Dollar Tree (DLTR.US) Price Target and Rating 2026/2027

129,49
0,57%
Price history for Dollar Tree (DLTR.US) – stock price at 129.49 $, August 2026
Dollar Tree stock price – price development 2026. Updated Aug 6, 2026.
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Dollar Tree Price Target 2026: Analysts See 2% Downside

The average price target for Dollar Tree is $127.32. This price target represents the analysts' view of the stock price over the next 12 months. The stock appears overvalued, because the price target is lower than the current price. It is -1,68% above the target, and analysts expect the price to fall over the next 12 months. Even if the stock may be overvalued, price momentum can last longer than expected. That is why it is important to keep an eye on the stock and its momentum on an ongoing basis. WallStreetBuys helps you with the technical analysis and keeps you up to date on the development.

Is Dollar Tree overvalued or undervalued?

Dollar Tree is currently fairly valued with a gap of 1.7% relative to the price target.


The current price is $129.49, which places Dollar Tree in the fairly valued category. The stock is considered undervalued when the price is below $114.59, and overvalued when the price exceeds $140.05.


The fair value range is defined as ±10% of the price target, because price targets are estimates rather than exact values. For Dollar Tree, the fair value range lies between $114.59 and $140.05.


See the full price target analysis for Dollar Tree →

Analyst Ratings for Dollar Tree stock in 2026: Buy

27 analysts cover Dollar Tree. Analysts are mostly neutral — 59.3% recommend Hold. The average price target is $127.32, which is 1.7% below the current price.

Consensus: Buy (3.63/5)
Strong Buy
8 (29.6%)
Buy
2 (7.4%)
Hold
16 (59.3%)
Sell
1 (3.7%)
Strong Sell Sell Hold Buy Strong Buy
3.63 out of 5 based on 27 analysts

About Dollar Tree – Discount Stores

Dollar Tree, Inc. driver discountbutikker i USA og Canada, og de tjener primært penge på at sælge billige varer. Virksomheden har to store forretningsområder. Det ene er Dollar Tree, som er kendt for at sælge alt til en fast pris på $1.25. Her finder man typisk dagligvarer, legetøj og sæsonvarer som julepynt. Det andet segment er Family Dollar, der sælger et bredere udvalg af forbrugsvarer og generelle varer. Dollar Tree driver altså butikker under begge navne og har distributionscentre i både USA og Canada. De sælger alt fra husholdningsartikler og mad til personlig pleje. Read more about the company

Key Figures for Dollar Tree

$ 25,1B Market cap
$ 19,7B Revenue
Discount Stores Industry
20.98 P/E
1.27 P/S
6.97 P/B
USA Listed on exchange

What kind of stock is Dollar Tree?

Quality stock Momentum stock

Dollar Tree is classified as a quality stock and momentum stock. This means the stock combines several attractive traits, strong financial health (Piotroski 8/9), and strong price momentum.

Score Overview for Dollar Tree

💰 Value Score 61/100 (High)
⭐ Quality Score 72/100 (High)
🚀 Momentum Score 78/100 (High)
📊 Total Score 70/100

⚠️ 1 red flag identified 1 critical

Our analysis has identified 1 potential risk factor in Dollar Tree that investors should be aware of.

🚨 High debt: The debt-to-equity ratio is 369% – the company carries considerably more debt than equity, which raises the financial risk.

📈 Valuation

Dollar Tree trades at a P/E ratio of 21.0, which is close to the market average. The forward P/E is 19.0 (9% lower), which suggests the market expects rising earnings. The P/S ratio is 1.3. The P/B ratio is 7.0. The PEG ratio is 1.59.

💵 Profitability & Growth

Dollar Tree has a profit margin of 6.5% (moderate) and an operating margin of 9.1%. Return on equity (ROE) is 34.0% — excellent return on equity. Return on assets (ROA) is 6.7%. The latest quarterly earnings grew 9.5% year over year.

🏦 Financial Health

The Piotroski score is 8 out of 9 — excellent financial health. Altman Z2 is 2.27 (middle zone — moderate). The debt-to-equity ratio (D/E) is 368.7% — high debt, which raises the risk.

🚀 Momentum & Short Interest

Short interest is 7.25% — elevated, some investors are betting on a decline.

Insider Trading in Dollar Tree 2026: The Signal Is mostly positive

In 2026, insiders at Dollar Tree have made 20 transactions – split into 4 purchases and 16 sales. On a net basis, insiders took 937,565 $ out of the stock. Active insiders include Randolph Diane, JOHNSON TIMOTHY A, HEINRICH DANIEL J and others. In the short term (last 3 months), the insider signal is mostly positive.

Short-Term Signal (3 months): Mostly positive

Insiders have bought more than they have sold over the last 3 months. This suggests key people see short-term value in the stock.

Over the last 3 months: 4 purchases and 2 sales. A net 568,181 $ into the stock.

Long-Term Signal (all transactions): Mostly negative

Insiders have sold considerably more than they have bought. At large companies this can be due to planned sales (10b5-1 plans) and is not necessarily a negative signal.

Across the last 20 transactions: 4 purchases and 16 sales. A net 937,565 $ out of the stock.

Latest purchase: Randolph Diane bought 1,398 shares at 121 $ each on 2026-07-01. The stock has since risen 6.3%.

Latest sale: Maheshwari Aditya sold 127 shares at 127 $ each on 2026-08-02.

Who is buying: Randolph Diane, JOHNSON TIMOTHY A, HEINRICH DANIEL J, GRISE CHERYL W.

Who is selling: Maheshwari Aditya, Schumacher Steven, Mitchell John S. JR, Creedon Michael C Jr, Beebe Brent A. and others.

Latest Insider Trades in Dollar Tree (2026)

The table shows the last 20 reported insider transactions in Dollar Tree. Green rows are purchases, red rows are sales. The data is based on official filings.

Transaction date Name Type Number of shares Price per share ($) Total amount ($)
2026-08-02 Maheshwari Aditya Sell 127 127 16,156
2026-07-05 Schumacher Steven Sell 282 124 34,982
2026-07-01 Randolph Diane Buy 1,398 121 169,368
2026-07-01 JOHNSON TIMOTHY A Buy 1,238 121 149,984
2026-07-01 HEINRICH DANIEL J Buy 1,238 121 149,984
2026-07-01 GRISE CHERYL W Buy 1,238 121 149,984
2026-03-31 Schumacher Steven Sell 221 110 24,202
2026-03-31 Mitchell John S. JR Sell 221 110 24,202
2026-03-31 Creedon Michael C Jr Sell 1,929 110 211,245
2026-03-31 Beebe Brent A. Sell 221 110 24,202

Who is buying and selling Dollar Tree shares in 2026?

The following insiders have bought shares in Dollar Tree: Randolph Diane, JOHNSON TIMOTHY A, HEINRICH DANIEL J, GRISE CHERYL W. In total, 619,319 $ was bought across 4 transactions. The following insiders have sold shares: Maheshwari Aditya, Schumacher Steven, Mitchell John S. JR, Creedon Michael C Jr, Beebe Brent A. and others. In total, 1,556,884 $ was sold across 16 transactions. Insider trades are legal transactions in which executives and board members buy or sell shares of their own company. These transactions are reported to the SEC and are publicly available.

Dollar Tree Short Selling 2026: 7.3% Sold Short

High short interest: 7.3% of the free float
Short % of free float
7.3%
Assessment
High short interest
Short squeeze risk
Moderate
Data source
SEC
Updated daily
The stock has a high share of short selling. Between 5-10% of the freely traded shares are sold short, which suggests some investors are betting on falling prices. Positive surprises can lead to a moderate short squeeze.

What does this mean for you as an investor?
A short interest of 7.3% means that 7.3% of the freely traded shares in Dollar Tree have been borrowed and sold by investors betting on falling prices.

The next potential catalyst is the earnings report on 9/2/2026. With a short interest of 7.3%, the report can trigger considerable volatility.

Data is updated daily based on official filings with the SEC.
Short Interest Scale
0% 2% 5% 10% 20%+
Low Moderate High Very High Extreme
7.3%

When Does Dollar Tree Report Earnings – Next Date: 9/2/2026

The next earnings report from Dollar Tree is scheduled for September 2, 2026, before the market opens. This report covers the third quarter (Q3), which ended on July 31, 2026.



Technical Analysis of Dollar Tree 2026 – Signal: Strong Buy

Overall Technical Signal: Strong Buy

Based on trend analysis (SMA50/SMA200) and MACD trend (positive/negative on a daily + weekly basis). Updated August 6, 2026.

Technical analysis of Dollar Tree (DLTR.US) – RSI 59, MACD positive (bullish), daily candlestick chart August 2026
Dollar Tree technical analysis – candlestick chart with RSI and MACD. Updated Aug 6, 2026.

Trend Analysis of Dollar Tree, Inc

Dollar Tree, Inc is in a short-term uptrend. The price of $128.76 is 2.3% above the 20-day average ($125.82). Medium term, the picture is positive: the price is 8.5% above the 50-day average ($118.65). Long term, the stock is 13.0% above the 200-day average ($113.99), which confirms a long-term uptrend.

Golden Cross: The 50-day average (118.65) is above the 200-day average (113.99), which is a classic bullish signal for Dollar Tree, Inc.

Is Dollar Tree, Inc overbought or oversold?

Dollar Tree, Inc has an RSI of 58.6. The stock shows positive momentum in the upper part of the neutral zone. Combined with the positive trend, this supports the bullish picture.

MACD Analysis for Dollar Tree, Inc

Daily MACD: MACD is positive (2.982), which means the short-term trend is bullish (the 12-day EMA is above the 26-day EMA). MACD is below the signal line (2.999) by 0.017, which suggests the positive momentum is fading – the trend could be turning.

Weekly MACD: MACD5 is positive (4.099), which indicates a broader bullish long-term trend. MACD5 is above the signal line (1.208) by 2.891, which confirms rising long-term momentum.

Overall MACD assessment: Both the daily and weekly trend are bullish (MACD positive). However, momentum shows signs of weakening on a daily basis. Watch whether the trend holds.

Risk Profile for Dollar Tree, Inc

Dollar Tree, Inc has an annual standard deviation of 41.5%, which classifies the stock as medium risk. The price can swing noticeably when the market moves.

Overall Technical Conclusion for Dollar Tree, Inc

Trend: Positive. The price trades above SMA50 and SMA200.

MACD trend (zero line): Daily bullish (2.982). Weekly bullish (4.099).

MACD momentum (signal): Daily falling. Weekly rising.

RSI: 58.6 – neutral.

Technical signal: Strong Buy

The price is in an uptrend (above SMA50/SMA200) and MACD is positive on both a daily and weekly basis. Trend and MACD trend confirm each other – the strongest technical buy signal.

Frequently Asked Questions About Dollar Tree stock in 2026

Should you buy Dollar Tree stock now?
Yes, the technical signal for Dollar Tree is currently BUY. Dollar Tree trades at $129.49 as of 8/6/2026. The overall technical signal is: Strong Buy. The technical analysis shows the following: MACD is positive (bullish trend) at 2.982 with falling momentum (signal: 2.999); RSI is at 58.6 (neutral zone); the stock is in a short-term uptrend (price above the 20-day average); the analyst price target of $127.32 is 1.7% below the current price. The stock is in a broader uptrend (above SMA50/SMA200). This is a technical observation based on current data, not investment advice.
What is the price target for Dollar Tree stock?
The average analyst price target for Dollar Tree is $127.32. The current price is $129.49, which gives a downside of 1.7%. Based on this, the stock is considered fairly valued. The fair value range (±10% of the price target) is between $114.59 and $140.05.
Is Dollar Tree a dividend stock?
No, Dollar Tree does not currently pay a dividend to shareholders. The company reinvests its profits in growth instead of paying dividends.
What is the risk of Dollar Tree stock?
Dollar Tree is rated as a stock with moderate risk. the annual standard deviation is 41.5%, which classifies the stock as moderate risk.
Is Dollar Tree overvalued?
Dollar Tree is considered fairly valued – the price is close to the analyst price target. Dollar Tree has the following valuation ratios: a P/E ratio of 21.0 (moderately to highly valued), a P/S ratio of 1.3, a P/B ratio of 7.0. The stock trades close to the analyst price target and is considered fairly valued.
Is Dollar Tree overbought?
No, Dollar Tree is not overbought. RSI is at 58.6 (neutral zone). The technical indicators show: RSI is at 58.6 (neutral zone between 30-70), which signals neither overbought nor oversold. In addition, the price is 2.9% above the 20-day average (short-term uptrend). In addition, MACD is positive, but momentum is falling.
When is the next Dollar Tree earnings report?
Dollar Tree reports its next earnings on September 2, 2026. The stock currently trades at $129.49. With a P/E ratio of 21.0, the market will be watching closely whether earnings meet expectations.
Is Dollar Tree shorted?
Yes, Dollar Tree is shorted with 7.3% of the free float sold short. This is a high level of short selling, which suggests some investors are betting on falling prices. Positive surprises can lead to a moderate short squeeze. Data is updated daily based on official filings with the SEC.
Are insiders buying Dollar Tree stock?
Yes, insiders are net buyers of Dollar Tree – they are buying more shares than they are selling. Over the last 3 months, insiders have made 4 purchases and 2 sales. On a net basis, 568,181 $ worth of shares were bought. Across the last 20 reported transactions, the split is 4 purchases and 16 sales, with a net 937,565 $ sold. Active buyers include Randolph Diane, JOHNSON TIMOTHY A, HEINRICH DANIEL J and others. Insider buying is generally seen as a positive signal, because management is putting its own money into the company.
Is Dollar Tree a good stock?
Based on our total score, Dollar Tree is rated as a good stock with a total score of 70 out of 100. The stock scores above average on value, quality and momentum – it is among the top 30% in our database. The score is made up of Value: 61/100, Quality: 72/100, Momentum: 78/100. In addition: technical signal: Strong Buy. Whether Dollar Tree is a good investment depends on your time horizon, risk profile and portfolio. This is a data-driven observation, not investment advice.
What is the outlook for Dollar Tree stock?
The outlook for Dollar Tree based on current data: the average analyst price target is $127.32 (-1.7%); the stock is in an uptrend (above SMA50 and SMA200); the next earnings report is due on 9/2/2026, which can move the price; the P/E ratio is 21.0 (moderate). Keep in mind that stock prices are affected by many factors, including earnings reports, the economy and market sentiment. Past returns are no guarantee of future returns.
Why is Dollar Tree stock rising?
Dollar Tree is rising right now. The technical indicators show: the price is 2.9% above the 20-day average; short interest is 7.3% (high – many are betting on a decline); insiders have mostly been buying the stock recently. For the latest context, see our technical analysis, insider section and news overview above.
How high can Dollar Tree go?
The average analyst price target for Dollar Tree is $127.32, which is 1.7% below the current price of $129.49. Keep in mind that price targets are estimates, not guarantees. Actual price moves depend on earnings, market conditions and unexpected events.
How low can Dollar Tree fall?
We lack enough history to give a specific floor for Dollar Tree. Remember: past price swings are no guarantee for the future — a stock can fall further than the last 52 weeks suggest, especially on profit warnings, sector crises or a market crash. Use stop-loss orders and spread your portfolio to limit losses in single stocks.
What does Dollar Tree do?
Dollar Tree, Inc. driver discountbutikker i USA og Canada, og de tjener primært penge på at sælge billige varer. Virksomheden har to store forretningsområder. Det ene er Dollar Tree, som er kendt for at sælge alt til en fast pris på $1.25. Her finder man typisk dagligvarer, le... The company belongs to the Defensivt forbrug sector, more specifically the Discount Stores industry, is headquartered in USA, and is traded on the USA Stocks. See the key figures, earnings history and price development above to evaluate Dollar Tree as an investment.
Did Dollar Tree raise or lower its guidance?
Over the last 60 days we have not registered a guidance raise or cut from Dollar Tree. The company can still adjust its guidance at quarterly reports or between reports — see the earnings history and the news overview above.
Is Dollar Tree making money or losing money?
Yes, Dollar Tree is making money, not losing it. The company has a profit margin (the share of revenue left over as profit) of 6.5% — which is moderate. The operating margin (profit before interest and taxes) is 9.1%. At a P/E ratio of 21.0, you currently pay 21.0 dollars for every dollar of the company's annual earnings. A consistently profitable company is usually more resilient than growth stocks that are not yet making money.
Can Dollar Tree go bankrupt?
The bankruptcy risk of Dollar Tree is rated as moderate. Altman Z2 (a model for assessing financial distress) is 2.27 — that places the company in the middle zone. The Piotroski score (financial health 0-9, higher is better) is 8 — which is strong. Debt relative to equity is 369% (high). Remember: models like Altman Z2 are statistical — unexpected shocks (fraud, a sector collapse, lawsuits) can always happen. Spread your portfolio.
Does Dollar Tree have a lot of debt?
Yes, Dollar Tree has elevated debt relative to equity. The debt-to-equity ratio (D/E — interest-bearing debt to equity) is 369%. For the defensivt forbrug sector, anything above 150% counts as elevated — that raises the financial risk, especially if interest rates rise or earnings fall. Note: D/E levels are highly sector-specific — a bank at 300% debt is normal, a tech stock at 300% is extremely leveraged. Always compare with similar companies in the same sector. Can Dollar Tree service its debt? Can service its debt without problems — the interest coverage ratio (how many times earnings can cover interest payments) is 27.4x, and net debt equals 2.7 years of earnings (EBITDA).