The GEO (GEO.US) Price Target and Rating 2026/2027

31,41
-0,03%
Price history for The GEO (GEO.US) – stock price at 31.41 $, August 2026
The GEO stock price – price development 2026. Updated Aug 6, 2026.
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The GEO Price Target 2026: Analysts See 7% Upside

The average price target for The GEO is $33.75. This price target represents the analysts' view of the stock price over the next 12 months. The stock may be undervalued, because the price target is higher than the current price. The stock is 7,45% below the target, which can point to potential returns within the next 12 months if the analysts' view proves right. Also consider the stock's valuation ratios such as P/E, P/S and P/B, plus the technical analysis further down the page, for the full picture.

Is The GEO overvalued or undervalued?

The GEO is currently fairly valued with a gap of 7.4% relative to the price target.


The current price is $31.41, which places The GEO in the fairly valued category. The stock is considered undervalued when the price is below $30.38, and overvalued when the price exceeds $37.13.


The fair value range is defined as ±10% of the price target, because price targets are estimates rather than exact values. For The GEO, the fair value range lies between $30.38 and $37.13.


See the full price target analysis for The GEO →

Analyst Ratings for The GEO stock in 2026: Strong Buy

4 analysts cover The GEO. There is broad agreement on a positive view — 100% recommend buying. The average price target is $33.75, which gives an upside of 7.4% from the current price.

Consensus: Strong Buy (5.00/5)
Strong Buy
4 (100%)
Strong Sell Sell Hold Buy Strong Buy
5.00 out of 5 based on 4 analysts

About The GEO – Sikkerhed & beskyttelse

GEO Group driver faciliteter og centre, primært i USA, men også i Australien, Storbritannien og Sydafrika. De tjener penge på at eje, leje og administrere sikre fængsler og behandlingscentre. GEO laver også en række relaterede services. Blandt deres tilbud finder man sikkerhedsstyring, rehabilitering og madservice i fængslerne. GEO Group er også kendt for deres genindslusningsprogrammer, som hjælper tidligere indsatte med bolig og job. Derudover tilbyder de elektronisk overvågning og transport. Virksomheden blev grundlagt i 1984 og designer desuden nye faciliteter via egne projekter. De har hovedkontor i Boca Raton, Florida. Read more about the company

Key Figures for The GEO

$ 4,1B Market cap
$ 2,7B Revenue
Sikkerhed & beskyttelse Industry
15.95 P/E
1.56 P/S
2.76 P/B
USA Listed on exchange
Industri Sector

What kind of stock is The GEO?

Growth stock Value stock Quality stock Momentum stock

The GEO is classified as a growth stock and value stock and quality stock and momentum stock. This means the stock combines several attractive traits, strong financial health (Piotroski 8/9), and strong price momentum.

Score Overview for The GEO

💰 Value Score 74/100 (High)
⭐ Quality Score 75/100 (High)
🚀 Momentum Score 98/100 (Very High)
📊 Total Score 82/100

⚠️ 2 red flags identified

Our analysis has identified 2 potential risk factors in The GEO that investors should be aware of.

⚠️ High debt: The debt-to-equity ratio is 172% – the company carries considerably more debt than equity, which raises the financial risk.
⚠️ High short interest: 11.1% of the shares are sold short – many professional investors are betting on price declines.

📈 Valuation

The GEO trades at a P/E ratio of 15.9, which is close to the market average. The forward P/E is 26.7. The P/S ratio is 1.6. The P/B ratio is 2.8. The PEG ratio is 1.91.

💵 Profitability & Growth

The GEO has a profit margin of 10.0% (moderate) and an operating margin of 12.7%. Return on equity (ROE) is 19.3% — solid return on equity. Return on assets (ROA) is 5.5%. The latest quarterly earnings grew 106.5% year over year — strong growth.

🏦 Financial Health

The Piotroski score is 8 out of 9 — excellent financial health. Altman Z2 is 3.00 (healthy balance sheet — low risk). The debt-to-equity ratio (D/E) is 172.2% — moderate debt.

🚀 Momentum & Short Interest

Short interest is 11.10% — very high, the market is skeptical.

The GEO Dividend 2026

Dividend Key Figures for The GEO in 2026

Dividend per share
0.25 USD
Dividend growth (1 years)
-86.0%
Avg. annual dividend (3 years)
1.02 USD

When does The GEO pay a dividend in 2026?

Latest ex-dividend date (traded without the dividend)
January 22, 2021
Next dividend payment
February 1, 2021
Latest payment date
February 1, 2021

How much does The GEO pay in dividends?

The GEO pays dividends to its shareholders. The most recently paid dividend was 0.25 USD per share. Over the last 1 years, the annual dividend has fallen by 86.0%.

Historical Dividend Payments for The GEO

We have registered dividend payments for The GEO since 2020-02-13. In that period the stock has paid a dividend 5 times, most recently on 2021-01-22. However, the stock does not qualify as a stable or sporadic dividend stock, because the dividend payments have been inconsistent in recent years.

Ex-datePayment dateAmountCurrencyPeriod
2021-01-222021-02-010.25USDUnknown period
2020-10-152020-10-230.34USDUnknown period
2020-07-162020-07-240.48USDUnknown period
2020-04-162020-04-240.48USDUnknown period
2020-02-132020-02-210.48USDUnknown period

Insider Trading in The GEO 2026: The Signal Is negative

In 2026, insiders at The GEO have made 20 transactions, all of which were sales. On a net basis, insiders took 4,690,213 $ out of the stock. Active insiders include Suchinski Mark, Ryan Christopher D., Ragsdale Daniel H. and others.

Short-Term Signal (3 months): No activity

There has been no insider trading in the last 3 months.

Long-Term Signal (all transactions): Negative

Insiders have exclusively sold shares in the recent period. This can suggest management sees limited opportunity.

Across the last 20 transactions: 0 purchases and 20 sales. A net 4,690,213 $ out of the stock.

Latest sale: Suchinski Mark sold 3,113 shares at 14 $ each on 2026-03-06.

Who is selling: Suchinski Mark, Ryan Christopher D., Ragsdale Daniel H., Long Richard Kent, Laird Paul M. and others.

Latest Insider Trades in The GEO (2026)

The table shows the last 20 reported insider transactions in The GEO. Green rows are purchases, red rows are sales. The data is based on official filings.

Transaction date Name Type Number of shares Price per share ($) Total amount ($)
2026-03-06 Suchinski Mark Sell 3,113 14 44,672
2026-03-06 Ryan Christopher D. Sell 18,461 14 264,915
2026-03-06 Ragsdale Daniel H. Sell 812 14 11,652
2026-03-06 Long Richard Kent Sell 22,518 14 323,133
2026-03-06 Laird Paul M. Sell 1,015 14 14,565
2026-03-06 Houston Donald E. Sell 812 14 11,652
2026-03-06 Albence Matthew Sell 25,019 14 359,023
2026-03-05 ZOLEY GEORGE C Sell 200,000 15 2,984,000
2026-03-04 Scott Michael Kernan Sell 6,633 15 101,087
2026-03-04 KERNAN SCOTT MICHAEL Sell 6,633 15 101,087

Who is buying and selling The GEO shares in 2026?

The following insiders have sold shares: Suchinski Mark, Ryan Christopher D., Ragsdale Daniel H., Long Richard Kent, Laird Paul M. and others. In total, 4,690,213 $ was sold across 20 transactions. Insider trades are legal transactions in which executives and board members buy or sell shares of their own company. These transactions are reported to the SEC and are publicly available.

The GEO Short Selling 2026: 11.1% Sold Short

Very high short interest: 11.1% of the free float
Short % of free float
11.1%
Assessment
Very high short interest
Short squeeze risk
High
Data source
SEC
Updated daily
The stock has a very high share of short selling. Between 10-20% of the freely traded shares are sold short, which points to considerable bearish sentiment. A positive earnings report or unexpectedly good news can trigger a short squeeze with sharp price gains.

What does this mean for you as an investor?
A short interest of 11.1% means that 11.1% of the freely traded shares in The GEO have been borrowed and sold by investors betting on falling prices. On positive surprises (e.g. a strong earnings report), short sellers can be forced to buy back shares quickly to close their positions, which can cause a short squeeze with sharp price gains in a short time.

The next potential catalyst is the earnings report on 8/6/2026. With a short interest of 11.1%, the report can trigger considerable volatility.

Data is updated daily based on official filings with the SEC.
Short Interest Scale
0% 2% 5% 10% 20%+
Low Moderate High Very High Extreme
11.1%

The GEO Earnings – ⚡ Reporting TODAY 8/6/2026

The next earnings date for The GEO is not yet available. Check the company's investor calendar for more information.



Technical Analysis of The GEO 2026 – Signal: Strong Buy

Overall Technical Signal: Strong Buy

Based on trend analysis (SMA50/SMA200) and MACD trend (positive/negative on a daily + weekly basis). Updated August 6, 2026.

Technical analysis of The GEO (GEO.US) – RSI 64, MACD positive (bullish), daily candlestick chart August 2026
The GEO technical analysis – candlestick chart with RSI and MACD. Updated Aug 6, 2026.

Trend Analysis of The GEO Group, Inc

The GEO Group, Inc is in a short-term uptrend. The price of $31.42 is 2.7% above the 20-day average ($30.59). Medium term, the picture is positive: the price is 9.5% above the 50-day average ($28.69). Long term, the stock is 58.0% above the 200-day average ($19.89), which confirms a long-term uptrend.

Golden Cross: The 50-day average (28.69) is above the 200-day average (19.89), which is a classic bullish signal for The GEO Group, Inc.

Is The GEO Group, Inc overbought or oversold?

The GEO Group, Inc has an RSI of 63.9. The stock shows positive momentum in the upper part of the neutral zone. Combined with the positive trend, this supports the bullish picture.

MACD Analysis for The GEO Group, Inc

Daily MACD: MACD is positive (0.704), which means the short-term trend is bullish (the 12-day EMA is above the 26-day EMA). MACD is below the signal line (0.786) by 0.082, which suggests the positive momentum is fading – the trend could be turning.

Weekly MACD: MACD5 is positive (3.469), which indicates a broader bullish long-term trend. MACD5 is above the signal line (2.550) by 0.919, which confirms rising long-term momentum.

Overall MACD assessment: Both the daily and weekly trend are bullish (MACD positive). However, momentum shows signs of weakening on a daily basis. Watch whether the trend holds.

Risk Profile for The GEO Group, Inc

The GEO Group, Inc has an annual standard deviation of 49.3%, which classifies the stock as high risk. Sizeable price swings are normal, and the stock requires a higher risk tolerance.

Overall Technical Conclusion for The GEO Group, Inc

Trend: Positive. The price trades above SMA50 and SMA200.

MACD trend (zero line): Daily bullish (0.704). Weekly bullish (3.469).

MACD momentum (signal): Daily falling. Weekly rising.

RSI: 63.9 – neutral.

Technical signal: Strong Buy

The price is in an uptrend (above SMA50/SMA200) and MACD is positive on both a daily and weekly basis. Trend and MACD trend confirm each other – the strongest technical buy signal.

Frequently Asked Questions About The GEO stock in 2026

Should you buy The GEO stock now?
Yes, the technical signal for The GEO is currently BUY. The GEO trades at $31.41 as of 8/6/2026. The overall technical signal is: Strong Buy. The technical analysis shows the following: MACD is positive (bullish trend) at 0.704 with falling momentum (signal: 0.786); RSI is at 63.9 (neutral zone); the stock is in a short-term uptrend (price above the 20-day average); the analyst price target of $33.75 points to 7.4% upside. The stock is in a broader uptrend (above SMA50/SMA200). This is a technical observation based on current data, not investment advice.
What is the price target for The GEO stock?
The average analyst price target for The GEO is $33.75. The current price is $31.41, which gives an upside of 7.4%. Based on this, the stock is considered fairly valued. The fair value range (±10% of the price target) is between $30.38 and $37.13.
Is The GEO a dividend stock?
No, The GEO does not currently pay a dividend to shareholders. The company reinvests its profits in growth instead of paying dividends.
What is the risk of The GEO stock?
The GEO is rated as a stock with high risk. the annual standard deviation is 49.3%, which classifies the stock as high risk.
Is The GEO overvalued?
The GEO is considered fairly valued – the price is close to the analyst price target. The GEO has the following valuation ratios: a P/E ratio of 15.9 (moderately valued), a P/S ratio of 1.6, a P/B ratio of 2.8. The stock trades close to the analyst price target and is considered fairly valued.
Is The GEO overbought?
No, The GEO is not overbought. RSI is at 63.9 (neutral zone). The technical indicators show: RSI is at 63.9 (upper neutral zone), which shows positive momentum but is not yet overbought. In addition, the price is 2.7% above the 20-day average (short-term uptrend). In addition, MACD is positive, but momentum is falling.
When is the next The GEO earnings report?
The GEO reports earnings TODAY, August 6, 2026! The stock currently trades at $31.41. Watch how the price reacts after the release. With a P/E ratio of 15.9, the market will be watching closely whether earnings meet expectations.
Is The GEO shorted?
Yes, The GEO is shorted with 11.1% of the free float sold short. This is a very high level of short selling, which points to considerable bearish sentiment. A positive earnings report or unexpectedly good news can trigger a short squeeze with sharp price gains. Data is updated daily based on official filings with the SEC.
Are insiders buying The GEO stock?
No, insiders are not buying The GEO shares – they are net sellers. Across the last 20 reported transactions, the split is 0 purchases and 20 sales, with a net 4,690,213 $ sold. Active sellers include Suchinski Mark, Ryan Christopher D., Ragsdale Daniel H. and others. Insider selling can have several explanations (e.g. planned 10b5-1 sales, portfolio diversification or taxes), but sustained selling by several insiders is worth watching closely.
Is The GEO a good stock?
Based on our total score, The GEO is rated as a fantastic stock with a total score of 82 out of 100. The stock scores exceptionally high on value, quality and momentum – it is among the best 18% in our database. The score is made up of Value: 74/100, Quality: 75/100, Momentum: 98/100. In addition: technical signal: Strong Buy. Whether The GEO is a good investment depends on your time horizon, risk profile and portfolio. This is a data-driven observation, not investment advice.
What is the outlook for The GEO stock?
The outlook for The GEO based on current data: the average analyst price target is $33.75 (+7.4%); the stock is in an uptrend (above SMA50 and SMA200); the next earnings report is due on 8/6/2026, which can move the price; the P/E ratio is 15.9 (moderate). Keep in mind that stock prices are affected by many factors, including earnings reports, the economy and market sentiment. Past returns are no guarantee of future returns.
Why is The GEO stock rising?
The GEO is rising right now. The technical indicators show: the price is 2.7% above the 20-day average; short interest is 11.1% (high – many are betting on a decline); insiders have mostly been selling the stock recently. For the latest context, see our technical analysis, insider section and news overview above.
How high can The GEO go?
The average analyst price target for The GEO is $33.75, which corresponds to a potential gain of 7.4% from the current price of $31.41. Keep in mind that price targets are estimates, not guarantees. Actual price moves depend on earnings, market conditions and unexpected events.
How low can The GEO fall?
We lack enough history to give a specific floor for The GEO. Remember: past price swings are no guarantee for the future — a stock can fall further than the last 52 weeks suggest, especially on profit warnings, sector crises or a market crash. Use stop-loss orders and spread your portfolio to limit losses in single stocks.
What does The GEO do?
GEO Group driver faciliteter og centre, primært i USA, men også i Australien, Storbritannien og Sydafrika. De tjener penge på at eje, leje og administrere sikre fængsler og behandlingscentre. GEO laver også en række relaterede services. Blandt deres tilbud finder man sikkerhe... The company belongs to the Industri sector, more specifically the Sikkerhed & beskyttelse industry, is headquartered in USA, and is traded on the USA Stocks. See the key figures, earnings history and price development above to evaluate The GEO as an investment.
Did The GEO raise or lower its guidance?
Over the last 60 days we have not registered a guidance raise or cut from The GEO. The company can still adjust its guidance at quarterly reports or between reports — see the earnings history and the news overview above.
Is The GEO making money or losing money?
Yes, The GEO is making money, not losing it. The company has a profit margin (the share of revenue left over as profit) of 10.0% — which is moderate. The operating margin (profit before interest and taxes) is 12.7%. At a P/E ratio of 15.9, you currently pay 15.9 dollars for every dollar of the company's annual earnings. A consistently profitable company is usually more resilient than growth stocks that are not yet making money.
Can The GEO go bankrupt?
The bankruptcy risk of The GEO is rated as low. Altman Z2 (a model for assessing financial distress) is 3.00 — that places the company in the healthy zone. The company has a healthy balance sheet with limited debt relative to earnings and assets. The Piotroski score (financial health 0-9, higher is better) is 8 — which is strong. Debt relative to equity is 172% (high). Remember: models like Altman Z2 are statistical — unexpected shocks (fraud, a sector collapse, lawsuits) can always happen. Spread your portfolio.
Does The GEO have a lot of debt?
Yes, The GEO has elevated debt relative to equity. The debt-to-equity ratio (D/E — interest-bearing debt to equity) is 172%. For the industri sector, anything above 150% counts as elevated — that raises the financial risk, especially if interest rates rise or earnings fall. Note: D/E levels are highly sector-specific — a bank at 300% debt is normal, a tech stock at 300% is extremely leveraged. Always compare with similar companies in the same sector. Can The GEO service its debt? Can service its debt, but it weighs on the company — the interest coverage ratio (how many times earnings can cover interest payments) is 2.4x, and net debt equals 3.4 years of earnings (EBITDA).