ASML (ASML.US) Price Target 2026/2027: 30% Upside – Rating and Stock Analysis

1,641.52
Price history for ASML (ASML.US) – stock price at $1,641.52, October 2026
ASML stock price – price development 2026. Updated Oct 17, 2026.
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ASML Price Target 2026: Analysts See 30% Upside

The average price target for ASML is $2,127.05. This price target represents the analysts' view of the stock price over the next 12 months. The stock may be undervalued, because the price target is higher than the current price. The stock is 29.58% below the target, which can point to potential returns within the next 12 months if the analysts' view proves right. Also consider the stock's valuation ratios such as P/E, P/S and P/B, plus the technical analysis further down the page, for the full picture.

Is ASML overvalued or undervalued?

ASML is currently undervalued with a gap of 29.6% relative to the price target.


The current price is $1,641.52, which places ASML in the undervalued category. The stock is considered undervalued when the price is below $1,914.35, and overvalued when the price exceeds $2,339.76.


The fair value range is defined as ±10% of the price target, because price targets are estimates rather than exact values. For ASML, the fair value range lies between $1,914.35 and $2,339.76.


See the full price target analysis for ASML →

Analyst Ratings for ASML stock in 2026: Strong Buy

42 analysts cover ASML. There is broad agreement on a positive view — 88.1% recommend buying. The average price target is $2,127.05, which gives an upside of 29.6% from the current price.

Consensus: Strong Buy (4.57/5)
Strong Buy
31 (73.8%)
Buy
6 (14.3%)
Hold
4 (9.5%)
Strong Sell
1 (2.4%)
Strong Sell Sell Hold Buy Strong Buy
4.57 out of 5 based on 42 analysts

About ASML – Semiconductor Equipment & Materials

ASML Holding N.V. builds and sells machines that chip manufacturers use to make advanced memory and logic chips. The company earns most of its money by selling lithography systems. Lithography is a printing process used to create tiny patterns on silicon wafers, which are the thin discs used to make computer chips.

ASML is especially known for its EUV systems. EUV stands for "extreme ultraviolet," a type of light used to make the smallest and most advanced chips. ASML also sells DUV systems, an older but still widely used type of lithography machine.

Besides the lithography machines themselves, ASML also sells tools for checking chip quality. These include products like YieldStar and HMI e-beam, which help customers inspect finished wafers and find defects. ASML also has a business that repairs and upgrades used lithography equipment so it can be sold again.

ASML has offices in many countries. It has a strong presence in Asia, including Taiwan and South Korea, and it also operates in Europe. Its customers are chip manufacturers that produce memory and logic chips used in electronics around the world.
Read more about the company

Key Figures for ASML

$634B Market cap
$35.3B Revenue
Semiconductor Equipment & Materials Industry
55.76 P/E
17.94 P/S
26.78 P/B
United States Listed on exchange
asml.com Website

What kind of stock is ASML?

Growth stock Quality stock

ASML is classified as a growth stock and quality stock. This means the stock combines several attractive traits, strong financial health (Piotroski 9/9).

Score Overview for ASML

💰 Value Score 10/100 (Very Low)
⭐ Quality Score 95/100 (Very High)
🚀 Momentum Score 62/100 (High)
📊 Total Score 55/100

⚠️ 1 red flag identified

Our analysis has identified 1 potential risk factor in ASML that investors should be aware of.

⚠️ High debt: The debt-to-equity ratio is 163% – the company carries considerably more debt than equity, which raises the financial risk.

📈 Valuation

ASML trades at a P/E ratio of 55.8, which is above the market average. The forward P/E is 28.9 (48% lower), which suggests the market expects rising earnings. The P/S ratio is 17.9 (high — the market pays a premium for the revenue). The P/B ratio is 26.8. The PEG ratio is 1.58.

💵 Profitability & Growth

ASML has a profit margin of 30.1% (excellent) and an operating margin of 37.1%. Return on equity (ROE) is 53.9% — excellent return on equity. Return on assets (ROA) is 16.5%. The latest quarterly earnings grew 28.5% year over year — strong growth.

🏦 Financial Health

The Piotroski score is 9 out of 9 — excellent financial health. Altman Z2 is 3.73 (healthy balance sheet — low risk). The debt-to-equity ratio (D/E) is 163.0% — moderate debt.

🚀 Momentum & Short Interest

Short interest is 0.38% — low, the market does not expect a decline.

ASML Dividend 2026: 0.5% Dividend Yield

Dividend Key Figures for ASML

Dividend yield
0.53%
Latest dividend per share
2.14 USD
Payout ratio
25.7%
Low
Dividend growth (6 years)
+151.7%
Avg. annual dividend (3 years)
7.09 USD

When does ASML pay a dividend in 2026?

Latest ex-dividend date (traded without the dividend)
July 28, 2026
Latest payment date
August 5, 2026

How much does ASML pay in dividends?

ASML pays dividends to its shareholders. The most recently paid dividend was 2.14 USD per share, which corresponds to a dividend yield of 0.53%. Over the last 6 years, the annual dividend has grown by 151.7%, which shows positive dividend growth.

The payout ratio is 25.7%, which is low. This suggests the company prioritizes reinvesting in growth over dividend payments. There is good room to raise the dividend in the future.

Historical Dividend Payments for ASML

We have registered dividend payments for ASML since Apr 24, 2020. In that period the stock has paid a dividend 22 times, most recently on Jul 28, 2026. This stock qualifies as a stable dividend stock, because it has paid a dividend at least once a year for the last 5 years. That makes it attractive to investors looking for steady, regular dividend payments.

Ex-datePayment dateAmountCurrency
2026-07-282026-08-052.14USD
2026-04-272026-05-053.18USD
2026-02-102026-02-181.88USD
2025-10-292025-11-061.86USD
2025-07-292025-08-061.85USD
2025-04-282025-05-062.09USD
2025-02-112025-02-191.57USD
2024-10-292024-11-071.64USD
2024-07-292024-08-071.64USD
2024-04-262024-05-071.87USD
2024-02-052024-02-141.56USD
2023-11-012023-11-101.53USD
2023-08-012023-08-101.59USD
2023-05-012023-05-101.86USD
2023-02-062023-02-151.47USD
2022-11-032022-11-141.34USD
2022-08-042022-08-121.40USD
2022-05-032022-05-123.90USD
2021-11-022021-11-122.08USD
2021-05-032021-05-121.89USD
2020-11-022020-11-131.40USD
2020-04-242020-05-061.46USD

When Does ASML Report Earnings?

The next earnings date for ASML is not yet available. Check the company's investor calendar for more information.



Technical Analysis of ASML 2026 – Signal: Hold

Overall Technical Signal: Hold

Based on trend analysis (SMA50/SMA200) and MACD trend (positive/negative on a daily + weekly basis). Updated October 17, 2026.

Technical analysis of ASML (ASML.US) – RSI 38, MACD negative (bearish), daily candlestick chart October 2026
ASML technical analysis – candlestick chart with RSI, MACD and volume profile. Updated Oct 17, 2026.

Trend Analysis of ASML Holding N.V

ASML Holding N.V is in a short-term downtrend. The price of $1,641.52 is 6.8% below the 20-day average ($1,761.48). Medium term, the picture is negative: the price is 5.6% below the 50-day average ($1,739.63). Long term, the stock is 4.3% above the 200-day average ($1,574.40), which confirms a long-term uptrend.

Golden Cross: The 50-day average (1,739.63) is above the 200-day average (1,574.40), which is a classic bullish signal for ASML Holding N.V.

Is ASML Holding N.V overbought or oversold?

ASML Holding N.V has an RSI of 37.7. The stock sits in the lower part of the neutral zone, which points to weak momentum without being oversold.

MACD Analysis for ASML Holding N.V

Daily MACD: MACD is negative (-11.783), which means the short-term trend is bearish (the 12-day EMA is below the 26-day EMA). MACD is below the signal line (8.501) by 20.284, which confirms growing negative momentum in the downtrend.

Weekly MACD: MACD5 is positive (75.270), which indicates a broader bullish long-term trend. MACD5 is below the signal line (99.022) by 23.752, which suggests the long-term momentum is fading – the positive trend could come under pressure.

Overall MACD assessment: The daily and weekly MACD give conflicting signals. The long-term trend is bullish, but the short-term trend is bearish. Short-term momentum is still falling – a deeper pullback is possible.

Risk Profile for ASML Holding N.V

ASML Holding N.V has an annual standard deviation of 46.1%, which classifies the stock as medium risk. The price can swing noticeably when the market moves.

Overall Technical Conclusion for ASML Holding N.V

Trend: Neutral/mixed.

MACD trend (zero line): Daily bearish (-11.783). Weekly bullish (75.270).

MACD momentum (signal): Daily falling. Weekly falling.

RSI: 37.7 – neutral.

Technical signal: Hold

The signals are mixed – trend and MACD point in different directions. Wait until MACD crosses the zero line in the direction of the trend before acting.

Frequently Asked Questions About ASML stock in 2026

Should you buy ASML stock now?
The technical signal for ASML is currently Hold. ASML trades at $1,641.52 as of Oct 17, 2026. The technical analysis shows the following: MACD is negative (bearish trend) at -11.783 with falling momentum (signal: 8.501); RSI is at 37.7 (neutral zone); the stock is in a short-term downtrend (price below the 20-day average); the analyst price target of $2,127.05 points to 29.6% upside. This is a technical observation based on current data, not investment advice.
What is the price target for ASML stock?
The average analyst price target for ASML is $2,127.05. The current price is $1,641.52, which gives an upside of 29.6%. Based on this, the stock is considered undervalued. The fair value range (±10% of the price target) is between $1,914.35 and $2,339.76.
Is ASML a dividend stock?
Yes, ASML is a dividend stock with a dividend yield of 0.53%. The latest dividend was $2.14 per share. The latest ex-dividend date (traded without the dividend) was Jul 28, 2026. The payout ratio is 25.7%, which is considered sustainable.
When does ASML pay a dividend in 2026?
The next dividend date for ASML has not been set yet. The latest ex-dividend date (last trading day with dividend rights) was Jul 28, 2026. The latest dividend was $2.14 per share with an ex-dividend date of Jul 28, 2026. The dividend yield is 0.53%. The payout ratio of 25.7% points to a sustainable dividend with room to grow.
What is the risk of ASML stock?
ASML is rated as a stock in the risk category Moderate. the annual standard deviation is 46.1%, which classifies the stock as Moderate.
Is ASML overvalued?
No, ASML is considered undervalued based on the analyst price target (29.6% upside). ASML has the following valuation ratios: a P/E ratio of 55.8 (highly valued), a P/S ratio of 17.9, a P/B ratio of 26.8. The analyst price target suggests that the stock is undervalued by 29.6%.
Is ASML overbought?
No, ASML is not overbought. RSI is at 37.7 (neutral zone). The technical indicators show: RSI is at 37.7 (neutral zone between 30-70), which signals neither overbought nor oversold. In addition, the price is 6.8% below the 20-day average (short-term downtrend). In addition, MACD is negative with falling momentum (bearish).
When is the next ASML earnings report?
The date of the next earnings report for ASML has not been published yet. Check the company's investor calendar for updates.
Is ASML shorted?
ASML has minimal short interest of 0.38% of the free float, which is insignificant and points to very limited bearish sentiment.
Are insiders buying ASML stock?
There is currently no registered insider trading for ASML.
Is ASML a good stock?
Based on our total score, ASML is rated as a mediocre stock with a total score of 55 out of 100. The stock scores around average on value, quality and momentum – it sits near the median in our database. The score is made up of Value: 10/100, Quality: 95/100, Momentum: 62/100. In addition: analysts see 29.6% upside to the price target; a dividend of 0.53%. Whether now is the time to buy is a separate question: the technical signal is Hold. Whether ASML is a good investment depends on your time horizon, risk profile and portfolio. This is a data-driven observation, not investment advice.
What is the outlook for ASML stock?
The outlook for ASML based on current data: the average analyst price target is $2,127.05 (+29.6%); the P/E ratio is 55.8 (high – the market expects growth). Keep in mind that stock prices are affected by many factors, including earnings reports, the economy and market sentiment. Past returns are no guarantee of future returns.
Why is ASML stock falling?
ASML is falling right now. The technical indicators show: the price is 6.8% below the 20-day average; MACD is negative with falling momentum (bearish signal). For the latest context, see our technical analysis and insider section above.
How high can ASML go?
The average analyst price target for ASML is $2,127.05, which corresponds to a potential gain of 29.6% from the current price of $1,641.52. The stock has traded between $941.59 and $1,997.38 over the last 52 weeks. Keep in mind that price targets are estimates, not guarantees. Actual price moves depend on earnings, market conditions and unexpected events.
How low can ASML fall?
The stock has traded as low as $941.59 over the last 52 weeks — that is 42.6% below the current price of $1,641.52. The biggest decline (drawdown) in the same period was 52.9% from high to low. Within a year, the price typically swings about ±46.1% (standard deviation — a measure of price swings). A difficult year could therefore mean a further decline of that size. Remember: past price swings are no guarantee for the future — a stock can fall further than the last 52 weeks suggest, especially on profit warnings, sector crises or a market crash. Use stop-loss orders and spread your portfolio to limit losses in single stocks.
What does ASML do?
ASML Holding N.V. builds and sells machines that chip manufacturers use to make advanced memory and logic chips. The company earns most of its money by selling lithography systems. Lithography is a printing process used to create tiny patterns on silicon wafers, which are the ... The company belongs to the Technology sector, more specifically the Semiconductor Equipment & Materials industry, is headquartered in United States, and is traded on the USA Stocks. See the key figures, earnings history and price development above to evaluate ASML as an investment.
Did ASML raise or lower its guidance?
Over the last 60 days we have not registered a guidance raise or cut from ASML. The company can still adjust its guidance at quarterly reports or between reports — see the earnings history above.
Is ASML making money or losing money?
Yes, ASML is making money, not losing it. The company has a profit margin (the share of revenue left over as profit) of 30.1% — which is excellent. The operating margin (profit before interest and taxes) is 37.1%. At a P/E ratio of 55.8, you currently pay 55.8 dollars for every dollar of the company's annual earnings. A consistently profitable company is usually more resilient than growth stocks that are not yet making money.
Can ASML go bankrupt?
The bankruptcy risk of ASML is rated as low. Altman Z2 (a model for assessing financial distress) is 3.73 — that places the company in the healthy zone. The company has a healthy balance sheet with limited debt relative to earnings and assets. The Piotroski score (financial health 0-9, higher is better) is 9 — which is strong. Debt relative to equity is 163% (high). Remember: models like Altman Z2 are statistical — unexpected shocks (fraud, a sector collapse, lawsuits) can always happen. Spread your portfolio.
Does ASML have a lot of debt?
Yes, ASML has elevated debt relative to equity. The debt-to-equity ratio (D/E — interest-bearing debt to equity) is 163%. For the technology sector, anything above 120% counts as elevated — that raises the financial risk, especially if interest rates rise or earnings fall. Tech companies are usually asset-light and need little borrowed capital — anything below 60% counts as low in this sector. Note: D/E levels are highly sector-specific — a bank at 300% debt is normal, a tech stock at 300% is extremely leveraged. Always compare with similar companies in the same sector.