Should you buy Alcoa stock now?
No, the technical signal for Alcoa is currently Strong Sell. Alcoa trades at $43.17 as of Oct 7, 2026. The technical analysis shows the following: MACD is negative (bearish trend) at -1.776 with falling momentum (signal: -1.773); RSI is at 39.0 (neutral zone); the stock is in a short-term downtrend (price below the 20-day average); the analyst price target of $62.64 points to 45.1% upside. The stock is in a broader downtrend (below SMA50/SMA200). Buying in a downtrend is generally not recommended. This is a technical observation based on current data, not investment advice.
What is the price target for Alcoa stock?
The average analyst price target for Alcoa is $62.64. The current price is $43.17, which gives an upside of 45.1%. Based on this, the stock is considered undervalued. The fair value range (±10% of the price target) is between $56.38 and $68.90.
Is Alcoa a dividend stock?
Yes, Alcoa is a dividend stock with a dividend yield of 0.95%. The latest dividend was $0.10 per share. The latest ex-dividend date (traded without the dividend) was Aug 11, 2026. The payout ratio is 8.4%, which is considered sustainable.
When does Alcoa pay a dividend in 2026?
The next dividend date for Alcoa has not been set yet. The latest ex-dividend date (last trading day with dividend rights) was Aug 11, 2026. The latest dividend was $0.10 per share with an ex-dividend date of Aug 11, 2026. The dividend yield is 0.95%. The payout ratio of 8.4% points to a sustainable dividend with room to grow.
What is the risk of Alcoa stock?
Alcoa is rated as a stock in the risk category Speculative. the annual standard deviation is 55.9%, which classifies the stock as Speculative.
Is Alcoa overvalued?
No, Alcoa is considered undervalued based on the analyst price target (45.1% upside). Alcoa has the following valuation ratios: a P/E ratio of 8.7 (lowly valued), a P/S ratio of 0.8, a P/B ratio of 1.6. The analyst price target suggests that the stock is undervalued by 45.1%.
Is Alcoa overbought?
No, Alcoa is not overbought. RSI is at 39.0 (neutral zone). The technical indicators show: RSI is at 39.0 (neutral zone between 30-70), which signals neither overbought nor oversold. In addition, the price is 3.4% below the 20-day average (short-term downtrend). In addition, MACD is negative with falling momentum (bearish).
When is the next Alcoa earnings report?
Alcoa reports its next earnings on October 15, 2026. The stock currently trades at $43.17. With a P/E ratio of 8.7, the market will be watching closely whether earnings meet expectations.
Is Alcoa shorted?
Yes, Alcoa is shorted with 4.6% of the free float sold short. This is a moderate level of short selling, within the normal range for most stocks. The figure comes from our data provider EODHD, is reported about twice a month, and we check it every trading day.
Are insiders buying Alcoa stock?
No, insiders are not buying Alcoa shares – they are net sellers. Over the last 3 months, insiders have made 0 purchases and 4 sales. On a net basis, 1,347,263 $ worth of shares were sold. Across the last 20 reported transactions, the split is 0 purchases and 20 sales, with a net 21,690,619 $ sold. Active sellers include Bacchi Renato, Jones Tammi A, Hastings Andrew and others. Insider selling can have several explanations (e.g. planned 10b5-1 sales, portfolio diversification or taxes), but sustained selling by several insiders is worth watching closely.
Is Alcoa a good stock?
Based on our total score, Alcoa is rated as a good stock with a total score of 61 out of 100. The stock scores above average on value, quality and momentum. The score is made up of Value: 92/100, Quality: 77/100, Momentum: 15/100. In addition: analysts see 45.1% upside to the price target; a dividend of 0.95%; technical signal: Strong Sell. Whether Alcoa is a good investment depends on your time horizon, risk profile and portfolio. This is a data-driven observation, not investment advice.
What is the outlook for Alcoa stock?
The outlook for Alcoa based on current data: the average analyst price target is $62.64 (+45.1%); the stock is in a downtrend (below SMA50 and SMA200); the next earnings report is due on Oct 15, 2026, which can move the price; the P/E ratio is 8.7 (low – a possible value stock). Keep in mind that stock prices are affected by many factors, including earnings reports, the economy and market sentiment. Past returns are no guarantee of future returns.
Why is Alcoa stock falling?
Alcoa is falling right now. The technical indicators show: the price is 3.4% below the 20-day average; MACD is negative with falling momentum (bearish signal); insiders have mostly been selling the stock recently. For the latest context, see our technical analysis and insider section above.
How high can Alcoa go?
The average analyst price target for Alcoa is $62.64, which corresponds to a potential gain of 45.1% from the current price of $43.17. The stock has traded between $33.51 and $84.22 over the last 52 weeks. The price is 48.7% below the 52-week high, which can indicate potential if the underlying fundamentals are intact. Keep in mind that price targets are estimates, not guarantees. Actual price moves depend on earnings, market conditions and unexpected events.
How low can Alcoa fall?
The stock has traded as low as $33.51 over the last 52 weeks — that is 22.4% below the current price of $43.17. The biggest decline (drawdown) in the same period was 60.2% from high to low. Within a year, the price typically swings about ±55.9% (standard deviation — a measure of price swings). A difficult year could therefore mean a further decline of that size. Remember: past price swings are no guarantee for the future — a stock can fall further than the last 52 weeks suggest, especially on profit warnings, sector crises or a market crash. Use stop-loss orders and spread your portfolio to limit losses in single stocks.
What does Alcoa do?
Alcoa Corporation works with the basic building blocks of aluminum production, covering the entire process from raw material to finished metal.
The company makes money in three main steps. First, it mines bauxite, a type of rock. Second, it processes the bauxite into aluminum... The company belongs to the Basic Materials sector, more specifically the Aluminum industry, is headquartered in United States, and is traded on the USA Stocks. See the key figures, earnings history and price development above to evaluate Alcoa as an investment.
Did Alcoa raise or lower its guidance?
Over the last 60 days we have not registered a guidance raise or cut from Alcoa. The company can still adjust its guidance at quarterly reports or between reports — see the earnings history above.
Is Alcoa making money or losing money?
Yes, Alcoa is making money, not losing it. The company has a profit margin (the share of revenue left over as profit) of 9.4% — which is moderate. The operating margin (profit before interest and taxes) is 18.4%. At a P/E ratio of 8.7, you currently pay 8.7 dollars for every dollar of the company's annual earnings. A consistently profitable company is usually more resilient than growth stocks that are not yet making money.
Can Alcoa go bankrupt?
The bankruptcy risk of Alcoa is rated as moderate. Altman Z2 (a model for assessing financial distress) is 2.25 — that places the company in the middle zone. The Piotroski score (financial health 0-9, higher is better) is 8 — which is strong. Debt relative to equity is 173% (high). Remember: models like Altman Z2 are statistical — unexpected shocks (fraud, a sector collapse, lawsuits) can always happen. Spread your portfolio.
Does Alcoa have a lot of debt?
Yes, Alcoa has elevated debt relative to equity. The debt-to-equity ratio (D/E — interest-bearing debt to equity) is 173%. For the basic materials sector, anything above 150% counts as elevated — that raises the financial risk, especially if interest rates rise or earnings fall. Commodity companies finance mines and plants with moderate debt — 70-150% is typical. Note: D/E levels are highly sector-specific — a bank at 300% debt is normal, a tech stock at 300% is extremely leveraged. Always compare with similar companies in the same sector. Can Alcoa service its debt? Can service its debt without problems — the interest coverage ratio (how many times earnings can cover interest payments) is 14.4x, and net debt equals 0.4 years of earnings (EBITDA).
