Alibaba Group (BABA.US) Price Target 2026/2027: 50% Upside – Rating and Stock Analysis

126,46
-1,61%
Price history for Alibaba Group (BABA.US) – stock price at 126.46 $, August 2026
Alibaba Group stock price – price development 2026. Updated Aug 6, 2026.
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Alibaba Group Price Target 2026: Analysts See 50% Upside

The average price target for Alibaba Group is $190.16. This price target represents the analysts' view of the stock price over the next 12 months. The stock may be undervalued, because the price target is higher than the current price. The stock is 50,37% below the target, which can point to potential returns within the next 12 months if the analysts' view proves right. Also consider the stock's valuation ratios such as P/E, P/S and P/B, plus the technical analysis further down the page, for the full picture.

Is Alibaba Group overvalued or undervalued?

Alibaba Group is currently undervalued with a gap of 50.4% relative to the price target.


The current price is $126.46, which places Alibaba Group in the undervalued category. The stock is considered undervalued when the price is below $171.14, and overvalued when the price exceeds $209.18.


The fair value range is defined as ±10% of the price target, because price targets are estimates rather than exact values. For Alibaba Group, the fair value range lies between $171.14 and $209.18.


See the full price target analysis for Alibaba Group →

Analyst Ratings for Alibaba Group stock in 2026: Strong Buy

40 analysts cover Alibaba Group. There is broad agreement on a positive view — 95% recommend buying. The average price target is $190.16, which gives an upside of 50.4% from the current price.

Consensus: Strong Buy (4.70/5)
Strong Buy
30 (75%)
Buy
8 (20%)
Hold
2 (5%)
Strong Sell Sell Hold Buy Strong Buy
4.70 out of 5 based on 40 analysts

About Alibaba Group – Internetforhandler

Alibaba Group driver en kæmpe teknologisk infrastruktur, der hjælper firmaer og brands med at nå ud til kunder i Kina og internationalt. De tjener primært penge på deres Core Commerce-forretning, hvor de driver store handelsplatforme. Blandt deres mest kendte platforme er Taobao Marketplace, som er en social handelsplads, og Tmall, der er for brands og store detailhandlere. Alibaba sælger også engrosvarer gennem Alibaba.com og driver internationale e-handelsplatforme som AliExpress og Lazada. De har også en stor forretning inden for Cloud Computing og digital underholdning. Alibaba Group blev grundlagt i 1999 og har hovedkvarter i Hangzhou, Kina. Virksomheden forbinder millioner af købmænd med brugere globalt. Read more about the company

Key Figures for Alibaba Group

$ 309B Market cap
$ 1,0T Revenue
Internetforhandler Industry
19.54 P/E
0.30 P/S
1.87 P/B
USA Listed on exchange

What kind of stock is Alibaba Group?

Growth stock Value stock

Alibaba Group is classified as a growth stock and value stock. This means the stock combines several attractive traits.

Score Overview for Alibaba Group

💰 Value Score 80/100 (Very High)
⭐ Quality Score 28/100 (Low)
🚀 Momentum Score 32/100 (Low)
📊 Total Score 46/100

📈 Valuation

Alibaba Group trades at a P/E ratio of 19.5, which is close to the market average. The forward P/E is 19.2 (2% lower), which suggests the market expects rising earnings. The P/S ratio is 0.3 (low — potentially undervalued relative to revenue). The P/B ratio is 1.9. The PEG ratio is 0.50 — below 1.0 suggests the stock is cheap relative to its growth rate.

💵 Profitability & Growth

Alibaba Group has a profit margin of 10.1% (solid) and an operating margin of 1.0%. Return on equity (ROE) is 9.2%. Return on assets (ROA) is 2.1%. The latest quarterly earnings grew 104.1% year over year — strong growth.

🏦 Financial Health

The Piotroski score is 4 out of 9 — average financial health. Altman Z2 is 3.47 (healthy balance sheet — low risk). The debt-to-equity ratio (D/E) is 70.7% — low debt, a solid balance sheet.

🚀 Momentum & Short Interest

Short interest is 1.79% — low, the market does not expect a decline.

Alibaba Group Dividend 2026: 0.8% Dividend Yield

Dividend Key Figures for Alibaba Group in 2026

Dividend yield
0.82%
Dividend per share
1.05 USD
Payout ratio
8.7%
Low
Dividend growth (1 years)
-34.0%
Avg. annual dividend (3 years)
0.83 USD

When does Alibaba Group pay a dividend in 2026?

Latest ex-dividend date (traded without the dividend)
June 11, 2026
Next dividend payment
July 13, 2026
Latest payment date
July 13, 2026

How much does Alibaba Group pay in dividends?

Alibaba Group pays dividends to its shareholders. The most recently paid dividend was 1.05 USD per share, which corresponds to a dividend yield of 0.82%. Over the last 1 years, the annual dividend has fallen by 34.0%.

The payout ratio is 8.7%, which is low. This suggests the company prioritizes reinvesting in growth over dividend payments. There is good room to raise the dividend in the future.

Historical Dividend Payments for Alibaba Group

We have registered dividend payments for Alibaba Group since 2023-12-20. In that period the stock has paid a dividend 11 times, most recently on 2026-06-11. However, the stock does not qualify as a stable or sporadic dividend stock, because the dividend payments have been inconsistent in recent years.

Ex-datePayment dateAmountCurrencyPeriod
2026-06-112026-07-131.05USDUnknown period
2026-06-112026-07-131.05USDUnknown period
2026-06-112026-07-131.05USDUnknown period
2026-06-112026-07-131.05USDUnknown period
2026-06-112026-07-131.05USDUnknown period
2026-06-112026-07-131.05USDUnknown period
2026-06-112026-07-131.05USDUnknown period
2026-06-112026-07-131.05USDUnknown period
2026-06-112026-07-131.05USDUnknown period
2024-06-132024-07-120.66USDUnknown period
2023-12-202024-01-181.00USDUnknown period

Insider Trading in Alibaba Group 2026: The Signal Is negative

In 2026, insiders at Alibaba Group have made 11 transactions – split into 3 purchases and 8 sales. On a net basis, insiders took 24,476,955 $ out of the stock. Active insiders include Alibaba Group Holding Ltd, EVANS J. MICHAEL, Yu Siying and others. In the short term (last 3 months), the insider signal is negative.

Short-Term Signal (3 months): Negative

Insiders have exclusively sold shares over the last 3 months.

Over the last 3 months: 0 purchases and 5 sales. A net 66,513,951 $ out of the stock.

Long-Term Signal (all transactions): Mixed

There are both insider purchases and sales, with no clear direction. This is normal for large companies, where management adjusts positions on an ongoing basis.

Across the last 11 transactions: 3 purchases and 8 sales. A net 24,476,955 $ out of the stock.

Latest purchase: Alibaba Group Holding Ltd bought 1,812,720 shares at 12 $ each on 2015-05-08. The stock has since risen 1001.4%.

Latest sale: EVANS J. MICHAEL sold 692,992 shares at 96 $ each on 2026-06-29.

Who is buying: Alibaba Group Holding Ltd.

Who is selling: EVANS J. MICHAEL, Yu Siying, Xu Hong, Jiang Fang, Jiang Fan (FJ).

Latest Insider Trades in Alibaba Group (2026)

The table shows the last 11 reported insider transactions in Alibaba Group. Green rows are purchases, red rows are sales. The data is based on official filings.

Transaction date Name Type Number of shares Price per share ($) Total amount ($)
2026-06-29 EVANS J. MICHAEL Sell 692,992 96 66,243,105
2026-06-25 Yu Siying Sell 3,336 12 40,366
2026-06-25 Xu Hong Sell 10,000 12 121,500
2026-06-25 Jiang Fang Sell 1,672 12 20,214
2026-06-25 Jiang Fan (FJ) Sell 7,336 12 88,766
2026-03-25 Yu Siying Sell 25,336 16 406,896
2026-03-25 Xu Hong Sell 62,000 16 996,340
2026-03-25 Jiang Fang Sell 2,672 16 43,019
2015-05-08 Alibaba Group Holding Ltd Buy 1,812,720 12 21,154,442
2015-05-07 Alibaba Group Holding Ltd Buy 1,725,680 11 18,551,060

Who is buying and selling Alibaba Group shares in 2026?

The following insiders have bought shares in Alibaba Group: Alibaba Group Holding Ltd. In total, 43,483,251 $ was bought across 3 transactions. The following insiders have sold shares: EVANS J. MICHAEL, Yu Siying, Xu Hong, Jiang Fang, Jiang Fan (FJ). In total, 67,960,206 $ was sold across 8 transactions. Insider trades are legal transactions in which executives and board members buy or sell shares of their own company. These transactions are reported to the SEC and are publicly available.

Alibaba Group Short Selling 2026: 1.8% Sold Short

Low short interest: 1.8% of the free float
Short % of free float
1.8%
Assessment
Low short interest
Short squeeze risk
Low
Data source
SEC
Updated daily
The stock has a low share of short selling. Less than 2% of the freely traded shares are sold short, which points to limited bearish sentiment.

Data is updated daily based on official filings with the SEC.
Short Interest Scale
0% 2% 5% 10% 20%+
Low Moderate High Very High Extreme
1.8%

When Does Alibaba Group Report Earnings – Next Date: 9/4/2026

The next earnings report from Alibaba Group is scheduled for September 4, 2026. This report covers the second quarter (Q2), which ended on June 30, 2026.



Technical Analysis of Alibaba Group 2026 – Signal: Hold

Overall Technical Signal: Hold

Based on trend analysis (SMA50/SMA200) and MACD trend (positive/negative on a daily + weekly basis). Updated August 6, 2026.

Technical analysis of Alibaba Group (BABA.US) – RSI 70, MACD positive (bullish), daily candlestick chart August 2026
Alibaba Group technical analysis – candlestick chart with RSI and MACD. Updated Aug 6, 2026.

Trend Analysis of Alibaba Group Holding Limited

Alibaba Group Holding Limited is in a short-term uptrend. The price of $128.53 is 9.5% above the 20-day average ($117.40). Medium term, the picture is positive: the price is 13.2% above the 50-day average ($113.58). Long term, the stock is 7.8% below the 200-day average ($139.43), which signals a long-term downtrend.

Death Cross: The 50-day average (113.58) is below the 200-day average (139.43), which is a classic bearish signal for Alibaba Group Holding Limited.

Is Alibaba Group Holding Limited overbought or oversold?

Alibaba Group Holding Limited has an RSI of 70.1, which places the stock in overbought territory (above 70). With a neutral trend, the overbought level can signal an upcoming pullback.

MACD Analysis for Alibaba Group Holding Limited

Daily MACD: MACD is positive (3.895), which means the short-term trend is bullish (the 12-day EMA is above the 26-day EMA). MACD is above the signal line (2.174) by 1.721, which confirms rising momentum in the uptrend.

Weekly MACD: MACD5 is negative (-7.634), which indicates a broader bearish long-term trend. MACD5 is above the signal line (-8.075) by 0.441, which suggests the negative long-term momentum is fading – a bigger trend reversal could be ahead.

Overall MACD assessment: The daily and weekly MACD give conflicting signals. The short-term trend is bullish, but the long-term trend is still bearish. Weekly momentum is rising, though, which could signal an upcoming trend reversal.

Risk Profile for Alibaba Group Holding Limited

Alibaba Group Holding Limited has an annual standard deviation of 45.1%, which classifies the stock as high risk. Sizeable price swings are normal, and the stock requires a higher risk tolerance.

Overall Technical Conclusion for Alibaba Group Holding Limited

Trend: Neutral/mixed.

MACD trend (zero line): Daily bullish (3.895). Weekly bearish (-7.634).

MACD momentum (signal): Daily rising. Weekly rising.

RSI: 70.1 – overbought.

Technical signal: Hold

The signals are mixed – trend and MACD point in different directions. Wait until MACD crosses the zero line in the direction of the trend before acting.

Frequently Asked Questions About Alibaba Group stock in 2026

Should you buy Alibaba Group stock now?
The technical signal for Alibaba Group is currently NEUTRAL. Alibaba Group trades at $126.46 as of 8/6/2026. The overall technical signal is: Hold. The technical analysis shows the following: MACD is positive (bullish trend) at 3.895 with rising momentum (signal: 2.174); RSI is at 70.1 (overbought), suggesting the price may have risen too quickly; the stock is in a short-term uptrend (price above the 20-day average); the analyst price target of $190.16 points to 50.4% upside. This is a technical observation based on current data, not investment advice.
What is the price target for Alibaba Group stock?
The average analyst price target for Alibaba Group is $190.16. The current price is $126.46, which gives an upside of 50.4%. Based on this, the stock is considered undervalued. The fair value range (±10% of the price target) is between $171.14 and $209.18.
Is Alibaba Group a dividend stock?
Yes, Alibaba Group is a dividend stock with a dividend yield of 0.82%. The latest dividend was $1.05 per share. The latest ex-dividend date (traded without the dividend) was 6/11/2026. The payout ratio is 8.7%, which is considered sustainable. The next dividend payment is scheduled for 7/13/2026.
When does Alibaba Group pay a dividend in 2026?
Alibaba Group pays its next dividend on 7/13/2026. The latest dividend was $1.05 per share with an ex-dividend date of 6/11/2026. The dividend yield is 0.82%. The payout ratio of 8.7% points to a sustainable dividend with room to grow.
What is the risk of Alibaba Group stock?
Alibaba Group is rated as a stock with high risk. the annual standard deviation is 45.1%, which classifies the stock as high risk. In addition, an RSI of 70.1 signals overbought (elevated risk of a pullback).
Is Alibaba Group overvalued?
No, Alibaba Group is considered undervalued based on the analyst price target (50.4% upside). Alibaba Group has the following valuation ratios: a P/E ratio of 19.5 (moderately valued), a P/S ratio of 0.3, a P/B ratio of 1.9. The analyst price target suggests that the stock is undervalued by 50.4%.
Is Alibaba Group overbought?
Yes, Alibaba Group is overbought with an RSI of 70.1 (above 70). The technical indicators show: RSI is at 70.1 (above the 70 mark), which signals the price is overbought and may have risen too quickly. In addition, the price is 7.7% above the 20-day average (short-term uptrend). In addition, MACD is positive with rising momentum (bullish).
When is the next Alibaba Group earnings report?
Alibaba Group reports its next earnings on September 4, 2026. The stock currently trades at $126.46. With a P/E ratio of 19.5, the market will be watching closely whether earnings meet expectations. The RSI is at 70.1, so the report can reinforce the current technical trend.
Is Alibaba Group shorted?
Yes, Alibaba Group is shorted with 1.8% of the free float sold short. This is a moderate level of short selling, within the normal range for most stocks. Data is updated daily based on official filings with the SEC.
Are insiders buying Alibaba Group stock?
No, insiders are not buying Alibaba Group shares – they are net sellers. Over the last 3 months, insiders have made 0 purchases and 5 sales. On a net basis, 66,513,951 $ worth of shares were sold. Across the last 11 reported transactions, the split is 3 purchases and 8 sales, with a net 24,476,955 $ sold. Active sellers include EVANS J. MICHAEL, Yu Siying, Xu Hong and others. Insider selling can have several explanations (e.g. planned 10b5-1 sales, portfolio diversification or taxes), but sustained selling by several insiders is worth watching closely.
Is Alibaba Group a good stock?
Based on our total score, Alibaba Group is rated as a mediocre stock with a total score of 47 out of 100. The stock scores around average on value, quality and momentum – it sits near the median in our database. The score is made up of Value: 80/100, Quality: 28/100, Momentum: 32/100. In addition: analysts see 50.4% upside to the price target; a dividend of 0.82%; technical signal: Hold. Whether Alibaba Group is a good investment depends on your time horizon, risk profile and portfolio. This is a data-driven observation, not investment advice.
What is the outlook for Alibaba Group stock?
The outlook for Alibaba Group based on current data: the average analyst price target is $190.16 (+50.4%); the next earnings report is due on 9/4/2026, which can move the price; the P/E ratio is 19.5 (moderate). Keep in mind that stock prices are affected by many factors, including earnings reports, the economy and market sentiment. Past returns are no guarantee of future returns.
Why is Alibaba Group stock rising?
Alibaba Group is rising right now. The technical indicators show: the price is 7.7% above the 20-day average; MACD is positive with rising momentum (bullish signal); insiders have mostly been selling the stock recently. For the latest context, see our technical analysis, insider section and news overview above.
How high can Alibaba Group go?
The average analyst price target for Alibaba Group is $190.16, which corresponds to a potential gain of 50.4% from the current price of $126.46. Keep in mind that price targets are estimates, not guarantees. Actual price moves depend on earnings, market conditions and unexpected events.
How low can Alibaba Group fall?
We lack enough history to give a specific floor for Alibaba Group. Remember: past price swings are no guarantee for the future — a stock can fall further than the last 52 weeks suggest, especially on profit warnings, sector crises or a market crash. Use stop-loss orders and spread your portfolio to limit losses in single stocks.
What does Alibaba Group do?
Alibaba Group driver en kæmpe teknologisk infrastruktur, der hjælper firmaer og brands med at nå ud til kunder i Kina og internationalt. De tjener primært penge på deres Core Commerce-forretning, hvor de driver store handelsplatforme. Blandt deres mest kendte platforme er Tao... The company belongs to the Cyklisk forbrug sector, more specifically the Internetforhandler industry, is headquartered in USA, and is traded on the USA Stocks. See the key figures, earnings history and price development above to evaluate Alibaba Group as an investment.
Did Alibaba Group raise or lower its guidance?
Over the last 60 days we have not registered a guidance raise or cut from Alibaba Group. The company can still adjust its guidance at quarterly reports or between reports — see the earnings history and the news overview above.
Is Alibaba Group making money or losing money?
Yes, Alibaba Group is making money, not losing it. The company has a profit margin (the share of revenue left over as profit) of 10.1% — which is solid. The operating margin (profit before interest and taxes) is 1.0%. At a P/E ratio of 19.5, you currently pay 19.5 dollars for every dollar of the company's annual earnings. A consistently profitable company is usually more resilient than growth stocks that are not yet making money.
Can Alibaba Group go bankrupt?
The bankruptcy risk of Alibaba Group is rated as low. Altman Z2 (a model for assessing financial distress) is 3.47 — that places the company in the healthy zone. The company has a healthy balance sheet with limited debt relative to earnings and assets. The Piotroski score (financial health 0-9, higher is better) is 4 — which is average. Debt relative to equity is 71% (moderate). Remember: models like Altman Z2 are statistical — unexpected shocks (fraud, a sector collapse, lawsuits) can always happen. Spread your portfolio.
Does Alibaba Group have a lot of debt?
No, Alibaba Group has low debt relative to equity. The debt-to-equity ratio (D/E — interest-bearing debt to equity) is 71%. For the cyklisk forbrug sector, anything below 80% counts as low debt. Note: D/E levels are highly sector-specific — a bank at 300% debt is normal, a tech stock at 300% is extremely leveraged. Always compare with similar companies in the same sector. Can Alibaba Group service its debt? Could struggle to service its debt — the interest coverage ratio (how many times earnings can cover interest payments) is -0.1x, and net debt equals 0.8 years of earnings (EBITDA).