MP Materials (MP.US) Price Target 2026/2027: 60% Upside – Rating and Stock Analysis

48,41
1,04%
Price history for MP Materials (MP.US) – stock price at 48.41 $, August 2026
MP Materials stock price – price development 2026. Updated Aug 6, 2026.
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MP Materials Price Target 2026: Analysts See 61% Upside

The average price target for MP Materials is $77.78. This price target represents the analysts' view of the stock price over the next 12 months. The stock may be undervalued, because the price target is higher than the current price. The stock is 60,67% below the target, which can point to potential returns within the next 12 months if the analysts' view proves right. Also consider the stock's valuation ratios such as P/E, P/S and P/B, plus the technical analysis further down the page, for the full picture.

Is MP Materials overvalued or undervalued?

MP Materials is currently undervalued with a gap of 60.7% relative to the price target.


The current price is $48.41, which places MP Materials in the undervalued category. The stock is considered undervalued when the price is below $70.00, and overvalued when the price exceeds $85.56.


The fair value range is defined as ±10% of the price target, because price targets are estimates rather than exact values. For MP Materials, the fair value range lies between $70.00 and $85.56.


See the full price target analysis for MP Materials →

Analyst Ratings for MP Materials stock in 2026: Buy

9 analysts cover MP Materials. The majority is positive, with 77.8% recommending Buy, while 22.2% recommend Hold. The average price target is $77.78, which gives an upside of 60.7% from the current price.

Consensus: Buy (4.44/5)
Strong Buy
6 (66.7%)
Buy
1 (11.1%)
Hold
2 (22.2%)
Strong Sell Sell Hold Buy Strong Buy
4.44 out of 5 based on 9 analysts

About MP Materials – Andet industriel metal & minedrift

MP Materials producerer sjældne jordarter, primært i den vestlige verden. De driver to hovedområder: Materialer og Magneter. Materialedelen ejer og driver Mountain Pass Rare Earth Mine i Californien, hvor de udvinder og forarbejder disse vigtige mineraler. Det er deres kerneforretning. Derudover laver MP Materials også magnetiske forstadieprodukter i deres Magnetics-segment. Disse produkter bruges ofte i højteknologiske komponenter. Virksomheden blev etableret i 2017 og har hovedkvarter i Las Vegas, Nevada. MP Materials er en central spiller, når det kommer til at sikre forsyningen af sjældne jordarter uden for Asien. De fokuserer på at levere de nødvendige råmaterialer til den grønne omstilling. Read more about the company

Key Figures for MP Materials

$ 8,5B Market cap
$ 348M Revenue
Andet industriel metal & minedrift Industry
- P/E
24.31 P/S
3.74 P/B
USA Listed on exchange

What kind of stock is MP Materials?

Speculative stock

MP Materials is classified as a speculative stock.

Score Overview for MP Materials

💰 Value Score 13/100 (Very Low)
⭐ Quality Score 23/100 (Low)
🚀 Momentum Score 12/100 (Very Low)
📊 Total Score 16/100

⚠️ 4 red flags identified 2 critical

Our analysis has identified 4 potential risk factors in MP Materials that investors should be aware of.

🚨 Negative profit margin: The profit margin is -20.5% – the company is losing money on its operations.
⚠️ Negative return on equity: ROE is -4.2% – the company is generating a negative return for shareholders.
⚠️ High short interest: 17.4% of the shares are sold short – many professional investors are betting on price declines.
🚨 Falling earnings: Quarterly earnings have fallen 56% year over year – the company's profitability is under pressure.

📈 Valuation

The P/S ratio is 24.3 (high — the market pays a premium for the revenue). The P/B ratio is 3.7.

💵 Profitability & Growth

The latest quarterly earnings grew -55.6% year over year — falling earnings.

🏦 Financial Health

The Piotroski score is 5 out of 9 — average financial health. Altman Z2 is 4.76 (healthy balance sheet — low risk). The debt-to-equity ratio (D/E) is 121.2% — moderate debt.

🚀 Momentum & Short Interest

Short interest is 17.36% — very high, the market is skeptical.

Insider Trading in MP Materials 2026: The Signal Is mostly negative

In 2026, insiders at MP Materials have made 20 transactions – split into 2 purchases and 18 sales. On a net basis, insiders took 56,222,017 $ out of the stock. Active insiders include Rosenthal Michael Stuart, Litinsky James H., Hoops Elliot Dean and others. In the short term (last 3 months), the insider signal is mostly negative.

Short-Term Signal (3 months): Mostly negative

Insiders have sold more than they have bought over the last 3 months.

Over the last 3 months: 2 purchases and 6 sales. A net 8,771,120 $ out of the stock.

Long-Term Signal (all transactions): Mostly negative

Insiders have sold considerably more than they have bought. At large companies this can be due to planned sales (10b5-1 plans) and is not necessarily a negative signal.

Across the last 20 transactions: 2 purchases and 18 sales. A net 56,222,017 $ out of the stock.

Latest purchase: Rosenthal Michael Stuart bought 10,000 shares at 54 $ each on 2026-06-09. The stock has since fallen 11.8%.

Latest sale: Litinsky James H. sold 11,740 shares at 69 $ each on 2026-06-03.

Who is buying: Rosenthal Michael Stuart.

Who is selling: Litinsky James H., Hoops Elliot Dean, Corbett Ryan, James H Litinsky, Infuso David Gregory and others.

Latest Insider Trades in MP Materials (2026)

The table shows the last 20 reported insider transactions in MP Materials. Green rows are purchases, red rows are sales. The data is based on official filings.

Transaction date Name Type Number of shares Price per share ($) Total amount ($)
2026-06-09 Rosenthal Michael Stuart Buy 10,000 54 543,000
2026-06-03 Litinsky James H. Sell 11,740 69 805,951
2026-05-29 Litinsky James H. Sell 1,950 65 125,892
2026-05-28 Litinsky James H. Sell 6,710 65 433,936
2026-05-27 Litinsky James H. Sell 23,113 65 1,506,968
2026-05-20 Rosenthal Michael Stuart Buy 17,000 57 962,540
2026-05-13 Litinsky James H. Sell 93,959 65 6,100,758
2026-05-12 Litinsky James H. Sell 19,844 66 1,303,155
2026-05-08 Hoops Elliot Dean Sell 6,958 75 521,850
2026-05-08 Corbett Ryan Sell 20,000 75 1,500,000

Who is buying and selling MP Materials shares in 2026?

The following insiders have bought shares in MP Materials: Rosenthal Michael Stuart. In total, 1,505,540 $ was bought across 2 transactions. The following insiders have sold shares: Litinsky James H., Hoops Elliot Dean, Corbett Ryan, James H Litinsky, Infuso David Gregory and others. In total, 57,727,557 $ was sold across 18 transactions. Insider trades are legal transactions in which executives and board members buy or sell shares of their own company. These transactions are reported to the SEC and are publicly available.

MP Materials Short Selling 2026: 17.4% Sold Short

Very high short interest: 17.4% of the free float
Short % of free float
17.4%
Assessment
Very high short interest
Short squeeze risk
High
Data source
SEC
Updated daily
The stock has a very high share of short selling. Between 10-20% of the freely traded shares are sold short, which points to considerable bearish sentiment. A positive earnings report or unexpectedly good news can trigger a short squeeze with sharp price gains.

What does this mean for you as an investor?
A short interest of 17.4% means that 17.4% of the freely traded shares in MP Materials have been borrowed and sold by investors betting on falling prices. On positive surprises (e.g. a strong earnings report), short sellers can be forced to buy back shares quickly to close their positions, which can cause a short squeeze with sharp price gains in a short time.

The next potential catalyst is the earnings report on 8/6/2026. With a short interest of 17.4%, the report can trigger considerable volatility.

Data is updated daily based on official filings with the SEC.
Short Interest Scale
0% 2% 5% 10% 20%+
Low Moderate High Very High Extreme
17.4%

MP Materials Earnings – ⚡ Reporting TODAY 8/6/2026

The next earnings date for MP Materials is not yet available. Check the company's investor calendar for more information.



Technical Analysis of MP Materials 2026 – Signal: Strong Sell

Overall Technical Signal: Strong Sell

Based on trend analysis (SMA50/SMA200) and MACD trend (positive/negative on a daily + weekly basis). Updated August 6, 2026.

Technical analysis of MP Materials (MP.US) – RSI 51, MACD negative (bearish), daily candlestick chart August 2026
MP Materials technical analysis – candlestick chart with RSI and MACD. Updated Aug 6, 2026.

Trend Analysis of MP Materials Corp

MP Materials Corp is in a short-term uptrend. The price of $47.91 is 5.0% above the 20-day average ($45.64). Medium term, the picture is negative: the price is 10.9% below the 50-day average ($53.77). Long term, the stock is 18.2% below the 200-day average ($58.55), which signals a long-term downtrend.

Death Cross: The 50-day average (53.77) is below the 200-day average (58.55), which is a classic bearish signal for MP Materials Corp.

Is MP Materials Corp overbought or oversold?

MP Materials Corp has an RSI of 50.6, right in the middle of the neutral zone. There is no clear buying or selling pressure.

MACD Analysis for MP Materials Corp

Daily MACD: MACD is negative (-2.611), which means the short-term trend is bearish (the 12-day EMA is below the 26-day EMA). MACD is above the signal line (-3.439) by 0.828, which suggests the negative momentum is fading – a potential trend reversal could be ahead.

Weekly MACD: MACD5 is negative (-3.304), which indicates a broader bearish long-term trend. MACD5 is below the signal line (-0.945) by 2.359, which confirms continued negative long-term momentum.

Overall MACD assessment: Both the daily and weekly trend are bearish (MACD negative). However, momentum shows signs of improving on a daily basis – a potential trend reversal could be ahead, but it is not confirmed yet.

Risk Profile for MP Materials Corp

MP Materials Corp has an annual standard deviation of 75.2%, which classifies the stock as extreme risk. Only risk-tolerant investors should consider this stock, because the price swings can be very large.

Overall Technical Conclusion for MP Materials Corp

Trend: Negative. The price trades below SMA50 and SMA200.

MACD trend (zero line): Daily bearish (-2.611). Weekly bearish (-3.304).

MACD momentum (signal): Daily rising. Weekly falling.

RSI: 50.6 – neutral.

Technical signal: Strong Sell

The price is in a downtrend (below SMA50/SMA200) and MACD is negative on both a daily and weekly basis. Avoid buying and consider closing existing positions.

Frequently Asked Questions About MP Materials stock in 2026

Should you buy MP Materials stock now?
No, the technical signal for MP Materials is currently SELL. MP Materials trades at $48.41 as of 8/6/2026. The overall technical signal is: Strong Sell. The technical analysis shows the following: MACD is negative (bearish trend) at -2.611 with rising momentum (signal: -3.439); RSI is at 50.6 (neutral zone); the stock is in a short-term uptrend (price above the 20-day average); the analyst price target of $77.78 points to 60.7% upside. The stock is in a broader downtrend (below SMA50/SMA200). Buying in a downtrend is generally not recommended. This is a technical observation based on current data, not investment advice.
What is the price target for MP Materials stock?
The average analyst price target for MP Materials is $77.78. The current price is $48.41, which gives an upside of 60.7%. Based on this, the stock is considered undervalued. The fair value range (±10% of the price target) is between $70.00 and $85.56.
Is MP Materials a dividend stock?
No, MP Materials does not currently pay a dividend to shareholders. The company reinvests its profits in growth instead of paying dividends.
What is the risk of MP Materials stock?
MP Materials is rated as a stock with extreme risk. the annual standard deviation is 75.2%, which classifies the stock as extreme risk.
Is MP Materials overvalued?
No, MP Materials is considered undervalued based on the analyst price target (60.7% upside). MP Materials has the following valuation ratios: a P/S ratio of 24.3, a P/B ratio of 3.7. The analyst price target suggests that the stock is undervalued by 60.7%.
Is MP Materials overbought?
No, MP Materials is not overbought. RSI is at 50.6 (neutral zone). The technical indicators show: RSI is at 50.6 (neutral zone between 30-70), which signals neither overbought nor oversold. In addition, the price is 6.1% above the 20-day average (short-term uptrend). In addition, MACD is negative, but momentum is rising (possible trend reversal).
When is the next MP Materials earnings report?
MP Materials reports earnings TODAY, August 6, 2026! The stock currently trades at $48.41. Watch how the price reacts after the release.
Is MP Materials shorted?
Yes, MP Materials is shorted with 17.4% of the free float sold short. This is a very high level of short selling, which points to considerable bearish sentiment. A positive earnings report or unexpectedly good news can trigger a short squeeze with sharp price gains. Data is updated daily based on official filings with the SEC.
Are insiders buying MP Materials stock?
No, insiders are not buying MP Materials shares – they are net sellers. Over the last 3 months, insiders have made 2 purchases and 6 sales. On a net basis, 8,771,120 $ worth of shares were sold. Across the last 20 reported transactions, the split is 2 purchases and 18 sales, with a net 56,222,017 $ sold. Active sellers include Litinsky James H., Hoops Elliot Dean, Corbett Ryan and others. Insider selling can have several explanations (e.g. planned 10b5-1 sales, portfolio diversification or taxes), but sustained selling by several insiders is worth watching closely.
Is MP Materials a good stock?
Based on our total score, MP Materials is rated as a disastrous stock with a total score of 16 out of 100. The stock scores very low on value, quality and momentum – it is among the worst in our database. The score is made up of Value: 13/100, Quality: 23/100, Momentum: 12/100. In addition: analysts see 60.7% upside to the price target; technical signal: Strong Sell. Whether MP Materials is a good investment depends on your time horizon, risk profile and portfolio. This is a data-driven observation, not investment advice.
What is the outlook for MP Materials stock?
The outlook for MP Materials based on current data: the average analyst price target is $77.78 (+60.7%); the stock is in a downtrend (below SMA50 and SMA200); the next earnings report is due on 8/6/2026, which can move the price. Keep in mind that stock prices are affected by many factors, including earnings reports, the economy and market sentiment. Past returns are no guarantee of future returns.
Why is MP Materials stock rising?
MP Materials is rising right now. The technical indicators show: the price is 6.1% above the 20-day average; short interest is 17.4% (high – many are betting on a decline); insiders have mostly been selling the stock recently. For the latest context, see our technical analysis, insider section and news overview above.
How high can MP Materials go?
The average analyst price target for MP Materials is $77.78, which corresponds to a potential gain of 60.7% from the current price of $48.41. Keep in mind that price targets are estimates, not guarantees. Actual price moves depend on earnings, market conditions and unexpected events.
How low can MP Materials fall?
We lack enough history to give a specific floor for MP Materials. Remember: past price swings are no guarantee for the future — a stock can fall further than the last 52 weeks suggest, especially on profit warnings, sector crises or a market crash. Use stop-loss orders and spread your portfolio to limit losses in single stocks.
What does MP Materials do?
MP Materials producerer sjældne jordarter, primært i den vestlige verden. De driver to hovedområder: Materialer og Magneter. Materialedelen ejer og driver Mountain Pass Rare Earth Mine i Californien, hvor de udvinder og forarbejder disse vigtige mineraler. Det er deres kernef... The company belongs to the Materialer sector, more specifically the Andet industriel metal & minedrift industry, is headquartered in USA, and is traded on the USA Stocks. See the key figures, earnings history and price development above to evaluate MP Materials as an investment.
Did MP Materials raise or lower its guidance?
Over the last 60 days we have not registered a guidance raise or cut from MP Materials. The company can still adjust its guidance at quarterly reports or between reports — see the earnings history and the news overview above.
Is MP Materials making money or losing money?
No, MP Materials is currently not making money — the company is losing money with a negative profit margin of -20.5%, a substantial loss. That means the business loses money on every dollar of revenue. For growth stocks investing in expansion this is normal — but it raises the risk if the company does not reach break-even before its capital runs out.
Can MP Materials go bankrupt?
The bankruptcy risk of MP Materials is rated as low. Altman Z2 (a model for assessing financial distress) is 4.76 — that places the company in the healthy zone. The company has a healthy balance sheet with limited debt relative to earnings and assets. The Piotroski score (financial health 0-9, higher is better) is 5 — which is average. Debt relative to equity is 121% (moderate). Remember: models like Altman Z2 are statistical — unexpected shocks (fraud, a sector collapse, lawsuits) can always happen. Spread your portfolio.
Does MP Materials have a lot of debt?
MP Materials has moderate debt relative to equity. The debt-to-equity ratio (D/E — interest-bearing debt to equity) is 121%. For the materialer sector, 80-150% counts as a typical level. Note: D/E levels are highly sector-specific — a bank at 300% debt is normal, a tech stock at 300% is extremely leveraged. Always compare with similar companies in the same sector.