AXT (AXTI.US) Price Target 2026/2027: 25% Upside – Rating and Stock Analysis

73,96
7,80%
Price history for AXT (AXTI.US) – stock price at 73.96 $, August 2026
AXT stock price – price development 2026. Updated Aug 6, 2026.
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AXT Price Target 2026: Analysts See 24% Upside

The average price target for AXT is $91.60. This price target represents the analysts' view of the stock price over the next 12 months. The stock may be undervalued, because the price target is higher than the current price. The stock is 23,85% below the target, which can point to potential returns within the next 12 months if the analysts' view proves right. Also consider the stock's valuation ratios such as P/E, P/S and P/B, plus the technical analysis further down the page, for the full picture.

Is AXT overvalued or undervalued?

AXT is currently undervalued with a gap of 23.9% relative to the price target.


The current price is $73.96, which places AXT in the undervalued category. The stock is considered undervalued when the price is below $82.44, and overvalued when the price exceeds $100.76.


The fair value range is defined as ±10% of the price target, because price targets are estimates rather than exact values. For AXT, the fair value range lies between $82.44 and $100.76.


See the full price target analysis for AXT →

Analyst Ratings for AXT stock in 2026: Strong Buy

5 analysts cover AXT. There is broad agreement on a positive view — 100% recommend buying. The average price target is $91.60, which gives an upside of 23.9% from the current price.

Consensus: Strong Buy (4.80/5)
Strong Buy
4 (80%)
Buy
1 (20%)
Strong Sell Sell Hold Buy Strong Buy
4.80 out of 5 based on 5 analysts

About AXT – Semiconductor Equipment & Materials

AXT, Inc. designs, develops, manufactures, and distributes compound and single element semiconductor substrates. The company provides indium phosphide for use in data center connectivity using light/lasers, high-speed data transfer in data centers, 5G communications, fiber optic lasers and detectors, consumer devices, passive optical networks, silicon photonics, photonic integrated circuits, thermo-photovoltaics, RF amplifier and switching, infrared light-emitting diode (LEDS) motion control, lidar for robotics and autonomous vehicles, and infrared thermal imaging. It also offers semi-insulating gallium arsenide (GaAs) substrates for use in Wi-Fi and IoT devices, transistors, direct broadcast television, power amplifiers, satellite communications, and solar cells; and semi-conducting GaAs substrates that are used in LEDs, screen displays using micro-LEDs, printer head lasers and LEDs, 3-D sensing using VCSELs, data center communication using VCSELs, sensors for industrial robotics/near-infrared sensors, laser machining, cutting and drilling, optical couplers, solar cells, night vision goggles, lidar for robotics and autonomous vehicles, and other lasers. In addition, the company provides germanium substrates for use in multi-junction solar cells for satellites, optical sensors and detectors, terrestrial concentrated photo voltaic cells, infrared detectors, and carrier wafer for LED. Further, it offers 6N+ and 7N+ purified gallium, boron trioxide, gallium-magnesium alloy, pyrolytic boron nitride (pBN) crucibles, and pBN insulating parts. It sells its products through direct salesforce in the United States, China, and Europe, as well as through independent sales representatives and distributors in Japan, Taiwan, Korea, and internationally. The company was formerly known as American Xtal Technology, Inc. and changed its name to AXT, Inc. in July 2000. AXT, Inc. was incorporated in 1986 and is headquartered in Fremont, California. Read more about the company

Key Figures for AXT

$ 4,3B Market cap
$ 126M Revenue
Semiconductor Equipment & Materials Industry
2,175.67 P/E
34.02 P/S
4.47 P/B
USA Listed on exchange
axt.com Website

What kind of stock is AXT?

Speculative stock

AXT is classified as a speculative stock.

Score Overview for AXT

💰 Value Score 11/100 (Very Low)
⭐ Quality Score 32/100 (Low)
🚀 Momentum Score 17/100 (Very Low)
📊 Total Score 20/100

⚠️ 2 red flags identified 1 critical

Our analysis has identified 2 potential risk factors in AXT that investors should be aware of.

⚠️ High short interest: 17.6% of the shares are sold short – many professional investors are betting on price declines.
🚨 Falling earnings: Quarterly earnings have fallen 57% year over year – the company's profitability is under pressure.

📈 Valuation

AXT trades at a P/E ratio of 2,175.7, which is above the market average. The forward P/E is 196.1 (91% lower), which suggests the market expects rising earnings. The P/S ratio is 34.0 (high — the market pays a premium for the revenue). The P/B ratio is 4.5. The PEG ratio is 12.09 — above 2.0 suggests the stock is expensive relative to its growth rate.

💵 Profitability & Growth

AXT has a profit margin of 3.2% (moderate) and an operating margin of 21.9%. Return on equity (ROE) is 1.0%. Return on assets (ROA) is 0.3%. The latest quarterly earnings grew -57.1% year over year — falling earnings.

🏦 Financial Health

The Piotroski score is 4 out of 9 — average financial health. Altman Z2 is 9.00 (healthy balance sheet — low risk). The debt-to-equity ratio (D/E) is 43.8% — low debt, a solid balance sheet.

🚀 Momentum & Short Interest

Short interest is 17.59% — very high, the market is skeptical.

Insider Trading in AXT 2026: The Signal Is negative

In 2026, insiders at AXT have made 20 transactions, all of which were sales. On a net basis, insiders took 25,733,908 $ out of the stock. Active insiders include CHEN JESSE, CHANG DAVID C, YOUNG MORRIS S and others. In the short term (last 3 months), the insider signal is negative.

Short-Term Signal (3 months): Negative

Insiders have exclusively sold shares over the last 3 months.

Over the last 3 months: 0 purchases and 12 sales. A net 15,831,871 $ out of the stock.

Long-Term Signal (all transactions): Negative

Insiders have exclusively sold shares in the recent period. This can suggest management sees limited opportunity.

Across the last 20 transactions: 0 purchases and 20 sales. A net 25,733,908 $ out of the stock.

Latest sale: CHEN JESSE sold 6,172 shares at 115 $ each on 2026-06-15.

Who is selling: CHEN JESSE, CHANG DAVID C, YOUNG MORRIS S, FISCHER GARY L.

Latest Insider Trades in AXT (2026)

The table shows the last 20 reported insider transactions in AXT. Green rows are purchases, red rows are sales. The data is based on official filings.

Transaction date Name Type Number of shares Price per share ($) Total amount ($)
2026-06-15 CHEN JESSE Sell 6,172 115 711,261
2026-06-15 CHANG DAVID C Sell 8,333 111 926,380
2026-06-12 CHEN JESSE Sell 13,000 96 1,245,010
2026-06-11 CHEN JESSE Sell 9,000 89 796,950
2026-06-10 CHEN JESSE Sell 9,000 87 780,570
2026-06-09 CHEN JESSE Sell 1,500 93 139,950
2026-06-08 CHEN JESSE Sell 6,000 94 564,000
2026-06-03 CHEN JESSE Sell 4,000 111 445,440
2026-06-02 YOUNG MORRIS S Sell 11,806 113 1,337,974
2026-06-02 CHEN JESSE Sell 2,000 111 222,060

Who is buying and selling AXT shares in 2026?

The following insiders have sold shares: CHEN JESSE, CHANG DAVID C, YOUNG MORRIS S, FISCHER GARY L. In total, 25,733,908 $ was sold across 20 transactions. Insider trades are legal transactions in which executives and board members buy or sell shares of their own company. These transactions are reported to the SEC and are publicly available.

AXT Short Selling 2026: 17.6% Sold Short

Very high short interest: 17.6% of the free float
Short % of free float
17.6%
Assessment
Very high short interest
Short squeeze risk
High
Data source
SEC
Updated daily
The stock has a very high share of short selling. Between 10-20% of the freely traded shares are sold short, which points to considerable bearish sentiment. A positive earnings report or unexpectedly good news can trigger a short squeeze with sharp price gains.

What does this mean for you as an investor?
A short interest of 17.6% means that 17.6% of the freely traded shares in AXT have been borrowed and sold by investors betting on falling prices. On positive surprises (e.g. a strong earnings report), short sellers can be forced to buy back shares quickly to close their positions, which can cause a short squeeze with sharp price gains in a short time.

Data is updated daily based on official filings with the SEC.
Short Interest Scale
0% 2% 5% 10% 20%+
Low Moderate High Very High Extreme
17.6%

When Does AXT Report Earnings?

The next earnings date for AXT is not yet available. Check the company's investor calendar for more information.



Technical Analysis of AXT 2026 – Signal: Hold

Overall Technical Signal: Hold

Based on trend analysis (SMA50/SMA200) and MACD trend (positive/negative on a daily + weekly basis). Updated August 6, 2026.

Technical analysis of AXT (AXTI.US) – RSI 56, MACD negative (bearish), daily candlestick chart August 2026
AXT technical analysis – candlestick chart with RSI and MACD. Updated Aug 6, 2026.

Trend Analysis of AXT, Inc

AXT, Inc is in a short-term uptrend. The price of $68.61 is 28.4% above the 20-day average ($53.43). Medium term, the picture is negative: the price is 7.6% below the 50-day average ($74.24). Long term, the stock is 43.9% above the 200-day average ($47.69), which confirms a long-term uptrend.

Golden Cross: The 50-day average (74.24) is above the 200-day average (47.69), which is a classic bullish signal for AXT, Inc.

Is AXT, Inc overbought or oversold?

AXT, Inc has an RSI of 55.6. The stock shows positive momentum in the upper part of the neutral zone.

MACD Analysis for AXT, Inc

Daily MACD: MACD is negative (-2.668), which means the short-term trend is bearish (the 12-day EMA is below the 26-day EMA). MACD is above the signal line (-6.471) by 3.803, which suggests the negative momentum is fading – a potential trend reversal could be ahead.

Weekly MACD: MACD5 is positive (5.430), which indicates a broader bullish long-term trend. MACD5 is below the signal line (13.332) by 7.902, which suggests the long-term momentum is fading – the positive trend could come under pressure.

Overall MACD assessment: The daily and weekly MACD give conflicting signals. The long-term trend is bullish, but the short-term trend is bearish. Daily momentum is rising, though, which could suggest the pullback is over.

Risk Profile for AXT, Inc

AXT, Inc has an annual standard deviation of 150.0%, which classifies the stock as extreme risk. Only risk-tolerant investors should consider this stock, because the price swings can be very large.

Overall Technical Conclusion for AXT, Inc

Trend: Neutral/mixed.

MACD trend (zero line): Daily bearish (-2.668). Weekly bullish (5.430).

MACD momentum (signal): Daily rising. Weekly falling.

RSI: 55.6 – neutral.

Technical signal: Hold

The signals are mixed – trend and MACD point in different directions. Wait until MACD crosses the zero line in the direction of the trend before acting.

Frequently Asked Questions About AXT stock in 2026

Should you buy AXT stock now?
The technical signal for AXT is currently NEUTRAL. AXT trades at $73.96 as of 8/6/2026. The overall technical signal is: Hold. The technical analysis shows the following: MACD is negative (bearish trend) at -2.668 with rising momentum (signal: -6.471); RSI is at 55.6 (neutral zone); the stock is in a short-term uptrend (price above the 20-day average); the analyst price target of $91.60 points to 23.9% upside. This is a technical observation based on current data, not investment advice.
What is the price target for AXT stock?
The average analyst price target for AXT is $91.60. The current price is $73.96, which gives an upside of 23.9%. Based on this, the stock is considered undervalued. The fair value range (±10% of the price target) is between $82.44 and $100.76.
Is AXT a dividend stock?
No, AXT does not currently pay a dividend to shareholders. The company reinvests its profits in growth instead of paying dividends.
What is the risk of AXT stock?
AXT is rated as a stock with extreme risk. the annual standard deviation is 150.0%, which classifies the stock as extreme risk.
Is AXT overvalued?
No, AXT is considered undervalued based on the analyst price target (23.9% upside). AXT has the following valuation ratios: a P/E ratio of 2,175.7 (highly valued), a P/S ratio of 34.0, a P/B ratio of 4.5. The analyst price target suggests that the stock is undervalued by 23.9%.
Is AXT overbought?
No, AXT is not overbought. RSI is at 55.6 (neutral zone). The technical indicators show: RSI is at 55.6 (neutral zone between 30-70), which signals neither overbought nor oversold. In addition, the price is 38.4% above the 20-day average (short-term uptrend). In addition, MACD is negative, but momentum is rising (possible trend reversal).
When is the next AXT earnings report?
The date of the next earnings report for AXT has not been published yet. Check the company's investor calendar for updates.
Is AXT shorted?
Yes, AXT is shorted with 17.6% of the free float sold short. This is a very high level of short selling, which points to considerable bearish sentiment. A positive earnings report or unexpectedly good news can trigger a short squeeze with sharp price gains. Data is updated daily based on official filings with the SEC.
Are insiders buying AXT stock?
No, insiders are not buying AXT shares – they are net sellers. Over the last 3 months, insiders have made 0 purchases and 12 sales. On a net basis, 15,831,871 $ worth of shares were sold. Across the last 20 reported transactions, the split is 0 purchases and 20 sales, with a net 25,733,908 $ sold. Active sellers include CHEN JESSE, CHANG DAVID C, YOUNG MORRIS S and others. Insider selling can have several explanations (e.g. planned 10b5-1 sales, portfolio diversification or taxes), but sustained selling by several insiders is worth watching closely.
Is AXT a good stock?
Based on our total score, AXT is rated as a poor stock with a total score of 20 out of 100. The stock scores below average on value, quality and momentum – it sits at the lower end of the market. The score is made up of Value: 11/100, Quality: 32/100, Momentum: 17/100. In addition: analysts see 23.9% upside to the price target; technical signal: Hold. Whether AXT is a good investment depends on your time horizon, risk profile and portfolio. This is a data-driven observation, not investment advice.
What is the outlook for AXT stock?
The outlook for AXT based on current data: the average analyst price target is $91.60 (+23.9%); the P/E ratio is 2,175.7 (high – the market expects growth). Keep in mind that stock prices are affected by many factors, including earnings reports, the economy and market sentiment. Past returns are no guarantee of future returns.
Why is AXT stock rising?
AXT is rising right now. The technical indicators show: the price is 38.4% above the 20-day average; short interest is 17.6% (high – many are betting on a decline); insiders have mostly been selling the stock recently. For the latest context, see our technical analysis, insider section and news overview above.
How high can AXT go?
The average analyst price target for AXT is $91.60, which corresponds to a potential gain of 23.9% from the current price of $73.96. Keep in mind that price targets are estimates, not guarantees. Actual price moves depend on earnings, market conditions and unexpected events.
How low can AXT fall?
We lack enough history to give a specific floor for AXT. Remember: past price swings are no guarantee for the future — a stock can fall further than the last 52 weeks suggest, especially on profit warnings, sector crises or a market crash. Use stop-loss orders and spread your portfolio to limit losses in single stocks.
What does AXT do?
AXT, Inc. designs, develops, manufactures, and distributes compound and single element semiconductor substrates. The company provides indium phosphide for use in data center connectivity using light/lasers, high-speed data transfer in data centers, 5G communications, fiber opt... The company belongs to the Teknologi sector, more specifically the Semiconductor Equipment & Materials industry, is headquartered in USA, and is traded on the USA Stocks. See the key figures, earnings history and price development above to evaluate AXT as an investment.
Did AXT raise or lower its guidance?
Over the last 60 days we have not registered a guidance raise or cut from AXT. The company can still adjust its guidance at quarterly reports or between reports — see the earnings history and the news overview above.
Is AXT making money or losing money?
Yes, AXT is making money, not losing it. The company has a profit margin (the share of revenue left over as profit) of 3.2% — which is modest. The operating margin (profit before interest and taxes) is 21.9%. At a P/E ratio of 2,175.7, you currently pay 2,175.7 dollars for every dollar of the company's annual earnings. A consistently profitable company is usually more resilient than growth stocks that are not yet making money.
Can AXT go bankrupt?
The bankruptcy risk of AXT is rated as low. Altman Z2 (a model for assessing financial distress) is 9.00 — that places the company in the healthy zone. The company has a healthy balance sheet with limited debt relative to earnings and assets. The Piotroski score (financial health 0-9, higher is better) is 4 — which is average. Debt relative to equity is 44% (low). Remember: models like Altman Z2 are statistical — unexpected shocks (fraud, a sector collapse, lawsuits) can always happen. Spread your portfolio.
Does AXT have a lot of debt?
No, AXT has low debt relative to equity. The debt-to-equity ratio (D/E — interest-bearing debt to equity) is 44%. For the teknologi sector, anything below 80% counts as low debt. Note: D/E levels are highly sector-specific — a bank at 300% debt is normal, a tech stock at 300% is extremely leveraged. Always compare with similar companies in the same sector. Can AXT service its debt? Could struggle to service its debt — the interest coverage ratio (how many times earnings can cover interest payments) is -15.7x, and net debt equals 2.2 years of earnings (EBITDA).