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Ecopetrol (EC.US) Price Target 2026/2027: 20% Downside – Overvalued?

17,17
4,76%
Analysis framework by , founder of TradeDesk · Data: EODHD, official filings (SEC) · Updated
Price history for Ecopetrol (EC.US) – stock price at 17.17 $, August 2026
Ecopetrol stock price – price development 2026. Updated Aug 6, 2026.
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Ecopetrol Price Target 2026: Analysts See 22% Downside

The average price target for Ecopetrol is $13.47. This price target represents the analysts' view of the stock price over the next 12 months. The stock appears overvalued, because the price target is lower than the current price. It is -21,55% above the target, and analysts expect the price to fall over the next 12 months. Even if the stock may be overvalued, price momentum can last longer than expected. That is why it is important to keep an eye on the stock and its momentum on an ongoing basis. WallStreetBuys helps you with the technical analysis and keeps you up to date on the development.

Is Ecopetrol overvalued or undervalued?

Ecopetrol is currently overvalued with a gap of 21.5% relative to the price target.


The current price is $17.17, which places Ecopetrol in the overvalued category. The stock is considered undervalued when the price is below $12.12, and overvalued when the price exceeds $14.82.


The fair value range is defined as ±10% of the price target, because price targets are estimates rather than exact values. For Ecopetrol, the fair value range lies between $12.12 and $14.82.


See the full price target analysis for Ecopetrol →

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Analyst Ratings for Ecopetrol stock in 2026: Hold

11 analysts cover Ecopetrol. Analysts are mostly neutral — 54.5% recommend Hold. The average price target is $13.47, which is 21.5% below the current price.

Consensus: Hold (2.55/5)
Strong Buy
1 (9.1%)
Hold
6 (54.5%)
Sell
1 (9.1%)
Strong Sell
3 (27.3%)
Strong Sell Sell Hold Buy Strong Buy
2.55 out of 5 based on 11 analysts
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About Ecopetrol – Olie & gas | integreret

Ecopetrol er et integreret energiselskab, der driver forretning inden for hele værdikæden. De tjener primært penge på at lede efter og producere olie og gas. Dernæst transporterer Ecopetrol råolie og raffinerede produkter som diesel og jetbrændstof gennem deres omfattende netværk af rørledninger, som i 2022 målte over 9.100 kilometer. Derudover raffinerer de råolie og sælger petrokemiske produkter, herunder polypropylen. Virksomheden har også en voksende portefølje inden for eltransmission og vejkoncessioner, hvilket udvider deres indtægtsgrundlag. Ecopetrol blev grundlagt i 1951 og er en vigtig spiller i regionen. Read more about the company

Key Figures for Ecopetrol

$ 33,5B Market cap
$ 126T Revenue
Olie & gas | integreret Industry
10.87 P/E
0.97 P/S
1.39 P/B
USA Listed on exchange
ecopetrol.com.co Website
Energi Sector

What kind of stock is Ecopetrol?

Dividend stock Value stock Momentum stock

Ecopetrol is classified as a dividend stock and value stock and momentum stock. This means the stock combines several attractive traits, including a dividend of 3.9%, and strong price momentum.

Score Overview for Ecopetrol

💰 Value Score 91/100 (Very High)
⭐ Quality Score 41/100 (Neutral)
🚀 Momentum Score 89/100 (Very High)
📊 Total Score 73/100

⚠️ 1 red flag identified

Our analysis has identified 1 potential risk factor in Ecopetrol that investors should be aware of.

⚠️ High debt: The debt-to-equity ratio is 229% – the company carries considerably more debt than equity, which raises the financial risk.

📈 Valuation

Ecopetrol trades at a P/E ratio of 10.9, which is below the market average and can point to an attractive price. The forward P/E is 9.1 (16% lower), which suggests the market expects rising earnings. The P/S ratio is 1.0 (low — potentially undervalued relative to revenue). The P/B ratio is 1.4. The PEG ratio is 0.77 — below 1.0 suggests the stock is cheap relative to its growth rate.

💵 Profitability & Growth

Ecopetrol has a profit margin of 7.5% (moderate). Return on equity (ROE) is 12.0% — solid return on equity. Return on assets (ROA) is 5.7%. The latest quarterly earnings grew -7.7% year over year — falling earnings.

🏦 Financial Health

The Piotroski score is 6 out of 9 — good financial health. Altman Z2 is 1.37 (middle zone — moderate). The debt-to-equity ratio (D/E) is 228.6% — high debt, which raises the risk.

🚀 Momentum & Short Interest

Short interest is 3.91%.

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Ecopetrol Dividend 2026: 3.9% Dividend Yield

Dividend Key Figures for Ecopetrol in 2026

Dividend yield
3.87%
Dividend per share
0.66 USD
Payout ratio
60.1%
High
Dividend growth (4 years)
+1,022.2%
Avg. annual dividend (3 years)
1.80 USD

When does Ecopetrol pay a dividend in 2026?

Latest ex-dividend date (traded without the dividend)
April 29, 2026
Next dividend payment
May 7, 2026
Latest payment date
May 7, 2026

How much does Ecopetrol pay in dividends?

Ecopetrol pays dividends to its shareholders. The most recently paid dividend was 0.66 USD per share, which corresponds to a dividend yield of 3.87%. Over the last 4 years, the annual dividend has grown by 1,022.2%, which shows positive dividend growth.

The payout ratio is 60.1%, which is relatively high. The company pays out a large share of its profits as dividends, but there is still a buffer.

Historical Dividend Payments for Ecopetrol

We have registered dividend payments for Ecopetrol since 2021-04-20. In that period the stock has paid a dividend 11 times, most recently on 2026-04-29. This stock qualifies as a stable dividend stock, because it has paid a dividend at least once a year for the last 5 years. That makes it attractive to investors looking for steady, regular dividend payments.

Ex-datePayment dateAmountCurrencyPeriod
2026-04-292026-05-070.66USDUnknown period
2025-04-282025-05-060.52USDUnknown period
2025-04-032025-04-110.49USDUnknown period
2024-06-252024-07-030.75USDUnknown period
2024-04-042024-04-100.82USDUnknown period
2023-12-192023-12-291.01USDUnknown period
2023-09-262023-10-120.97USDUnknown period
2023-04-252023-05-040.84USDUnknown period
2022-06-282022-07-080.86USDUnknown period
2022-04-192022-04-281.49USDUnknown period
2021-04-202021-04-300.09USDUnknown period
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Ecopetrol Short Selling 2026: 3.9% Sold Short

Moderate short interest: 3.9% of the free float
Short % of free float
3.9%
Assessment
Moderate short interest
Short squeeze risk
Low
Data source
SEC
Updated daily
The stock has a moderate share of short selling. Between 2-5% of the freely traded shares are sold short, which is within the normal range for most stocks.

Data is updated daily based on official filings with the SEC.
Short Interest Scale
0% 2% 5% 10% 20%+
Low Moderate High Very High Extreme
▲
3.9%

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When Does Ecopetrol Report Earnings?

The next earnings date for Ecopetrol is not yet available. Check the company's investor calendar for more information.



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Technical Analysis of Ecopetrol 2026 – Signal: Strong Buy

Overall Technical Signal: Strong Buy

Based on trend analysis (SMA50/SMA200) and MACD trend (positive/negative on a daily + weekly basis). Updated August 6, 2026.

Technical analysis of Ecopetrol (EC.US) – RSI 55, MACD positive (bullish), daily candlestick chart August 2026
Ecopetrol technical analysis – candlestick chart with RSI and MACD. Updated Aug 6, 2026.

Trend Analysis of Ecopetrol S.A

Ecopetrol S.A is in a short-term uptrend. The price of $16.39 is 1.3% above the 20-day average ($16.18). Medium term, the picture is positive: the price is 4.6% above the 50-day average ($15.66). Long term, the stock is 31.3% above the 200-day average ($12.48), which confirms a long-term uptrend.

Golden Cross: The 50-day average (15.66) is above the 200-day average (12.48), which is a classic bullish signal for Ecopetrol S.A.

Is Ecopetrol S.A overbought or oversold?

Ecopetrol S.A has an RSI of 55.5. The stock shows positive momentum in the upper part of the neutral zone. Combined with the positive trend, this supports the bullish picture.

MACD Analysis for Ecopetrol S.A

Daily MACD: MACD is positive (0.324), which means the short-term trend is bullish (the 12-day EMA is above the 26-day EMA). MACD is below the signal line (0.327) by 0.003, which suggests the positive momentum is fading – the trend could be turning.

Weekly MACD: MACD5 is positive (1.286), which indicates a broader bullish long-term trend. MACD5 is above the signal line (1.236) by 0.050, which confirms rising long-term momentum.

Overall MACD assessment: Both the daily and weekly trend are bullish (MACD positive). However, momentum shows signs of weakening on a daily basis. Watch whether the trend holds.

Risk Profile for Ecopetrol S.A

Ecopetrol S.A has an annual standard deviation of 38.4%, which classifies the stock as medium risk. The price can swing noticeably when the market moves.

Overall Technical Conclusion for Ecopetrol S.A

Trend: Positive. The price trades above SMA50 and SMA200.

MACD trend (zero line): Daily bullish (0.324). Weekly bullish (1.286).

MACD momentum (signal): Daily falling. Weekly rising.

RSI: 55.5 – neutral.

Technical signal: Strong Buy

The price is in an uptrend (above SMA50/SMA200) and MACD is positive on both a daily and weekly basis. Trend and MACD trend confirm each other – the strongest technical buy signal.

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Frequently Asked Questions About Ecopetrol stock in 2026

Should you buy Ecopetrol stock now?
Yes, the technical signal for Ecopetrol is currently BUY. Ecopetrol trades at $17.17 as of 8/6/2026. The overall technical signal is: Strong Buy. The technical analysis shows the following: MACD is positive (bullish trend) at 0.324 with falling momentum (signal: 0.327); RSI is at 55.5 (neutral zone); the stock is in a short-term uptrend (price above the 20-day average); the analyst price target of $13.47 is 21.5% below the current price. The stock is in a broader uptrend (above SMA50/SMA200). This is a technical observation based on current data, not investment advice.
What is the price target for Ecopetrol stock?
The average analyst price target for Ecopetrol is $13.47. The current price is $17.17, which gives a downside of 21.5%. Based on this, the stock is considered overvalued. The fair value range (±10% of the price target) is between $12.12 and $14.82.
Is Ecopetrol a dividend stock?
Yes, Ecopetrol is a dividend stock with a dividend yield of 3.87%. The latest dividend was $0.66 per share. The latest ex-dividend date (traded without the dividend) was 4/29/2026. The payout ratio is 60.1%, which is considered moderate. The next dividend payment is scheduled for 5/7/2026.
When does Ecopetrol pay a dividend in 2026?
Ecopetrol pays its next dividend on 5/7/2026. The latest dividend was $0.66 per share with an ex-dividend date of 4/29/2026. The dividend yield is 3.87%. The payout ratio of 60.1% points to moderate dividend coverage.
What is the risk of Ecopetrol stock?
Ecopetrol is rated as a stock with moderate risk. the annual standard deviation is 38.4%, which classifies the stock as moderate risk.
Is Ecopetrol overvalued?
Yes, Ecopetrol is considered overvalued based on the analyst price target (21.5% above the price target). Ecopetrol has the following valuation ratios: a P/E ratio of 10.9 (moderately valued), a P/S ratio of 1.0, a P/B ratio of 1.4. The analyst price target suggests that the stock is overvalued by 21.5%.
Is Ecopetrol overbought?
No, Ecopetrol is not overbought. RSI is at 55.5 (neutral zone). The technical indicators show: RSI is at 55.5 (neutral zone between 30-70), which signals neither overbought nor oversold. In addition, the price is 6.1% above the 20-day average (short-term uptrend). In addition, MACD is positive, but momentum is falling.
When is the next Ecopetrol earnings report?
The date of the next earnings report for Ecopetrol has not been published yet. Check the company's investor calendar for updates.
Is Ecopetrol shorted?
Yes, Ecopetrol is shorted with 3.9% of the free float sold short. This is a moderate level of short selling, within the normal range for most stocks. Data is updated daily based on official filings with the SEC.
Are insiders buying Ecopetrol stock?
There is currently no registered insider trading for Ecopetrol.
Is Ecopetrol a good stock?
Based on our total score, Ecopetrol is rated as a good stock with a total score of 74 out of 100. The stock scores above average on value, quality and momentum – it is among the top 26% in our database. The score is made up of Value: 91/100, Quality: 41/100, Momentum: 89/100. In addition: the price target is 21.5% below the current price; a dividend of 3.87%; technical signal: Strong Buy. Whether Ecopetrol is a good investment depends on your time horizon, risk profile and portfolio. This is a data-driven observation, not investment advice.
What is the outlook for Ecopetrol stock?
The outlook for Ecopetrol based on current data: the average analyst price target is $13.47 (-21.5%); the stock is in an uptrend (above SMA50 and SMA200); the P/E ratio is 10.9 (low – a possible value stock). Keep in mind that stock prices are affected by many factors, including earnings reports, the economy and market sentiment. Past returns are no guarantee of future returns.
Why is Ecopetrol stock rising?
Ecopetrol is rising right now. The technical indicators show: the price is 6.1% above the 20-day average. For the latest context, see our technical analysis, insider section and news overview above.
How high can Ecopetrol go?
The average analyst price target for Ecopetrol is $13.47, which is 21.5% below the current price of $17.17. Keep in mind that price targets are estimates, not guarantees. Actual price moves depend on earnings, market conditions and unexpected events.
How low can Ecopetrol fall?
We lack enough history to give a specific floor for Ecopetrol. Remember: past price swings are no guarantee for the future — a stock can fall further than the last 52 weeks suggest, especially on profit warnings, sector crises or a market crash. Use stop-loss orders and spread your portfolio to limit losses in single stocks.
What does Ecopetrol do?
Ecopetrol er et integreret energiselskab, der driver forretning inden for hele værdikæden. De tjener primært penge på at lede efter og producere olie og gas. Dernæst transporterer Ecopetrol råolie og raffinerede produkter som diesel og jetbrændstof gennem deres omfattende netv... The company belongs to the Energi sector, more specifically the Olie & gas | integreret industry, is headquartered in USA, and is traded on the USA Stocks. See the key figures, earnings history and price development above to evaluate Ecopetrol as an investment.
Did Ecopetrol raise or lower its guidance?
Over the last 60 days we have not registered a guidance raise or cut from Ecopetrol. The company can still adjust its guidance at quarterly reports or between reports — see the earnings history and the news overview above.
Is Ecopetrol making money or losing money?
Yes, Ecopetrol is making money, not losing it. The company has a profit margin (the share of revenue left over as profit) of 7.5% — which is moderate. At a P/E ratio of 10.9, you currently pay 10.9 dollars for every dollar of the company's annual earnings. A consistently profitable company is usually more resilient than growth stocks that are not yet making money.
Can Ecopetrol go bankrupt?
The bankruptcy risk of Ecopetrol is rated as moderate. Altman Z2 (a model for assessing financial distress) is 1.37 — that places the company in the middle zone. The Piotroski score (financial health 0-9, higher is better) is 6 — which is average. Debt relative to equity is 229% (high). Remember: models like Altman Z2 are statistical — unexpected shocks (fraud, a sector collapse, lawsuits) can always happen. Spread your portfolio.
Does Ecopetrol have a lot of debt?
Yes, Ecopetrol has elevated debt relative to equity. The debt-to-equity ratio (D/E — interest-bearing debt to equity) is 229%. For the energi sector, anything above 150% counts as elevated — that raises the financial risk, especially if interest rates rise or earnings fall. Note: D/E levels are highly sector-specific — a bank at 300% debt is normal, a tech stock at 300% is extremely leveraged. Always compare with similar companies in the same sector. Can Ecopetrol service its debt? Can service its debt, but it weighs on the company — the interest coverage ratio (how many times earnings can cover interest payments) is 3.2x, and net debt equals 2.2 years of earnings (EBITDA).
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