Gevo (GEVO.US) Stock Rating 2026/2027: Buy – Stock Analysis

1.28
Price history for Gevo (GEVO.US) – stock price at $1.28, October 2026
Gevo stock price – price development 2026. Updated Oct 7, 2026.
Share this analysis:

No analysts currently cover Gevo with a public price target. We add the price target automatically as soon as at least one analyst publishes a rating. Until then, use the technical analysis and the key figures below.

Analyst Ratings for Gevo stock in 2026: Buy

4 analysts cover Gevo. Analysts are mostly neutral — 50% recommend Hold.

Consensus: Buy (4.00/5)
Strong Buy
2 (50%)
Hold
2 (50%)
Strong Sell Sell Hold Buy Strong Buy
4.00 out of 5 based on 4 analysts

About Gevo – Specialty Chemicals

Gevo is an energy company that makes renewable fuels to help lower CO2 emissions. It earns money by developing and selling gasoline, jet fuel, and diesel that are designed to have net zero carbon emissions.

Gevo runs four main business areas. One of these, Agri-Energy, produces ethanol and animal feed. The company is also known for making bio-based isobutanol, a plant-based chemical that is an important raw material used in making fuels.

Another business area, Renewable Natural Gas, produces biogas from agricultural waste (leftover material from farming). Gevo's goal is to replace fossil fuels with more sustainable alternatives. Its Net-Zero project is a major long-term goal aimed at producing carbon-free products in the future.

Gevo was founded in 2005.
Read more about the company

Key Figures for Gevo

$319M Market cap
$178M Revenue
Specialty Chemicals Industry
- P/E
1.80 P/S
1.41 P/B
United States Listed on exchange
gevo.com Website

What kind of stock is Gevo?

Speculative stock

Gevo is classified as a speculative stock.

Score Overview for Gevo

💰 Value Score 41/100 (Neutral)
⭐ Quality Score 3/100 (Very Low)
🚀 Momentum Score 11/100 (Very Low)
📊 Total Score 18/100

⚠️ 5 red flags identified 3 critical

Our analysis has identified 5 potential risk factors in Gevo that investors should be aware of.

⚠️ Weak financial health: The Piotroski score is only 3/9 – the company shows signs of weakened profitability, liquidity or capital structure.
🚨 Weak balance sheet (elevated risk): Altman Z2 is -7.25 – the balance sheet is measurably weaker than average. This is a risk signal based on the numbers, not a bankruptcy prediction.
🚨 Negative profit margin: The profit margin is -119.9% – the company is losing money on its operations.
🚨 Negative return on equity: ROE is -55.5% – the company is generating a negative return for shareholders.
⚠️ High short interest: 10.1% of the shares are sold short – many professional investors are betting on price declines.

📈 Valuation

The P/S ratio is 1.8. The P/B ratio is 1.4.

🏦 Financial Health

The Piotroski score is 3 out of 9 — weak financial health, be careful. Altman Z2 is -7.25 (weak balance sheet — elevated risk). The debt-to-equity ratio (D/E) is 19.3% — low debt, a solid balance sheet.

🚀 Momentum & Short Interest

Short interest is 10.14% — very high, the market is skeptical.

Insider Trading in Gevo 2026: The Signal Is mostly negative

In 2026, insiders at Gevo have made 20 transactions – split into 2 purchases and 18 sales. On a net basis, insiders took $1,210,534 out of the stock. Active insiders include Kettner David Michael, Barber James J, Gruber Patrick R. and others. In the short term (last 3 months), the insider signal is mostly negative.

Short-Term Signal (3 months): Mostly negative

Insiders have sold more than they have bought over the last 3 months.

Over the last 3 months: 2 purchases and 7 sales. A net $380,068 out of the stock.

Long-Term Signal (all transactions): Mostly negative

Insiders have sold considerably more than they have bought. At large companies this can be due to planned sales (10b5-1 plans) and is not necessarily a negative signal.

Across the last 20 transactions: 2 purchases and 18 sales. A net $1,210,534 out of the stock.

Latest purchase: Kettner David Michael bought 12,500 shares at $1.55 each on 2026-08-21. The stock has since fallen 17.4%.

Latest sale: Gruber Patrick R. sold 3,333 shares at $1.70 each on 2026-09-03.

Who is buying: Kettner David Michael, Barber James J.

Who is selling: Gruber Patrick R., Bowron Kimberly T, Bloom Paul D, Agiri Oluwagbemileke Yusuf, Shafer Andrew and others.

Latest Insider Trades in Gevo (2026)

The table shows the last 20 reported insider transactions in Gevo. Green rows are purchases, red rows are sales. The data is based on official filings.

Transaction date Name Type Number of shares Price per share ($) Total amount ($)
2026-09-03 Gruber Patrick R. Sell 3,333 2 5,666
2026-09-03 Bowron Kimberly T Sell 1,221 2 2,088
2026-09-03 Bloom Paul D Sell 1,514 2 2,589
2026-08-21 Kettner David Michael Buy 12,500 2 19,375
2026-08-21 Barber James J Buy 50,000 2 77,000
2026-08-06 Gruber Patrick R. Sell 247,642 2 373,939
2026-08-06 Bowron Kimberly T Sell 10,257 2 15,898
2026-08-06 Bloom Paul D Sell 31,096 2 48,199
2026-08-06 Agiri Oluwagbemileke Yusuf Sell 18,223 2 28,063
2026-06-12 Shafer Andrew Sell 9,443 1 13,503

Who is buying and selling Gevo shares in 2026?

The following insiders have bought shares in Gevo: Kettner David Michael, Barber James J. In total, $96,375 was bought across 2 transactions. The following insiders have sold shares: Gruber Patrick R., Bowron Kimberly T, Bloom Paul D, Agiri Oluwagbemileke Yusuf, Shafer Andrew and others. In total, $1,306,909 was sold across 18 transactions. Insider trades are legal transactions in which executives and board members buy or sell shares of their own company. These transactions are reported to the SEC and are publicly available.

Gevo Short Selling 2026: 10.1% Sold Short

Very high short interest: 10.1% of the free float
Short % of free float
10.1%
Assessment
Very high short interest
Short squeeze risk
High
Data source
EODHD
Reported about twice a month

Short interest over time: Gevo

0.0%6.8%13.5%
Peak 11.8% · 8/13
5/307/309/30
10.1% today (very high)Peaked at 11.8% on Aug 13, 2026Last 30 days: −1.0 percentage pointsMeasured over 123 days
What does the trend tell you?
Short interest is falling. It is down 1.0 percentage points over the last month and now stands at 10.1%. This is how shorting works: whoever shorts has borrowed the share and sold it, and to close the position again they must buy the share back. Falling short interest therefore means shares are being bought back in Gevo right now.

Many investors watch for exactly this: short interest that has been high and starts falling back. The professionals who bet on a falling price are closing down. That is not in itself a signal about what the price will do — we cannot predict the market, and short interest is only one number among many. But it does say something about what the large players are doing.
The stock has a very high share of short selling. Between 10-20% of the freely traded shares are sold short, which points to considerable bearish sentiment. A positive earnings report or unexpectedly good news can trigger a short squeeze with sharp price gains.

What does this mean for you as an investor?
A short interest of 10.1% means that 10.1% of the freely traded shares in Gevo have been borrowed and sold by investors betting on falling prices. On positive surprises (e.g. a strong earnings report), short sellers can be forced to buy back shares quickly to close their positions, which can cause a short squeeze with sharp price gains in a short time.

The next potential catalyst is the earnings report on Nov 9, 2026. With a short interest of 10.1%, the report can trigger considerable volatility.

Short interest comes from our data provider EODHD. The figure is reported about twice a month; we check it every trading day.
Short Interest Scale
0% 2% 5% 10% 20%+
Low Moderate High Very High Extreme
▲
10.1%

When Does Gevo Report Earnings – Next Date: Nov 9, 2026

The next earnings report from Gevo is scheduled for November 9, 2026, after the market closes. This report covers the third quarter (Q3), which ended on September 30, 2026.



Technical Analysis of Gevo 2026 – Signal: Strong Sell

Overall Technical Signal: Strong Sell

Based on trend analysis (SMA50/SMA200) and MACD trend (positive/negative on a daily + weekly basis). Updated October 7, 2026.

Technical analysis of Gevo (GEVO.US) – RSI 28, MACD negative (bearish), daily candlestick chart October 2026
Gevo technical analysis – candlestick chart with RSI, MACD and volume profile. Updated Oct 7, 2026.

Trend Analysis of Gevo, Inc

Gevo, Inc is in a short-term downtrend. The price of $1.28 is 12.0% below the 20-day average ($1.46). Medium term, the picture is negative: the price is 16.4% below the 50-day average ($1.53). Long term, the stock is 28.7% below the 200-day average ($1.80), which signals a long-term downtrend.

Death Cross: The 50-day average (1.53) is below the 200-day average (1.80), which is a classic bearish signal for Gevo, Inc.

Is Gevo, Inc overbought or oversold?

Gevo, Inc has an RSI of 28.0, which places the stock in oversold territory (below 30). WARNING: Oversold in a downtrend is NOT a buy signal. When the trend is negative, RSI can stay oversold for a long time while the price keeps falling. Wait for a trend reversal before buying.

MACD Analysis for Gevo, Inc

Daily MACD: MACD is negative (-0.081), which means the short-term trend is bearish (the 12-day EMA is below the 26-day EMA). MACD is below the signal line (-0.061) by 0.020, which confirms growing negative momentum in the downtrend.

Weekly MACD: MACD5 is negative (-0.108), which indicates a broader bearish long-term trend. MACD5 is below the signal line (-0.096) by 0.012, which confirms continued negative long-term momentum.

Overall MACD assessment: Both the daily and weekly MACD are negative and below their signal lines. Trend and momentum are negative across time horizons – the strongest bearish signal.

Risk Profile for Gevo, Inc

Gevo, Inc has an annual standard deviation of 62.9%, which classifies the stock as Speculative. Sizeable price swings are normal, and the stock requires a higher risk tolerance.

Overall Technical Conclusion for Gevo, Inc

Trend: Negative. The price trades below SMA50 and SMA200.

MACD trend (zero line): Daily bearish (-0.081). Weekly bearish (-0.108).

MACD momentum (signal): Daily falling. Weekly falling.

RSI: 28.0 – oversold.

Technical signal: Strong Sell

The price is in a downtrend (below SMA50/SMA200) and MACD is negative on both a daily and weekly basis. Avoid buying and consider closing existing positions.

Frequently Asked Questions About Gevo stock in 2026

Should you buy Gevo stock now?
No, the technical signal for Gevo is currently Strong Sell. Gevo trades at $1.28 as of Oct 7, 2026. The technical analysis shows the following: MACD is negative (bearish trend) at -0.081 with falling momentum (signal: -0.061); RSI is at 28.0 (oversold), which could point to a potential buying opportunity; the stock is in a short-term downtrend (price below the 20-day average). The stock is in a broader downtrend (below SMA50/SMA200). Buying in a downtrend is generally not recommended. This is a technical observation based on current data, not investment advice.
What is the price target for Gevo stock?
There is currently no active analyst price target for Gevo.
Is Gevo a dividend stock?
No, Gevo does not currently pay a dividend to shareholders. The company reinvests its profits in growth instead of paying dividends.
What is the risk of Gevo stock?
Gevo is rated as a stock in the risk category Speculative. the annual standard deviation is 62.9%, which classifies the stock as Speculative. In addition, an RSI of 28.0 signals oversold (potential bottom).
Is Gevo overvalued?
Gevo has the following valuation ratios: a P/S ratio of 1.8, a P/B ratio of 1.4.
Is Gevo overbought?
No, Gevo is actually oversold with an RSI of 28.0 (below 30). The technical indicators show: RSI is at 28.0 (below the 30 mark), which actually signals the price is oversold – the opposite of overbought. In addition, the price is 12.0% below the 20-day average (short-term downtrend). In addition, MACD is negative with falling momentum (bearish). IMPORTANT: The stock is oversold in a downtrend. A low RSI in a downtrend is NOT a buy signal – the price can keep falling. Wait for a trend reversal before buying.
When is the next Gevo earnings report?
Gevo reports its next earnings on November 9, 2026. The stock currently trades at $1.28. The RSI is at 28.0, so the report can reinforce the current technical trend.
Is Gevo shorted?
Yes, Gevo is shorted with 10.1% of the free float sold short. This is a very high level of short selling, which points to considerable bearish sentiment. A positive earnings report or unexpectedly good news can trigger a short squeeze with sharp price gains. The figure comes from our data provider EODHD, is reported about twice a month, and we check it every trading day.
Are insiders buying Gevo stock?
No, insiders are not buying Gevo shares – they are net sellers. Over the last 3 months, insiders have made 2 purchases and 7 sales. On a net basis, 380,068 $ worth of shares were sold. Across the last 20 reported transactions, the split is 2 purchases and 18 sales, with a net 1,210,534 $ sold. Active sellers include Gruber Patrick R., Bowron Kimberly T, Bloom Paul D and others. Insider selling can have several explanations (e.g. planned 10b5-1 sales, portfolio diversification or taxes), but sustained selling by several insiders is worth watching closely.
Is Gevo a good stock?
Based on our total score, Gevo is rated as a disastrous stock with a total score of 18 out of 100. The stock scores very low on value, quality and momentum – it is among the worst in our database. The score is made up of Value: 41/100, Quality: 3/100, Momentum: 11/100. In addition: technical signal: Strong Sell. Whether Gevo is a good investment depends on your time horizon, risk profile and portfolio. This is a data-driven observation, not investment advice.
What is the outlook for Gevo stock?
The outlook for Gevo based on current data: the stock is in a downtrend (below SMA50 and SMA200); the next earnings report is due on Nov 9, 2026, which can move the price. Keep in mind that stock prices are affected by many factors, including earnings reports, the economy and market sentiment. Past returns are no guarantee of future returns.
Why is Gevo stock falling?
Gevo is falling right now. The technical indicators show: the price is 12.0% below the 20-day average; MACD is negative with falling momentum (bearish signal); short interest is 10.1% (high – many are betting on a decline); insiders have mostly been selling the stock recently. For the latest context, see our technical analysis and insider section above.
How high can Gevo go?
There is currently no active analyst price target for Gevo. The stock has traded between $1.27 and $2.97 over the last 52 weeks. The price is 56.9% below the 52-week high, which can indicate potential if the underlying fundamentals are intact. Keep in mind that price targets are estimates, not guarantees. Actual price moves depend on earnings, market conditions and unexpected events.
How low can Gevo fall?
The stock has traded as low as $1.27 over the last 52 weeks — that is 0.8% below the current price of $1.28. The biggest decline (drawdown) in the same period was 57.2% from high to low. Within a year, the price typically swings about ±62.9% (standard deviation — a measure of price swings). A difficult year could therefore mean a further decline of that size. Remember: past price swings are no guarantee for the future — a stock can fall further than the last 52 weeks suggest, especially on profit warnings, sector crises or a market crash. Use stop-loss orders and spread your portfolio to limit losses in single stocks.
What does Gevo do?
Gevo is an energy company that makes renewable fuels to help lower CO2 emissions. It earns money by developing and selling gasoline, jet fuel, and diesel that are designed to have net zero carbon emissions. Gevo runs four main business areas. One of these, Agri-Energy, produc... The company belongs to the Basic Materials sector, more specifically the Specialty Chemicals industry, is headquartered in United States, and is traded on the USA Stocks. See the key figures, earnings history and price development above to evaluate Gevo as an investment.
Did Gevo raise or lower its guidance?
Over the last 60 days we have not registered a guidance raise or cut from Gevo. The company can still adjust its guidance at quarterly reports or between reports — see the earnings history above.
Is Gevo making money or losing money?
No, Gevo is currently not making money — the company is losing money with a negative profit margin of -119.9%, a substantial loss. That means the business loses money on every dollar of revenue. For growth stocks investing in expansion this is normal — but it raises the risk if the company does not reach break-even before its capital runs out.
Can Gevo go bankrupt?
The bankruptcy risk of Gevo is rated as elevated. Altman Z2 (a model for assessing financial distress) is -7.25 — that places the company in the weak zone. This is a probability based on the numbers, not a verdict — bankruptcy is not imminent. But the balance sheet is measurably weaker than average, so watch the debt, liquidity and possible capital raises. The Piotroski score (financial health 0-9, higher is better) is 3 — which is weak. Debt relative to equity is 19% (low). Remember: models like Altman Z2 are statistical — unexpected shocks (fraud, a sector collapse, lawsuits) can always happen. Spread your portfolio.
Does Gevo have a lot of debt?
No, Gevo has low debt relative to equity. The debt-to-equity ratio (D/E — interest-bearing debt to equity) is 19%. For the basic materials sector, anything below 70% counts as low debt. Commodity companies finance mines and plants with moderate debt — 70-150% is typical. Note: D/E levels are highly sector-specific — a bank at 300% debt is normal, a tech stock at 300% is extremely leveraged. Always compare with similar companies in the same sector.

Other Stocks in Basic Materials

Compare Gevo with other stocks in the basic materials sector. Click a stock to see its technical analysis, insider trading and key figures.

See all 56 stocks in the Basic Materials sector