ADTRAN (ADTN.US) Price Target 2026/2027: 75% Upside – Rating and Stock Analysis

8.41
Share this analysis:

ADTRAN Price Target 2026: Analysts See 74% Upside

The average price target for ADTRAN is $14.67. This price target represents the analysts' view of the stock price over the next 12 months. The stock may be undervalued, because the price target is higher than the current price. The stock is 74.44% below the target, which can point to potential returns within the next 12 months if the analysts' view proves right. Also consider the stock's valuation ratios such as P/E, P/S and P/B, plus the technical analysis further down the page, for the full picture.

Is ADTRAN overvalued or undervalued?

ADTRAN is currently undervalued with a gap of 74.4% relative to the price target.


The current price is $8.41, which places ADTRAN in the undervalued category. The stock is considered undervalued when the price is below $13.20, and overvalued when the price exceeds $16.14.


The fair value range is defined as ±10% of the price target, because price targets are estimates rather than exact values. For ADTRAN, the fair value range lies between $13.20 and $16.14.


See the full price target analysis for ADTRAN →

Analyst Ratings for ADTRAN stock in 2026: Buy

7 analysts cover ADTRAN. The majority is positive, with 71.4% recommending Buy, while 28.6% recommend Hold. The average price target is $14.67, which gives an upside of 74.4% from the current price.

Consensus: Buy (4.29/5)
Strong Buy
4 (57.1%)
Buy
1 (14.3%)
Hold
2 (28.6%)
Strong Sell Sell Hold Buy Strong Buy
4.29 out of 5 based on 7 analysts

About ADTRAN – Communication Equipment

ADTRAN Holdings, Inc. provides networking and communications platforms, software, systems, and services in the United States, Germany, the United Kingdom, and internationally. It operates through two segments, Network Solutions, and Services & Support. It offers residential gateways; ethernet passive optical network ONUs; gigabit passive optical network/XGS-PON ONTs; routers, and switches; edge cloud; carrier ethernet network interface devices; Optical Line Terminals; Packet Aggregation, Copper Access, and Oscilloquartz; optical transport and engine solutions; infrastructure monitoring solution; and training, professional, software, and managed services. The company provides various software, such as Mosaic One SaaS, n-Command, Procloud, MCP, AOE, and ACI-E. It serves large, medium, and small service providers; alternative service providers, such as utilities, municipalities and fiber overbuilders; cable/MSOs; and SMBs and distributed enterprises. ADTRAN Holdings, Inc. was incorporated in 1985 and is headquartered in Huntsville, Alabama. Read more about the company

Key Figures for ADTRAN

$ 658M Market cap
$ 1.1B Revenue
Communication Equipment Industry
- P/E
0.58 P/S
4.79 P/B
USA Listed on exchange
adtran.com Website

What kind of stock is ADTRAN?

Speculative stock

ADTRAN is classified as a speculative stock.

Score Overview for ADTRAN

💰 Value Score 36/100 (Low)
⭐ Quality Score 24/100 (Low)
🚀 Momentum Score 7/100 (Very Low)
📊 Total Score 22/100

⚠️ 6 red flags identified 3 critical

Our analysis has identified 6 potential risk factors in ADTRAN that investors should be aware of.

🚨 High debt: The debt-to-equity ratio is 490% – the company carries considerably more debt than equity, which raises the financial risk.
🚨 Weak balance sheet (elevated risk): Altman Z2 is -0.21 – the balance sheet is measurably weaker than average. This is a risk signal based on the numbers, not a bankruptcy prediction.
⚠️ Negative profit margin: The profit margin is -2.3% – the company is losing money on its operations.
⚠️ Negative return on equity: ROE is -3.2% – the company is generating a negative return for shareholders.
⚠️ High short interest: 14.9% of the shares are sold short – many professional investors are betting on price declines.
🚨 Falling earnings: Quarterly earnings have fallen 60% year over year – the company's profitability is under pressure.

📈 Valuation

The P/S ratio is 0.6 (low — potentially undervalued relative to revenue). The P/B ratio is 4.8. The PEG ratio is 1.86.

💵 Profitability & Growth

The latest quarterly earnings grew -60.0% year over year — falling earnings.

🏦 Financial Health

The Piotroski score is 4 out of 9 — average financial health. Altman Z2 is -0.21 (weak balance sheet — elevated risk). The debt-to-equity ratio (D/E) is 489.6% — high debt, which raises the risk.

🚀 Momentum & Short Interest

Short interest is 14.92% — very high, the market is skeptical.

Insider Trading in ADTRAN 2026: The Signal Is clearly positive

In 2026, insiders at ADTRAN have made 20 transactions – split into 4 purchases and 16 sales. On a net basis, insiders took 1,423,931 $ out of the stock. Active insiders include Santo Timothy P, Theodosopoulos Nikos, STANTON THOMAS R and others. In the short term (last 3 months), the insider signal is clearly positive.

Short-Term Signal (3 months): Clearly positive

Insiders have exclusively bought shares over the last 3 months. This is a strong signal of confidence in the company in the short term.

Over the last 3 months: 1 purchases and 0 sales. A net 50,000 $ into the stock.

Long-Term Signal (all transactions): Mostly negative

Insiders have sold considerably more than they have bought. At large companies this can be due to planned sales (10b5-1 plans) and is not necessarily a negative signal.

Across the last 20 transactions: 4 purchases and 16 sales. A net 1,423,931 $ out of the stock.

Latest purchase: Santo Timothy P bought 6,579 shares at 8 $ each on 2026-08-06. The stock has since risen 10.5%.

Latest sale: Glingener Christoph sold 22,277 shares at 15 $ each on 2026-05-08.

Who is buying: Santo Timothy P, Theodosopoulos Nikos, STANTON THOMAS R.

Who is selling: Glingener Christoph, Santo Timothy P, Jacqueline Hourigan Rice, Wilson James Denson Jr, STANTON THOMAS R.

Latest Insider Trades in ADTRAN (2026)

The table shows the last 20 reported insider transactions in ADTRAN. Green rows are purchases, red rows are sales. The data is based on official filings.

Transaction date Name Type Number of shares Price per share ($) Total amount ($)
2026-08-06 Santo Timothy P Buy 6,579 8 50,000
2026-05-08 Glingener Christoph Sell 22,277 15 334,155
2026-05-07 Glingener Christoph Sell 41,220 15 620,773
2026-03-19 Santo Timothy P Sell 1,501 12 17,862
2026-03-04 Jacqueline Hourigan Rice Sell 14,406 10 148,238
2026-01-26 Wilson James Denson Jr Sell 3,777 9 34,899
2026-01-26 STANTON THOMAS R Sell 27,973 9 258,471
2026-01-24 Wilson James Denson Jr Sell 1,227 10 11,718
2026-01-24 STANTON THOMAS R Sell 17,535 10 167,459
2026-01-20 Wilson James Denson Jr Sell 765 9 7,069

Who is buying and selling ADTRAN shares in 2026?

The following insiders have bought shares in ADTRAN: Santo Timothy P, Theodosopoulos Nikos, STANTON THOMAS R. In total, 499,754 $ was bought across 4 transactions. The following insiders have sold shares: Glingener Christoph, Santo Timothy P, Jacqueline Hourigan Rice, Wilson James Denson Jr, STANTON THOMAS R. In total, 1,923,685 $ was sold across 16 transactions. Insider trades are legal transactions in which executives and board members buy or sell shares of their own company. These transactions are reported to the SEC and are publicly available.

ADTRAN Short Selling 2026: 14.9% Sold Short

Very high short interest: 14.9% of the free float
Short % of free float
14.9%
Assessment
Very high short interest
Short squeeze risk
High
Data source
SEC
Updated daily
The stock has a very high share of short selling. Between 10-20% of the freely traded shares are sold short, which points to considerable bearish sentiment. A positive earnings report or unexpectedly good news can trigger a short squeeze with sharp price gains.

What does this mean for you as an investor?
A short interest of 14.9% means that 14.9% of the freely traded shares in ADTRAN have been borrowed and sold by investors betting on falling prices. On positive surprises (e.g. a strong earnings report), short sellers can be forced to buy back shares quickly to close their positions, which can cause a short squeeze with sharp price gains in a short time.

Data is updated daily based on official filings with the SEC.
Short Interest Scale
0% 2% 5% 10% 20%+
Low Moderate High Very High Extreme
14.9%

When Does ADTRAN Report Earnings?

The next earnings date for ADTRAN is not yet available. Check the company's investor calendar for more information.



Technical Analysis of ADTRAN 2026 – Signal: Strong Sell

Overall Technical Signal: Strong Sell

Based on trend analysis (SMA50/SMA200) and MACD trend (positive/negative on a daily + weekly basis). Updated August 15, 2026.

Trend Analysis of ADTRAN, Inc

ADTRAN, Inc is in a short-term downtrend. The price of $8.40 is 5.9% below the 20-day average ($8.93). Medium term, the picture is negative: the price is 29.8% below the 50-day average ($11.96). Long term, the stock is 26.8% below the 200-day average ($11.48), which signals a long-term downtrend.

Golden Cross: The 50-day average (11.96) is above the 200-day average (11.48), which is a classic bullish signal for ADTRAN, Inc.

Is ADTRAN, Inc overbought or oversold?

ADTRAN, Inc has an RSI of 36.0. The stock sits in the lower part of the neutral zone, which points to weak momentum without being oversold. In the current downtrend, be careful about reading this as a buying opportunity.

MACD Analysis for ADTRAN, Inc

Daily MACD: MACD is negative (-1.196), which means the short-term trend is bearish (the 12-day EMA is below the 26-day EMA). MACD is above the signal line (-1.345) by 0.149, which suggests the negative momentum is fading – a potential trend reversal could be ahead.

Weekly MACD: MACD5 is negative (-0.569), which indicates a broader bearish long-term trend. MACD5 is below the signal line (0.589) by 1.158, which confirms continued negative long-term momentum.

Overall MACD assessment: Both the daily and weekly trend are bearish (MACD negative). However, momentum shows signs of improving on a daily basis – a potential trend reversal could be ahead, but it is not confirmed yet.

Risk Profile for ADTRAN, Inc

ADTRAN, Inc has an annual standard deviation of 67.5%, which classifies the stock as high risk. Sizeable price swings are normal, and the stock requires a higher risk tolerance.

Overall Technical Conclusion for ADTRAN, Inc

Trend: Negative. The price trades below SMA50 and SMA200.

MACD trend (zero line): Daily bearish (-1.196). Weekly bearish (-0.569).

MACD momentum (signal): Daily rising. Weekly falling.

RSI: 36.0 – neutral.

Technical signal: Strong Sell

The price is in a downtrend (below SMA50/SMA200) and MACD is negative on both a daily and weekly basis. Avoid buying and consider closing existing positions.

Frequently Asked Questions About ADTRAN stock in 2026

Should you buy ADTRAN stock now?
No, the technical signal for ADTRAN is currently SELL. ADTRAN trades at $8.41 as of 8/15/2026. The overall technical signal is: Strong Sell. The technical analysis shows the following: MACD is negative (bearish trend) at -1.196 with rising momentum (signal: -1.345); RSI is at 36.0 (neutral zone); the stock is in a short-term downtrend (price below the 20-day average); the analyst price target of $14.67 points to 74.4% upside. The stock is in a broader downtrend (below SMA50/SMA200). Buying in a downtrend is generally not recommended. This is a technical observation based on current data, not investment advice.
What is the price target for ADTRAN stock?
The average analyst price target for ADTRAN is $14.67. The current price is $8.41, which gives an upside of 74.4%. Based on this, the stock is considered undervalued. The fair value range (±10% of the price target) is between $13.20 and $16.14.
Is ADTRAN a dividend stock?
No, ADTRAN does not currently pay a dividend to shareholders. The company reinvests its profits in growth instead of paying dividends.
What is the risk of ADTRAN stock?
ADTRAN is rated as a stock with high risk. the annual standard deviation is 67.5%, which classifies the stock as high risk.
Is ADTRAN overvalued?
No, ADTRAN is considered undervalued based on the analyst price target (74.4% upside). ADTRAN has the following valuation ratios: a P/S ratio of 0.6, a P/B ratio of 4.8. The analyst price target suggests that the stock is undervalued by 74.4%.
Is ADTRAN overbought?
No, ADTRAN is not overbought. RSI is at 36.0 (neutral zone). The technical indicators show: RSI is at 36.0 (neutral zone between 30-70), which signals neither overbought nor oversold. In addition, the price is 5.8% below the 20-day average (short-term downtrend). In addition, MACD is negative, but momentum is rising (possible trend reversal).
When is the next ADTRAN earnings report?
The date of the next earnings report for ADTRAN has not been published yet. Check the company's investor calendar for updates.
Is ADTRAN shorted?
Yes, ADTRAN is shorted with 14.9% of the free float sold short. This is a very high level of short selling, which points to considerable bearish sentiment. A positive earnings report or unexpectedly good news can trigger a short squeeze with sharp price gains. Data is updated daily based on official filings with the SEC.
Are insiders buying ADTRAN stock?
Yes, insiders are net buyers of ADTRAN – they are buying more shares than they are selling. Over the last 3 months, insiders have made 1 purchases and 0 sales. On a net basis, 50,000 $ worth of shares were bought. Across the last 20 reported transactions, the split is 4 purchases and 16 sales, with a net 1,423,931 $ sold. Active buyers include Santo Timothy P, Theodosopoulos Nikos, STANTON THOMAS R. Insider buying is generally seen as a positive signal, because management is putting its own money into the company.
Is ADTRAN a good stock?
Based on our total score, ADTRAN is rated as a poor stock with a total score of 22 out of 100. The stock scores below average on value, quality and momentum – it sits at the lower end of the market. The score is made up of Value: 36/100, Quality: 24/100, Momentum: 7/100. In addition: analysts see 74.4% upside to the price target; technical signal: Strong Sell. Whether ADTRAN is a good investment depends on your time horizon, risk profile and portfolio. This is a data-driven observation, not investment advice.
What is the outlook for ADTRAN stock?
The outlook for ADTRAN based on current data: the average analyst price target is $14.67 (+74.4%); the stock is in a downtrend (below SMA50 and SMA200). Keep in mind that stock prices are affected by many factors, including earnings reports, the economy and market sentiment. Past returns are no guarantee of future returns.
Why is ADTRAN stock falling?
ADTRAN is falling right now. The technical indicators show: the price is 5.8% below the 20-day average; short interest is 14.9% (high – many are betting on a decline); insiders have mostly been selling the stock recently. For the latest context, see our technical analysis, insider section and news overview above.
How high can ADTRAN go?
The average analyst price target for ADTRAN is $14.67, which corresponds to a potential gain of 74.4% from the current price of $8.41. Keep in mind that price targets are estimates, not guarantees. Actual price moves depend on earnings, market conditions and unexpected events.
How low can ADTRAN fall?
We lack enough history to give a specific floor for ADTRAN. Remember: past price swings are no guarantee for the future — a stock can fall further than the last 52 weeks suggest, especially on profit warnings, sector crises or a market crash. Use stop-loss orders and spread your portfolio to limit losses in single stocks.
What does ADTRAN do?
ADTRAN Holdings, Inc. provides networking and communications platforms, software, systems, and services in the United States, Germany, the United Kingdom, and internationally. It operates through two segments, Network Solutions, and Services & Support. It offers residential ga... The company belongs to the Technology sector, more specifically the Communication Equipment industry, is headquartered in USA, and is traded on the USA Stocks. See the key figures, earnings history and price development above to evaluate ADTRAN as an investment.
Did ADTRAN raise or lower its guidance?
Over the last 60 days we have not registered a guidance raise or cut from ADTRAN. The company can still adjust its guidance at quarterly reports or between reports — see the earnings history and the news overview above.
Is ADTRAN making money or losing money?
No, ADTRAN is currently not making money — the company is losing money with a negative profit margin of -2.3%, a small loss. That means the business loses money on every dollar of revenue. For growth stocks investing in expansion this is normal — but it raises the risk if the company does not reach break-even before its capital runs out.
Can ADTRAN go bankrupt?
The bankruptcy risk of ADTRAN is rated as elevated. Altman Z2 (a model for assessing financial distress) is -0.21 — that places the company in the weak zone. This is a probability based on the numbers, not a verdict — bankruptcy is not imminent. But the balance sheet is measurably weaker than average, so watch the debt, liquidity and possible capital raises. The Piotroski score (financial health 0-9, higher is better) is 4 — which is average. Debt relative to equity is 490% (high). Remember: models like Altman Z2 are statistical — unexpected shocks (fraud, a sector collapse, lawsuits) can always happen. Spread your portfolio.
Does ADTRAN have a lot of debt?
Yes, ADTRAN has elevated debt relative to equity. The debt-to-equity ratio (D/E — interest-bearing debt to equity) is 490%. For the technology sector, anything above 120% counts as elevated — that raises the financial risk, especially if interest rates rise or earnings fall. Tech companies are usually asset-light and need little borrowed capital — anything below 60% counts as low in this sector. Note: D/E levels are highly sector-specific — a bank at 300% debt is normal, a tech stock at 300% is extremely leveraged. Always compare with similar companies in the same sector. Can ADTRAN service its debt? Could struggle to service its debt — the interest coverage ratio (how many times earnings can cover interest payments) is -0.9x, and net debt equals 1.7 years of earnings (EBITDA).