Alibaba (BABA.US) Price Target 2026/2027: 70% Upside – Rating and Stock Analysis

109.26
Price history for Alibaba (BABA.US) – stock price at $109.26, October 2026
Alibaba stock price – price development 2026. Updated Oct 7, 2026.
Share this analysis:

Alibaba Price Target 2026: Analysts See 70% Upside

The average price target for Alibaba is $185.43. This price target represents the analysts' view of the stock price over the next 12 months. The stock may be undervalued, because the price target is higher than the current price. The stock is 69.71% below the target, which can point to potential returns within the next 12 months if the analysts' view proves right. Also consider the stock's valuation ratios such as P/E, P/S and P/B, plus the technical analysis further down the page, for the full picture.

Is Alibaba overvalued or undervalued?

Alibaba is currently undervalued with a gap of 69.7% relative to the price target.


The current price is $109.26, which places Alibaba in the undervalued category. The stock is considered undervalued when the price is below $166.89, and overvalued when the price exceeds $203.97.


The fair value range is defined as ±10% of the price target, because price targets are estimates rather than exact values. For Alibaba, the fair value range lies between $166.89 and $203.97.


See the full price target analysis for Alibaba →

Analyst Ratings for Alibaba stock in 2026: Strong Buy

40 analysts cover Alibaba. There is broad agreement on a positive view — 95% recommend buying. The average price target is $185.43, which gives an upside of 69.7% from the current price.

Consensus: Strong Buy (4.70/5)
Strong Buy
30 (75%)
Buy
8 (20%)
Hold
2 (5%)
Strong Sell Sell Hold Buy Strong Buy
4.70 out of 5 based on 40 analysts

About Alibaba – Internet Retail

Alibaba Group runs large online platforms that connect businesses and brands with customers in China and around the world. The company mainly makes money from its Core Commerce business, which includes running big trading platforms where goods are bought and sold.

Its best-known platforms include Taobao Marketplace, a social shopping site, and Tmall, which is aimed at brands and large retailers. Alibaba also sells wholesale goods through Alibaba.com and runs international online shopping platforms such as AliExpress and Lazada. Besides trading platforms, the company has a large Cloud Computing business, which means it rents out computer storage and processing power to other businesses over the internet. It also has operations in digital entertainment.

Alibaba Group was founded in 1999 and is based in Hangzhou, China. The company connects millions of merchants with users worldwide.
Read more about the company

Key Figures for Alibaba

$268B Market cap
$1.0T Revenue
Internet Retail Industry
24.65 P/E
0.26 P/S
1.76 P/B
United States Listed on exchange

What kind of stock is Alibaba?

Value stock

Alibaba is classified as a value stock with a value score in the top 28% of all stocks. The P/E ratio of 24.7 points to an attractive valuation.

Score Overview for Alibaba

💰 Value Score 72/100 (High)
⭐ Quality Score 42/100 (Neutral)
🚀 Momentum Score 22/100 (Low)
📊 Total Score 45/100

⚠️ 1 red flag identified 1 critical

Our analysis has identified 1 potential risk factor in Alibaba that investors should be aware of.

🚨 Falling earnings: Quarterly earnings have fallen 79% year over year – the company's profitability is under pressure.

📈 Valuation

Alibaba trades at a P/E ratio of 24.7, which is close to the market average. The forward P/E is 17.9 (27% lower), which suggests the market expects rising earnings. The P/S ratio is 0.3 (low — potentially undervalued relative to revenue). The P/B ratio is 1.8. The PEG ratio is 0.51 — below 1.0 suggests the stock is cheap relative to its growth rate.

💵 Profitability & Growth

Alibaba has a profit margin of 7.0% (moderate) and an operating margin of 7.3%. Return on equity (ROE) is 6.4%. Return on assets (ROA) is 1.6%. The latest quarterly earnings grew -79.4% year over year — falling earnings.

🏦 Financial Health

The Piotroski score is 6 out of 9 — good financial health. Altman Z2 is 3.36 (healthy balance sheet — low risk). The debt-to-equity ratio (D/E) is 70.7% — low debt, a solid balance sheet.

🚀 Momentum & Short Interest

Short interest is 1.68% — low, the market does not expect a decline.

Alibaba Dividend 2026: 1.0% Dividend Yield

Dividend Key Figures for Alibaba

Dividend yield
0.97%
Latest dividend per share
1.05 USD
Payout ratio
8.0%
Low
Dividend growth (3 years)
+5.0%
Avg. annual dividend (3 years)
0.90 USD

When does Alibaba pay a dividend in 2026?

Latest ex-dividend date (traded without the dividend)
June 11, 2026
Latest payment date
July 13, 2026

How much does Alibaba pay in dividends?

Alibaba pays dividends to its shareholders. The most recently paid dividend was 1.05 USD per share, which corresponds to a dividend yield of 0.97%. Over the last 3 years, the annual dividend has grown by 5.0%, which shows positive dividend growth.

The payout ratio is 8.0%, which is low. This suggests the company prioritizes reinvesting in growth over dividend payments. There is good room to raise the dividend in the future.

Historical Dividend Payments for Alibaba

We have registered dividend payments for Alibaba since Dec 20, 2023. In that period the stock has paid a dividend 3 times, most recently on Jun 11, 2026. However, the stock does not qualify as a stable or sporadic dividend stock, because the dividend payments have been inconsistent in recent years.

Ex-datePayment dateAmountCurrency
2026-06-112026-07-131.05USD
2024-06-132024-07-120.66USD
2023-12-202024-01-181.00USD

Insider Trading in Alibaba 2026: The Signal Is mostly positive

In 2026, insiders at Alibaba have made 18 transactions – split into 6 purchases and 12 sales. On a net basis, insiders took $10,985,765 out of the stock. Active insiders include Tsai Joseph C, Wu Yongming, Alibaba Group Holding Ltd and others. In the short term (last 3 months), the insider signal is mostly positive.

Short-Term Signal (3 months): Mostly positive

Insiders have bought more than they have sold over the last 3 months. This suggests key people see short-term value in the stock.

Over the last 3 months: 3 purchases and 4 sales. A net $13,491,190 into the stock.

Long-Term Signal (all transactions): Mixed

There are both insider purchases and sales, with no clear direction. This is normal for large companies, where management adjusts positions on an ongoing basis.

Across the last 18 transactions: 6 purchases and 12 sales. A net $10,985,765 out of the stock.

Latest purchase: Tsai Joseph C bought 720,000 shares at $14.47 each on 2026-08-25. The stock has since risen 655.1%.

Latest sale: Jiang Fang sold 885,272 shares at $13.55 each on 2026-09-30.

Who is buying: Tsai Joseph C, Wu Yongming, Alibaba Group Holding Ltd.

Who is selling: Jiang Fang, Yu Siying, Xu Hong, EVANS J. MICHAEL, Jiang Fan (FJ).

Latest Insider Trades in Alibaba (2026)

The table shows the last 18 reported insider transactions in Alibaba. Green rows are purchases, red rows are sales. The data is based on official filings.

Transaction date Name Type Number of shares Price per share ($) Total amount ($)
2026-09-30 Jiang Fang Sell 885,272 14 11,995,436
2026-09-25 Yu Siying Sell 3,328 14 45,194
2026-09-25 Xu Hong Sell 10,000 14 136,800
2026-09-25 Jiang Fang Sell 1,664 14 22,580
2026-08-25 Tsai Joseph C Buy 720,000 14 10,418,400
2026-08-24 Wu Yongming Buy 350,000 14 4,984,000
2026-08-24 Tsai Joseph C Buy 720,000 14 10,288,800
2026-06-29 EVANS J. MICHAEL Sell 692,992 96 66,243,105
2026-06-25 Yu Siying Sell 3,336 12 40,366
2026-06-25 Xu Hong Sell 10,000 12 121,500

Who is buying and selling Alibaba shares in 2026?

The following insiders have bought shares in Alibaba: Tsai Joseph C, Wu Yongming, Alibaba Group Holding Ltd. In total, $69,174,451 was bought across 6 transactions. The following insiders have sold shares: Jiang Fang, Yu Siying, Xu Hong, EVANS J. MICHAEL, Jiang Fan (FJ). In total, $80,160,217 was sold across 12 transactions. Insider trades are legal transactions in which executives and board members buy or sell shares of their own company. These transactions are reported to the SEC and are publicly available.

Alibaba Short Selling 2026: 1.7% Sold Short

Low short interest: 1.7% of the free float
Short % of free float
1.7%
Assessment
Low short interest
Short squeeze risk
Low
Data source
EODHD
Reported about twice a month

Short interest over time: Alibaba

0.0%1.1%2.3%
5/307/3110/1
1.7% today (low)Last 30 days: −0.1 percentage pointsMeasured over 124 days
What does the trend tell you?
Short interest in Alibaba has been fairly stable at 1.7% over the period. Neither many new short sellers have arrived nor many positions been closed.

What matters is when the curve starts to move. This is how shorting works: whoever shorts has borrowed the share and sold it, and to close the position again they must buy the share back. When short interest falls, shares are being bought back. So it is worth watching the trend, not just today's number.
The stock has a low share of short selling. Less than 2% of the freely traded shares are sold short, which points to limited bearish sentiment.

Short interest comes from our data provider EODHD. The figure is reported about twice a month; we check it every trading day.
Short Interest Scale
0% 2% 5% 10% 20%+
Low Moderate High Very High Extreme
▲
1.7%

When Does Alibaba Report Earnings – Next Date: Nov 24, 2026

The next earnings report from Alibaba is scheduled for November 24, 2026, before the market opens. This report covers the third quarter (Q3), which ended on September 30, 2026.



Technical Analysis of Alibaba 2026 – Signal: Strong Sell

Overall Technical Signal: Strong Sell

Based on trend analysis (SMA50/SMA200) and MACD trend (positive/negative on a daily + weekly basis). Updated October 7, 2026.

Technical analysis of Alibaba (BABA.US) – RSI 45, MACD negative (bearish), daily candlestick chart October 2026
Alibaba technical analysis – candlestick chart with RSI, MACD and volume profile. Updated Oct 7, 2026.

Trend Analysis of Alibaba Group Holding Limited

Alibaba Group Holding Limited is in a short-term downtrend. The price of $109.26 is 0.5% below the 20-day average ($109.78). Medium term, the picture is negative: the price is 6.4% below the 50-day average ($116.73). Long term, the stock is 15.8% below the 200-day average ($129.78), which signals a long-term downtrend.

Death Cross: The 50-day average (116.73) is below the 200-day average (129.78), which is a classic bearish signal for Alibaba Group Holding Limited.

Is Alibaba Group Holding Limited overbought or oversold?

Alibaba Group Holding Limited has an RSI of 45.2, right in the middle of the neutral zone. There is no clear buying or selling pressure.

MACD Analysis for Alibaba Group Holding Limited

Daily MACD: MACD is negative (-1.942), which means the short-term trend is bearish (the 12-day EMA is below the 26-day EMA). MACD is above the signal line (-2.117) by 0.175, which suggests the negative momentum is fading – a potential trend reversal could be ahead.

Weekly MACD: MACD5 is negative (-5.888), which indicates a broader bearish long-term trend. MACD5 is above the signal line (-5.950) by 0.062, which suggests the negative long-term momentum is fading – a bigger trend reversal could be ahead.

Overall MACD assessment: Both the daily and weekly trend are bearish (MACD negative). However, momentum shows signs of improving on a daily basis – a potential trend reversal could be ahead, but it is not confirmed yet.

Risk Profile for Alibaba Group Holding Limited

Alibaba Group Holding Limited has an annual standard deviation of 41.8%, which classifies the stock as medium risk. The price can swing noticeably when the market moves.

Overall Technical Conclusion for Alibaba Group Holding Limited

Trend: Negative. The price trades below SMA50 and SMA200.

MACD trend (zero line): Daily bearish (-1.942). Weekly bearish (-5.888).

MACD momentum (signal): Daily rising. Weekly rising.

RSI: 45.2 – neutral.

Technical signal: Strong Sell

The price is in a downtrend (below SMA50/SMA200) and MACD is negative on both a daily and weekly basis. Avoid buying and consider closing existing positions.

Frequently Asked Questions About Alibaba stock in 2026

Should you buy Alibaba stock now?
No, the technical signal for Alibaba is currently Strong Sell. Alibaba trades at $109.26 as of Oct 7, 2026. The technical analysis shows the following: MACD is negative (bearish trend) at -1.942 with rising momentum (signal: -2.117); RSI is at 45.2 (neutral zone); the stock is in a short-term downtrend (price below the 20-day average); the analyst price target of $185.43 points to 69.7% upside. The stock is in a broader downtrend (below SMA50/SMA200). Buying in a downtrend is generally not recommended. This is a technical observation based on current data, not investment advice.
What is the price target for Alibaba stock?
The average analyst price target for Alibaba is $185.43. The current price is $109.26, which gives an upside of 69.7%. Based on this, the stock is considered undervalued. The fair value range (±10% of the price target) is between $166.89 and $203.97.
Is Alibaba a dividend stock?
Yes, Alibaba is a dividend stock with a dividend yield of 0.97%. The latest dividend was $1.05 per share. The latest ex-dividend date (traded without the dividend) was Jun 11, 2026. The payout ratio is 8.0%, which is considered sustainable.
When does Alibaba pay a dividend in 2026?
The next dividend date for Alibaba has not been set yet. The latest ex-dividend date (last trading day with dividend rights) was Jun 11, 2026. The latest dividend was $1.05 per share with an ex-dividend date of Jun 11, 2026. The dividend yield is 0.97%. The payout ratio of 8.0% points to a sustainable dividend with room to grow.
What is the risk of Alibaba stock?
Alibaba is rated as a stock in the risk category Moderate. the annual standard deviation is 41.8%, which classifies the stock as Moderate.
Is Alibaba overvalued?
No, Alibaba is considered undervalued based on the analyst price target (69.7% upside). Alibaba has the following valuation ratios: a P/E ratio of 24.7 (moderately to highly valued), a P/S ratio of 0.3, a P/B ratio of 1.8. The analyst price target suggests that the stock is undervalued by 69.7%.
Is Alibaba overbought?
No, Alibaba is not overbought. RSI is at 45.2 (neutral zone). The technical indicators show: RSI is at 45.2 (neutral zone between 30-70), which signals neither overbought nor oversold. In addition, the price is 0.5% below the 20-day average (short-term downtrend). In addition, MACD is negative, but momentum is rising (possible trend reversal).
When is the next Alibaba earnings report?
Alibaba reports its next earnings on November 24, 2026. The stock currently trades at $109.26. With a P/E ratio of 24.7, the market will be watching closely whether earnings meet expectations.
Is Alibaba shorted?
Yes, Alibaba is shorted with 1.7% of the free float sold short. This is a moderate level of short selling, within the normal range for most stocks. The figure comes from our data provider EODHD, is reported about twice a month, and we check it every trading day.
Are insiders buying Alibaba stock?
Yes, insiders are net buyers of Alibaba – they are buying more shares than they are selling. Over the last 3 months, insiders have made 3 purchases and 4 sales. On a net basis, 13,491,190 $ worth of shares were bought. Across the last 18 reported transactions, the split is 6 purchases and 12 sales, with a net 10,985,765 $ sold. Active buyers include Tsai Joseph C, Wu Yongming, Alibaba Group Holding Ltd. Insider buying is generally seen as a positive signal, because management is putting its own money into the company.
Is Alibaba a good stock?
Based on our total score, Alibaba is rated as a mediocre stock with a total score of 45 out of 100. The stock scores around average on value, quality and momentum – it sits near the median in our database. The score is made up of Value: 72/100, Quality: 42/100, Momentum: 22/100. In addition: analysts see 69.7% upside to the price target; a dividend of 0.97%; technical signal: Strong Sell. Whether Alibaba is a good investment depends on your time horizon, risk profile and portfolio. This is a data-driven observation, not investment advice.
What is the outlook for Alibaba stock?
The outlook for Alibaba based on current data: the average analyst price target is $185.43 (+69.7%); the stock is in a downtrend (below SMA50 and SMA200); the next earnings report is due on Nov 24, 2026, which can move the price; the P/E ratio is 24.7 (moderate). Keep in mind that stock prices are affected by many factors, including earnings reports, the economy and market sentiment. Past returns are no guarantee of future returns.
Why is Alibaba stock moving?
Alibaba is stable right now. The technical indicators show: the price is close to the 20-day average; insiders have mostly been selling the stock recently. For the latest context, see our technical analysis and insider section above.
How high can Alibaba go?
The average analyst price target for Alibaba is $185.43, which corresponds to a potential gain of 69.7% from the current price of $109.26. The stock has traded between $91.99 and $190.92 over the last 52 weeks. The price is 42.8% below the 52-week high, which can indicate potential if the underlying fundamentals are intact. Keep in mind that price targets are estimates, not guarantees. Actual price moves depend on earnings, market conditions and unexpected events.
How low can Alibaba fall?
The stock has traded as low as $91.99 over the last 52 weeks — that is 15.8% below the current price of $109.26. The biggest decline (drawdown) in the same period was 51.8% from high to low. Within a year, the price typically swings about ±41.8% (standard deviation — a measure of price swings). A difficult year could therefore mean a further decline of that size. Remember: past price swings are no guarantee for the future — a stock can fall further than the last 52 weeks suggest, especially on profit warnings, sector crises or a market crash. Use stop-loss orders and spread your portfolio to limit losses in single stocks.
What does Alibaba do?
Alibaba Group runs large online platforms that connect businesses and brands with customers in China and around the world. The company mainly makes money from its Core Commerce business, which includes running big trading platforms where goods are bought and sold. Its best-kn... The company belongs to the Consumer Cyclical sector, more specifically the Internet Retail industry, is headquartered in United States, and is traded on the USA Stocks. See the key figures, earnings history and price development above to evaluate Alibaba as an investment.
Did Alibaba raise or lower its guidance?
Over the last 60 days we have not registered a guidance raise or cut from Alibaba. The company can still adjust its guidance at quarterly reports or between reports — see the earnings history above.
Is Alibaba making money or losing money?
Yes, Alibaba is making money, not losing it. The company has a profit margin (the share of revenue left over as profit) of 7.0% — which is moderate. The operating margin (profit before interest and taxes) is 7.3%. At a P/E ratio of 24.7, you currently pay 24.7 dollars for every dollar of the company's annual earnings. A consistently profitable company is usually more resilient than growth stocks that are not yet making money.
Can Alibaba go bankrupt?
The bankruptcy risk of Alibaba is rated as low. Altman Z2 (a model for assessing financial distress) is 3.36 — that places the company in the healthy zone. The company has a healthy balance sheet with limited debt relative to earnings and assets. The Piotroski score (financial health 0-9, higher is better) is 6 — which is average. Debt relative to equity is 71% (moderate). Remember: models like Altman Z2 are statistical — unexpected shocks (fraud, a sector collapse, lawsuits) can always happen. Spread your portfolio.
Does Alibaba have a lot of debt?
No, Alibaba has low debt relative to equity. The debt-to-equity ratio (D/E — interest-bearing debt to equity) is 71%. For the consumer cyclical sector, anything below 100% counts as low debt. Cyclical consumer companies can carry moderate debt in good times — high debt is risky in downturns. Note: D/E levels are highly sector-specific — a bank at 300% debt is normal, a tech stock at 300% is extremely leveraged. Always compare with similar companies in the same sector. Can Alibaba service its debt? Can service its debt without problems — the interest coverage ratio (how many times earnings can cover interest payments) is 8.2x, and net debt equals 0.8 years of earnings (EBITDA).

Other Stocks in Consumer Cyclical

Compare Alibaba with other stocks in the consumer cyclical sector. Click a stock to see its technical analysis, insider trading and key figures.

See all 74 stocks in the Consumer Cyclical sector