price target is $158.28, which gives an upside of 8.4% from the current price.

Consensus: Buy (4.22/5)
Strong Buy
14 (51.9%)
Buy
5 (18.5%)
Hold
8 (29.6%)
Strong Sell Sell Hold Buy Strong Buy
4.22 out of 5 based on 27 analysts

About Merck – Drug Manufacturers - General

Here is the rewritten description:

Merck & Co. (ticker: MRK) is a large healthcare company. It makes money mainly by developing and selling medicines and vaccines for people, and health products for animals.

On the human health side, the company sells cancer drugs, including its well-known medicine Keytruda. It also makes vaccines for children and adults. On the animal side, Merck produces vaccines and medicines for pets and farm animals.

Merck sells its products worldwide. Its customers include hospitals, pharmacies, and government health agencies.

The company was founded in 1891 and today employs thousands of people. It is one of the major companies in the healthcare industry.
Read more about the company

Key Figures for Merck

$359B Market cap
$66.6B Revenue
Drug Manufacturers - General Industry
115.56 P/E
5.40 P/S
8.71 P/B
United States Listed on exchange
merck.com Website

What kind of stock is Merck?

Momentum stock

Merck is classified as a momentum stock with a momentum score in the top 14% of all stocks. The price has risen 0.0% over the long term.

Score Overview for Merck

💰 Value Score 14/100 (Very Low)
⭐ Quality Score 29/100 (Low)
🚀 Momentum Score 86/100 (Very High)
📊 Total Score 43/100

⚠️ 2 red flags identified

Our analysis has identified 2 potential risk factors in Merck that investors should be aware of.

⚠️ High debt: The debt-to-equity ratio is 153% – the company carries considerably more debt than equity, which raises the financial risk.
⚠️ Unsustainable dividend: The payout ratio is 106% – the company pays out more in dividends than it earns, which is not sustainable.

📈 Valuation

Merck trades at a P/E ratio of 115.6, which is above the market average. The forward P/E is 15.3 (87% lower), which suggests the market expects rising earnings. The P/S ratio is 5.4 (high — the market pays a premium for the revenue). The P/B ratio is 8.7. The PEG ratio is 2.70 — above 2.0 suggests the stock is expensive relative to its growth rate.

💵 Profitability & Growth

Merck has a profit margin of 4.8% (moderate). Return on equity (ROE) is 7.0%. Return on assets (ROA) is 11.9%. The latest quarterly earnings grew -19.3% year over year — falling earnings.

🏦 Financial Health

The Piotroski score is 4 out of 9 — average financial health. Altman Z2 is 2.92 (healthy balance sheet — low risk). The debt-to-equity ratio (D/E) is 152.7% — moderate debt.

🚀 Momentum & Short Interest

Short interest is 1.40% — low, the market does not expect a decline.

Merck Dividend 2026: 2.3% Dividend Yield

Dividend Key Figures for Merck

Dividend yield
2.33%
Latest dividend per share
0.85 USD
Payout ratio
105.9%
Very high
Dividend growth (7 years)
+339.7%
Avg. annual dividend (3 years)
2.17 USD

When does Merck pay a dividend in 2026?

Latest ex-dividend date (traded without the dividend)
September 15, 2026
Latest payment date
October 7, 2026

How much does Merck pay in dividends?

Merck pays dividends to its shareholders. The most recently paid dividend was 0.85 USD per share, which corresponds to a dividend yield of 2.33%. Over the last 7 years, the annual dividend has grown by 339.7%, which shows positive dividend growth.

The payout ratio is 105.9%, which is very high. The company pays out almost all of its profits as dividends, which can limit future growth and dividend stability.

Historical Dividend Payments for Merck

We have registered dividend payments for Merck since Dec 13, 2019. In that period the stock has paid a dividend 25 times, most recently on Sep 15, 2026. This stock qualifies as a stable dividend stock, because it has paid a dividend at least once a year for the last 5 years. That makes it attractive to investors looking for steady, regular dividend payments.

Ex-datePayment dateAmountCurrency
2026-09-152026-10-070.85USD
2026-06-152026-07-080.85USD
2026-03-162026-04-070.85USD
2025-12-152026-01-080.85USD
2025-03-172025-04-070.81USD
2024-09-162024-10-070.77USD
2024-06-172024-07-080.77USD
2024-03-142024-04-050.77USD
2023-12-142024-01-080.77USD
2023-09-142023-10-060.73USD
2023-06-142023-07-100.73USD
2023-03-142023-04-100.73USD
2022-12-142023-01-090.73USD
2022-09-142022-10-070.69USD
2022-06-142022-07-080.69USD
2022-03-142022-04-070.69USD
2021-12-142022-01-070.69USD
2021-09-142021-10-070.65USD
2021-06-142021-07-070.65USD
2021-03-122021-04-070.62USD
2020-12-142021-01-080.62USD
2020-09-142020-10-070.58USD
2020-06-122020-07-070.58USD
2020-03-132020-04-070.58USD
2019-12-132020-01-080.58USD

Insider Trading in Merck 2026: The Signal Is negative

In 2026, insiders at Merck have made 20 transactions, all of which were sales. On a net basis, insiders took $51,261,933 out of the stock. Active insiders include Guindo Chirfi, Zachary Jennifer, DeLuca Richard R. and others. In the short term (last 3 months), the insider signal is negative.

Short-Term Signal (3 months): Negative

Insiders have exclusively sold shares over the last 3 months.

Over the last 3 months: 0 purchases and 9 sales. A net $15,520,037 out of the stock.

Long-Term Signal (all transactions): Negative

Insiders have exclusively sold shares in the recent period. This can suggest management sees limited opportunity.

Across the last 20 transactions: 0 purchases and 20 sales. A net $51,261,933 out of the stock.

Latest sale: Guindo Chirfi sold 10,000 shares at $135.00 each on 2026-08-13.

Who is selling: Guindo Chirfi, Zachary Jennifer, DeLuca Richard R., Williams David Michael, Maraldo David R. and others.

Latest Insider Trades in Merck (2026)

The table shows the last 20 reported insider transactions in Merck. Green rows are purchases, red rows are sales. The data is based on official filings.

Transaction date Name Type Number of shares Price per share ($) Total amount ($)
2026-08-13 Guindo Chirfi Sell 10,000 135 1,350,000
2026-08-12 Zachary Jennifer Sell 41,494 133 5,537,789
2026-08-12 DeLuca Richard R. Sell 11,099 132 1,465,512
2026-08-11 DeLuca Richard R. Sell 7,410 132 980,714
2026-08-10 DeLuca Richard R. Sell 20,784 130 2,710,857
2026-08-06 Guindo Chirfi Sell 15,000 131 1,965,000
2026-08-06 DeLuca Richard R. Sell 805 131 105,471
2026-08-05 Williams David Michael Sell 4,600 129 592,342
2026-08-05 Maraldo David R. Sell 6,311 129 812,352
2026-02-12 Guindo Chirfi Sell 10,000 121 1,214,600

Who is buying and selling Merck shares in 2026?

The following insiders have sold shares: Guindo Chirfi, Zachary Jennifer, DeLuca Richard R., Williams David Michael, Maraldo David R. and others. In total, $51,261,933 was sold across 20 transactions. Insider trades are legal transactions in which executives and board members buy or sell shares of their own company. These transactions are reported to the SEC and are publicly available.

Merck Short Selling 2026: 1.4% Sold Short

Low short interest: 1.4% of the free float
Short % of free float
1.4%
Assessment
Low short interest
Short squeeze risk
Low
Data source
EODHD
Reported about twice a month

Short interest over time: Merck

0.0%0.8%1.6%
5/307/299/27
1.4% today (low)Last 30 days: +0.2 percentage pointsMeasured over 120 days
What does the trend tell you?
Short interest in Merck has been fairly stable at 1.4% over the period. Neither many new short sellers have arrived nor many positions been closed.

What matters is when the curve starts to move. This is how shorting works: whoever shorts has borrowed the share and sold it, and to close the position again they must buy the share back. When short interest falls, shares are being bought back. So it is worth watching the trend, not just today's number.
The stock has a low share of short selling. Less than 2% of the freely traded shares are sold short, which points to limited bearish sentiment.

Short interest comes from our data provider EODHD. The figure is reported about twice a month; we check it every trading day.
Short Interest Scale
0% 2% 5% 10% 20%+
Low Moderate High Very High Extreme
▲
1.4%

When Does Merck Report Earnings – Next Date: Oct 29, 2026

The next earnings report from Merck is scheduled for October 29, 2026, before the market opens. This report covers the third quarter (Q3), which ended on September 30, 2026.



Technical Analysis of Merck 2026 – Signal: Strong Buy

Overall Technical Signal: Strong Buy

Based on trend analysis (SMA50/SMA200) and MACD trend (positive/negative on a daily + weekly basis). Updated October 17, 2026.

Technical analysis of Merck (MRK.US) – RSI 52, MACD positive (bullish), daily candlestick chart October 2026
Merck technical analysis – candlestick chart with RSI, MACD and volume profile. Updated Oct 17, 2026.

Trend Analysis of Merck & Co., Inc

Merck & Co., Inc is in a short-term uptrend. The price of $145.95 is 0.1% above the 20-day average ($145.74). Medium term, the picture is positive: the price is 0.9% above the 50-day average ($144.68). Long term, the stock is 18.1% above the 200-day average ($123.57), which confirms a long-term uptrend.

Golden Cross: The 50-day average (144.68) is above the 200-day average (123.57), which is a classic bullish signal for Merck & Co., Inc.

Is Merck & Co., Inc overbought or oversold?

Merck & Co., Inc has an RSI of 52.2, right in the middle of the neutral zone. There is no clear buying or selling pressure.

MACD Analysis for Merck & Co., Inc

Daily MACD: MACD is positive (0.077), which means the short-term trend is bullish (the 12-day EMA is above the 26-day EMA). MACD is below the signal line (0.118) by 0.041, which suggests the positive momentum is fading – the trend could be turning.

Weekly MACD: MACD5 is positive (9.128), which indicates a broader bullish long-term trend. MACD5 is above the signal line (8.913) by 0.215, which confirms rising long-term momentum.

Overall MACD assessment: Both the daily and weekly trend are bullish (MACD positive). However, momentum shows signs of weakening on a daily basis. Watch whether the trend holds.

Risk Profile for Merck & Co., Inc

Merck & Co., Inc has an annual standard deviation of 29.1%, which classifies the stock as Balanced. There is some volatility, but the price is relatively stable.

Overall Technical Conclusion for Merck & Co., Inc

Trend: Positive. The price trades above SMA50 and SMA200.

MACD trend (zero line): Daily bullish (0.077). Weekly bullish (9.128).

MACD momentum (signal): Daily falling. Weekly rising.

RSI: 52.2 – neutral.

Technical signal: Strong Buy

The price is in an uptrend (above SMA50/SMA200) and MACD is positive on both a daily and weekly basis. Trend and MACD trend confirm each other – the strongest technical buy signal.

Frequently Asked Questions About Merck stock in 2026

Should you buy Merck stock now?
Yes, the technical signal for Merck is currently Strong Buy. Merck trades at $145.97 as of Oct 17, 2026. The technical analysis shows the following: MACD is positive (bullish trend) at 0.077 with falling momentum (signal: 0.118); RSI is at 52.2 (neutral zone); the stock is in a short-term uptrend (price above the 20-day average); the analyst price target of $158.28 points to 8.4% upside. The stock is in a broader uptrend (above SMA50/SMA200). This is a technical observation based on current data, not investment advice.
What is the price target for Merck stock?
The average analyst price target for Merck is $158.28. The current price is $145.97, which gives an upside of 8.4%. Based on this, the stock is considered fairly valued. The fair value range (±10% of the price target) is between $142.45 and $174.11.
Is Merck a dividend stock?
Yes, Merck is a dividend stock with a dividend yield of 2.33%. The latest dividend was $0.85 per share. The latest ex-dividend date (traded without the dividend) was Sep 15, 2026. The payout ratio is 105.9%, which is considered high.
When does Merck pay a dividend in 2026?
The next dividend date for Merck has not been set yet. The latest ex-dividend date (last trading day with dividend rights) was Sep 15, 2026. The latest dividend was $0.85 per share with an ex-dividend date of Sep 15, 2026. The dividend yield is 2.33%. The payout ratio of 105.9% points to a high dividend relative to earnings.
What is the risk of Merck stock?
Merck is rated as a stock in the risk category Balanced. the annual standard deviation is 29.1%, which classifies the stock as Balanced.
Is Merck overvalued?
Merck is considered fairly valued – the price is close to the analyst price target. Merck has the following valuation ratios: a P/E ratio of 115.6 (highly valued), a P/S ratio of 5.4, a P/B ratio of 8.7. The stock trades close to the analyst price target and is considered fairly valued.
Is Merck overbought?
No, Merck is not overbought. RSI is at 52.2 (neutral zone). The technical indicators show: RSI is at 52.2 (neutral zone between 30-70), which signals neither overbought nor oversold. In addition, the price is 0.2% above the 20-day average (short-term uptrend). In addition, MACD is positive, but momentum is falling.
When is the next Merck earnings report?
Merck reports its next earnings on October 29, 2026. The stock currently trades at $145.97. With a P/E ratio of 115.6, the market will be watching closely whether earnings meet expectations.
Is Merck shorted?
Yes, Merck is shorted with 1.4% of the free float sold short. This is a moderate level of short selling, within the normal range for most stocks. The figure comes from our data provider EODHD, is reported about twice a month, and we check it every trading day.
Are insiders buying Merck stock?
No, insiders are not buying Merck shares – they are net sellers. Over the last 3 months, insiders have made 0 purchases and 9 sales. On a net basis, 15,520,037 $ worth of shares were sold. Across the last 20 reported transactions, the split is 0 purchases and 20 sales, with a net 51,261,933 $ sold. Active sellers include Guindo Chirfi, Zachary Jennifer, DeLuca Richard R. and others. Insider selling can have several explanations (e.g. planned 10b5-1 sales, portfolio diversification or taxes), but sustained selling by several insiders is worth watching closely.
Is Merck a good stock?
Based on our total score, Merck is rated as a mediocre stock with a total score of 43 out of 100. The stock scores around average on value, quality and momentum – it sits near the median in our database. The score is made up of Value: 14/100, Quality: 29/100, Momentum: 86/100. In addition: a dividend of 2.33%. Whether now is the time to buy is a separate question: the technical signal is Strong Buy. Whether Merck is a good investment depends on your time horizon, risk profile and portfolio. This is a data-driven observation, not investment advice.
What is the outlook for Merck stock?
The outlook for Merck based on current data: the average analyst price target is $158.28 (+8.4%); the stock is in an uptrend (above SMA50 and SMA200); the next earnings report is due on Oct 29, 2026, which can move the price; the P/E ratio is 115.6 (high – the market expects growth). Keep in mind that stock prices are affected by many factors, including earnings reports, the economy and market sentiment. Past returns are no guarantee of future returns.
Why is Merck stock moving?
Merck is stable right now. The technical indicators show: the price is close to the 20-day average; insiders have mostly been selling the stock recently. For the latest context, see our technical analysis and insider section above.
How high can Merck go?
The average analyst price target for Merck is $158.28, which corresponds to a potential gain of 8.4% from the current price of $145.97. The stock has traded between $79.67 and $156.00 over the last 52 weeks. Keep in mind that price targets are estimates, not guarantees. Actual price moves depend on earnings, market conditions and unexpected events.
How low can Merck fall?
The stock has traded as low as $79.67 over the last 52 weeks — that is 45.4% below the current price of $145.97. The biggest decline (drawdown) in the same period was 48.9% from high to low. Within a year, the price typically swings about ±29.1% (standard deviation — a measure of price swings). A difficult year could therefore mean a further decline of that size. Remember: past price swings are no guarantee for the future — a stock can fall further than the last 52 weeks suggest, especially on profit warnings, sector crises or a market crash. Use stop-loss orders and spread your portfolio to limit losses in single stocks.
What does Merck do?
Here is the rewritten description: Merck & Co. (ticker: MRK) is a large healthcare company. It makes money mainly by developing and selling medicines and vaccines for people, and health products for animals. On the human health side, the company sells cancer drugs, including... The company belongs to the Healthcare sector, more specifically the Drug Manufacturers - General industry, is headquartered in United States, and is traded on the USA Stocks. See the key figures, earnings history and price development above to evaluate Merck as an investment.
Did Merck raise or lower its guidance?
Over the last 60 days we have not registered a guidance raise or cut from Merck. The company can still adjust its guidance at quarterly reports or between reports — see the earnings history above.
Is Merck making money or losing money?
Yes, Merck is making money, not losing it. The company has a profit margin (the share of revenue left over as profit) of 4.8% — which is modest. At a P/E ratio of 115.6, you currently pay 115.6 dollars for every dollar of the company's annual earnings. A consistently profitable company is usually more resilient than growth stocks that are not yet making money.
Can Merck go bankrupt?
The bankruptcy risk of Merck is rated as low. Altman Z2 (a model for assessing financial distress) is 2.92 — that places the company in the healthy zone. The company has a healthy balance sheet with limited debt relative to earnings and assets. The Piotroski score (financial health 0-9, higher is better) is 4 — which is average. Debt relative to equity is 153% (high). Remember: models like Altman Z2 are statistical — unexpected shocks (fraud, a sector collapse, lawsuits) can always happen. Spread your portfolio.
Does Merck have a lot of debt?
Yes, Merck has elevated debt relative to equity. The debt-to-equity ratio (D/E — interest-bearing debt to equity) is 153%. For the healthcare sector, anything above 150% counts as elevated — that raises the financial risk, especially if interest rates rise or earnings fall. In healthcare, 80-150% is typical — large pharma companies carry debt for research and acquisitions. Note: D/E levels are highly sector-specific — a bank at 300% debt is normal, a tech stock at 300% is extremely leveraged. Always compare with similar companies in the same sector. Can Merck service its debt? Could struggle to service its debt — the interest coverage ratio (how many times earnings can cover interest payments) is -0.3x, and net debt equals 1.6 years of earnings (EBITDA).

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