Blue Bird (BLBD.US) Price Target 2026/2027: 30% Upside – Rating and Stock Analysis

66,09
-14,09%
Price history for Blue Bird (BLBD.US) – stock price at 66.09 $, August 2026
Blue Bird stock price – price development 2026. Updated Aug 6, 2026.
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Blue Bird Price Target 2026: Analysts See 28% Upside

The average price target for Blue Bird is $84.50. This price target represents the analysts' view of the stock price over the next 12 months. The stock may be undervalued, because the price target is higher than the current price. The stock is 27,86% below the target, which can point to potential returns within the next 12 months if the analysts' view proves right. Also consider the stock's valuation ratios such as P/E, P/S and P/B, plus the technical analysis further down the page, for the full picture.

Is Blue Bird overvalued or undervalued?

Blue Bird is currently undervalued with a gap of 27.9% relative to the price target.


The current price is $66.09, which places Blue Bird in the undervalued category. The stock is considered undervalued when the price is below $76.05, and overvalued when the price exceeds $92.95.


The fair value range is defined as ±10% of the price target, because price targets are estimates rather than exact values. For Blue Bird, the fair value range lies between $76.05 and $92.95.


See the full price target analysis for Blue Bird →

Analyst Ratings for Blue Bird stock in 2026: Buy

7 analysts cover Blue Bird. There is broad agreement on a positive view — 85.7% recommend buying. The average price target is $84.50, which gives an upside of 27.9% from the current price.

Consensus: Buy (4.43/5)
Strong Buy
4 (57.1%)
Buy
2 (28.6%)
Hold
1 (14.3%)
Strong Sell Sell Hold Buy Strong Buy
4.43 out of 5 based on 7 analysts

About Blue Bird – Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery

Blue Bird Corporation laver skolebusser. De designer, producerer og sælger busser i USA, Canada og internationalt. De tjener penge på to måder: gennem salg af selve busserne og salg af reservedele. Blue Bird er især kendt for deres Type C og Type D busser. De satser meget på alternative drivmidler, så de tilbyder busser, der kører på propan, naturgas, benzin og el – udover diesel. De sælger også reservedele og giver finansiering og udvidede garantier. Virksomheden sælger direkte til flådeoperatører og offentlige myndigheder, men også via et netværk af forhandlere. Blue Bird Corporation blev grundlagt helt tilbage i 1927. Read more about the company

Key Figures for Blue Bird

$ 2,5B Market cap
$ 1,5B Revenue
Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery Industry
19.08 P/E
1.58 P/S
7.90 P/B
USA Listed on exchange
Industri Sector

What kind of stock is Blue Bird?

Quality stock Momentum stock

Blue Bird is classified as a quality stock and momentum stock. This means the stock combines several attractive traits, strong financial health (Piotroski 8/9), and strong price momentum.

Score Overview for Blue Bird

💰 Value Score 63/100 (High)
⭐ Quality Score 79/100 (High)
🚀 Momentum Score 86/100 (Very High)
📊 Total Score 76/100

⚠️ 2 red flags identified

Our analysis has identified 2 potential risk factors in Blue Bird that investors should be aware of.

⚠️ High debt: The debt-to-equity ratio is 229% – the company carries considerably more debt than equity, which raises the financial risk.
⚠️ High short interest: 14.4% of the shares are sold short – many professional investors are betting on price declines.

📈 Valuation

Blue Bird trades at a P/E ratio of 19.1, which is close to the market average. The forward P/E is 15.2 (20% lower), which suggests the market expects rising earnings. The P/S ratio is 1.6. The P/B ratio is 7.9. The PEG ratio is 1.13.

💵 Profitability & Growth

Blue Bird has a profit margin of 8.9% (moderate) and an operating margin of 11.0%. Return on equity (ROE) is 54.5% — excellent return on equity. Return on assets (ROA) is 18.0%. The latest quarterly earnings grew 13.9% year over year.

🏦 Financial Health

The Piotroski score is 8 out of 9 — excellent financial health. Altman Z2 is 5.21 (healthy balance sheet — low risk). The debt-to-equity ratio (D/E) is 229.0% — high debt, which raises the risk.

🚀 Momentum & Short Interest

Short interest is 14.40% — very high, the market is skeptical.

Insider Trading in Blue Bird 2026: The Signal Is clearly positive

In 2026, insiders at Blue Bird have made 20 transactions – split into 3 purchases and 17 sales. On a net basis, insiders took 4,772,049 $ out of the stock. Active insiders include Thau Daniel Mark, Daniel Mark Thau, Sanfrey Jeffrey Scott and others. In the short term (last 3 months), the insider signal is clearly positive.

Short-Term Signal (3 months): Clearly positive

Insiders have exclusively bought shares over the last 3 months. This is a strong signal of confidence in the company in the short term.

Over the last 3 months: 1 purchases and 0 sales. A net 19,527 $ into the stock.

Long-Term Signal (all transactions): Mostly negative

Insiders have sold considerably more than they have bought. At large companies this can be due to planned sales (10b5-1 plans) and is not necessarily a negative signal.

Across the last 20 transactions: 3 purchases and 17 sales. A net 4,772,049 $ out of the stock.

Latest purchase: Thau Daniel Mark bought 300 shares at 65 $ each on 2026-05-19. The stock has since risen 18.2%.

Latest sale: Sanfrey Jeffrey Scott sold 5,192 shares at 59 $ each on 2026-03-04.

Who is buying: Thau Daniel Mark, Daniel Mark Thau.

Who is selling: Sanfrey Jeffrey Scott, Jeffrey Scott Sanfrey, Razvan Radulescu, Radulescu Razvan, Scartz Ted and others.

Latest Insider Trades in Blue Bird (2026)

The table shows the last 20 reported insider transactions in Blue Bird. Green rows are purchases, red rows are sales. The data is based on official filings.

Transaction date Name Type Number of shares Price per share ($) Total amount ($)
2026-05-19 Thau Daniel Mark Buy 300 65 19,527
2026-03-04 Sanfrey Jeffrey Scott Sell 5,192 59 303,940
2026-03-04 Jeffrey Scott Sanfrey Sell 5,192 59 303,940
2026-02-19 Razvan Radulescu Sell 3,925 61 239,347
2026-02-19 Radulescu Razvan Sell 3,925 61 239,347
2025-12-17 Radulescu Razvan Sell 3,503 52 180,685
2025-12-12 Scartz Ted Sell 626 50 31,525
2025-12-12 Sanfrey Jeffrey Scott Sell 549 50 27,648
2025-12-12 Radulescu Razvan Sell 2,907 50 146,397
2025-12-12 Phil Horlock Sell 15,381 50 775,510

Who is buying and selling Blue Bird shares in 2026?

The following insiders have bought shares in Blue Bird: Thau Daniel Mark, Daniel Mark Thau. In total, 60,367 $ was bought across 3 transactions. The following insiders have sold shares: Sanfrey Jeffrey Scott, Jeffrey Scott Sanfrey, Razvan Radulescu, Radulescu Razvan, Scartz Ted and others. In total, 4,832,416 $ was sold across 17 transactions. Insider trades are legal transactions in which executives and board members buy or sell shares of their own company. These transactions are reported to the SEC and are publicly available.

Blue Bird Short Selling 2026: 14.4% Sold Short

Very high short interest: 14.4% of the free float
Short % of free float
14.4%
Assessment
Very high short interest
Short squeeze risk
High
Data source
SEC
Updated daily
The stock has a very high share of short selling. Between 10-20% of the freely traded shares are sold short, which points to considerable bearish sentiment. A positive earnings report or unexpectedly good news can trigger a short squeeze with sharp price gains.

What does this mean for you as an investor?
A short interest of 14.4% means that 14.4% of the freely traded shares in Blue Bird have been borrowed and sold by investors betting on falling prices. On positive surprises (e.g. a strong earnings report), short sellers can be forced to buy back shares quickly to close their positions, which can cause a short squeeze with sharp price gains in a short time.

Data is updated daily based on official filings with the SEC.
Short Interest Scale
0% 2% 5% 10% 20%+
Low Moderate High Very High Extreme
14.4%

When Does Blue Bird Report Earnings?

The next earnings date for Blue Bird is not yet available. Check the company's investor calendar for more information.



Technical Analysis of Blue Bird 2026 – Signal: Buy

Overall Technical Signal: Buy

Based on trend analysis (SMA50/SMA200) and MACD trend (positive/negative on a daily + weekly basis). Updated August 6, 2026.

Technical analysis of Blue Bird (BLBD.US) – RSI 52, MACD positive (bullish), daily candlestick chart August 2026
Blue Bird technical analysis – candlestick chart with RSI and MACD. Updated Aug 6, 2026.

Trend Analysis of Blue Bird Corporation

Blue Bird Corporation is in a short-term downtrend. The price of $76.93 is 0.1% below the 20-day average ($76.97). Medium term, the picture is positive: the price is 2.6% above the 50-day average ($74.99). Long term, the stock is 27.0% above the 200-day average ($60.57), which confirms a long-term uptrend.

Golden Cross: The 50-day average (74.99) is above the 200-day average (60.57), which is a classic bullish signal for Blue Bird Corporation.

Is Blue Bird Corporation overbought or oversold?

Blue Bird Corporation has an RSI of 52.4, right in the middle of the neutral zone. There is no clear buying or selling pressure.

MACD Analysis for Blue Bird Corporation

Daily MACD: MACD is positive (0.042), which means the short-term trend is bullish (the 12-day EMA is above the 26-day EMA). MACD is below the signal line (0.343) by 0.301, which suggests the positive momentum is fading – the trend could be turning.

Weekly MACD: MACD5 is positive (5.873), which indicates a broader bullish long-term trend. MACD5 is above the signal line (5.513) by 0.360, which confirms rising long-term momentum.

Overall MACD assessment: Both the daily and weekly trend are bullish (MACD positive). However, momentum shows signs of weakening on a daily basis. Watch whether the trend holds.

Risk Profile for Blue Bird Corporation

Blue Bird Corporation has an annual standard deviation of 43.7%, which classifies the stock as medium risk. The price can swing noticeably when the market moves.

Overall Technical Conclusion for Blue Bird Corporation

Trend: Neutral/mixed.

MACD trend (zero line): Daily bullish (0.042). Weekly bullish (5.873).

MACD momentum (signal): Daily falling. Weekly rising.

RSI: 52.4 – neutral.

Technical signal: Buy

The broader trend is positive and MACD supports the picture. Consider buying with a stop-loss below the nearest support level.

Frequently Asked Questions About Blue Bird stock in 2026

Should you buy Blue Bird stock now?
Yes, the technical signal for Blue Bird is currently BUY. Blue Bird trades at $66.09 as of 8/6/2026. The overall technical signal is: Buy. The technical analysis shows the following: MACD is positive (bullish trend) at 0.042 with falling momentum (signal: 0.343); RSI is at 52.4 (neutral zone); the stock is in a short-term downtrend (price below the 20-day average); the analyst price target of $84.50 points to 27.9% upside. This is a technical observation based on current data, not investment advice.
What is the price target for Blue Bird stock?
The average analyst price target for Blue Bird is $84.50. The current price is $66.09, which gives an upside of 27.9%. Based on this, the stock is considered undervalued. The fair value range (±10% of the price target) is between $76.05 and $92.95.
Is Blue Bird a dividend stock?
No, Blue Bird does not currently pay a dividend to shareholders. The company reinvests its profits in growth instead of paying dividends.
What is the risk of Blue Bird stock?
Blue Bird is rated as a stock with moderate risk. the annual standard deviation is 43.7%, which classifies the stock as moderate risk.
Is Blue Bird overvalued?
No, Blue Bird is considered undervalued based on the analyst price target (27.9% upside). Blue Bird has the following valuation ratios: a P/E ratio of 19.1 (moderately valued), a P/S ratio of 1.6, a P/B ratio of 7.9. The analyst price target suggests that the stock is undervalued by 27.9%.
Is Blue Bird overbought?
No, Blue Bird is not overbought. RSI is at 52.4 (neutral zone). The technical indicators show: RSI is at 52.4 (neutral zone between 30-70), which signals neither overbought nor oversold. In addition, the price is 14.1% below the 20-day average (short-term downtrend). In addition, MACD is positive, but momentum is falling.
When is the next Blue Bird earnings report?
The date of the next earnings report for Blue Bird has not been published yet. Check the company's investor calendar for updates.
Is Blue Bird shorted?
Yes, Blue Bird is shorted with 14.4% of the free float sold short. This is a very high level of short selling, which points to considerable bearish sentiment. A positive earnings report or unexpectedly good news can trigger a short squeeze with sharp price gains. Data is updated daily based on official filings with the SEC.
Are insiders buying Blue Bird stock?
Yes, insiders are net buyers of Blue Bird – they are buying more shares than they are selling. Over the last 3 months, insiders have made 1 purchases and 0 sales. On a net basis, 19,527 $ worth of shares were bought. Across the last 20 reported transactions, the split is 3 purchases and 17 sales, with a net 4,772,049 $ sold. Active buyers include Thau Daniel Mark, Daniel Mark Thau. Insider buying is generally seen as a positive signal, because management is putting its own money into the company.
Is Blue Bird a good stock?
Based on our total score, Blue Bird is rated as a good stock with a total score of 76 out of 100. The stock scores above average on value, quality and momentum – it is among the top 24% in our database. The score is made up of Value: 63/100, Quality: 79/100, Momentum: 86/100. In addition: analysts see 27.9% upside to the price target; technical signal: Buy. Whether Blue Bird is a good investment depends on your time horizon, risk profile and portfolio. This is a data-driven observation, not investment advice.
What is the outlook for Blue Bird stock?
The outlook for Blue Bird based on current data: the average analyst price target is $84.50 (+27.9%); the P/E ratio is 19.1 (moderate). Keep in mind that stock prices are affected by many factors, including earnings reports, the economy and market sentiment. Past returns are no guarantee of future returns.
Why is Blue Bird stock falling?
Blue Bird is falling right now. The technical indicators show: the price is 14.1% below the 20-day average; short interest is 14.4% (high – many are betting on a decline); insiders have mostly been selling the stock recently. For the latest context, see our technical analysis, insider section and news overview above.
How high can Blue Bird go?
The average analyst price target for Blue Bird is $84.50, which corresponds to a potential gain of 27.9% from the current price of $66.09. Keep in mind that price targets are estimates, not guarantees. Actual price moves depend on earnings, market conditions and unexpected events.
How low can Blue Bird fall?
We lack enough history to give a specific floor for Blue Bird. Remember: past price swings are no guarantee for the future — a stock can fall further than the last 52 weeks suggest, especially on profit warnings, sector crises or a market crash. Use stop-loss orders and spread your portfolio to limit losses in single stocks.
What does Blue Bird do?
Blue Bird Corporation laver skolebusser. De designer, producerer og sælger busser i USA, Canada og internationalt. De tjener penge på to måder: gennem salg af selve busserne og salg af reservedele. Blue Bird er især kendt for deres Type C og Type D busser. De satser meget på ... The company belongs to the Industri sector, more specifically the Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery industry, is headquartered in USA, and is traded on the USA Stocks. See the key figures, earnings history and price development above to evaluate Blue Bird as an investment.
Did Blue Bird raise or lower its guidance?
Over the last 60 days we have not registered a guidance raise or cut from Blue Bird. The company can still adjust its guidance at quarterly reports or between reports — see the earnings history and the news overview above.
Is Blue Bird making money or losing money?
Yes, Blue Bird is making money, not losing it. The company has a profit margin (the share of revenue left over as profit) of 8.9% — which is moderate. The operating margin (profit before interest and taxes) is 11.0%. At a P/E ratio of 19.1, you currently pay 19.1 dollars for every dollar of the company's annual earnings. A consistently profitable company is usually more resilient than growth stocks that are not yet making money.
Can Blue Bird go bankrupt?
The bankruptcy risk of Blue Bird is rated as low. Altman Z2 (a model for assessing financial distress) is 5.21 — that places the company in the healthy zone. The company has a healthy balance sheet with limited debt relative to earnings and assets. The Piotroski score (financial health 0-9, higher is better) is 8 — which is strong. Debt relative to equity is 229% (high). Remember: models like Altman Z2 are statistical — unexpected shocks (fraud, a sector collapse, lawsuits) can always happen. Spread your portfolio.
Does Blue Bird have a lot of debt?
Yes, Blue Bird has elevated debt relative to equity. The debt-to-equity ratio (D/E — interest-bearing debt to equity) is 229%. For the industri sector, anything above 150% counts as elevated — that raises the financial risk, especially if interest rates rise or earnings fall. Note: D/E levels are highly sector-specific — a bank at 300% debt is normal, a tech stock at 300% is extremely leveraged. Always compare with similar companies in the same sector. Can Blue Bird service its debt? Can service its debt without problems — the interest coverage ratio (how many times earnings can cover interest payments) is 25.9x, and the company has more cash than debt (net cash).