American Airlines (AAL.US) Price Target 2026/2027: 15% Upside – Rating and Stock Analysis

16,30
-1,72%
Price history for American Airlines (AAL.US) – stock price at 16.30 $, August 2026
American Airlines stock price – price development 2026. Updated Aug 6, 2026.
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American Airlines Price Target 2026: Analysts See 17% Upside

The average price target for American Airlines is $19.03. This price target represents the analysts' view of the stock price over the next 12 months. The stock may be undervalued, because the price target is higher than the current price. The stock is 16,78% below the target, which can point to potential returns within the next 12 months if the analysts' view proves right. Also consider the stock's valuation ratios such as P/E, P/S and P/B, plus the technical analysis further down the page, for the full picture.

Is American Airlines overvalued or undervalued?

American Airlines is currently undervalued with a gap of 16.8% relative to the price target.


The current price is $16.30, which places American Airlines in the undervalued category. The stock is considered undervalued when the price is below $17.13, and overvalued when the price exceeds $20.93.


The fair value range is defined as ±10% of the price target, because price targets are estimates rather than exact values. For American Airlines, the fair value range lies between $17.13 and $20.93.


See the full price target analysis for American Airlines →

Analyst Ratings for American Airlines stock in 2026: Buy

26 analysts cover American Airlines. The ratings are mixed, with 50% Buy, 42.3% Hold and 7.6% Sell. The average price target is $19.03, which gives an upside of 16.8% from the current price.

Consensus: Buy (3.81/5)
Strong Buy
11 (42.3%)
Buy
2 (7.7%)
Hold
11 (42.3%)
Sell
1 (3.8%)
Strong Sell
1 (3.8%)
Strong Sell Sell Hold Buy Strong Buy
3.81 out of 5 based on 26 analysts

About American Airlines – Luftfartselskab

American Airlines Group driver et stort netværksflyselskab. De tjener penge ved at levere ruteflyvninger til passagerer og fragt, primært ud fra deres store hubs i USA, som for eksempel Dallas/Fort Worth og Miami. De har også vigtige gateways i udlandet, blandt andet i London og Tokyo. American Airlines er kendt for at være et af verdens største flyselskaber, og de tilbyder forskellige kabineklasser, herunder Economy. Virksomheden blev grundlagt helt tilbage i 1930 og har hovedkvarter i Texas. Ved udgangen af 2021 havde American Airlines en flåde på 865 fly. Read more about the company

Key Figures for American Airlines

$ 11,0B Market cap
$ 58,3B Revenue
Luftfartselskab Industry
- P/E
0.19 P/S
78.85 P/B
USA Listed on exchange
aa.com Website
Industri Sector

What kind of stock is American Airlines?

Momentum stock

American Airlines is classified as a momentum stock with a momentum score in the top 25% of all stocks. The price has risen 0.0% over the long term.

Score Overview for American Airlines

💰 Value Score 29/100 (Low)
⭐ Quality Score 35/100 (Low)
🚀 Momentum Score 75/100 (High)
📊 Total Score 46/100

⚠️ 4 red flags identified 3 critical

Our analysis has identified 4 potential risk factors in American Airlines that investors should be aware of.

🚨 High debt: The debt-to-equity ratio is 1,000% – the company carries considerably more debt than equity, which raises the financial risk.
🚨 Weak balance sheet (elevated risk): Altman Z2 is -1.55 – the balance sheet is measurably weaker than average. This is a risk signal based on the numbers, not a bankruptcy prediction.
⚠️ Negative profit margin: The profit margin is -0.6% – the company is losing money on its operations.
🚨 Falling earnings: Quarterly earnings have fallen 88% year over year – the company's profitability is under pressure.

📈 Valuation

The P/S ratio is 0.2 (low — potentially undervalued relative to revenue). The P/B ratio is 78.9. The PEG ratio is 0.85 — below 1.0 suggests the stock is cheap relative to its growth rate.

💵 Profitability & Growth

American Airlines and an operating margin of 2.8%. Return on assets (ROA) is 1.1%. The latest quarterly earnings grew -88.2% year over year — falling earnings.

🏦 Financial Health

The Piotroski score is 6 out of 9 — good financial health. Altman Z2 is -1.55 (weak balance sheet — elevated risk). The debt-to-equity ratio (D/E) is 1,000.0% — high debt, which raises the risk.

🚀 Momentum & Short Interest

Short interest is 9.66% — elevated, some investors are betting on a decline.

American Airlines Dividend 2026

Dividend Key Figures for American Airlines in 2026

Dividend per share
0.10 USD
Avg. annual dividend (3 years)
0.10 USD

When does American Airlines pay a dividend in 2026?

Latest ex-dividend date (traded without the dividend)
February 4, 2020
Next dividend payment
February 19, 2020
Latest payment date
February 19, 2020

How much does American Airlines pay in dividends?

American Airlines pays dividends to its shareholders. The most recently paid dividend was 0.10 USD per share.

Historical Dividend Payments for American Airlines

We have registered dividend payments for American Airlines since 2020-02-04. In that period the stock has paid a dividend 1 times, most recently on 2020-02-04. However, the stock does not qualify as a stable or sporadic dividend stock, because the dividend payments have been inconsistent in recent years.

Ex-datePayment dateAmountCurrencyPeriod
2020-02-042020-02-190.10USDUnknown period

Insider Trading in American Airlines 2026: The Signal Is negative

In 2026, insiders at American Airlines have made 20 transactions, all of which were sales. On a net basis, insiders took 8,891,171 $ out of the stock. Active insiders include Owens Angela, Johnson Stephen L, Seymour David and others. In the short term (last 3 months), the insider signal is negative.

Short-Term Signal (3 months): Negative

Insiders have exclusively sold shares over the last 3 months.

Over the last 3 months: 0 purchases and 10 sales. A net 5,750,528 $ out of the stock.

Long-Term Signal (all transactions): Negative

Insiders have exclusively sold shares in the recent period. This can suggest management sees limited opportunity.

Across the last 20 transactions: 0 purchases and 20 sales. A net 8,891,171 $ out of the stock.

Latest sale: Owens Angela sold 40,077 shares at 15 $ each on 2026-07-31.

Who is selling: Owens Angela, Johnson Stephen L, Seymour David, May Devon E, Richmond Anthony J. and others.

Latest Insider Trades in American Airlines (2026)

The table shows the last 20 reported insider transactions in American Airlines. Green rows are purchases, red rows are sales. The data is based on official filings.

Transaction date Name Type Number of shares Price per share ($) Total amount ($)
2026-07-31 Owens Angela Sell 40,077 15 611,575
2026-07-31 Johnson Stephen L Sell 30,000 15 458,700
2026-07-30 Johnson Stephen L Sell 30,000 15 457,800
2026-07-29 Johnson Stephen L Sell 30,000 15 450,300
2026-07-28 Owens Angela Sell 39,168 15 600,837
2026-07-28 Johnson Stephen L Sell 30,000 15 454,800
2026-07-27 Johnson Stephen L Sell 30,000 15 440,100
2026-07-12 Seymour David Sell 4,801 17 81,377
2026-06-25 Seymour David Sell 56,456 18 1,016,208
2026-06-24 Seymour David Sell 69,343 17 1,178,831

Who is buying and selling American Airlines shares in 2026?

The following insiders have sold shares: Owens Angela, Johnson Stephen L, Seymour David, May Devon E, Richmond Anthony J. and others. In total, 8,891,171 $ was sold across 20 transactions. Insider trades are legal transactions in which executives and board members buy or sell shares of their own company. These transactions are reported to the SEC and are publicly available.

American Airlines Short Selling 2026: 9.7% Sold Short

High short interest: 9.7% of the free float
Short % of free float
9.7%
Assessment
High short interest
Short squeeze risk
Moderate
Data source
SEC
Updated daily
The stock has a high share of short selling. Between 5-10% of the freely traded shares are sold short, which suggests some investors are betting on falling prices. Positive surprises can lead to a moderate short squeeze.

What does this mean for you as an investor?
A short interest of 9.7% means that 9.7% of the freely traded shares in American Airlines have been borrowed and sold by investors betting on falling prices.

The next potential catalyst is the earnings report on 10/22/2026. With a short interest of 9.7%, the report can trigger considerable volatility.

Data is updated daily based on official filings with the SEC.
Short Interest Scale
0% 2% 5% 10% 20%+
Low Moderate High Very High Extreme
9.7%

When Does American Airlines Report Earnings – Next Date: 10/22/2026

The next earnings report from American Airlines is scheduled for October 22, 2026, before the market opens. This report covers the third quarter (Q3), which ended on September 30, 2026.



Technical Analysis of American Airlines 2026 – Signal: Strong Buy

Overall Technical Signal: Strong Buy

Based on trend analysis (SMA50/SMA200) and MACD trend (positive/negative on a daily + weekly basis). Updated August 6, 2026.

Technical analysis of American Airlines (AAL.US) – RSI 58, MACD positive (bullish), daily candlestick chart August 2026
American Airlines technical analysis – candlestick chart with RSI and MACD. Updated Aug 6, 2026.

Trend Analysis of American Airlines Group Inc

American Airlines Group Inc is in a short-term uptrend. The price of $16.58 is 6.8% above the 20-day average ($15.52). Medium term, the picture is positive: the price is 6.3% above the 50-day average ($15.60). Long term, the stock is 20.2% above the 200-day average ($13.79), which confirms a long-term uptrend.

Golden Cross: The 50-day average (15.60) is above the 200-day average (13.79), which is a classic bullish signal for American Airlines Group Inc.

Is American Airlines Group Inc overbought or oversold?

American Airlines Group Inc has an RSI of 58.3. The stock shows positive momentum in the upper part of the neutral zone. Combined with the positive trend, this supports the bullish picture.

MACD Analysis for American Airlines Group Inc

Daily MACD: MACD is positive (0.049), which means the short-term trend is bullish (the 12-day EMA is above the 26-day EMA). MACD is above the signal line (-0.092) by 0.141, which confirms rising momentum in the uptrend.

Weekly MACD: MACD5 is positive (0.822), which indicates a broader bullish long-term trend. MACD5 is above the signal line (0.580) by 0.242, which confirms rising long-term momentum.

Overall MACD assessment: Both the daily and weekly MACD are positive and above their signal lines. Trend and momentum confirm each other across time horizons – the strongest bullish signal.

Risk Profile for American Airlines Group Inc

American Airlines Group Inc has an annual standard deviation of 49.1%, which classifies the stock as high risk. Sizeable price swings are normal, and the stock requires a higher risk tolerance.

Overall Technical Conclusion for American Airlines Group Inc

Trend: Positive. The price trades above SMA50 and SMA200.

MACD trend (zero line): Daily bullish (0.049). Weekly bullish (0.822).

MACD momentum (signal): Daily rising. Weekly rising.

RSI: 58.3 – neutral.

Technical signal: Strong Buy

The price is in an uptrend (above SMA50/SMA200) and MACD is positive on both a daily and weekly basis. Trend and MACD trend confirm each other – the strongest technical buy signal.

Frequently Asked Questions About American Airlines stock in 2026

Should you buy American Airlines stock now?
Yes, the technical signal for American Airlines is currently BUY. American Airlines trades at $16.30 as of 8/6/2026. The overall technical signal is: Strong Buy. The technical analysis shows the following: MACD is positive (bullish trend) at 0.049 with rising momentum (signal: -0.092); RSI is at 58.3 (neutral zone); the stock is in a short-term uptrend (price above the 20-day average); the analyst price target of $19.03 points to 16.8% upside. The stock is in a broader uptrend (above SMA50/SMA200). This is a technical observation based on current data, not investment advice.
What is the price target for American Airlines stock?
The average analyst price target for American Airlines is $19.03. The current price is $16.30, which gives an upside of 16.8%. Based on this, the stock is considered undervalued. The fair value range (±10% of the price target) is between $17.13 and $20.93.
Is American Airlines a dividend stock?
No, American Airlines does not currently pay a dividend to shareholders. The company reinvests its profits in growth instead of paying dividends.
What is the risk of American Airlines stock?
American Airlines is rated as a stock with high risk. the annual standard deviation is 49.1%, which classifies the stock as high risk.
Is American Airlines overvalued?
No, American Airlines is considered undervalued based on the analyst price target (16.8% upside). American Airlines has the following valuation ratios: a P/S ratio of 0.2, a P/B ratio of 78.9. The analyst price target suggests that the stock is undervalued by 16.8%.
Is American Airlines overbought?
No, American Airlines is not overbought. RSI is at 58.3 (neutral zone). The technical indicators show: RSI is at 58.3 (neutral zone between 30-70), which signals neither overbought nor oversold. In addition, the price is 5.0% above the 20-day average (short-term uptrend). In addition, MACD is positive with rising momentum (bullish).
When is the next American Airlines earnings report?
American Airlines reports its next earnings on October 22, 2026. The stock currently trades at $16.30.
Is American Airlines shorted?
Yes, American Airlines is shorted with 9.7% of the free float sold short. This is a high level of short selling, which suggests some investors are betting on falling prices. Positive surprises can lead to a moderate short squeeze. Data is updated daily based on official filings with the SEC.
Are insiders buying American Airlines stock?
No, insiders are not buying American Airlines shares – they are net sellers. Over the last 3 months, insiders have made 0 purchases and 10 sales. On a net basis, 5,750,528 $ worth of shares were sold. Across the last 20 reported transactions, the split is 0 purchases and 20 sales, with a net 8,891,171 $ sold. Active sellers include Owens Angela, Johnson Stephen L, Seymour David and others. Insider selling can have several explanations (e.g. planned 10b5-1 sales, portfolio diversification or taxes), but sustained selling by several insiders is worth watching closely.
Is American Airlines a good stock?
Based on our total score, American Airlines is rated as a mediocre stock with a total score of 46 out of 100. The stock scores around average on value, quality and momentum – it sits near the median in our database. The score is made up of Value: 29/100, Quality: 35/100, Momentum: 75/100. In addition: analysts see 16.8% upside to the price target; technical signal: Strong Buy. Whether American Airlines is a good investment depends on your time horizon, risk profile and portfolio. This is a data-driven observation, not investment advice.
What is the outlook for American Airlines stock?
The outlook for American Airlines based on current data: the average analyst price target is $19.03 (+16.8%); the stock is in an uptrend (above SMA50 and SMA200); the next earnings report is due on 10/22/2026, which can move the price. Keep in mind that stock prices are affected by many factors, including earnings reports, the economy and market sentiment. Past returns are no guarantee of future returns.
Why is American Airlines stock rising?
American Airlines is rising right now. The technical indicators show: the price is 5.0% above the 20-day average; MACD is positive with rising momentum (bullish signal); short interest is 9.7% (high – many are betting on a decline); insiders have mostly been selling the stock recently. For the latest context, see our technical analysis, insider section and news overview above.
How high can American Airlines go?
The average analyst price target for American Airlines is $19.03, which corresponds to a potential gain of 16.8% from the current price of $16.30. Keep in mind that price targets are estimates, not guarantees. Actual price moves depend on earnings, market conditions and unexpected events.
How low can American Airlines fall?
We lack enough history to give a specific floor for American Airlines. Remember: past price swings are no guarantee for the future — a stock can fall further than the last 52 weeks suggest, especially on profit warnings, sector crises or a market crash. Use stop-loss orders and spread your portfolio to limit losses in single stocks.
What does American Airlines do?
American Airlines Group driver et stort netværksflyselskab. De tjener penge ved at levere ruteflyvninger til passagerer og fragt, primært ud fra deres store hubs i USA, som for eksempel Dallas/Fort Worth og Miami. De har også vigtige gateways i udlandet, blandt andet i London ... The company belongs to the Industri sector, more specifically the Luftfartselskab industry, is headquartered in USA, and is traded on the USA Stocks. See the key figures, earnings history and price development above to evaluate American Airlines as an investment.
Did American Airlines raise or lower its guidance?
Over the last 60 days we have not registered a guidance raise or cut from American Airlines. The company can still adjust its guidance at quarterly reports or between reports — see the earnings history and the news overview above.
Is American Airlines making money or losing money?
No, American Airlines is currently not making money — the company is losing money with a negative profit margin of -0.6%, a small loss. That means the business loses money on every dollar of revenue. The operating margin, however, is positive at 2.8% — the core business makes money; the loss comes from financing costs, taxes or one-off items. For growth stocks investing in expansion this is normal — but it raises the risk if the company does not reach break-even before its capital runs out.
Can American Airlines go bankrupt?
The bankruptcy risk of American Airlines is rated as elevated. Altman Z2 (a model for assessing financial distress) is -1.55 — that places the company in the weak zone. This is a probability based on the numbers, not a verdict — bankruptcy is not imminent. But the balance sheet is measurably weaker than average, so watch the debt, liquidity and possible capital raises. The Piotroski score (financial health 0-9, higher is better) is 6 — which is average. Debt relative to equity is 1,000% (high). Remember: models like Altman Z2 are statistical — unexpected shocks (fraud, a sector collapse, lawsuits) can always happen. Spread your portfolio.
Does American Airlines have a lot of debt?
Yes, American Airlines has elevated debt relative to equity. The debt-to-equity ratio (D/E — interest-bearing debt to equity) is 1,000%. For the industri sector, anything above 150% counts as elevated — that raises the financial risk, especially if interest rates rise or earnings fall. Note: D/E levels are highly sector-specific — a bank at 300% debt is normal, a tech stock at 300% is extremely leveraged. Always compare with similar companies in the same sector. Can American Airlines service its debt? Could struggle to service its debt — the interest coverage ratio (how many times earnings can cover interest payments) is 1.1x, and net debt equals 10.3 years of earnings (EBITDA).