MP Materials (MP.US) Price Target 2026/2027: 50% Upside – Rating and Stock Analysis

48.50
Price history for MP Materials (MP.US) – stock price at $48.50, October 2026
MP Materials stock price – price development 2026. Updated Oct 7, 2026.
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MP Materials Price Target 2026: Analysts See 51% Upside

The average price target for MP Materials is $73.41. This price target represents the analysts' view of the stock price over the next 12 months. The stock may be undervalued, because the price target is higher than the current price. The stock is 51.36% below the target, which can point to potential returns within the next 12 months if the analysts' view proves right. Also consider the stock's valuation ratios such as P/E, P/S and P/B, plus the technical analysis further down the page, for the full picture.

Is MP Materials overvalued or undervalued?

MP Materials is currently undervalued with a gap of 51.4% relative to the price target.


The current price is $48.50, which places MP Materials in the undervalued category. The stock is considered undervalued when the price is below $66.07, and overvalued when the price exceeds $80.75.


The fair value range is defined as ±10% of the price target, because price targets are estimates rather than exact values. For MP Materials, the fair value range lies between $66.07 and $80.75.


See the full price target analysis for MP Materials →

Analyst Ratings for MP Materials stock in 2026: Strong Buy

19 analysts cover MP Materials. There is broad agreement on a positive view — 94.7% recommend buying. The average price target is $73.41, which gives an upside of 51.4% from the current price.

Consensus: Strong Buy (4.63/5)
Strong Buy
13 (68.4%)
Buy
5 (26.3%)
Hold
1 (5.3%)
Strong Sell Sell Hold Buy Strong Buy
4.63 out of 5 based on 19 analysts

About MP Materials – Other Industrial Metals & Mining

MP Materials mines and processes rare earth elements, mainly for markets outside Asia. The company makes money by digging up these minerals and turning them into materials used in high-tech products, including magnets.

The company runs two main parts of its business: Materials and Magnetics.

The Materials part owns and runs the Mountain Pass Rare Earth Mine in California. This is where MP Materials digs up rare earth minerals and processes them. This is the company's main source of income.

The Magnetics part makes magnet precursor products. These are materials that get turned into magnets later in the production process. Such magnets are often used in advanced technical equipment.

MP Materials was founded in 2017. The company is based in Las Vegas, Nevada, in the United States.

The company plays an important role in supplying rare earth minerals from outside Asia. Rare earth minerals are used in many modern products, including equipment needed for clean energy technology. MP Materials focuses on providing these raw materials for that purpose.
Read more about the company

Key Figures for MP Materials

$8.4B Market cap
$416M Revenue
Other Industrial Metals & Mining Industry
- P/E
20.10 P/S
4.45 P/B
United States Listed on exchange

What kind of stock is MP Materials?

Speculative stock

MP Materials is classified as a speculative stock.

Score Overview for MP Materials

💰 Value Score 12/100 (Very Low)
⭐ Quality Score 27/100 (Low)
🚀 Momentum Score 16/100 (Very Low)
📊 Total Score 18/100

⚠️ 4 red flags identified 2 critical

Our analysis has identified 4 potential risk factors in MP Materials that investors should be aware of.

⚠️ Negative profit margin: The profit margin is -14.6% – the company is losing money on its operations.
⚠️ Negative return on equity: ROE is -3.6% – the company is generating a negative return for shareholders.
🚨 High short interest: 20.5% of the shares are sold short – many professional investors are betting on price declines.
🚨 Falling earnings: Quarterly earnings have fallen 56% year over year – the company's profitability is under pressure.

📈 Valuation

The P/S ratio is 20.1 (high — the market pays a premium for the revenue). The P/B ratio is 4.4.

💵 Profitability & Growth

The latest quarterly earnings grew -55.6% year over year — falling earnings.

🏦 Financial Health

The Piotroski score is 6 out of 9 — good financial health. Altman Z2 is 4.00 (healthy balance sheet — low risk). The debt-to-equity ratio (D/E) is 121.2% — moderate debt.

🚀 Momentum & Short Interest

Short interest is 20.50% — very high, the market is skeptical.

Insider Trading in MP Materials 2026: The Signal Is mostly negative

In 2026, insiders at MP Materials have made 20 transactions – split into 2 purchases and 18 sales. On a net basis, insiders took $91,086,672 out of the stock. Active insiders include Rosenthal Michael Stuart, Litinsky James H., Hoops Elliot Dean and others.

Short-Term Signal (3 months): No activity

There has been no insider trading in the last 3 months.

Long-Term Signal (all transactions): Mostly negative

Insiders have sold considerably more than they have bought. At large companies this can be due to planned sales (10b5-1 plans) and is not necessarily a negative signal.

Across the last 20 transactions: 2 purchases and 18 sales. A net $91,086,672 out of the stock.

Latest purchase: Rosenthal Michael Stuart bought 10,000 shares at $54.30 each on 2026-06-09. The stock has since fallen 10.6%.

Latest sale: Litinsky James H. sold 11,740 shares at $68.65 each on 2026-06-03.

Who is buying: Rosenthal Michael Stuart.

Who is selling: Litinsky James H., Hoops Elliot Dean, Corbett Ryan, James H Litinsky, Ryan Corbett.

Latest Insider Trades in MP Materials (2026)

The table shows the last 20 reported insider transactions in MP Materials. Green rows are purchases, red rows are sales. The data is based on official filings.

Transaction date Name Type Number of shares Price per share ($) Total amount ($)
2026-06-09 Rosenthal Michael Stuart Buy 10,000 54 543,000
2026-06-03 Litinsky James H. Sell 11,740 69 805,951
2026-05-29 Litinsky James H. Sell 1,950 65 125,892
2026-05-28 Litinsky James H. Sell 6,710 65 433,936
2026-05-27 Litinsky James H. Sell 23,113 65 1,506,968
2026-05-20 Rosenthal Michael Stuart Buy 17,000 57 962,540
2026-05-13 Litinsky James H. Sell 93,959 65 6,100,758
2026-05-12 Litinsky James H. Sell 19,844 66 1,303,155
2026-05-08 Hoops Elliot Dean Sell 6,958 75 521,850
2026-05-08 Corbett Ryan Sell 20,000 75 1,500,000

Who is buying and selling MP Materials shares in 2026?

The following insiders have bought shares in MP Materials: Rosenthal Michael Stuart. In total, $1,505,540 was bought across 2 transactions. The following insiders have sold shares: Litinsky James H., Hoops Elliot Dean, Corbett Ryan, James H Litinsky, Ryan Corbett. In total, $92,592,212 was sold across 18 transactions. Insider trades are legal transactions in which executives and board members buy or sell shares of their own company. These transactions are reported to the SEC and are publicly available.

MP Materials Short Selling 2026: 20.5% Sold Short

Extremely shorted: 20.5% of the free float
Short % of free float
20.5%
Assessment
Extremely shorted
Short squeeze risk
Very High
Data source
EODHD
Reported about twice a month

Short interest over time: MP Materials

0.0%11.8%23.6%
5/307/299/28
20.5% today (extremely high)Last 30 days: +2.7 percentage pointsMeasured over 121 days
What does the trend tell you?
Short interest is rising. It is up 2.7 percentage points over the last month and now stands at 20.5%. More investors have borrowed MP Materials and sold it, expecting the price to fall.

It cuts both ways: if they are wrong and the price rises, they have to buy the share back — and those purchases can push the price up further on their own. That is called a short squeeze. That is not in itself a signal about what the price will do — we cannot predict the market, and short interest is only one number among many. But it does say something about what the large players are doing.
The stock has an extremely high share of short selling. More than 20% of the freely traded shares are sold short, which is unusual and can point to great skepticism among institutional investors. The risk of a short squeeze on positive news is considerable.

What does this mean for you as an investor?
A short interest of 20.5% means that 20.5% of the freely traded shares in MP Materials have been borrowed and sold by investors betting on falling prices. On positive surprises (e.g. a strong earnings report), short sellers can be forced to buy back shares quickly to close their positions, which can cause a short squeeze with sharp price gains in a short time.

The next potential catalyst is the earnings report on Nov 5, 2026. With a short interest of 20.5%, the report can trigger considerable volatility.

Short interest comes from our data provider EODHD. The figure is reported about twice a month; we check it every trading day.
Short Interest Scale
0% 2% 5% 10% 20%+
Low Moderate High Very High Extreme
▲
20.5%

When Does MP Materials Report Earnings – Next Date: Nov 5, 2026

The next earnings report from MP Materials is scheduled for November 5, 2026, after the market closes. This report covers the third quarter (Q3), which ended on September 30, 2026.



Technical Analysis of MP Materials 2026 – Signal: Strong Sell

Overall Technical Signal: Strong Sell

Based on trend analysis (SMA50/SMA200) and MACD trend (positive/negative on a daily + weekly basis). Updated October 7, 2026.

Technical analysis of MP Materials (MP.US) – RSI 47, MACD negative (bearish), daily candlestick chart October 2026
MP Materials technical analysis – candlestick chart with RSI, MACD and volume profile. Updated Oct 7, 2026.

Trend Analysis of MP Materials Corp

MP Materials Corp is in a short-term downtrend. The price of $48.53 is 0.7% below the 20-day average ($48.86). Medium term, the picture is negative: the price is 5.3% below the 50-day average ($51.24). Long term, the stock is 14.4% below the 200-day average ($56.67), which signals a long-term downtrend.

Death Cross: The 50-day average (51.24) is below the 200-day average (56.67), which is a classic bearish signal for MP Materials Corp.

Is MP Materials Corp overbought or oversold?

MP Materials Corp has an RSI of 46.7, right in the middle of the neutral zone. There is no clear buying or selling pressure.

MACD Analysis for MP Materials Corp

Daily MACD: MACD is negative (-1.559), which means the short-term trend is bearish (the 12-day EMA is below the 26-day EMA). MACD is below the signal line (-1.524) by 0.035, which confirms growing negative momentum in the downtrend.

Weekly MACD: MACD5 is negative (-2.355), which indicates a broader bearish long-term trend. MACD5 is below the signal line (-1.833) by 0.522, which confirms continued negative long-term momentum.

Overall MACD assessment: Both the daily and weekly MACD are negative and below their signal lines. Trend and momentum are negative across time horizons – the strongest bearish signal.

Risk Profile for MP Materials Corp

MP Materials Corp has an annual standard deviation of 74.9%, which classifies the stock as Extremely speculative. Only risk-tolerant investors should consider this stock, because the price swings can be very large.

Overall Technical Conclusion for MP Materials Corp

Trend: Negative. The price trades below SMA50 and SMA200.

MACD trend (zero line): Daily bearish (-1.559). Weekly bearish (-2.355).

MACD momentum (signal): Daily falling. Weekly falling.

RSI: 46.7 – neutral.

Technical signal: Strong Sell

The price is in a downtrend (below SMA50/SMA200) and MACD is negative on both a daily and weekly basis. Avoid buying and consider closing existing positions.

Frequently Asked Questions About MP Materials stock in 2026

Should you buy MP Materials stock now?
No, the technical signal for MP Materials is currently Strong Sell. MP Materials trades at $48.50 as of Oct 7, 2026. The technical analysis shows the following: MACD is negative (bearish trend) at -1.559 with falling momentum (signal: -1.524); RSI is at 46.7 (neutral zone); the stock is in a short-term downtrend (price below the 20-day average); the analyst price target of $73.41 points to 51.4% upside. The stock is in a broader downtrend (below SMA50/SMA200). Buying in a downtrend is generally not recommended. This is a technical observation based on current data, not investment advice.
What is the price target for MP Materials stock?
The average analyst price target for MP Materials is $73.41. The current price is $48.50, which gives an upside of 51.4%. Based on this, the stock is considered undervalued. The fair value range (±10% of the price target) is between $66.07 and $80.75.
Is MP Materials a dividend stock?
No, MP Materials does not currently pay a dividend to shareholders. The company reinvests its profits in growth instead of paying dividends.
What is the risk of MP Materials stock?
MP Materials is rated as a stock in the risk category Extremely speculative. the annual standard deviation is 74.9%, which classifies the stock as Extremely speculative.
Is MP Materials overvalued?
No, MP Materials is considered undervalued based on the analyst price target (51.4% upside). MP Materials has the following valuation ratios: a P/S ratio of 20.1, a P/B ratio of 4.4. The analyst price target suggests that the stock is undervalued by 51.4%.
Is MP Materials overbought?
No, MP Materials is not overbought. RSI is at 46.7 (neutral zone). The technical indicators show: RSI is at 46.7 (neutral zone between 30-70), which signals neither overbought nor oversold. In addition, the price is 0.7% below the 20-day average (short-term downtrend). In addition, MACD is negative with falling momentum (bearish).
When is the next MP Materials earnings report?
MP Materials reports its next earnings on November 5, 2026. The stock currently trades at $48.50.
Is MP Materials shorted?
Yes, MP Materials is shorted with 20.5% of the free float sold short. This is an extremely high level of short selling, which points to great skepticism among institutional investors. The risk of a short squeeze on positive news or earnings is very high. The figure comes from our data provider EODHD, is reported about twice a month, and we check it every trading day.
Are insiders buying MP Materials stock?
No, insiders are not buying MP Materials shares – they are net sellers. Across the last 20 reported transactions, the split is 2 purchases and 18 sales, with a net 91,086,672 $ sold. Active sellers include Litinsky James H., Hoops Elliot Dean, Corbett Ryan and others. Insider selling can have several explanations (e.g. planned 10b5-1 sales, portfolio diversification or taxes), but sustained selling by several insiders is worth watching closely.
Is MP Materials a good stock?
Based on our total score, MP Materials is rated as a disastrous stock with a total score of 18 out of 100. The stock scores very low on value, quality and momentum – it is among the worst in our database. The score is made up of Value: 12/100, Quality: 27/100, Momentum: 16/100. In addition: analysts see 51.4% upside to the price target; technical signal: Strong Sell. Whether MP Materials is a good investment depends on your time horizon, risk profile and portfolio. This is a data-driven observation, not investment advice.
What is the outlook for MP Materials stock?
The outlook for MP Materials based on current data: the average analyst price target is $73.41 (+51.4%); the stock is in a downtrend (below SMA50 and SMA200); the next earnings report is due on Nov 5, 2026, which can move the price. Keep in mind that stock prices are affected by many factors, including earnings reports, the economy and market sentiment. Past returns are no guarantee of future returns.
Why is MP Materials stock moving?
MP Materials is stable right now. The technical indicators show: the price is close to the 20-day average; MACD is negative with falling momentum (bearish signal); short interest is 20.5% (high – many are betting on a decline); insiders have mostly been selling the stock recently. For the latest context, see our technical analysis and insider section above.
How high can MP Materials go?
The average analyst price target for MP Materials is $73.41, which corresponds to a potential gain of 51.4% from the current price of $48.50. The stock has traded between $37.81 and $100.25 over the last 52 weeks. The price is 51.6% below the 52-week high, which can indicate potential if the underlying fundamentals are intact. Keep in mind that price targets are estimates, not guarantees. Actual price moves depend on earnings, market conditions and unexpected events.
How low can MP Materials fall?
The stock has traded as low as $37.81 over the last 52 weeks — that is 22.0% below the current price of $48.50. The biggest decline (drawdown) in the same period was 62.3% from high to low. Within a year, the price typically swings about ±74.9% (standard deviation — a measure of price swings). A difficult year could therefore mean a further decline of that size. Remember: past price swings are no guarantee for the future — a stock can fall further than the last 52 weeks suggest, especially on profit warnings, sector crises or a market crash. Use stop-loss orders and spread your portfolio to limit losses in single stocks.
What does MP Materials do?
MP Materials mines and processes rare earth elements, mainly for markets outside Asia. The company makes money by digging up these minerals and turning them into materials used in high-tech products, including magnets. The company runs two main parts of its business: Material... The company belongs to the Basic Materials sector, more specifically the Other Industrial Metals & Mining industry, is headquartered in United States, and is traded on the USA Stocks. See the key figures, earnings history and price development above to evaluate MP Materials as an investment.
Did MP Materials raise or lower its guidance?
Over the last 60 days we have not registered a guidance raise or cut from MP Materials. The company can still adjust its guidance at quarterly reports or between reports — see the earnings history above.
Is MP Materials making money or losing money?
No, MP Materials is currently not making money — the company is losing money with a negative profit margin of -14.6%, a noticeable loss. That means the business loses money on every dollar of revenue. For growth stocks investing in expansion this is normal — but it raises the risk if the company does not reach break-even before its capital runs out.
Can MP Materials go bankrupt?
The bankruptcy risk of MP Materials is rated as low. Altman Z2 (a model for assessing financial distress) is 4.00 — that places the company in the healthy zone. The company has a healthy balance sheet with limited debt relative to earnings and assets. The Piotroski score (financial health 0-9, higher is better) is 6 — which is average. Debt relative to equity is 121% (moderate). Remember: models like Altman Z2 are statistical — unexpected shocks (fraud, a sector collapse, lawsuits) can always happen. Spread your portfolio.
Does MP Materials have a lot of debt?
MP Materials has moderate debt relative to equity. The debt-to-equity ratio (D/E — interest-bearing debt to equity) is 121%. For the basic materials sector, 70-150% counts as a typical level. Commodity companies finance mines and plants with moderate debt — 70-150% is typical. Note: D/E levels are highly sector-specific — a bank at 300% debt is normal, a tech stock at 300% is extremely leveraged. Always compare with similar companies in the same sector. Can MP Materials service its debt? Could struggle to service its debt — the interest coverage ratio (how many times earnings can cover interest payments) is -2.0x, and net debt equals 12.4 years of earnings (EBITDA).

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