Lumentum (LITE.US) Price Target 2026/2027: 30% Upside – Rating and Stock Analysis

863,76
4,54%
Price history for Lumentum (LITE.US) – stock price at 863.76 $, August 2026
Lumentum stock price – price development 2026. Updated Aug 6, 2026.
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Lumentum Price Target 2026: Analysts See 28% Upside

The average price target for Lumentum is $1,104.89. This price target represents the analysts' view of the stock price over the next 12 months. The stock may be undervalued, because the price target is higher than the current price. The stock is 27,92% below the target, which can point to potential returns within the next 12 months if the analysts' view proves right. Also consider the stock's valuation ratios such as P/E, P/S and P/B, plus the technical analysis further down the page, for the full picture.

Is Lumentum overvalued or undervalued?

Lumentum is currently undervalued with a gap of 27.9% relative to the price target.


The current price is $863.76, which places Lumentum in the undervalued category. The stock is considered undervalued when the price is below $994.40, and overvalued when the price exceeds $1,215.38.


The fair value range is defined as ±10% of the price target, because price targets are estimates rather than exact values. For Lumentum, the fair value range lies between $994.40 and $1,215.38.


See the full price target analysis for Lumentum →

Analyst Ratings for Lumentum stock in 2026: Buy

16 analysts cover Lumentum. The majority is positive, with 75% recommending Buy, while 18.8% recommend Hold. The average price target is $1,104.89, which gives an upside of 27.9% from the current price.

Consensus: Buy (4.19/5)
Strong Buy
8 (50%)
Buy
4 (25%)
Hold
3 (18.8%)
Sell
1 (6.3%)
Strong Sell Sell Hold Buy Strong Buy
4.19 out of 5 based on 16 analysts

About Lumentum – Communication Equipment

Lumentum Holdings Inc. manufactures and sells optical and photonic products in the Americas, the Asia-Pacific, Europe, the Middle East, and Africa. It operates through two segments, Cloud & Networking and Industrial Tech. The Cloud & Networking segment offers optical and photonic chips, components, modules, and subsystems supplied to cloud data center operators, AI/ML infrastructure providers, and network equipment manufacturer customers that are building cloud data centers and network infrastructures. Its Industrial Tech segment provides short-pulse solid-state lasers, kilowatt-class fiber lasers, diode lasers, and gas lasers that serves the semiconductor device, solar cell, display, and electric vehicle and battery manufacturing markets. The company was incorporated in 2015 and is headquartered in San Jose, California. Read more about the company

Key Figures for Lumentum

$ 66,1B Market cap
$ 2,5B Revenue
Communication Equipment Industry
137.01 P/E
26.56 P/S
18.68 P/B
USA Listed on exchange

What kind of stock is Lumentum?

Growth stock Quality stock

Lumentum is classified as a growth stock and quality stock. This means the stock combines several attractive traits, strong financial health (Piotroski 7/9).

Score Overview for Lumentum

💰 Value Score 6/100 (Very Low)
⭐ Quality Score 74/100 (High)
🚀 Momentum Score 60/100 (High)
📊 Total Score 46/100

⚠️ 2 red flags identified 1 critical

Our analysis has identified 2 potential risk factors in Lumentum that investors should be aware of.

🚨 High debt: The debt-to-equity ratio is 311% – the company carries considerably more debt than equity, which raises the financial risk.
⚠️ High short interest: 12.5% of the shares are sold short – many professional investors are betting on price declines.

📈 Valuation

Lumentum trades at a P/E ratio of 137.0, which is above the market average. The forward P/E is 37.9 (72% lower), which suggests the market expects rising earnings. The P/S ratio is 26.6 (high — the market pays a premium for the revenue). The P/B ratio is 18.7. The PEG ratio is 0.63 — below 1.0 suggests the stock is cheap relative to its growth rate.

💵 Profitability & Growth

Lumentum has a profit margin of 17.7% (solid) and an operating margin of 21.8%. Return on equity (ROE) is 22.8% — excellent return on equity. Return on assets (ROA) is 2.9%. The latest quarterly earnings grew 71.1% year over year — strong growth.

🏦 Financial Health

The Piotroski score is 7 out of 9 — good financial health. Altman Z2 is 1.26 (middle zone — moderate). The debt-to-equity ratio (D/E) is 310.7% — high debt, which raises the risk.

🚀 Momentum & Short Interest

Short interest is 12.50% — very high, the market is skeptical.

Insider Trading in Lumentum 2026: The Signal Is negative

In 2026, insiders at Lumentum have made 20 transactions, all of which were sales. On a net basis, insiders took 47,754,453 $ out of the stock. Active insiders include Harris Isaac Hosojiro, Small Ian, Wupen Yuen and others. In the short term (last 3 months), the insider signal is negative.

Short-Term Signal (3 months): Negative

Insiders have exclusively sold shares over the last 3 months.

Over the last 3 months: 0 purchases and 16 sales. A net 41,680,234 $ out of the stock.

Long-Term Signal (all transactions): Negative

Insiders have exclusively sold shares in the recent period. This can suggest management sees limited opportunity.

Across the last 20 transactions: 0 purchases and 20 sales. A net 47,754,453 $ out of the stock.

Latest sale: Harris Isaac Hosojiro sold 1,416 shares at 1,000 $ each on 2026-06-02.

Who is selling: Harris Isaac Hosojiro, Small Ian, Wupen Yuen, Retort Vincent, Kim Jae and others.

Latest Insider Trades in Lumentum (2026)

The table shows the last 20 reported insider transactions in Lumentum. Green rows are purchases, red rows are sales. The data is based on official filings.

Transaction date Name Type Number of shares Price per share ($) Total amount ($)
2026-06-02 Harris Isaac Hosojiro Sell 1,416 1,000 1,416,113
2026-05-29 Harris Isaac Hosojiro Sell 4,000 860 3,440,000
2026-05-21 Small Ian Sell 4,954 868 4,300,419
2026-05-18 Wupen Yuen Sell 3,210 954 3,062,180
2026-05-18 Retort Vincent Sell 3,183 954 3,036,423
2026-05-18 Kim Jae Sell 1,422 954 1,356,517
2026-05-18 Ali Wajid Sell 2,487 954 2,372,474
2026-05-15 Wupen Yuen Sell 3,741 971 3,631,389
2026-05-15 Retort Vincent Sell 3,299 971 3,202,339
2026-05-15 Kim Jae Sell 1,416 971 1,374,511

Who is buying and selling Lumentum shares in 2026?

The following insiders have sold shares: Harris Isaac Hosojiro, Small Ian, Wupen Yuen, Retort Vincent, Kim Jae and others. In total, 47,754,453 $ was sold across 20 transactions. Insider trades are legal transactions in which executives and board members buy or sell shares of their own company. These transactions are reported to the SEC and are publicly available.

Lumentum Short Selling 2026: 12.5% Sold Short

Very high short interest: 12.5% of the free float
Short % of free float
12.5%
Assessment
Very high short interest
Short squeeze risk
High
Data source
SEC
Updated daily
The stock has a very high share of short selling. Between 10-20% of the freely traded shares are sold short, which points to considerable bearish sentiment. A positive earnings report or unexpectedly good news can trigger a short squeeze with sharp price gains.

What does this mean for you as an investor?
A short interest of 12.5% means that 12.5% of the freely traded shares in Lumentum have been borrowed and sold by investors betting on falling prices. On positive surprises (e.g. a strong earnings report), short sellers can be forced to buy back shares quickly to close their positions, which can cause a short squeeze with sharp price gains in a short time.

The next potential catalyst is the earnings report on 8/11/2026. With a short interest of 12.5%, the report can trigger considerable volatility.

Data is updated daily based on official filings with the SEC.
Short Interest Scale
0% 2% 5% 10% 20%+
Low Moderate High Very High Extreme
12.5%

When Does Lumentum Report Earnings – Next Date: 8/11/2026

The next earnings report from Lumentum is scheduled for August 11, 2026, after the market closes. This report covers the second quarter (Q2), which ended on June 30, 2026.



Technical Analysis of Lumentum 2026 – Signal: Buy

Overall Technical Signal: Buy

Based on trend analysis (SMA50/SMA200) and MACD trend (positive/negative on a daily + weekly basis). Updated August 6, 2026.

Technical analysis of Lumentum (LITE.US) – RSI 54, MACD negative (bearish), daily candlestick chart August 2026
Lumentum technical analysis – candlestick chart with RSI and MACD. Updated Aug 6, 2026.

Trend Analysis of Lumentum Holdings Inc

Lumentum Holdings Inc is in a short-term uptrend. The price of $826.26 is 8.6% above the 20-day average ($761.01). Medium term, the picture is positive: the price is 0.8% above the 50-day average ($819.67). Long term, the stock is 35.2% above the 200-day average ($611.05), which confirms a long-term uptrend.

Golden Cross: The 50-day average (819.67) is above the 200-day average (611.05), which is a classic bullish signal for Lumentum Holdings Inc.

Is Lumentum Holdings Inc overbought or oversold?

Lumentum Holdings Inc has an RSI of 54.3, right in the middle of the neutral zone. There is no clear buying or selling pressure.

MACD Analysis for Lumentum Holdings Inc

Daily MACD: MACD is negative (-11.274), which means the short-term trend is bearish (the 12-day EMA is below the 26-day EMA). MACD is above the signal line (-25.022) by 13.748, which suggests the negative momentum is fading – a potential trend reversal could be ahead.

Weekly MACD: MACD5 is positive (66.684), which indicates a broader bullish long-term trend. MACD5 is below the signal line (109.232) by 42.548, which suggests the long-term momentum is fading – the positive trend could come under pressure.

Overall MACD assessment: The daily and weekly MACD give conflicting signals. The long-term trend is bullish, but the short-term trend is bearish. Daily momentum is rising, though, which could suggest the pullback is over.

Risk Profile for Lumentum Holdings Inc

Lumentum Holdings Inc has an annual standard deviation of 93.8%, which classifies the stock as extreme risk. Only risk-tolerant investors should consider this stock, because the price swings can be very large.

Overall Technical Conclusion for Lumentum Holdings Inc

Trend: Positive. The price trades above SMA50 and SMA200.

MACD trend (zero line): Daily bearish (-11.274). Weekly bullish (66.684).

MACD momentum (signal): Daily rising. Weekly falling.

RSI: 54.3 – neutral.

Technical signal: Buy

The broader trend is positive and MACD supports the picture. Consider buying with a stop-loss below the nearest support level.

Frequently Asked Questions About Lumentum stock in 2026

Should you buy Lumentum stock now?
Yes, the technical signal for Lumentum is currently BUY. Lumentum trades at $863.76 as of 8/6/2026. The overall technical signal is: Buy. The technical analysis shows the following: MACD is negative (bearish trend) at -11.274 with rising momentum (signal: -25.022); RSI is at 54.3 (neutral zone); the stock is in a short-term uptrend (price above the 20-day average); the analyst price target of $1,104.89 points to 27.9% upside. The stock is in a broader uptrend (above SMA50/SMA200). This is a technical observation based on current data, not investment advice.
What is the price target for Lumentum stock?
The average analyst price target for Lumentum is $1,104.89. The current price is $863.76, which gives an upside of 27.9%. Based on this, the stock is considered undervalued. The fair value range (±10% of the price target) is between $994.40 and $1,215.38.
Is Lumentum a dividend stock?
No, Lumentum does not currently pay a dividend to shareholders. The company reinvests its profits in growth instead of paying dividends.
What is the risk of Lumentum stock?
Lumentum is rated as a stock with extreme risk. the annual standard deviation is 93.8%, which classifies the stock as extreme risk.
Is Lumentum overvalued?
No, Lumentum is considered undervalued based on the analyst price target (27.9% upside). Lumentum has the following valuation ratios: a P/E ratio of 137.0 (highly valued), a P/S ratio of 26.6, a P/B ratio of 18.7. The analyst price target suggests that the stock is undervalued by 27.9%.
Is Lumentum overbought?
No, Lumentum is not overbought. RSI is at 54.3 (neutral zone). The technical indicators show: RSI is at 54.3 (neutral zone between 30-70), which signals neither overbought nor oversold. In addition, the price is 13.5% above the 20-day average (short-term uptrend). In addition, MACD is negative, but momentum is rising (possible trend reversal).
When is the next Lumentum earnings report?
Lumentum reports its next earnings on August 11, 2026. The stock currently trades at $863.76. With a P/E ratio of 137.0, the market will be watching closely whether earnings meet expectations.
Is Lumentum shorted?
Yes, Lumentum is shorted with 12.5% of the free float sold short. This is a very high level of short selling, which points to considerable bearish sentiment. A positive earnings report or unexpectedly good news can trigger a short squeeze with sharp price gains. Data is updated daily based on official filings with the SEC.
Are insiders buying Lumentum stock?
No, insiders are not buying Lumentum shares – they are net sellers. Over the last 3 months, insiders have made 0 purchases and 16 sales. On a net basis, 41,680,234 $ worth of shares were sold. Across the last 20 reported transactions, the split is 0 purchases and 20 sales, with a net 47,754,453 $ sold. Active sellers include Harris Isaac Hosojiro, Small Ian, Wupen Yuen and others. Insider selling can have several explanations (e.g. planned 10b5-1 sales, portfolio diversification or taxes), but sustained selling by several insiders is worth watching closely.
Is Lumentum a good stock?
Based on our total score, Lumentum is rated as a mediocre stock with a total score of 47 out of 100. The stock scores around average on value, quality and momentum – it sits near the median in our database. The score is made up of Value: 6/100, Quality: 74/100, Momentum: 60/100. In addition: analysts see 27.9% upside to the price target; technical signal: Buy. Whether Lumentum is a good investment depends on your time horizon, risk profile and portfolio. This is a data-driven observation, not investment advice.
What is the outlook for Lumentum stock?
The outlook for Lumentum based on current data: the average analyst price target is $1,104.89 (+27.9%); the stock is in an uptrend (above SMA50 and SMA200); the next earnings report is due on 8/11/2026, which can move the price; the P/E ratio is 137.0 (high – the market expects growth). Keep in mind that stock prices are affected by many factors, including earnings reports, the economy and market sentiment. Past returns are no guarantee of future returns.
Why is Lumentum stock rising?
Lumentum is rising right now. The technical indicators show: the price is 13.5% above the 20-day average; short interest is 12.5% (high – many are betting on a decline); insiders have mostly been selling the stock recently. For the latest context, see our technical analysis, insider section and news overview above.
How high can Lumentum go?
The average analyst price target for Lumentum is $1,104.89, which corresponds to a potential gain of 27.9% from the current price of $863.76. Keep in mind that price targets are estimates, not guarantees. Actual price moves depend on earnings, market conditions and unexpected events.
How low can Lumentum fall?
We lack enough history to give a specific floor for Lumentum. Remember: past price swings are no guarantee for the future — a stock can fall further than the last 52 weeks suggest, especially on profit warnings, sector crises or a market crash. Use stop-loss orders and spread your portfolio to limit losses in single stocks.
What does Lumentum do?
Lumentum Holdings Inc. manufactures and sells optical and photonic products in the Americas, the Asia-Pacific, Europe, the Middle East, and Africa. It operates through two segments, Cloud & Networking and Industrial Tech. The Cloud & Networking segment offers optical and photo... The company belongs to the Teknologi sector, more specifically the Communication Equipment industry, is headquartered in USA, and is traded on the USA Stocks. See the key figures, earnings history and price development above to evaluate Lumentum as an investment.
Did Lumentum raise or lower its guidance?
Over the last 60 days we have not registered a guidance raise or cut from Lumentum. The company can still adjust its guidance at quarterly reports or between reports — see the earnings history and the news overview above.
Is Lumentum making money or losing money?
Yes, Lumentum is making money, not losing it. The company has a profit margin (the share of revenue left over as profit) of 17.7% — which is solid. The operating margin (profit before interest and taxes) is 21.8%. At a P/E ratio of 137.0, you currently pay 137.0 dollars for every dollar of the company's annual earnings. A consistently profitable company is usually more resilient than growth stocks that are not yet making money.
Can Lumentum go bankrupt?
The bankruptcy risk of Lumentum is rated as moderate. Altman Z2 (a model for assessing financial distress) is 1.26 — that places the company in the middle zone. The Piotroski score (financial health 0-9, higher is better) is 7 — which is strong. Debt relative to equity is 311% (high). Remember: models like Altman Z2 are statistical — unexpected shocks (fraud, a sector collapse, lawsuits) can always happen. Spread your portfolio.
Does Lumentum have a lot of debt?
Yes, Lumentum has elevated debt relative to equity. The debt-to-equity ratio (D/E — interest-bearing debt to equity) is 311%. For the teknologi sector, anything above 150% counts as elevated — that raises the financial risk, especially if interest rates rise or earnings fall. Note: D/E levels are highly sector-specific — a bank at 300% debt is normal, a tech stock at 300% is extremely leveraged. Always compare with similar companies in the same sector. Can Lumentum service its debt? Can service its debt without problems — the interest coverage ratio (how many times earnings can cover interest payments) is 30.7x, and net debt equals 1.4 years of earnings (EBITDA).