Marathon Petroleum (MPC.US) Price Target and Rating 2026/2027

299,66
0,64%
Price history for Marathon Petroleum (MPC.US) – stock price at 299.66 $, August 2026
Marathon Petroleum stock price – price development 2026. Updated Aug 6, 2026.
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Marathon Petroleum Price Target 2026: Analysts See 1% Upside

The average price target for Marathon Petroleum is $303.89. This price target represents the analysts' view of the stock price over the next 12 months. The stock may be undervalued, because the price target is higher than the current price. The stock is 1,41% below the target, which can point to potential returns within the next 12 months if the analysts' view proves right. Also consider the stock's valuation ratios such as P/E, P/S and P/B, plus the technical analysis further down the page, for the full picture.

Is Marathon Petroleum overvalued or undervalued?

Marathon Petroleum is currently fairly valued with a gap of 1.4% relative to the price target.


The current price is $299.66, which places Marathon Petroleum in the fairly valued category. The stock is considered undervalued when the price is below $273.50, and overvalued when the price exceeds $334.28.


The fair value range is defined as ±10% of the price target, because price targets are estimates rather than exact values. For Marathon Petroleum, the fair value range lies between $273.50 and $334.28.


See the full price target analysis for Marathon Petroleum →

Analyst Ratings for Marathon Petroleum stock in 2026: Buy

20 analysts cover Marathon Petroleum. The majority is positive, with 60% recommending Buy, while 40% recommend Hold. The average price target is $303.89, which gives an upside of 1.4% from the current price.

Consensus: Buy (3.95/5)
Strong Buy
7 (35%)
Buy
5 (25%)
Hold
8 (40%)
Strong Sell Sell Hold Buy Strong Buy
3.95 out of 5 based on 20 analysts

About Marathon Petroleum – Olie & gas | salg & marketing

Marathon Petroleum Corporation, eller mpc.us, driver en integreret energiforretning primært i USA. De tjener penge på to hovedområder: raffinering og markedsføring samt midtstrøm. Raffineringsdelen laver råolie om til færdige produkter på deres anlæg langs Golfkysten og Vestkysten. Her producerer de transportbrændstoffer som benzin og diesel, men også specialprodukter som aromater og asfalt. De sælger de raffinerede produkter til både engroskunder, spotmarkedet og uafhængige forhandlere, der ofte driver Marathon-mærkede tankstationer. Midtstrømssegmentet står for transporten af disse råstoffer og færdigvarer. MPC.us er en stor spiller i USA og blev grundlagt i 1887. De har en stor portefølje af raffinaderier og logistikaktiver. Read more about the company

Key Figures for Marathon Petroleum

$ 91,3B Market cap
$ 136B Revenue
Olie & gas | salg & marketing Industry
20.21 P/E
0.67 P/S
5.51 P/B
USA Listed on exchange
Energi Sector

What kind of stock is Marathon Petroleum?

Growth stock Quality stock Momentum stock

Marathon Petroleum is classified as a growth stock and quality stock and momentum stock. This means the stock combines several attractive traits, strong financial health (Piotroski 9/9), and strong price momentum.

Score Overview for Marathon Petroleum

💰 Value Score 67/100 (High)
⭐ Quality Score 74/100 (High)
🚀 Momentum Score 95/100 (Very High)
📊 Total Score 78/100

⚠️ 1 red flag identified 1 critical

Our analysis has identified 1 potential risk factor in Marathon Petroleum that investors should be aware of.

🚨 High debt: The debt-to-equity ratio is 306% – the company carries considerably more debt than equity, which raises the financial risk.

📈 Valuation

Marathon Petroleum trades at a P/E ratio of 20.2, which is close to the market average. The forward P/E is 9.9 (51% lower), which suggests the market expects rising earnings. The P/S ratio is 0.7 (low — potentially undervalued relative to revenue). The P/B ratio is 5.5. The PEG ratio is 1.57.

💵 Profitability & Growth

Marathon Petroleum has a profit margin of 3.4% (moderate) and an operating margin of 3.6%. Return on equity (ROE) is 27.5% — excellent return on equity. Return on assets (ROA) is 5.2%. The latest quarterly earnings grew 350.7% year over year — strong growth.

🏦 Financial Health

The Piotroski score is 9 out of 9 — excellent financial health. Altman Z2 is 3.33 (healthy balance sheet — low risk). The debt-to-equity ratio (D/E) is 306.3% — high debt, which raises the risk.

🚀 Momentum & Short Interest

Short interest is 2.54%.

Marathon Petroleum Dividend 2026

Dividend Key Figures for Marathon Petroleum in 2026

Dividend per share
1.00 USD
Payout ratio
45.8%
Healthy
Dividend growth (5 years)
+21.6%
Avg. annual dividend (3 years)
3.10 USD

When does Marathon Petroleum pay a dividend in 2026?

Latest ex-dividend date (traded without the dividend)
August 19, 2026
Next dividend payment
September 10, 2026
Latest payment date
September 10, 2026

How much does Marathon Petroleum pay in dividends?

Marathon Petroleum pays dividends to its shareholders. The most recently paid dividend was 1.00 USD per share. Over the last 5 years, the annual dividend has grown by 21.6%, which shows positive dividend growth.

The payout ratio is 45.8%, which is considered healthy and sustainable. The company balances rewarding shareholders with reinvesting in growth.

Historical Dividend Payments for Marathon Petroleum

We have registered dividend payments for Marathon Petroleum since 2020-02-18. In that period the stock has paid a dividend 38 times, most recently on 2026-08-19. This stock qualifies as a stable dividend stock, because it has paid a dividend at least once a year for the last 5 years. That makes it attractive to investors looking for steady, regular dividend payments.

Ex-datePayment dateAmountCurrencyPeriod
2026-08-192026-09-101.00USDUnknown period
2026-05-202026-06-101.00USDUnknown period
2026-05-202026-06-101.00USDUnknown period
2026-05-202026-06-101.00USDUnknown period
2026-05-202026-06-101.00USDUnknown period
2026-05-202026-06-101.00USDUnknown period
2026-05-202026-06-101.00USDUnknown period
2026-05-202026-06-101.00USDUnknown period
2026-05-202026-06-101.00USDUnknown period
2026-05-202026-06-101.00USDUnknown period
2026-05-202026-06-101.00USDUnknown period
2026-05-202026-06-101.00USDUnknown period
2026-05-202026-06-101.00USDUnknown period
2026-05-202026-06-101.00USDUnknown period
2026-02-182026-03-101.00USDUnknown period
2025-11-192025-12-101.00USDUnknown period
2025-08-202025-09-100.91USDUnknown period
2025-02-192025-03-100.91USDUnknown period
2024-11-202024-12-100.91USDUnknown period
2024-08-212024-09-100.83USDUnknown period
2024-05-152024-06-100.83USDUnknown period
2024-02-202024-03-110.83USDUnknown period
2023-11-152023-12-110.83USDUnknown period
2023-08-152023-09-110.75USDUnknown period
2023-05-162023-06-120.75USDUnknown period
2023-02-152023-03-100.75USDUnknown period
2022-11-152022-12-120.75USDUnknown period
2022-08-162022-09-120.58USDUnknown period
2022-05-172022-06-100.58USDUnknown period
2022-02-152022-03-100.58USDUnknown period
2021-11-162021-12-100.58USDUnknown period
2021-08-172021-09-100.58USDUnknown period
2021-05-182021-06-100.58USDUnknown period
2021-02-162021-03-100.58USDUnknown period
2020-11-172020-12-100.58USDUnknown period
2020-08-182020-09-100.58USDUnknown period
2020-05-192020-06-100.58USDUnknown period
2020-02-182020-03-100.58USDUnknown period

Insider Trading in Marathon Petroleum 2026: The Signal Is negative

In 2026, insiders at Marathon Petroleum have made 20 transactions, all of which were sales. On a net basis, insiders took 3,286,828 $ out of the stock. Active insiders include Mannen Maryann T., Henschen Michael A II, Hessling Ricky D. and others. In the short term (last 3 months), the insider signal is negative.

Short-Term Signal (3 months): Negative

Insiders have exclusively sold shares over the last 3 months.

Over the last 3 months: 0 purchases and 3 sales. A net 901,958 $ out of the stock.

Long-Term Signal (all transactions): Negative

Insiders have exclusively sold shares in the recent period. This can suggest management sees limited opportunity.

Across the last 20 transactions: 0 purchases and 20 sales. A net 3,286,828 $ out of the stock.

Latest sale: Mannen Maryann T. sold 908 shares at 312 $ each on 2026-08-03.

Who is selling: Mannen Maryann T., Henschen Michael A II, Hessling Ricky D., Ricky D Hessling, Lyon Shawn M and others.

Latest Insider Trades in Marathon Petroleum (2026)

The table shows the last 20 reported insider transactions in Marathon Petroleum. Green rows are purchases, red rows are sales. The data is based on official filings.

Transaction date Name Type Number of shares Price per share ($) Total amount ($)
2026-08-03 Mannen Maryann T. Sell 908 312 283,096
2026-06-04 Henschen Michael A II Sell 1,372 269 368,862
2026-05-13 Hessling Ricky D. Sell 1,000 250 250,000
2026-03-13 Ricky D Hessling Sell 1,626 228 371,021
2026-03-13 Hessling Ricky D. Sell 1,626 228 371,021
2026-03-12 Ricky D Hessling Sell 1,037 229 237,556
2026-03-12 Hessling Ricky D. Sell 478 230 109,940
2026-03-11 Ricky D Hessling Sell 1,810 225 406,852
2026-03-11 Hessling Ricky D. Sell 1,485 226 335,610
2026-03-02 Mannen Maryann T. Sell 952 206 196,398

Who is buying and selling Marathon Petroleum shares in 2026?

The following insiders have sold shares: Mannen Maryann T., Henschen Michael A II, Hessling Ricky D., Ricky D Hessling, Lyon Shawn M and others. In total, 3,286,828 $ was sold across 20 transactions. Insider trades are legal transactions in which executives and board members buy or sell shares of their own company. These transactions are reported to the SEC and are publicly available.

Marathon Petroleum Short Selling 2026: 2.5% Sold Short

Moderate short interest: 2.5% of the free float
Short % of free float
2.5%
Assessment
Moderate short interest
Short squeeze risk
Low
Data source
SEC
Updated daily
The stock has a moderate share of short selling. Between 2-5% of the freely traded shares are sold short, which is within the normal range for most stocks.

Data is updated daily based on official filings with the SEC.
Short Interest Scale
0% 2% 5% 10% 20%+
Low Moderate High Very High Extreme
2.5%

When Does Marathon Petroleum Report Earnings?

The next earnings date for Marathon Petroleum is not yet available. Check the company's investor calendar for more information.



Technical Analysis of Marathon Petroleum 2026 – Signal: Strong Buy

Overall Technical Signal: Strong Buy

Based on trend analysis (SMA50/SMA200) and MACD trend (positive/negative on a daily + weekly basis). Updated August 6, 2026.

Technical analysis of Marathon Petroleum (MPC.US) – RSI 51, MACD positive (bullish), daily candlestick chart August 2026
Marathon Petroleum technical analysis – candlestick chart with RSI and MACD. Updated Aug 6, 2026.

Trend Analysis of Marathon Petroleum Corporation

Marathon Petroleum Corporation is in a short-term downtrend. The price of $297.75 is 2.9% below the 20-day average ($306.62). Medium term, the picture is positive: the price is 7.4% above the 50-day average ($277.17). Long term, the stock is 33.8% above the 200-day average ($222.58), which confirms a long-term uptrend.

Golden Cross: The 50-day average (277.17) is above the 200-day average (222.58), which is a classic bullish signal for Marathon Petroleum Corporation.

Is Marathon Petroleum Corporation overbought or oversold?

Marathon Petroleum Corporation has an RSI of 50.6, right in the middle of the neutral zone. There is no clear buying or selling pressure.

MACD Analysis for Marathon Petroleum Corporation

Daily MACD: MACD is positive (9.518), which means the short-term trend is bullish (the 12-day EMA is above the 26-day EMA). MACD is below the signal line (12.078) by 2.560, which suggests the positive momentum is fading – the trend could be turning.

Weekly MACD: MACD5 is positive (26.566), which indicates a broader bullish long-term trend. MACD5 is above the signal line (21.202) by 5.364, which confirms rising long-term momentum.

Overall MACD assessment: Both the daily and weekly trend are bullish (MACD positive). However, momentum shows signs of weakening on a daily basis. Watch whether the trend holds.

Risk Profile for Marathon Petroleum Corporation

Marathon Petroleum Corporation has an annual standard deviation of 32.9%, which classifies the stock as moderately low risk. There is some volatility, but the price is relatively stable.

Overall Technical Conclusion for Marathon Petroleum Corporation

Trend: Positive. The price trades above SMA50 and SMA200.

MACD trend (zero line): Daily bullish (9.518). Weekly bullish (26.566).

MACD momentum (signal): Daily falling. Weekly rising.

RSI: 50.6 – neutral.

Technical signal: Strong Buy

The price is in an uptrend (above SMA50/SMA200) and MACD is positive on both a daily and weekly basis. Trend and MACD trend confirm each other – the strongest technical buy signal.

Frequently Asked Questions About Marathon Petroleum stock in 2026

Should you buy Marathon Petroleum stock now?
Yes, the technical signal for Marathon Petroleum is currently BUY. Marathon Petroleum trades at $299.66 as of 8/6/2026. The overall technical signal is: Strong Buy. The technical analysis shows the following: MACD is positive (bullish trend) at 9.518 with falling momentum (signal: 12.078); RSI is at 50.6 (neutral zone); the stock is in a short-term downtrend (price below the 20-day average); the analyst price target of $303.89 points to 1.4% upside. The stock is in a broader uptrend (above SMA50/SMA200). This is a technical observation based on current data, not investment advice.
What is the price target for Marathon Petroleum stock?
The average analyst price target for Marathon Petroleum is $303.89. The current price is $299.66, which gives an upside of 1.4%. Based on this, the stock is considered fairly valued. The fair value range (±10% of the price target) is between $273.50 and $334.28.
Is Marathon Petroleum a dividend stock?
No, Marathon Petroleum does not currently pay a dividend to shareholders. The company reinvests its profits in growth instead of paying dividends.
What is the risk of Marathon Petroleum stock?
Marathon Petroleum is rated as a stock with moderately low risk. the annual standard deviation is 32.9%, which classifies the stock as moderately low risk.
Is Marathon Petroleum overvalued?
Marathon Petroleum is considered fairly valued – the price is close to the analyst price target. Marathon Petroleum has the following valuation ratios: a P/E ratio of 20.2 (moderately to highly valued), a P/S ratio of 0.7, a P/B ratio of 5.5. The stock trades close to the analyst price target and is considered fairly valued.
Is Marathon Petroleum overbought?
No, Marathon Petroleum is not overbought. RSI is at 50.6 (neutral zone). The technical indicators show: RSI is at 50.6 (neutral zone between 30-70), which signals neither overbought nor oversold. In addition, the price is 2.3% below the 20-day average (short-term downtrend). In addition, MACD is positive, but momentum is falling.
When is the next Marathon Petroleum earnings report?
The date of the next earnings report for Marathon Petroleum has not been published yet. Check the company's investor calendar for updates.
Is Marathon Petroleum shorted?
Yes, Marathon Petroleum is shorted with 2.5% of the free float sold short. This is a moderate level of short selling, within the normal range for most stocks. Data is updated daily based on official filings with the SEC.
Are insiders buying Marathon Petroleum stock?
No, insiders are not buying Marathon Petroleum shares – they are net sellers. Over the last 3 months, insiders have made 0 purchases and 3 sales. On a net basis, 901,958 $ worth of shares were sold. Across the last 20 reported transactions, the split is 0 purchases and 20 sales, with a net 3,286,828 $ sold. Active sellers include Mannen Maryann T., Henschen Michael A II, Hessling Ricky D. and others. Insider selling can have several explanations (e.g. planned 10b5-1 sales, portfolio diversification or taxes), but sustained selling by several insiders is worth watching closely.
Is Marathon Petroleum a good stock?
Based on our total score, Marathon Petroleum is rated as a good stock with a total score of 79 out of 100. The stock scores above average on value, quality and momentum – it is among the top 21% in our database. The score is made up of Value: 67/100, Quality: 74/100, Momentum: 95/100. In addition: technical signal: Strong Buy. Whether Marathon Petroleum is a good investment depends on your time horizon, risk profile and portfolio. This is a data-driven observation, not investment advice.
What is the outlook for Marathon Petroleum stock?
The outlook for Marathon Petroleum based on current data: the average analyst price target is $303.89 (+1.4%); the stock is in an uptrend (above SMA50 and SMA200); the P/E ratio is 20.2 (moderate). Keep in mind that stock prices are affected by many factors, including earnings reports, the economy and market sentiment. Past returns are no guarantee of future returns.
Why is Marathon Petroleum stock falling?
Marathon Petroleum is falling right now. The technical indicators show: the price is 2.3% below the 20-day average; insiders have mostly been selling the stock recently. For the latest context, see our technical analysis, insider section and news overview above.
How high can Marathon Petroleum go?
The average analyst price target for Marathon Petroleum is $303.89, which corresponds to a potential gain of 1.4% from the current price of $299.66. Keep in mind that price targets are estimates, not guarantees. Actual price moves depend on earnings, market conditions and unexpected events.
How low can Marathon Petroleum fall?
We lack enough history to give a specific floor for Marathon Petroleum. Remember: past price swings are no guarantee for the future — a stock can fall further than the last 52 weeks suggest, especially on profit warnings, sector crises or a market crash. Use stop-loss orders and spread your portfolio to limit losses in single stocks.
What does Marathon Petroleum do?
Marathon Petroleum Corporation, eller mpc.us, driver en integreret energiforretning primært i USA. De tjener penge på to hovedområder: raffinering og markedsføring samt midtstrøm. Raffineringsdelen laver råolie om til færdige produkter på deres anlæg langs Golfkysten og Vestky... The company belongs to the Energi sector, more specifically the Olie & gas | salg & marketing industry, is headquartered in USA, and is traded on the USA Stocks. See the key figures, earnings history and price development above to evaluate Marathon Petroleum as an investment.
Did Marathon Petroleum raise or lower its guidance?
Over the last 60 days we have not registered a guidance raise or cut from Marathon Petroleum. The company can still adjust its guidance at quarterly reports or between reports — see the earnings history and the news overview above.
Is Marathon Petroleum making money or losing money?
Yes, Marathon Petroleum is making money, not losing it. The company has a profit margin (the share of revenue left over as profit) of 3.4% — which is modest. The operating margin (profit before interest and taxes) is 3.6%. At a P/E ratio of 20.2, you currently pay 20.2 dollars for every dollar of the company's annual earnings. A consistently profitable company is usually more resilient than growth stocks that are not yet making money.
Can Marathon Petroleum go bankrupt?
The bankruptcy risk of Marathon Petroleum is rated as low. Altman Z2 (a model for assessing financial distress) is 3.33 — that places the company in the healthy zone. The company has a healthy balance sheet with limited debt relative to earnings and assets. The Piotroski score (financial health 0-9, higher is better) is 9 — which is strong. Debt relative to equity is 306% (high). Remember: models like Altman Z2 are statistical — unexpected shocks (fraud, a sector collapse, lawsuits) can always happen. Spread your portfolio.
Does Marathon Petroleum have a lot of debt?
Yes, Marathon Petroleum has elevated debt relative to equity. The debt-to-equity ratio (D/E — interest-bearing debt to equity) is 306%. For the energi sector, anything above 150% counts as elevated — that raises the financial risk, especially if interest rates rise or earnings fall. Note: D/E levels are highly sector-specific — a bank at 300% debt is normal, a tech stock at 300% is extremely leveraged. Always compare with similar companies in the same sector. Can Marathon Petroleum service its debt? Can service its debt without problems — the interest coverage ratio (how many times earnings can cover interest payments) is 17.1x, and net debt equals 2.6 years of earnings (EBITDA).