Geron (GERN.US) Price Target 2026/2027: 165% Upside – Rating and Stock Analysis

1,59
-2,45%
Price history for Geron (GERN.US) – stock price at 1.59 $, August 2026
Geron stock price – price development 2026. Updated Aug 6, 2026.
Share this analysis:

Geron Price Target 2026: Analysts See 167% Upside

The average price target for Geron is $4.25. This price target represents the analysts' view of the stock price over the next 12 months. The stock may be undervalued, because the price target is higher than the current price. The stock is 167,30% below the target, which can point to potential returns within the next 12 months if the analysts' view proves right. Also consider the stock's valuation ratios such as P/E, P/S and P/B, plus the technical analysis further down the page, for the full picture.

Is Geron overvalued or undervalued?

Geron is currently undervalued with a gap of 167.3% relative to the price target.


The current price is $1.59, which places Geron in the undervalued category. The stock is considered undervalued when the price is below $3.83, and overvalued when the price exceeds $4.68.


The fair value range is defined as ±10% of the price target, because price targets are estimates rather than exact values. For Geron, the fair value range lies between $3.83 and $4.68.


See the full price target analysis for Geron →

Analyst Ratings for Geron stock in 2026: Buy

9 analysts cover Geron. The majority is positive, with 66.6% recommending Buy, while 33.3% recommend Hold. The average price target is $4.25, which gives an upside of 167.3% from the current price.

Consensus: Buy (4.11/5)
Strong Buy
4 (44.4%)
Buy
2 (22.2%)
Hold
3 (33.3%)
Strong Sell Sell Hold Buy Strong Buy
4.11 out of 5 based on 9 analysts

About Geron – Bioteknologi

Geron Corporation, a commercial-stage biopharmaceutical company, focuses on the development of therapeutics products for oncology. The company's product pipeline includes RYTELO, a telomerase inhibitor for the treatment of adult patients with low- to intermediate-1 risk myelodysplastic syndromes with transfusion-dependent anemia; IMerge which is in Phase 3 clinical trial for the treatment of lower-risk myelodysplastic syndromes; IMpactMF that is in Phase 3 for the treatment of relapsed/refractory myelofibrosis; Impress which is in Phase 2 clinical trial to treat higher risk myelodysplastic syndromes and acute myeloid leukemia (AML); IMproveMF which is in Phase 1 clinical trial for the treatment of frontline myelofibrosis; and IMAGINE which is in phase 1/2 clinical trial for the treatment of relapsed/refractory AML. Geron Corporation was incorporated in 1990 and is headquartered in Foster City, California. Read more about the company

Key Figures for Geron

$ 860M Market cap
$ 196M Revenue
Bioteknologi Industry
- P/E
4.38 P/S
3.61 P/B
USA Listed on exchange
geron.com Website
Sundhed Sector

What kind of stock is Geron?

Speculative stock

Geron is classified as a speculative stock.

Score Overview for Geron

💰 Value Score 21/100 (Low)
⭐ Quality Score 19/100 (Very Low)
🚀 Momentum Score 69/100 (High)
📊 Total Score 36/100

⚠️ 4 red flags identified 3 critical

Our analysis has identified 4 potential risk factors in Geron that investors should be aware of.

🚨 Weak balance sheet (elevated risk): Altman Z2 is -6.25 – the balance sheet is measurably weaker than average. This is a risk signal based on the numbers, not a bankruptcy prediction.
🚨 Negative profit margin: The profit margin is -34.3% – the company is losing money on its operations.
🚨 Negative return on equity: ROE is -27.1% – the company is generating a negative return for shareholders.
⚠️ High short interest: 10.9% of the shares are sold short – many professional investors are betting on price declines.

📈 Valuation

The P/S ratio is 4.4. The P/B ratio is 3.6.

🏦 Financial Health

The Piotroski score is 5 out of 9 — average financial health. Altman Z2 is -6.25 (weak balance sheet — elevated risk). The debt-to-equity ratio (D/E) is 111.8% — moderate debt.

🚀 Momentum & Short Interest

Short interest is 10.91% — very high, the market is skeptical.

Insider Trading in Geron 2026: The Signal Is clearly positive

In 2026, insiders at Geron have made 20 transactions – split into 12 purchases and 8 sales. On a net basis, insiders took 8,034,681 $ out of the stock. Active insiders include Spiegel Robert J., LAWLIS V BRYAN, Ziegler James and others. In the short term (last 3 months), the insider signal is clearly positive.

Short-Term Signal (3 months): Clearly positive

Insiders have exclusively bought shares over the last 3 months. This is a strong signal of confidence in the company in the short term.

Over the last 3 months: 1 purchases and 0 sales. A net 7,812 $ into the stock.

Long-Term Signal (all transactions): Mostly negative

Insiders have sold considerably more than they have bought. At large companies this can be due to planned sales (10b5-1 plans) and is not necessarily a negative signal.

Across the last 20 transactions: 12 purchases and 8 sales. A net 8,034,681 $ out of the stock.

Latest purchase: Spiegel Robert J. bought 6,103 shares at 1 $ each on 2026-06-30. The stock has since risen 27.3%.

Latest sale: ROBERTSON MICHELLE sold 27,500 shares at 2 $ each on 2026-02-18.

Who is buying: Spiegel Robert J., LAWLIS V BRYAN, Ziegler James, SCARLETT JOHN A, Samuels Scott Alan and others.

Who is selling: ROBERTSON MICHELLE, GRETHLEIN ANDREW J, Kapur Anil, Feller Faye, SCARLETT JOHN A and others.

Latest Insider Trades in Geron (2026)

The table shows the last 20 reported insider transactions in Geron. Green rows are purchases, red rows are sales. The data is based on official filings.

Transaction date Name Type Number of shares Price per share ($) Total amount ($)
2026-06-30 Spiegel Robert J. Buy 6,103 1 7,812
2026-03-31 Spiegel Robert J. Buy 5,243 1 7,812
2026-02-18 ROBERTSON MICHELLE Sell 27,500 2 53,350
2025-12-31 Spiegel Robert J. Buy 5,918 1 7,812
2025-09-30 Spiegel Robert J. Buy 5,702 1 7,812
2025-06-30 Spiegel Robert J. Buy 5,540 1 7,811
2025-05-09 LAWLIS V BRYAN Buy 13,300 1 15,694
2025-03-31 Spiegel Robert J. Buy 4,913 2 7,812
2025-02-27 Ziegler James Buy 100,000 2 160,000
2025-02-27 SCARLETT JOHN A Buy 12,500 2 22,125

Who is buying and selling Geron shares in 2026?

The following insiders have bought shares in Geron: Spiegel Robert J., LAWLIS V BRYAN, Ziegler James, SCARLETT JOHN A, Samuels Scott Alan and others. In total, 299,340 $ was bought across 12 transactions. The following insiders have sold shares: ROBERTSON MICHELLE, GRETHLEIN ANDREW J, Kapur Anil, Feller Faye, SCARLETT JOHN A and others. In total, 8,334,021 $ was sold across 8 transactions. Insider trades are legal transactions in which executives and board members buy or sell shares of their own company. These transactions are reported to the SEC and are publicly available.

Geron Short Selling 2026: 10.9% Sold Short

Very high short interest: 10.9% of the free float
Short % of free float
10.9%
Assessment
Very high short interest
Short squeeze risk
High
Data source
SEC
Updated daily
The stock has a very high share of short selling. Between 10-20% of the freely traded shares are sold short, which points to considerable bearish sentiment. A positive earnings report or unexpectedly good news can trigger a short squeeze with sharp price gains.

What does this mean for you as an investor?
A short interest of 10.9% means that 10.9% of the freely traded shares in Geron have been borrowed and sold by investors betting on falling prices. On positive surprises (e.g. a strong earnings report), short sellers can be forced to buy back shares quickly to close their positions, which can cause a short squeeze with sharp price gains in a short time.

Data is updated daily based on official filings with the SEC.
Short Interest Scale
0% 2% 5% 10% 20%+
Low Moderate High Very High Extreme
10.9%

When Does Geron Report Earnings?

The next earnings date for Geron is not yet available. Check the company's investor calendar for more information.



Technical Analysis of Geron 2026 – Signal: Buy

Overall Technical Signal: Buy

Based on trend analysis (SMA50/SMA200) and MACD trend (positive/negative on a daily + weekly basis). Updated August 6, 2026.

Technical analysis of Geron (GERN.US) – RSI 66, MACD positive (bullish), daily candlestick chart August 2026
Geron technical analysis – candlestick chart with RSI and MACD. Updated Aug 6, 2026.

Trend Analysis of Geron Corporation

Geron Corporation is in a short-term uptrend. The price of $1.63 is 14.3% above the 20-day average ($1.43). Medium term, the picture is positive: the price is 22.7% above the 50-day average ($1.33). Long term, the stock is 16.3% above the 200-day average ($1.40), which confirms a long-term uptrend.

Death Cross: The 50-day average (1.33) is below the 200-day average (1.40), which is a classic bearish signal for Geron Corporation.

Is Geron Corporation overbought or oversold?

Geron Corporation has an RSI of 66.1. The stock shows positive momentum in the upper part of the neutral zone. Combined with the positive trend, this supports the bullish picture.

MACD Analysis for Geron Corporation

Daily MACD: MACD is positive (0.014), which means the short-term trend is bullish (the 12-day EMA is above the 26-day EMA). MACD is below the signal line (0.015) by 0.001, which suggests the positive momentum is fading – the trend could be turning.

Weekly MACD: MACD5 is negative (-0.023), which indicates a broader bearish long-term trend. MACD5 is above the signal line (-0.030) by 0.007, which suggests the negative long-term momentum is fading – a bigger trend reversal could be ahead.

Overall MACD assessment: The daily and weekly MACD give conflicting signals. The short-term trend is bullish, but the long-term trend is still bearish. Weekly momentum is rising, though, which could signal an upcoming trend reversal.

Risk Profile for Geron Corporation

Geron Corporation has an annual standard deviation of 63.5%, which classifies the stock as high risk. Sizeable price swings are normal, and the stock requires a higher risk tolerance.

Overall Technical Conclusion for Geron Corporation

Trend: Positive. The price trades above SMA50 and SMA200.

MACD trend (zero line): Daily bullish (0.014). Weekly bearish (-0.023).

MACD momentum (signal): Daily falling. Weekly rising.

RSI: 66.1 – neutral.

Technical signal: Buy

The broader trend is positive and MACD supports the picture. Consider buying with a stop-loss below the nearest support level.

Frequently Asked Questions About Geron stock in 2026

Should you buy Geron stock now?
Yes, the technical signal for Geron is currently BUY. Geron trades at $1.59 as of 8/6/2026. The overall technical signal is: Buy. The technical analysis shows the following: MACD is positive (bullish trend) at 0.014 with falling momentum (signal: 0.015); RSI is at 66.1 (neutral zone); the stock is in a short-term uptrend (price above the 20-day average); the analyst price target of $4.25 points to 167.3% upside. The stock is in a broader uptrend (above SMA50/SMA200). This is a technical observation based on current data, not investment advice.
What is the price target for Geron stock?
The average analyst price target for Geron is $4.25. The current price is $1.59, which gives an upside of 167.3%. Based on this, the stock is considered undervalued. The fair value range (±10% of the price target) is between $3.83 and $4.68.
Is Geron a dividend stock?
No, Geron does not currently pay a dividend to shareholders. The company reinvests its profits in growth instead of paying dividends.
What is the risk of Geron stock?
Geron is rated as a stock with high risk. the annual standard deviation is 63.5%, which classifies the stock as high risk.
Is Geron overvalued?
No, Geron is considered undervalued based on the analyst price target (167.3% upside). Geron has the following valuation ratios: a P/S ratio of 4.4, a P/B ratio of 3.6. The analyst price target suggests that the stock is undervalued by 167.3%.
Is Geron overbought?
No, Geron is not overbought. RSI is at 66.1 (neutral zone). The technical indicators show: RSI is at 66.1 (upper neutral zone), which shows positive momentum but is not yet overbought. In addition, the price is 11.5% above the 20-day average (short-term uptrend). In addition, MACD is positive, but momentum is falling.
When is the next Geron earnings report?
The date of the next earnings report for Geron has not been published yet. Check the company's investor calendar for updates.
Is Geron shorted?
Yes, Geron is shorted with 10.9% of the free float sold short. This is a very high level of short selling, which points to considerable bearish sentiment. A positive earnings report or unexpectedly good news can trigger a short squeeze with sharp price gains. Data is updated daily based on official filings with the SEC.
Are insiders buying Geron stock?
Yes, insiders are net buyers of Geron – they are buying more shares than they are selling. Over the last 3 months, insiders have made 1 purchases and 0 sales. On a net basis, 7,812 $ worth of shares were bought. Across the last 20 reported transactions, the split is 12 purchases and 8 sales, with a net 8,034,681 $ sold. Active buyers include Spiegel Robert J., LAWLIS V BRYAN, Ziegler James and others. Insider buying is generally seen as a positive signal, because management is putting its own money into the company.
Is Geron a good stock?
Based on our total score, Geron is rated as a poor stock with a total score of 36 out of 100. The stock scores below average on value, quality and momentum – it sits at the lower end of the market. The score is made up of Value: 21/100, Quality: 19/100, Momentum: 69/100. In addition: analysts see 167.3% upside to the price target; technical signal: Buy. Whether Geron is a good investment depends on your time horizon, risk profile and portfolio. This is a data-driven observation, not investment advice.
What is the outlook for Geron stock?
The outlook for Geron based on current data: the average analyst price target is $4.25 (+167.3%); the stock is in an uptrend (above SMA50 and SMA200). Keep in mind that stock prices are affected by many factors, including earnings reports, the economy and market sentiment. Past returns are no guarantee of future returns.
Why is Geron stock rising?
Geron is rising right now. The technical indicators show: the price is 11.5% above the 20-day average; short interest is 10.9% (high – many are betting on a decline); insiders have mostly been buying the stock recently. For the latest context, see our technical analysis, insider section and news overview above.
How high can Geron go?
The average analyst price target for Geron is $4.25, which corresponds to a potential gain of 167.3% from the current price of $1.59. Keep in mind that price targets are estimates, not guarantees. Actual price moves depend on earnings, market conditions and unexpected events.
How low can Geron fall?
We lack enough history to give a specific floor for Geron. Remember: past price swings are no guarantee for the future — a stock can fall further than the last 52 weeks suggest, especially on profit warnings, sector crises or a market crash. Use stop-loss orders and spread your portfolio to limit losses in single stocks.
What does Geron do?
Geron Corporation, a commercial-stage biopharmaceutical company, focuses on the development of therapeutics products for oncology. The company's product pipeline includes RYTELO, a telomerase inhibitor for the treatment of adult patients with low- to intermediate-1 risk myelod... The company belongs to the Sundhed sector, more specifically the Bioteknologi industry, is headquartered in USA, and is traded on the USA Stocks. See the key figures, earnings history and price development above to evaluate Geron as an investment.
Did Geron raise or lower its guidance?
Over the last 60 days we have not registered a guidance raise or cut from Geron. The company can still adjust its guidance at quarterly reports or between reports — see the earnings history and the news overview above.
Is Geron making money or losing money?
No, Geron is currently not making money — the company is losing money with a negative profit margin of -34.3%, a substantial loss. That means the business loses money on every dollar of revenue. For growth stocks investing in expansion this is normal — but it raises the risk if the company does not reach break-even before its capital runs out.
Can Geron go bankrupt?
The bankruptcy risk of Geron is rated as elevated. Altman Z2 (a model for assessing financial distress) is -6.25 — that places the company in the weak zone. This is a probability based on the numbers, not a verdict — bankruptcy is not imminent. But the balance sheet is measurably weaker than average, so watch the debt, liquidity and possible capital raises. The Piotroski score (financial health 0-9, higher is better) is 5 — which is average. Debt relative to equity is 112% (moderate). Remember: models like Altman Z2 are statistical — unexpected shocks (fraud, a sector collapse, lawsuits) can always happen. Spread your portfolio.
Does Geron have a lot of debt?
Geron has moderate debt relative to equity. The debt-to-equity ratio (D/E — interest-bearing debt to equity) is 112%. For the sundhed sector, 80-150% counts as a typical level. Note: D/E levels are highly sector-specific — a bank at 300% debt is normal, a tech stock at 300% is extremely leveraged. Always compare with similar companies in the same sector.