HF Sinclair (DINO.US) Price Target 2026/2027: 5% Upside + 2.3% Dividend

82,96
-0,02%
Price history for HF Sinclair (DINO.US) – stock price at 82.96 $, August 2026
HF Sinclair stock price – price development 2026. Updated Aug 6, 2026.
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HF Sinclair Price Target 2026: Analysts See 7% Upside

The average price target for HF Sinclair is $88.93. This price target represents the analysts' view of the stock price over the next 12 months. The stock may be undervalued, because the price target is higher than the current price. The stock is 7,20% below the target, which can point to potential returns within the next 12 months if the analysts' view proves right. Also consider the stock's valuation ratios such as P/E, P/S and P/B, plus the technical analysis further down the page, for the full picture.

Is HF Sinclair overvalued or undervalued?

HF Sinclair is currently fairly valued with a gap of 7.2% relative to the price target.


The current price is $82.96, which places HF Sinclair in the fairly valued category. The stock is considered undervalued when the price is below $80.04, and overvalued when the price exceeds $97.82.


The fair value range is defined as ±10% of the price target, because price targets are estimates rather than exact values. For HF Sinclair, the fair value range lies between $80.04 and $97.82.


See the full price target analysis for HF Sinclair →

Analyst Ratings for HF Sinclair stock in 2026: Buy

16 analysts cover HF Sinclair. Analysts are mostly neutral — 56.3% recommend Hold. The average price target is $88.93, which gives an upside of 7.2% from the current price.

Consensus: Buy (3.56/5)
Strong Buy
5 (31.3%)
Buy
1 (6.3%)
Hold
9 (56.3%)
Strong Sell
1 (6.3%)
Strong Sell Sell Hold Buy Strong Buy
3.56 out of 5 based on 16 analysts

About HF Sinclair – Olie & gas | salg & marketing

HF Sinclair Corporation operates as an independent energy company. The company produces and markets gasoline, diesel fuel, jet fuel, renewable diesel, specialty lubricant products, specialty chemicals, specialty and modified asphalt, and others. It owns and operates refineries located in Kansas, Oklahoma, New Mexico, Utah, Washington, and Wyoming; and markets its refined products principally in the Southwest United States and Rocky Mountains, Pacific Northwest, and in other neighboring Plains states. In addition, the company supplies fuels to approximately 1,500 independent Sinclair branded stations and licenses the use of the Sinclair brand at approximately 300 additional locations. Further, it produces base oils and other specialized lubricants; and provides petroleum product and crude oil transportation, terminalling, storage, and throughput services to the petroleum sector. HF Sinclair Corporation is headquartered in Dallas, Texas. Read more about the company

Key Figures for HF Sinclair

$ 15,7B Market cap
$ 31,2B Revenue
Olie & gas | salg & marketing Industry
8.45 P/E
0.50 P/S
1.58 P/B
USA Listed on exchange
Energi Sector

What kind of stock is HF Sinclair?

Dividend stock Growth stock Value stock Quality stock Momentum stock

HF Sinclair is classified as a dividend stock and growth stock and value stock and quality stock and momentum stock. This means the stock combines several attractive traits, including a dividend of 2.3%, strong financial health (Piotroski 9/9), and strong price momentum.

Score Overview for HF Sinclair

💰 Value Score 95/100 (Very High)
⭐ Quality Score 82/100 (Very High)
🚀 Momentum Score 95/100 (Very High)
📊 Total Score 90/100

📈 Valuation

HF Sinclair trades at a P/E ratio of 8.5, which is below the market average and can point to an attractive price. The forward P/E is 9.7. The P/S ratio is 0.5 (low — potentially undervalued relative to revenue). The P/B ratio is 1.6. The PEG ratio is 1.14.

💵 Profitability & Growth

HF Sinclair has a profit margin of 6.1% (moderate) and an operating margin of 11.7%. Return on equity (ROE) is 19.5% — solid return on equity. Return on assets (ROA) is 9.2%. The latest quarterly earnings grew 348.2% year over year — strong growth.

🏦 Financial Health

The Piotroski score is 9 out of 9 — excellent financial health. Altman Z2 is 4.62 (healthy balance sheet — low risk). The debt-to-equity ratio (D/E) is 78.6% — low debt, a solid balance sheet.

🚀 Momentum & Short Interest

Short interest is 5.18% — elevated, some investors are betting on a decline.

HF Sinclair Dividend 2026: 2.3% Dividend Yield

Dividend Key Figures for HF Sinclair in 2026

Dividend yield
2.26%
Dividend per share
0.53 USD
Payout ratio
21.0%
Low
Dividend growth (5 years)
+7.1%
Avg. annual dividend (3 years)
1.77 USD

When does HF Sinclair pay a dividend in 2026?

Latest ex-dividend date (traded without the dividend)
August 11, 2026
Next dividend payment
September 2, 2026
Latest payment date
September 2, 2026

How much does HF Sinclair pay in dividends?

HF Sinclair pays dividends to its shareholders. The most recently paid dividend was 0.53 USD per share, which corresponds to a dividend yield of 2.26%. Over the last 5 years, the annual dividend has grown by 7.1%, which shows positive dividend growth.

The payout ratio is 21.0%, which is low. This suggests the company prioritizes reinvesting in growth over dividend payments. There is good room to raise the dividend in the future.

Historical Dividend Payments for HF Sinclair

We have registered dividend payments for HF Sinclair since 2020-02-21. In that period the stock has paid a dividend 22 times, most recently on 2026-08-11. This stock qualifies as a stable dividend stock, because it has paid a dividend at least once a year for the last 5 years. That makes it attractive to investors looking for steady, regular dividend payments.

Ex-datePayment dateAmountCurrencyPeriod
2026-08-112026-09-020.53USDUnknown period
2026-05-112026-06-020.50USDUnknown period
2026-03-022026-03-120.50USDUnknown period
2025-11-192025-12-050.50USDUnknown period
2025-08-212025-09-040.50USDUnknown period
2025-03-062025-03-200.50USDUnknown period
2024-11-212024-12-040.50USDUnknown period
2024-08-212024-09-050.50USDUnknown period
2024-05-212024-06-050.50USDUnknown period
2024-02-232024-03-050.50USDUnknown period
2023-11-152023-12-050.45USDUnknown period
2023-08-162023-09-060.45USDUnknown period
2023-05-172023-06-010.45USDUnknown period
2023-03-062023-03-170.45USDUnknown period
2022-11-182022-12-050.40USDUnknown period
2022-08-172022-09-010.40USDUnknown period
2022-05-202022-06-020.40USDUnknown period
2021-02-262021-03-100.35USDUnknown period
2020-11-202020-12-070.35USDUnknown period
2020-08-142020-09-020.35USDUnknown period
2020-05-222020-06-180.35USDUnknown period
2020-02-212020-03-050.35USDUnknown period

Insider Trading in HF Sinclair 2026: The Signal Is mixed

In 2026, insiders at HF Sinclair have made 20 transactions – split into 10 purchases and 10 sales. On a net basis, insiders took 159,735 $ out of the stock. Active insiders include Manuel J Fernandez, Franklin Myers, Atanas H Atanasov and others.

Short-Term Signal (3 months): No activity

There has been no insider trading in the last 3 months.

Long-Term Signal (all transactions): Mixed

There are both insider purchases and sales, with no clear direction. This is normal for large companies, where management adjusts positions on an ongoing basis.

Across the last 20 transactions: 10 purchases and 10 sales. A net 159,735 $ out of the stock.

Latest purchase: Manuel J Fernandez bought 635 shares at 31 $ each on 2025-03-04. The stock has since risen 163.6%.

Latest sale: Vivek Garg sold 314 shares at 53 $ each on 2025-11-05.

Who is buying: Manuel J Fernandez, Franklin Myers, Atanas H Atanasov, MYERS FRANKLIN, ROSE MICHAEL E.

Who is selling: Vivek Garg, Valerie Pompa, Manuel J Fernandez, Voliva Richard Lawrence III, Jennings Michael and others.

Latest Insider Trades in HF Sinclair (2026)

The table shows the last 20 reported insider transactions in HF Sinclair. Green rows are purchases, red rows are sales. The data is based on official filings.

Transaction date Name Type Number of shares Price per share ($) Total amount ($)
2025-11-05 Vivek Garg Sell 314 53 16,730
2025-08-01 Valerie Pompa Sell 11,000 43 467,830
2025-03-04 Manuel J Fernandez Buy 635 31 19,990
2025-02-26 Franklin Myers Buy 5,000 36 178,300
2024-12-19 Atanas H Atanasov Buy 5,000 34 168,850
2024-12-12 Atanas H Atanasov Buy 7,000 38 265,720
2024-11-01 Franklin Myers Buy 5,000 39 193,800
2024-05-20 Franklin Myers Buy 6,500 57 372,905
2024-03-20 Manuel J Fernandez Sell 1,213 61 74,114
2024-02-26 Franklin Myers Buy 4,180 59 246,369

Who is buying and selling HF Sinclair shares in 2026?

The following insiders have bought shares in HF Sinclair: Manuel J Fernandez, Franklin Myers, Atanas H Atanasov, MYERS FRANKLIN, ROSE MICHAEL E. In total, 2,673,554 $ was bought across 10 transactions. The following insiders have sold shares: Vivek Garg, Valerie Pompa, Manuel J Fernandez, Voliva Richard Lawrence III, Jennings Michael and others. In total, 2,833,289 $ was sold across 10 transactions. Insider trades are legal transactions in which executives and board members buy or sell shares of their own company. These transactions are reported to the SEC and are publicly available.

HF Sinclair Short Selling 2026: 5.2% Sold Short

High short interest: 5.2% of the free float
Short % of free float
5.2%
Assessment
High short interest
Short squeeze risk
Moderate
Data source
SEC
Updated daily
The stock has a high share of short selling. Between 5-10% of the freely traded shares are sold short, which suggests some investors are betting on falling prices. Positive surprises can lead to a moderate short squeeze.

What does this mean for you as an investor?
A short interest of 5.2% means that 5.2% of the freely traded shares in HF Sinclair have been borrowed and sold by investors betting on falling prices.

Data is updated daily based on official filings with the SEC.
Short Interest Scale
0% 2% 5% 10% 20%+
Low Moderate High Very High Extreme
5.2%

When Does HF Sinclair Report Earnings?

The next earnings date for HF Sinclair is not yet available. Check the company's investor calendar for more information.



Technical Analysis of HF Sinclair 2026 – Signal: Strong Buy

Overall Technical Signal: Strong Buy

Based on trend analysis (SMA50/SMA200) and MACD trend (positive/negative on a daily + weekly basis). Updated August 6, 2026.

Technical analysis of HF Sinclair (DINO.US) – RSI 48, MACD positive (bullish), daily candlestick chart August 2026
HF Sinclair technical analysis – candlestick chart with RSI and MACD. Updated Aug 6, 2026.

Trend Analysis of HF Sinclair Corporation

HF Sinclair Corporation is in a short-term downtrend. The price of $82.98 is 4.8% below the 20-day average ($87.20). Medium term, the picture is positive: the price is 7.9% above the 50-day average ($76.89). Long term, the stock is 37.0% above the 200-day average ($60.55), which confirms a long-term uptrend.

Golden Cross: The 50-day average (76.89) is above the 200-day average (60.55), which is a classic bullish signal for HF Sinclair Corporation.

Is HF Sinclair Corporation overbought or oversold?

HF Sinclair Corporation has an RSI of 47.8, right in the middle of the neutral zone. There is no clear buying or selling pressure.

MACD Analysis for HF Sinclair Corporation

Daily MACD: MACD is positive (3.473), which means the short-term trend is bullish (the 12-day EMA is above the 26-day EMA). MACD is below the signal line (4.493) by 1.020, which suggests the positive momentum is fading – the trend could be turning.

Weekly MACD: MACD5 is positive (8.452), which indicates a broader bullish long-term trend. MACD5 is above the signal line (6.375) by 2.077, which confirms rising long-term momentum.

Overall MACD assessment: Both the daily and weekly trend are bullish (MACD positive). However, momentum shows signs of weakening on a daily basis. Watch whether the trend holds.

Risk Profile for HF Sinclair Corporation

HF Sinclair Corporation has an annual standard deviation of 37.4%, which classifies the stock as medium risk. The price can swing noticeably when the market moves.

Overall Technical Conclusion for HF Sinclair Corporation

Trend: Positive. The price trades above SMA50 and SMA200.

MACD trend (zero line): Daily bullish (3.473). Weekly bullish (8.452).

MACD momentum (signal): Daily falling. Weekly rising.

RSI: 47.8 – neutral.

Technical signal: Strong Buy

The price is in an uptrend (above SMA50/SMA200) and MACD is positive on both a daily and weekly basis. Trend and MACD trend confirm each other – the strongest technical buy signal.

Frequently Asked Questions About HF Sinclair stock in 2026

Should you buy HF Sinclair stock now?
Yes, the technical signal for HF Sinclair is currently BUY. HF Sinclair trades at $82.96 as of 8/6/2026. The overall technical signal is: Strong Buy. The technical analysis shows the following: MACD is positive (bullish trend) at 3.473 with falling momentum (signal: 4.493); RSI is at 47.8 (neutral zone); the stock is in a short-term downtrend (price below the 20-day average); the analyst price target of $88.93 points to 7.2% upside. The stock is in a broader uptrend (above SMA50/SMA200). This is a technical observation based on current data, not investment advice.
What is the price target for HF Sinclair stock?
The average analyst price target for HF Sinclair is $88.93. The current price is $82.96, which gives an upside of 7.2%. Based on this, the stock is considered fairly valued. The fair value range (±10% of the price target) is between $80.04 and $97.82.
Is HF Sinclair a dividend stock?
Yes, HF Sinclair is a dividend stock with a dividend yield of 2.26%. The latest dividend was $0.53 per share. The latest ex-dividend date (traded without the dividend) was 8/11/2026. The payout ratio is 21.0%, which is considered sustainable. The next dividend payment is scheduled for 9/2/2026.
When does HF Sinclair pay a dividend in 2026?
HF Sinclair pays its next dividend on 9/2/2026. The latest dividend was $0.53 per share with an ex-dividend date of 8/11/2026. The dividend yield is 2.26%. The payout ratio of 21.0% points to a sustainable dividend with room to grow.
What is the risk of HF Sinclair stock?
HF Sinclair is rated as a stock with moderate risk. the annual standard deviation is 37.4%, which classifies the stock as moderate risk.
Is HF Sinclair overvalued?
HF Sinclair is considered fairly valued – the price is close to the analyst price target. HF Sinclair has the following valuation ratios: a P/E ratio of 8.5 (lowly valued), a P/S ratio of 0.5, a P/B ratio of 1.6. The stock trades close to the analyst price target and is considered fairly valued.
Is HF Sinclair overbought?
No, HF Sinclair is not overbought. RSI is at 47.8 (neutral zone). The technical indicators show: RSI is at 47.8 (neutral zone between 30-70), which signals neither overbought nor oversold. In addition, the price is 4.9% below the 20-day average (short-term downtrend). In addition, MACD is positive, but momentum is falling.
When is the next HF Sinclair earnings report?
The date of the next earnings report for HF Sinclair has not been published yet. Check the company's investor calendar for updates.
Is HF Sinclair shorted?
Yes, HF Sinclair is shorted with 5.2% of the free float sold short. This is a high level of short selling, which suggests some investors are betting on falling prices. Positive surprises can lead to a moderate short squeeze. Data is updated daily based on official filings with the SEC.
Are insiders buying HF Sinclair stock?
No, insiders are not buying HF Sinclair shares – they are net sellers. Across the last 20 reported transactions, the split is 10 purchases and 10 sales, with a net 159,735 $ sold. Active sellers include Vivek Garg, Valerie Pompa, Manuel J Fernandez and others. Insider selling can have several explanations (e.g. planned 10b5-1 sales, portfolio diversification or taxes), but sustained selling by several insiders is worth watching closely.
Is HF Sinclair a good stock?
Based on our total score, HF Sinclair is rated as a fantastic stock with a total score of 91 out of 100. The stock scores exceptionally high on value, quality and momentum – it is among the best 9% in our database. The score is made up of Value: 95/100, Quality: 82/100, Momentum: 95/100. In addition: a dividend of 2.26%; technical signal: Strong Buy. Whether HF Sinclair is a good investment depends on your time horizon, risk profile and portfolio. This is a data-driven observation, not investment advice.
What is the outlook for HF Sinclair stock?
The outlook for HF Sinclair based on current data: the average analyst price target is $88.93 (+7.2%); the stock is in an uptrend (above SMA50 and SMA200); the P/E ratio is 8.5 (low – a possible value stock). Keep in mind that stock prices are affected by many factors, including earnings reports, the economy and market sentiment. Past returns are no guarantee of future returns.
Why is HF Sinclair stock falling?
HF Sinclair is falling right now. The technical indicators show: the price is 4.9% below the 20-day average; short interest is 5.2% (high – many are betting on a decline); insiders have mostly been buying the stock recently. For the latest context, see our technical analysis, insider section and news overview above.
How high can HF Sinclair go?
The average analyst price target for HF Sinclair is $88.93, which corresponds to a potential gain of 7.2% from the current price of $82.96. Keep in mind that price targets are estimates, not guarantees. Actual price moves depend on earnings, market conditions and unexpected events.
How low can HF Sinclair fall?
We lack enough history to give a specific floor for HF Sinclair. Remember: past price swings are no guarantee for the future — a stock can fall further than the last 52 weeks suggest, especially on profit warnings, sector crises or a market crash. Use stop-loss orders and spread your portfolio to limit losses in single stocks.
What does HF Sinclair do?
HF Sinclair Corporation operates as an independent energy company. The company produces and markets gasoline, diesel fuel, jet fuel, renewable diesel, specialty lubricant products, specialty chemicals, specialty and modified asphalt, and others. It owns and operates refineries... The company belongs to the Energi sector, more specifically the Olie & gas | salg & marketing industry, is headquartered in USA, and is traded on the USA Stocks. See the key figures, earnings history and price development above to evaluate HF Sinclair as an investment.
Did HF Sinclair raise or lower its guidance?
Over the last 60 days we have not registered a guidance raise or cut from HF Sinclair. The company can still adjust its guidance at quarterly reports or between reports — see the earnings history and the news overview above.
Is HF Sinclair making money or losing money?
Yes, HF Sinclair is making money, not losing it. The company has a profit margin (the share of revenue left over as profit) of 6.1% — which is moderate. The operating margin (profit before interest and taxes) is 11.7%. At a P/E ratio of 8.5, you currently pay 8.5 dollars for every dollar of the company's annual earnings. A consistently profitable company is usually more resilient than growth stocks that are not yet making money.
Can HF Sinclair go bankrupt?
The bankruptcy risk of HF Sinclair is rated as low. Altman Z2 (a model for assessing financial distress) is 4.62 — that places the company in the healthy zone. The company has a healthy balance sheet with limited debt relative to earnings and assets. The Piotroski score (financial health 0-9, higher is better) is 9 — which is strong. Debt relative to equity is 79% (moderate). Remember: models like Altman Z2 are statistical — unexpected shocks (fraud, a sector collapse, lawsuits) can always happen. Spread your portfolio.
Does HF Sinclair have a lot of debt?
No, HF Sinclair has low debt relative to equity. The debt-to-equity ratio (D/E — interest-bearing debt to equity) is 79%. For the energi sector, anything below 80% counts as low debt. Note: D/E levels are highly sector-specific — a bank at 300% debt is normal, a tech stock at 300% is extremely leveraged. Always compare with similar companies in the same sector. Can HF Sinclair service its debt? Can service its debt without problems — the interest coverage ratio (how many times earnings can cover interest payments) is 60.8x, and net debt equals 0.2 years of earnings (EBITDA).